Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 29 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 23 60 +41 10.98 97.05 11.12 93.95 4.57 64.11 62.53 97.12 99.77 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 56 +45 2.08 62.90 3.25 91.42 4.41 72.10 36.46 93.57 99.34 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 51 +25 4.03 72.97 -0.40 81.26 4.85 40.73 0.99 8.18 72.07 90.87 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +21 3.11 67.39 2.07 75.10 5.00 32.66 0.02 0.76 16.83 54.29 99.83 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 44 +16 2.69 64.94 -0.20 71.83 5.07 27.54 0.00 0.16 5.88 25.90 99.14 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 44 +13 0.99 55.28 -4.86 72.37 5.08 25.25 0.00 0.20 6.11 29.04 99.26 0.00 0.00 Watford 23 33 +0 4.91 76.98 6.41 49.95 4.95 -7.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 23 32 -4 5.45 79.50 5.09 51.14 5.24 -6.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.03R 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +0 -0.79 45.72 0.62 50.56 5.12 -2.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 23 31 -4 2.52 65.04 2.39 48.85 4.99 -9.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.06R 0.00 Everton 23 30 +1 -2.23 37.27 1.37 49.44 5.21 -1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04R 0.00 Bournemouth 23 30 -9 3.06 68.24 0.79 47.42 5.02 -15.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.23R 0.00 Brighton 23 26 -7 0.95 56.80 3.62 44.10 5.00 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 23 22 -9 -4.54 24.64 -0.14 40.92 5.12 -12.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.43R 0.04 Southampton 23 22 -15 -3.15 32.04 -3.45 40.58 5.10 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.23R 0.08 Burnley 23 22 -20 -3.25 31.47 -9.29 36.28 4.76 -30.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.87R 0.28 Newcastle 23 21 -12 -5.56 19.80 -3.89 38.26 5.00 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.83R 0.19 Cardiff 23 19 -25 -1.14 44.19 -4.76 31.37 4.68 -39.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.57R 4.05 Fulham 23 14 -30 -5.65 18.02 -5.58 26.39 4.76 -45.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.64R 23.37 Huddersfield 23 11 -27 -7.04 10.34 -4.16 21.68 4.32 -43.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.02R 71.99Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 29 57 +18 11.78 92.72 9.93 83.65 5.83 22.99 34.26 57.21 96.04 65.49P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 29 54 +16 9.52 87.87 9.00 81.24 5.83 21.99 19.69 40.68 91.50 51.71P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 51 +17 5.42 74.61 8.41 78.43 5.73 23.20 9.58 24.20 83.39 38.30P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 28 50 +22 -1.14 43.68 2.34 82.05 6.03 33.44 27.67 50.58 93.50 64.89P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 47 +11 0.97 54.87 0.03 76.13 5.87 17.39 5.04 14.01 70.13 30.59P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 46 +5 2.62 62.96 -2.35 74.82 5.92 11.20 2.71 8.57 60.09 21.08P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 28 44 +6 3.21 65.92 2.48 68.94 5.92 6.33 0.36 1.40 22.91 5.82P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 29 43 -1 3.59 67.32 -0.24 66.19 5.85 -1.35 0.05 0.33 10.89 2.39P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 29 42 +9 1.81 59.36 8.49 65.14 5.73 8.64 0.04 0.23 9.20 2.01P 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 42 +7 -4.41 29.36 -3.09 68.48 5.90 11.63 0.26 1.31 22.40 7.06P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 28 40 +5 -3.41 33.94 -2.42 67.98 6.03 9.87 0.29 1.12 19.85 6.23P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 29 40 +3 -1.46 43.45 0.79 64.38 5.72 4.39 0.03 0.15 6.92 1.64P 0.02R 0.00 Birmingham 28 39 +7 4.25 71.32 12.30 62.09 5.84 4.57 0.01 0.07 3.54 0.66P 0.04R 0.00 QPR 28 39 -5 4.51 72.11 1.31 60.85 5.87 -9.51 0.01 0.04 2.11 0.37P 0.09R 0.00 Stoke 29 38 -4 -3.63 33.14 -6.60 61.88 5.81 -3.01 0.01 0.06 2.83 0.64P 0.06R 0.00 Preston 29 36 +0 -4.78 28.00 -1.31 60.13 5.81 1.07 0.00 0.02 1.57 0.37P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 35 -12 -0.07 50.50 -6.69 58.38 5.97 -14.14 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.14P 0.55R 0.00 Brentford 28 34 +4 -7.46 17.29 -0.34 60.39 6.03 6.50 0.00 0.03 2.33 0.60P 0.15R 0.00 Millwall 28 29 -10 -5.96 22.46 -4.75 51.04 5.85 -14.14 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 6.40R 0.30 Wigan 29 29 -15 -6.70 20.30 -9.11 51.41 5.75 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 6.04R 0.30 Rotherham 29 25 -20 -3.11 35.18 -1.06 40.36 5.29 -33.