Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   60  +41      10.99    97.10    11.13    93.90     4.57    63.99    62.47    97.15    99.76    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   56  +45       2.13    63.44     3.35    91.39     4.38    72.13    36.54    93.92    99.43    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   51  +25       4.15    73.52    -0.18    81.15     4.88    40.51     0.94     7.84    71.47    90.32   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +21       3.00    66.93     1.86    75.24     4.95    32.87     0.05     0.80    17.19    55.23    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +16       2.69    65.31    -0.19    71.81     5.13    27.53     0.00     0.15     6.07    25.89    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   44  +13       1.04    55.44    -4.83    72.37     5.08    25.27     0.00     0.15     6.08    28.69    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Watford          23   33   +0       4.82    76.61     6.33    49.98     4.92    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   32   -4       5.47    79.60     5.08    51.07     5.20    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +0      -0.72    46.27     0.72    50.52     5.09    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         23   31   -4       2.43    64.34     2.19    48.95     5.00    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          23   30   +1      -2.27    36.94     1.29    49.51     5.22    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   30   -9       3.07    68.04     0.85    47.44     5.04   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.19R    0.00  
Brighton         23   26   -7       0.98    56.92     3.68    44.05     5.02   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   23   22   -9      -4.58    24.64    -0.16    40.90     5.14   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.48R    0.04  
Southampton      23   22  -15      -3.07    32.35    -3.37    40.59     5.08   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16R    0.06  
Burnley          23   22  -20      -3.34    31.09    -9.42    36.30     4.75   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.37R    0.31  
Newcastle        23   21  -12      -5.66    19.43    -4.02    38.33     5.02   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.78R    0.16  
Cardiff          23   19  -25      -1.00    45.28    -4.50    31.28     4.67   -40.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.32R    4.06  
Fulham           23   14  -30      -5.78    17.52    -5.74    26.46     4.77   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.64R   23.14  
Huddersfield     23   11  -27      -6.97    10.47    -4.06    21.65     4.32   -43.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.90R   72.23  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    29   57  +18      11.80    92.86     9.96    83.63     5.82    22.95    34.15    57.12    96.09    65.53P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         29   54  +16       9.46    87.52     8.99    81.25     5.79    21.98    19.62    40.82    91.57    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   51  +17       5.46    74.80     8.43    78.40     5.71    23.16     9.59    23.90    83.27    38.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       28   50  +22      -1.27    43.02     2.11    82.09     6.00    33.52    27.82    50.96    93.55    64.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   47  +11       1.02    55.17     0.09    76.08     5.88    17.35     4.84    13.65    69.54    30.10P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   46   +5       2.71    63.22    -2.25    74.74     5.99    11.07     2.83     8.69    59.47    21.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +6       3.27    66.36     2.61    68.90     5.97     6.26     0.42     1.61    22.72     6.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   43   -1       3.41    66.31    -0.51    66.23     5.86    -1.26     0.05     0.30    11.20     2.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   42   +9       1.85    59.53     8.58    65.06     5.78     8.49     0.04     0.22     9.20     1.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   42   +7      -4.41    29.30    -3.07    68.51     5.92    11.70     0.32     1.29    22.69     6.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         28   40   +5      -3.71    32.34    -2.83    68.11     5.98    10.04     0.25     1.06    20.27     6.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            29   40   +3      -1.28    44.15     1.01    64.35     5.71     4.33     0.03     0.17     6.84     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      28   39   +7       4.32    71.86    12.37    62.01     5.87     4.49     0.01     0.07     3.76     0.68P    0.04R    0.00  
QPR             28   39   -5       4.29    71.16     0.99    61.00     5.83    -9.26     0.00     0.02     2.01     0.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Stoke           29   38   -4      -3.78    32.44    -6.85    61.94     5.83    -2.90     0.01     0.05     2.90     0.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         29   36   +0      -4.87    27.58    -1.38    60.23     5.81     1.21     0.00     0.02     1.69     0.38P    0.13R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   35  -12      -0.03    50.67    -6.67    58.42     6.00   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.19P    0.50R    0.01  
Brentford       28   34   +4      -7.53    17.34    -0.38    60.39     6.08     6.52     0.01     0.03     2.38     0.56P    0.17R    0.00  
Millwall        28   29  -10      -5.92    22.57    -4.72    50.96     5.83   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    6.49R    0.27  
Wigan           29   29  -15      -6.55    20.91    -8.84    51.35     5.74   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.20R    0.29  
Rotherham       29   25  -20      -3.02    35.72    -0.93    40.32     5.31   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.37R   13.81  
