Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   60  +41      11.09    97.16    11.29    93.91     4.59    64.04    61.98    97.21    99.77    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   56  +45       1.99    62.29     3.05    91.48     4.38    72.31    37.02    94.16    99.44    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   51  +25       4.20    73.64    -0.04    81.14     4.89    40.51     0.94     7.63    71.44    90.22    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +21       3.17    67.74     2.21    75.07     4.97    32.59     0.04     0.66    16.73    54.17    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +16       2.60    64.61    -0.35    71.86     5.16    27.63     0.01     0.15     6.46    26.63    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   44  +13       1.04    55.54    -4.74    72.32     5.10    25.17     0.00     0.19     6.16    29.06    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Watford          23   33   +0       4.80    76.47     6.29    49.99     4.98    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   32   -4       5.28    78.72     4.85    51.23     5.23    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +0      -0.88    45.39     0.41    50.58     5.09    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         23   31   -4       2.59    64.95     2.49    48.83     4.98    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.05R    0.00  
Everton          23   30   +1      -2.35    36.46     1.18    49.52     5.22    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   30   -9       3.13    68.45     0.93    47.42     5.09   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         23   26   -7       0.98    56.98     3.61    44.10     5.01   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   22   -9      -4.62    24.36    -0.25    40.93     5.11   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.50R    0.04  
Southampton      23   22  -15      -3.03    32.66    -3.29    40.54     5.09   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.29R    0.07  
Burnley          23   22  -20      -3.19    31.81    -9.19    36.24     4.77   -30.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.24R    0.32  
Newcastle        23   21  -12      -5.64    19.24    -4.02    38.27     4.99   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.71R    0.15  
Cardiff          23   19  -25      -1.11    44.31    -4.74    31.38     4.66   -39.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.47R    3.97  
Fulham           23   14  -30      -5.70    17.74    -5.69    26.47     4.74   -45.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.53R   22.54  
Huddersfield     23   11  -27      -6.96    10.52    -4.00    21.63     4.32   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   72.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2019, Bolton 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    28   54  +17      10.67    91.14     9.65    82.41     6.04    22.52    27.82    49.63    93.63    59.19P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         28   53  +16       9.99    89.67     9.23    81.75     6.02    22.19    23.55    45.34    92.12    55.17P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       28   50  +22      -1.18    43.36     2.25    82.01     6.02    33.38    28.33    51.23    93.45    65.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   50  +17       5.92    76.69     8.51    78.48     5.92    22.68    11.25    25.96    82.96    39.46P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   47  +11       1.06    55.36     0.15    76.03     5.86    17.31     5.00    13.90    70.18    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   46   +5       2.72    63.23    -2.20    74.70     6.02    10.98     2.81     8.70    59.69    21.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +6       3.24    66.05     2.53    69.00     5.97     6.44     0.45     1.65    23.88     6.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            28   40   +6      -1.05    44.94     2.27    66.11     5.97     7.98     0.11     0.52    12.98     3.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         28   40   +5      -3.63    32.56    -2.72    68.09     6.01    10.03     0.30     1.18    21.02     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   -4       3.09    65.53    -1.48    64.06     6.06    -5.09     0.01     0.13     6.67     1.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   39   +7       4.30    71.82    12.36    62.07     5.89     4.56     0.02     0.09     3.86     0.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   39   +7       0.89    54.92     7.52    63.49     5.98     6.64     0.03     0.18     6.42     1.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   39   +6      -5.28    25.28    -2.93    67.67     6.09    11.96     0.28     1.19    19.95     6.34P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             28   39   -5       4.32    71.32     1.01    60.91     5.81    -9.39     0.01     0.04     2.08     0.38P    0.10R    0.00  
Stoke           28   38   -2      -3.02    35.38    -5.78    64.14     6.03     0.28     0.03     0.21     6.90     1.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   35  -12       0.04    50.96    -6.55    58.41     5.98   -14.08     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.16P    0.66R    0.02  
Brentford       28   34   +4      -7.42    17.44    -0.26    60.45     6.05     6.61     0.00     0.03     2.47     0.62P    0.16R    0.00  
Preston         28   33   -2      -5.97    22.76    -2.60    57.98     6.02    -1.75     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.17P    0.60R    0.02  
Millwall        28   29  -10      -5.92    22.48    -4.68    50.86     5.83   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.64R    0.35  
Wigan           28   29  -13      -6.16    21.61    -8.36    52.91     5.91   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.60R    0.21  
