Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   60  +41      10.98    97.05    11.12    93.95     4.57    64.11    62.53    97.12    99.77    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   56  +45       2.08    62.90     3.25    91.42     4.41    72.10    36.46    93.57    99.34    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   51  +25       4.03    72.97    -0.40    81.26     4.85    40.73     0.99     8.18    72.07    90.87    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +21       3.11    67.39     2.07    75.10     5.00    32.66     0.02     0.76    16.83    54.29    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +16       2.69    64.94    -0.20    71.83     5.07    27.54     0.00     0.16     5.88    25.90    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   44  +13       0.99    55.28    -4.86    72.37     5.08    25.25     0.00     0.20     6.11    29.04    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Watford          23   33   +0       4.91    76.98     6.41    49.95     4.95    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   32   -4       5.45    79.50     5.09    51.14     5.24    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +0      -0.79    45.72     0.62    50.56     5.12    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         23   31   -4       2.52    65.04     2.39    48.85     4.99    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          23   30   +1      -2.23    37.27     1.37    49.44     5.21    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   30   -9       3.06    68.24     0.79    47.42     5.02   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         23   26   -7       0.95    56.80     3.62    44.10     5.00   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   22   -9      -4.54    24.64    -0.14    40.92     5.12   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.43R    0.04  
Southampton      23   22  -15      -3.15    32.04    -3.45    40.58     5.10   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23R    0.08  
Burnley          23   22  -20      -3.25    31.47    -9.29    36.28     4.76   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.87R    0.28  
Newcastle        23   21  -12      -5.56    19.80    -3.89    38.26     5.00   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.83R    0.19  
Cardiff          23   19  -25      -1.14    44.19    -4.76    31.37     4.68   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.57R    4.05  
Fulham           23   14  -30      -5.65    18.02    -5.58    26.39     4.76   -45.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.64R   23.37  
Huddersfield     23   11  -27      -7.04    10.34    -4.16    21.68     4.32   -43.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   71.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    29   57  +18      11.78    92.72     9.93    83.65     5.83    22.99    34.26    57.21    96.04    65.49P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         29   54  +16       9.52    87.87     9.00    81.24     5.83    21.99    19.69    40.68    91.50    51.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   51  +17       5.42    74.61     8.41    78.43     5.73    23.20     9.58    24.20    83.39    38.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       28   50  +22      -1.14    43.68     2.34    82.05     6.03    33.44    27.67    50.58    93.50    64.89P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   47  +11       0.97    54.87     0.03    76.13     5.87    17.39     5.04    14.01    70.13    30.59P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   46   +5       2.62    62.96    -2.35    74.82     5.92    11.20     2.71     8.57    60.09    21.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +6       3.21    65.92     2.48    68.94     5.92     6.33     0.36     1.40    22.91     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   43   -1       3.59    67.32    -0.24    66.19     5.85    -1.35     0.05     0.33    10.89     2.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   29   42   +9       1.81    59.36     8.49    65.14     5.73     8.64     0.04     0.23     9.20     2.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   42   +7      -4.41    29.36    -3.09    68.48     5.90    11.63     0.26     1.31    22.40     7.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         28   40   +5      -3.41    33.94    -2.42    67.98     6.03     9.87     0.29     1.12    19.85     6.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull            29   40   +3      -1.46    43.45     0.79    64.38     5.72     4.39     0.03     0.15     6.92     1.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   39   +7       4.25    71.32    12.30    62.09     5.84     4.57     0.01     0.07     3.54     0.66P    0.04R    0.00  
QPR             28   39   -5       4.51    72.11     1.31    60.85     5.87    -9.51     0.01     0.04     2.11     0.37P    0.09R    0.00  
Stoke           29   38   -4      -3.63    33.14    -6.60    61.88     5.81    -3.01     0.01     0.06     2.83     0.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston         29   36   +0      -4.78    28.00    -1.31    60.13     5.81     1.07     0.00     0.02     1.57     0.37P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   35  -12      -0.07    50.50    -6.69    58.38     5.97   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.14P    0.55R    0.00  
Brentford       28   34   +4      -7.46    17.29    -0.34    60.39     6.03     6.50     0.00     0.03     2.33     0.60P    0.15R    0.00  
Millwall        28   29  -10      -5.96    22.46    -4.75    51.04     5.85   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    6.40R    0.30  
Wigan           29   29  -15      -6.70    20.30    -9.11    51.41     5.75   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     6.04R    0.30  
Rotherham       29   25  -20      -3.11    35.18    -1.06    40.36     5.29   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.66R   13.98  