Reading         28   23  -12      -8.49    13.02    -0.99    43.36     5.78   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.03R    6.42  
Bolton          28   22  -24      -2.76    35.90    -3.73    38.01     5.29   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.35R   29.01  
Ipswich         29   18  -27     -11.92     4.92   -12.00    35.34     5.39   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.59R   50.18  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Barnsley 2 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                29   59  +30       7.95    83.43    13.03    90.53     5.78    42.43    37.99    66.00    99.73    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           28   57  +20      11.94    93.52    10.25    85.27     6.00    25.28    10.37    25.81    96.62    41.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             28   55  +25       3.59    66.92     5.42    88.20     6.02    37.59    22.76    47.78    99.11    65.37P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             30   54  +16       6.14    77.32     6.14    80.47     5.63    22.62     1.69     6.76    88.95    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           27   53  +22       3.88    68.44     3.64    88.87     6.17    36.88    26.85    52.05    99.06    67.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   48   +9       3.78    67.74     2.47    74.67     5.89    13.98     0.20     0.93    56.11    11.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            28   46  +14       3.30    65.83     7.72    72.53     6.07    16.60     0.13     0.64    42.13     8.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            28   42   +4       2.62    63.43     2.19    66.60     5.91     4.09     0.00     0.02    10.38     1.88P    0.15R    0.00  
Wycombe              29   41   -1       5.18    74.09     5.21    61.17     5.72    -6.03     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.24P    1.83R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       30   39   +7      -4.54    29.41     3.56    61.56     5.60     7.95     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.37P    1.11R    0.01  
Coventry             30   39   -5       2.82    64.31     1.48    57.64     5.39    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    6.12R    0.14  
Southend             29   38   +3      -3.09    35.47     1.10    61.27     5.79     2.89     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.40P    1.54R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        29   37   +0      -3.98    31.87    -1.76    58.67     5.75    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.13P    4.32R    0.10  
Scunthorpe           30   37  -16      -2.07    40.57   -12.30    58.64     5.58   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    5.58R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   27   35   -9       4.01    70.52    -0.37    56.43     6.02   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P   12.42R    0.66  
Walsall              29   35  -12       0.72    54.82    -3.52    55.41     5.68   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   14.71R    0.74  
Plymouth             30   33  -14      -3.04    36.24    -5.73    50.71     5.41   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.00R    3.95  
Shrewsbury           28   31   -6      -6.42    20.61    -4.92    55.95     5.98    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P   12.49R    0.73  
Gillingham           28   31   -9      -3.14    35.04    -2.01    53.34     5.92   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.40R    2.00  
Rochdale             30   31  -25      -1.37    44.32   -10.39    49.13     5.47   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.04R    8.51  
Oxford_Utd           28   30   -9      -5.42    24.86    -4.03    52.75     5.97   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   27.01R    2.65  
Bristol_Rovers       28   28   -5      -7.71    15.72    -1.18    49.77     5.85    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.81R    6.20  
Bradford             29   28  -16      -6.46    20.78    -7.70    48.88     5.71   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.43R    8.62  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   23  -23      -6.42    19.70    -8.29    40.50     5.39   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.05R   65.45  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Bury 3 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     29   59  +24      10.24    89.90    10.60    87.69     5.76    32.06    52.48    87.71    99.66    90.75P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        29   54  +22       4.70    72.04     8.19    83.12     5.66    30.56    20.26    66.68    98.08    76.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             30   53  +22       0.65    52.70     4.63    82.11     5.59    33.09    15.18    62.72    97.33    73.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +13       3.59    66.73     3.75    75.72     5.61    17.18     1.94    16.99    78.91    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     29   50  +18       8.15    84.33    15.13    74.45     5.78    19.79     1.59    13.80    72.61    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          28   47  +19      -2.78    35.90     2.13    79.05     5.98    29.84     7.71    39.89    90.92    57.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           29   47  +10       1.01    54.98     0.84    72.22     5.79    12.86     0.57     7.01    56.33    18.92P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   46  +10      -0.23    49.23     2.46    69.80     5.57    12.71     0.15     2.79    40.65    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        30   44   -3       3.71    68.02    -1.70    64.62     5.44    -4.96     0.01     0.26    10.27     1.