Rotherham       28   25  -19      -2.36    38.99    -1.09    41.36     5.52   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.08R   12.27  
Reading         28   23  -12      -8.50    13.06    -0.99    43.37     5.76   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.39R    7.00  
Bolton          28   22  -24      -2.72    36.14    -3.68    38.00     5.26   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.05R   31.72  
Ipswich         28   18  -26     -11.26     5.82   -12.17    35.96     5.54   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.57R   48.41  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           28   57  +20      12.20    93.80    10.58    85.14     6.02    25.07    12.11    28.35    96.65    43.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                28   56  +29       6.91    80.40    12.86    88.85     6.02    41.41    31.14    57.40    99.30    69.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           27   53  +22       3.97    68.86     3.78    88.77     6.12    36.76    29.86    54.99    98.97    69.94P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             29   53  +16       6.48    78.78     6.06    80.85     5.83    22.68     2.88     9.65    89.15    28.24P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             27   52  +24       2.59    62.36     5.40    87.51     6.16    38.15    23.46    47.11    98.58    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   47   +9       4.36    70.65     2.83    74.91     6.10    13.78     0.37     1.62    57.12    12.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            28   46  +14       3.09    64.89     7.35    72.68     6.06    16.80     0.19     0.86    42.53     8.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   39   +8      -3.35    33.87     4.29    63.47     5.82     9.71     0.00     0.01     4.32     0.79P    0.68R    0.00  
Blackpool            27   39   +2       1.62    58.76     1.13    64.62     6.07     1.65     0.00     0.01     6.06     1.08P    0.56R    0.00  
Coventry             29   39   -3       3.53    67.46     2.60    59.26     5.65    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.10P    3.99R    0.07  
Southend             28   38   +4      -2.26    39.09     1.35    62.53     5.97     3.76     0.00     0.00     3.49     0.65P    1.09R    0.04  
Wycombe              28   38   -2       4.02    69.82     5.09    59.53     5.92    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.14P    4.41R    0.14  
Burton_Albion        28   36   +0      -3.57    33.66    -1.67    59.42     6.00    -1.95     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.25P    4.13R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   27   35   -9       4.05    70.77    -0.31    56.50     6.02   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   12.61R    0.61  
Walsall              29   35  -12       0.77    54.55    -3.37    55.36     5.64   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   15.21R    0.77  
Scunthorpe           29   34  -17      -3.59    33.40   -13.11    56.61     5.78   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   12.00R    0.69  
Plymouth             29   33  -13      -2.02    40.69    -5.18    52.05     5.68   -19.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   34.01R    2.83  
Shrewsbury           28   31   -6      -6.49    20.26    -5.02    55.94     5.95    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   13.16R    0.75  
Gillingham           28   31   -9      -3.22    34.84    -2.10    53.34     5.93   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.37R    2.16  
Rochdale             29   31  -24      -0.73    47.22   -10.62    49.67     5.59   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.15R    7.90  
Oxford_Utd           28   30   -9      -5.62    23.91    -4.32    52.90     5.97   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   27.58R    2.52  
Bristol_Rovers       28   28   -5      -7.87    15.39    -1.35    49.91     5.81    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.80R    6.04  
Bradford             28   27  -16      -6.31    21.00    -7.93    48.96     5.95   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.13R    9.43  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   23  -23      -6.56    19.27    -8.36    40.56     5.39   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.12R   65.91  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2019, Forest_Green 3 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     28   58  +24      10.35    91.01    10.28    87.75     5.97    31.56    51.75    87.53    99.56    90.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             29   52  +22       1.38    56.28     5.25    82.59     5.80    33.15    18.17    65.82    97.38    75.51P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        28   51  +19       4.45    71.29     7.18    81.52     5.83    27.54    13.04    55.54    95.94    67.53P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   48  +12       2.37    61.54     3.39    74.07     5.83    16.15     1.14    11.96    68.99    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   47  +20      -1.58    41.29     2.78    81.24     6.15    31.98    14.11    55.96    94.76    69.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     28   47  +16       7.20    82.21    14.18    72.26     5.96    16.93     0.78     8.23    57.56    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   46  +11       0.98    54.79     3.21    71.34     5.77    13.98     0.37     5.39    51.30    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           28   44   +9      -0.16    49.24     0.50    71.24     5.99    12.79     0.49     5.84    49.69    16.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        29   44   -1       4.50    71.40    -0.54    66.39     5.67    -2.39     0.03     0.81    17.89     3.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   42   +7       2.90    64.42     6.16    65.59     6.04     5.34     0.04     0.94    17.66     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          29   40   -5       0.16    51.14    -5.17    64.38     5.71    -3.61     0.01     0.26    10.74     2.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           28   39   +6      -5.87    23.55    -3.68    66.90     6.02    10.68     0.07     1.39    24.64     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   -7       5.20    75.42    -1.68    62.25     6.09   -11.44     0.01     0.22     6.53     1.21P    0.09R    0.01  