Reading         28   23  -12      -8.57    12.80    -1.14    43.40     5.75   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.97R    5.99  
Bolton          28   22  -24      -2.85    35.38    -3.83    38.01     5.26   -36.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.45R   29.06  
Ipswich         29   18  -27     -12.02     4.97   -12.16    35.37     5.42   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.41R   50.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Barnsley 2 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                29   59  +30       8.00    83.35    13.16    90.43     5.77    42.30    37.63    65.20    99.72    75.70P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           28   57  +20      11.98    93.61    10.34    85.27     6.02    25.28    10.60    26.43    96.97    41.67P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             28   55  +25       3.59    66.94     5.43    88.14     6.01    37.51    22.84    47.33    98.97    65.23P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             30   54  +16       6.07    77.23     6.07    80.45     5.61    22.64     1.77     6.73    88.91    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           27   53  +22       3.91    68.56     3.65    88.86     6.14    36.97    26.83    52.63    99.03    68.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   48   +9       3.96    68.53     2.82    74.58     5.90    13.82     0.19     0.95    55.96    11.36P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            28   46  +14       3.35    66.16     7.74    72.57     6.07    16.59     0.14     0.70    42.19     8.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            28   42   +4       2.55    63.10     2.12    66.65     5.90     4.15     0.00     0.03    10.28     1.95P    0.13R    0.00  
Wycombe              29   41   -1       5.28    74.66     5.41    61.07     5.70    -6.18     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.20P    1.96R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       30   39   +7      -4.62    28.94     3.42    61.66     5.59     8.09     0.00     0.00     2.16     0.47P    1.05R    0.01  
Coventry             30   39   -5       2.85    64.44     1.55    57.61     5.38    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    6.15R    0.14  
Southend             29   38   +3      -3.19    35.12     0.96    61.26     5.76     2.93     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.35P    1.53R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        29   37   +0      -3.79    32.67    -1.50    58.57     5.72    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.15P    4.32R    0.09  
Scunthorpe           30   37  -16      -2.33    39.51   -12.73    58.78     5.62   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.05P    5.61R    0.20  
Accrington_Stanley   27   35   -9       4.01    70.66    -0.44    56.49     6.01   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   12.12R    0.60  
Walsall              29   35  -12       0.78    54.62    -3.42    55.39     5.63   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   14.69R    0.88  
Plymouth             30   33  -14      -3.08    35.75    -5.74    50.66     5.40   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.77R    4.13  
Shrewsbury           28   31   -6      -6.21    21.30    -4.65    55.87     5.95    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   12.49R    0.70  
Gillingham           28   31   -9      -3.27    34.30    -2.20    53.38     5.91   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.32R    2.04  
Rochdale             30   31  -25      -1.55    43.23   -10.66    49.26     5.49   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   54.14R    8.22  
Oxford_Utd           28   30   -9      -5.35    25.09    -4.00    52.69     5.98   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   27.62R    2.64  
Bristol_Rovers       28   28   -5      -7.81    15.54    -1.35    49.84     5.82    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.42R    5.97  
Bradford             29   28  -16      -6.51    20.69    -7.77    48.89     5.76   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.64R    8.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   23  -23      -6.40    19.58    -8.24    40.47     5.39   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.04R   65.66  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Bury 3 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     29   59  +24      10.01    89.53    10.30    87.72     5.74    32.19    52.62    87.95    99.71    90.91P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        29   54  +22       4.54    71.65     7.98    83.25     5.64    30.74    20.53    67.71    98.18    77.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             30   53  +22       0.74    53.01     4.78    82.03     5.62    32.98    15.11    62.03    97.13    72.80P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +13       3.62    67.03     3.77    75.77     5.63    17.21     1.91    17.25    78.98    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     29   50  +18       8.09    84.32    15.05    74.42     5.75    19.77     1.59    13.27    72.39    23.98P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          28   47  +19      -2.78    35.73     2.10    78.98     5.95    29.71     7.43    39.37    90.87    57.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           29   47  +10       0.81    53.94     0.52    72.38     5.80    13.03     0.62     7.35    57.36    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       30   46  +10      -0.14    49.51     2.58    69.82     5.58    12.72     0.12     2.84    40.63    11.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        30   44   -3       3.85    68.57    -1.45    64.54     5.48    -5.09     0.00     0.26     9.84     1.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         29   42   +4       2.97    64.35     5.27    64.17     5.82     2.22     0.01     0.29    11.38     2.