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         29   42   +4       2.94    64.50     5.29    64.17     5.82     2.20     0.01     0.40    11.42     2.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe            30   41   -4       3.04    65.37     0.94    62.44     5.52    -4.68     0.00     0.07     5.44     0.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Swindon          30   40   -6      -1.30    43.96    -6.36    62.45     5.52    -5.45     0.00     0.09     5.43     1.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           28   39   +6      -5.75    23.96    -3.47    66.86     6.05    10.62     0.09     1.38    23.87     7.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   -7       5.29    75.93    -1.48    62.22     6.11   -11.44     0.01     0.18     6.42     1.14P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby          30   37   -8       2.44    63.37     1.23    56.29     5.43   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.83R    0.10  
Crawley_Town     30   36   -7      -1.06    45.70    -0.83    54.96     5.35   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.55R    0.25  
Northampton      29   34   -1      -7.80    17.18    -3.94    58.42     5.80     0.52     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.43P    0.50R    0.09  
Cheltenham       29   32  -10      -3.23    34.94    -2.59    52.93     5.70   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.46R    0.93  
Port_Vale        29   32  -10      -3.30    34.20    -3.87    53.03     5.57   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.21R    0.91  
Cambridge_Utd    30   32  -22      -1.98    41.01   -11.37    50.73     5.37   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.66R    2.39  
Yeovil           28   30   -4      -4.36    29.14     1.83    52.39     5.77    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.99R    1.11  
Morecambe        30   29  -17      -3.44    33.71    -4.07    46.76     5.30   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.96R    8.62  
Macclesfield     30   27  -19      -1.31    44.26     0.48    41.73     5.01   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.58R   32.38  
Notts_County     29   21  -30     -11.47     6.31   -17.82    39.90     5.57   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.02R   53.19  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Bromley 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      31   60  +30       5.64    75.22    12.58    86.60     5.27    39.03    49.00    96.36    64.02P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       31   57  +25       7.12    79.57    13.68    82.14     5.52    31.94    16.18    83.08    33.07P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     31   57  +19      11.42    91.36    14.29    79.46     5.33    21.96     6.35    67.70    18.10P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          31   56  +25       3.04    63.92     9.39    82.89     5.24    34.52    20.12    88.34    41.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +15       8.56    85.66     7.58    78.98     5.18    18.77     4.71    63.57    19.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      30   52   +7       7.88    83.08     2.48    75.89     5.49    10.14     1.89    38.21     9.22P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       5.01    71.78    11.31    74.29     5.80    20.64     1.42    32.25     7.95P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          31   49   -3       9.23    86.59     0.85    69.07     5.23    -3.76     0.07     5.65     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   48   +8       1.63    57.82     2.06    69.75     5.35     9.87     0.11     8.96     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   47  +13      -0.18    49.27     5.82    70.60     5.39    17.51     0.14    12.58     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   41   -2       0.77    54.58     0.73    59.88     5.22    -4.04     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.78R    0.00  
Bromley            31   40   -2      -3.14    36.00    -2.87    60.66     5.36    -2.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.76R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          31   39   -1      -5.65    24.99    -4.39    60.43     5.38     0.28     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.78R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   39   -3      -3.98    31.46    -4.32    59.06     5.29    -3.41     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.38R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   39   -8      -1.36    44.09    -5.14    56.69     5.18   -11.93     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.56R    0.01  
Halifax            30   35   -5      -0.46    48.23     1.94    53.89     5.27    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.00R    0.05  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -4.11    29.56   -11.44    64.61     6.44    -2.67     0.03     2.77     0.70P    0.44R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    31   33   -9      -2.41    39.51     2.89    48.85     5.26   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.32R    0.70  
Dover_Athletic     31   33  -16      -7.14    19.26   -12.87    53.07     5.30   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.19R    0.12  
Maidenhead         31   31  -22      -2.71    37.72    -8.27    46.34     5.03   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.56R    2.25  
Chesterfield       30   30   -8     -12.92     5.68   -11.01    53.31     5.58    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.58R    0.12  
Aldershot          30   28  -23      -7.53    17.01   -15.25    47.48     5.42   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.32R    2.23  
Maidstone_United   31   25  -26      -5.33    25.27    -7.70    39.81     4.96   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.15R   23.16  
Braintree_Town     31   22  -25      -6.18    21.79    -2.35    34.74     4.87   -37.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   71.37