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.66R 13.98 Reading 28 23 -12 -8.57 12.80 -1.14 43.40 5.75 -18.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.97R 5.99 Bolton 28 22 -24 -2.85 35.38 -3.83 38.01 5.26 -36.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.45R 29.06 Ipswich 29 18 -27 -12.02 4.97 -12.16 35.37 5.42 -36.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.41R 50.38League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Barnsley 2 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Luton 29 59 +30 8.00 83.35 13.16 90.43 5.77 42.30 37.63 65.20 99.72 75.70P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 28 57 +20 11.98 93.61 10.34 85.27 6.02 25.28 10.60 26.43 96.97 41.67P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 28 55 +25 3.59 66.94 5.43 88.14 6.01 37.51 22.84 47.33 98.97 65.23P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 30 54 +16 6.07 77.23 6.07 80.45 5.61 22.64 1.77 6.73 88.91 26.00P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 27 53 +22 3.91 68.56 3.65 88.86 6.14 36.97 26.83 52.63 99.03 68.20P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 29 48 +9 3.96 68.53 2.82 74.58 5.90 13.82 0.19 0.95 55.96 11.36P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 28 46 +14 3.35 66.16 7.74 72.57 6.07 16.59 0.14 0.70 42.19 8.50P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 28 42 +4 2.55 63.10 2.12 66.65 5.90 4.15 0.00 0.03 10.28 1.95P 0.13R 0.00 Wycombe 29 41 -1 5.28 74.66 5.41 61.07 5.70 -6.18 0.00 0.00 1.53 0.20P 1.96R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 30 39 +7 -4.62 28.94 3.42 61.66 5.59 8.09 0.00 0.00 2.16 0.47P 1.05R 0.01 Coventry 30 39 -5 2.85 64.44 1.55 57.61 5.38 -9.71 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.03P 6.15R 0.14 Southend 29 38 +3 -3.19 35.12 0.96 61.26 5.76 2.93 0.00 0.00 2.11 0.35P 1.53R 0.03 Burton_Albion 29 37 +0 -3.79 32.67 -1.50 58.57 5.72 -2.64 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.15P 4.32R 0.09 Scunthorpe 30 37 -16 -2.33 39.51 -12.73 58.78 5.62 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.05P 5.61R 0.20 Accrington_Stanley 27 35 -9 4.01 70.66 -0.44 56.49 6.01 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.04P 12.12R 0.60 Walsall 29 35 -12 0.78 54.62 -3.42 55.39 5.63 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 14.69R 0.88 Plymouth 30 33 -14 -3.08 35.75 -5.74 50.66 5.40 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 41.77R 4.13 Shrewsbury 28 31 -6 -6.21 21.30 -4.65 55.87 5.95 -5.59 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 12.49R 0.70 Gillingham 28 31 -9 -3.27 34.30 -2.20 53.38 5.91 -12.92 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 24.32R 2.04 Rochdale 30 31 -25 -1.55 43.23 -10.66 49.26 5.49 -31.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 54.14R 8.22 Oxford_Utd 28 30 -9 -5.35 25.09 -4.00 52.69 5.98 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 27.62R 2.64 Bristol_Rovers 28 28 -5 -7.81 15.54 -1.35 49.84 5.82 -8.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 44.42R 5.97 Bradford 29 28 -16 -6.51 20.69 -7.77 48.89 5.76 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.64R 8.68 AFC_Wimbledon 29 23 -23 -6.40 19.58 -8.24 40.47 5.39 -31.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.04R 65.66League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Bury 3 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 29 59 +24 10.01 89.53 10.30 87.72 5.74 32.19 52.62 87.95 99.71 90.91P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 29 54 +22 4.54 71.65 7.98 83.25 5.64 30.74 20.53 67.71 98.18 77.07P 0.00 0.00 Bury 30 53 +22 0.74 53.01 4.78 82.03 5.62 32.98 15.11 62.03 97.13 72.80P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 30 51 +13 3.62 67.03 3.77 75.77 5.63 17.21 1.91 17.25 78.98 31.75P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 50 +18 8.09 84.32 15.05 74.42 5.75 19.77 1.59 13.27 72.39 23.98P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 47 +19 -2.78 35.73 2.10 78.98 5.95 29.71 7.43 39.37 90.87 57.12P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 29 47 +10 0.81 53.94 0.52 72.38 5.80 13.03 0.62 7.35 57.36 19.71P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 30 46 +10 -0.14 49.51 2.58 69.82 5.58 12.72 0.12 2.84 40.63 11.57P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 30 44 -3 3.85 68.57 -1.45 64.54 