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe            30   41   -4       2.88    64.54     0.66    62.51     5.57    -4.58     0.00     0.07     5.60     1.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          30   40   -6      -1.04    45.31    -5.95    62.29     5.51    -5.66     0.00     0.05     5.01     1.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           28   39   +6      -5.73    24.06    -3.48    66.80     6.05    10.52     0.07     1.28    23.58     7.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   -7       5.24    75.63    -1.59    62.27     6.15   -11.36     0.00     0.25     6.52     1.12P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby          30   37   -8       2.50    63.32     1.37    56.29     5.45   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.96R    0.13  
Crawley_Town     30   36   -7      -1.22    44.81    -1.08    55.02     5.35   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    1.54R    0.28  
Northampton      29   34   -1      -7.66    17.74    -3.73    58.35     5.84     0.44     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.40P    0.49R    0.06  
Cheltenham       29   32  -10      -3.27    34.69    -2.58    52.96     5.68   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.07R    0.85  
Port_Vale        29   32  -10      -3.19    34.80    -3.78    53.04     5.60   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.26R    1.01  
Cambridge_Utd    30   32  -22      -1.89    41.37   -11.24    50.73     5.37   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.66R    2.25  
Yeovil           28   30   -4      -4.47    28.87     1.62    52.51     5.76    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    4.81R    1.12  
Morecambe        30   29  -17      -3.35    33.93    -3.93    46.75     5.31   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.27R    8.51  
Macclesfield     30   27  -19      -1.40    43.98     0.29    41.76     5.06   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.05R   31.55  
Notts_County     29   21  -30     -11.27     6.71   -17.49    39.77     5.62   -37.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.68R   54.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Bromley 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      31   60  +30       5.52    74.58    12.43    86.68     5.28    39.10    49.51    96.37    64.59P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       31   57  +25       7.30    80.00    13.98    82.08     5.51    31.85    15.99    82.93    32.91P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     31   57  +19      11.57    91.72    14.49    79.36     5.32    21.83     6.25    67.39    17.92P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          31   56  +25       3.19    64.55     9.55    82.81     5.25    34.45    19.72    88.04    40.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   56  +15       8.41    85.07     7.37    79.04     5.16    18.82     4.93    64.06    19.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      30   52   +7       7.87    83.22     2.50    75.95     5.53    10.18     1.92    38.77     9.65P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       4.79    70.79    10.98    74.36     5.76    20.80     1.38    32.54     8.09P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          31   49   -3       9.17    86.43     0.79    69.08     5.23    -3.75     0.06     5.55     0.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          31   48   +8       1.85    58.80     2.37    69.62     5.37     9.71     0.08     8.87     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   47  +13      -0.15    49.44     5.88    70.55     5.38    17.43     0.12    12.37     3.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             31   41   -2       0.72    54.17     0.68    59.91     5.21    -3.99     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.81R    0.00  
Bromley            31   40   -2      -3.06    36.12    -2.80    60.63     5.37    -2.02     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.73R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          31   39   -1      -5.77    24.32    -4.57    60.43     5.41     0.30     0.00     0.19     0.05P    0.85R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       31   39   -3      -3.95    31.68    -4.29    59.10     5.30    -3.36     0.00     0.06     0.02P    1.35R    0.00  
Hartlepool         31   39   -8      -1.40    43.81    -5.16    56.70     5.19   -11.93     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.77R    0.00  
Halifax            30   35   -5      -0.53    47.94     1.84    53.95     5.26    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.81R    0.03  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -3.95    30.52   -11.23    64.51     6.43    -2.82     0.02     2.54     0.66P    0.47R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    31   33   -9      -2.40    39.83     2.85    48.90     5.27   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.80R    0.69  
Dover_Athletic     31   33  -16      -7.26    18.95   -13.10    53.15     5.30   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    0.11  
Maidenhead         31   31  -22      -2.73    37.55    -8.27    46.33     5.06   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.66R    2.30  
Chesterfield       30   30   -8     -12.81     6.05   -10.88    53.34     5.59    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00P   13.53R    0.13  
Aldershot          30   28  -23      -7.50    16.96   -15.18    47.40     5.43   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.06R    2.35  
Maidstone_United   31   25  -26      -5.27    25.25    -7.63    39.75     4.93   -34.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.18R   24.04  
Braintree_Town     31   22  -25      -6.31    21.68    -2.60    34.84     4.92   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.07R   70.35