Crewe            29   38   -5       1.78    59.68     0.47    60.57     5.77    -6.02     0.00     0.06     3.49     0.64P    0.18R    0.02  
Grimsby          29   34   -9       0.80    55.07     0.35    53.97     5.60   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    2.91R    0.60  
Northampton      28   33   -1      -7.02    19.33    -3.35    59.42     6.06     1.47     0.00     0.04     2.99     0.77P    0.38R    0.07  
Crawley_Town     29   33   -8      -2.63    37.54    -1.73    52.79     5.57   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.60R    1.05  
Port_Vale        28   32   -9      -2.31    38.91    -3.42    54.40     5.79   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    2.84R    0.63  
Cambridge_Utd    29   32  -21      -1.17    44.94   -11.09    51.61     5.57   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    8.26R    1.98  
Yeovil           28   30   -4      -4.44    28.69     1.64    52.44     5.81    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    5.28R    1.20  
Cheltenham       28   29  -11      -4.22    29.95    -2.70    51.70     5.86   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.55R    2.07  
Morecambe        29   28  -17      -3.21    34.35    -4.23    46.48     5.50   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.60R   10.69  
Macclesfield     29   27  -18      -0.77    47.52    -0.03    42.84     5.26   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.32R   26.63  
Notts_County     29   21  -30     -11.43     6.59   -17.77    39.89     5.59   -37.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.95R   55.04  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      30   57  +27       5.51    74.82    11.83    85.58     5.43    36.96    42.44    94.54    58.76P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     30   57  +20      12.43    93.61    14.76    80.87     5.51    23.01    12.35    77.08    24.96P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       30   56  +25       7.57    81.31    13.79    82.79     5.75    32.41    22.59    85.78    38.15P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          30   53  +24       1.86    58.61     9.04    81.16     5.44    33.35    14.80    81.32    35.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   53  +14       7.49    82.55     7.36    77.94     5.40    18.58     4.09    57.52    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       4.68    70.35    10.77    74.37     5.79    20.79     1.76    34.47     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +6       6.72    79.70     2.23    74.15     5.73     8.94     1.29    29.18     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   47  +14       0.74    53.79     6.22    72.02     5.57    18.55     0.42    20.35     5.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          30   47   +8       2.27    61.11     2.48    70.29     5.58    10.13     0.20    12.27     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          30   46   -4       7.73    82.80     0.09    67.02     5.45    -5.51     0.03     3.18     0.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley            30   40   -1      -2.02    40.59    -2.27    62.46     5.63    -0.35     0.00     0.68     0.13P    0.39R    0.00  
Barrow             30   40   -2       0.91    54.88     0.56    59.96     5.44    -4.48     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.19R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          30   38   -1      -5.21    26.32    -4.26    61.27     5.58     0.98     0.00     0.38     0.08P    0.79R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   38   -3      -3.80    32.06    -4.59    59.21     5.47    -3.69     0.00     0.14     0.03P    1.76R    0.00  
Hartlepool         30   36   -9      -2.31    39.33    -5.10    55.55     5.37   -12.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.15R    0.04  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -4.05    29.94   -11.37    64.63     6.40    -2.67     0.03     2.92     0.78P    0.47R    0.00  
Halifax            29   34   -5      -0.25    49.42     1.88    53.93     5.47    -9.19     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.55R    0.08  
Havant_&_Wville    30   32   -9      -2.18    40.70     2.91    49.31     5.56   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.55R    1.11  
Dover_Athletic     30   32  -16      -6.66    20.37   -12.67    53.47     5.53   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.74R    0.24  
Maidenhead         30   31  -21      -1.83    41.73    -7.85    47.11     5.22   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.49R    2.56  
Chesterfield       29   29   -8     -12.57     5.98   -11.00    54.16     5.82    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.34R    0.23  
Aldershot          29   27  -23      -7.30    17.30   -15.33    47.32     5.61   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.99R    3.68  
Maidstone_United   30   25  -23      -5.45    24.26    -7.03    40.67     5.10   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.04R   23.02  
Braintree_Town     30   22  -24      -5.46    24.46    -2.46    35.72     5.11   -36.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.51R   69.04