5.48 -5.09 0.00 0.26 9.84 1.89P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 29 42 +4 2.97 64.35 5.27 64.17 5.82 2.22 0.01 0.29 11.38 2.25P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 30 41 -4 2.88 64.54 0.66 62.51 5.57 -4.58 0.00 0.07 5.60 1.00P 0.03R 0.00 Swindon 30 40 -6 -1.04 45.31 -5.95 62.29 5.51 -5.66 0.00 0.05 5.01 1.05P 0.03R 0.00 Oldham 28 39 +6 -5.73 24.06 -3.48 66.80 6.05 10.52 0.07 1.28 23.58 7.23P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 27 39 -7 5.24 75.63 -1.59 62.27 6.15 -11.36 0.00 0.25 6.52 1.12P 0.11R 0.02 Grimsby 30 37 -8 2.50 63.32 1.37 56.29 5.45 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.07P 0.96R 0.13 Crawley_Town 30 36 -7 -1.22 44.81 -1.08 55.02 5.35 -11.56 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.02P 1.54R 0.28 Northampton 29 34 -1 -7.66 17.74 -3.73 58.35 5.84 0.44 0.00 0.01 1.76 0.40P 0.49R 0.06 Cheltenham 29 32 -10 -3.27 34.69 -2.58 52.96 5.68 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 4.07R 0.85 Port_Vale 29 32 -10 -3.19 34.80 -3.78 53.04 5.60 -13.24 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 4.26R 1.01 Cambridge_Utd 30 32 -22 -1.89 41.37 -11.24 50.73 5.37 -26.89 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 9.66R 2.25 Yeovil 28 30 -4 -4.47 28.87 1.62 52.51 5.76 -7.24 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 4.81R 1.12 Morecambe 30 29 -17 -3.35 33.93 -3.93 46.75 5.31 -23.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.27R 8.51 Macclesfield 30 27 -19 -1.40 43.98 0.29 41.76 5.06 -30.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.05R 31.55 Notts_County 29 21 -30 -11.27 6.71 -17.49 39.77 5.62 -37.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.68R 54.23National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2019, Bromley 0 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 31 60 +30 5.52 74.58 12.43 86.68 5.28 39.10 49.51 96.37 64.59P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 31 57 +25 7.30 80.00 13.98 82.08 5.51 31.85 15.99 82.93 32.91P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 31 57 +19 11.57 91.72 14.49 79.36 5.32 21.83 6.25 67.39 17.92P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 31 56 +25 3.19 64.55 9.55 82.81 5.25 34.45 19.72 88.04 40.71P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 31 56 +15 8.41 85.07 7.37 79.04 5.16 18.82 4.93 64.06 19.19P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 30 52 +7 7.87 83.22 2.50 75.95 5.53 10.18 1.92 38.77 9.65P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 50 +17 4.79 70.79 10.98 74.36 5.76 20.80 1.38 32.54 8.09P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 31 49 -3 9.17 86.43 0.79 69.08 5.23 -3.75 0.06 5.55 0.94P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 31 48 +8 1.85 58.80 2.37 69.62 5.37 9.71 0.08 8.87 2.03P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 47 +13 -0.15 49.44 5.88 70.55 5.38 17.43 0.12 12.37 3.18P 0.00R 0.00 Barrow 31 41 -2 0.72 54.17 0.68 59.91 5.21 -3.99 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.81R 0.00 Bromley 31 40 -2 -3.06 36.12 -2.80 60.63 5.37 -2.02 0.00 0.18 0.04P 0.73R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 31 39 -1 -5.77 24.32 -4.57 60.43 5.41 0.30 0.00 0.19 0.05P 0.85R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 31 39 -3 -3.95 31.68 -4.29 59.10 5.30 -3.36 0.00 0.06 0.02P 1.35R 0.00 Hartlepool 31 39 -8 -1.40 43.81 -5.16 56.70 5.19 -11.93 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.77R 0.00 Halifax 30 35 -5 -0.53 47.94 1.84 53.95 5.26 -8.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.81R 0.03 Barnet 26 35 -6 -3.95 30.52 -11.23 64.51 6.43 -2.82 0.02 2.54 0.66P 0.47R 0.00 Havant_&_Wville 31 33 -9 -2.40 39.83 2.85 48.90 5.27 -16.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.80R 0.69 Dover_Athletic 31 33 -16 -7.26 18.95 -13.10 53.15 5.30 -16.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.89R 0.11 Maidenhead 31 31 -22 -2.73 37.55 -8.27 46.33 5.06 -30.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.66R 2.30 Chesterfield 30 30 -8 -12.81 6.05 -10.88 53.34 5.59 -5.79 0.00 0.00 0.00P 13.53R 0.13 Aldershot 30 28 -23 -7.50 16.96 -15.18 47.40 5.43 -26.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.06R 2.35 Maidstone_United 31 25 -26 -5.27 25.25 -7.63 39.75 4.93 -34.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.18R 24.04 Braintree_Town 31 22 -25 -6.31 21.68 -2.60 34.84 4.92 -37.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.07R 70.35