Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 25 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 23 60 +41 11.10 97.31 11.31 93.89 4.59 63.95 62.31 97.17 99.79 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 56 +45 2.11 63.36 3.31 91.35 4.38 72.05 36.60 93.85 99.39 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 51 +25 4.23 73.76 -0.03 81.16 4.83 40.54 1.04 7.82 71.46 90.53 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +21 3.04 67.02 1.93 75.19 4.98 32.77 0.04 0.80 16.89 54.15 99.86 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 44 +16 2.58 64.56 -0.35 71.82 5.13 27.49 0.01 0.15 6.04 25.79 99.09 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 44 +13 0.94 55.03 -5.01 72.45 5.10 25.38 0.00 0.21 6.43 29.65 99.34 0.00 0.00 Watford 23 33 +0 4.84 76.60 6.32 49.97 4.92 -7.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 23 32 -4 5.40 79.48 4.97 51.10 5.23 -6.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +0 -0.72 46.05 0.72 50.55 5.11 -2.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 23 31 -4 2.64 65.50 2.55 48.79 5.01 -10.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.05R 0.00 Everton 23 30 +1 -2.43 35.93 1.07 49.58 5.24 -1.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05R 0.00 Bournemouth 23 30 -9 3.07 68.34 0.85 47.42 5.06 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.17R 0.00 Brighton 23 26 -7 0.94 56.83 3.53 44.16 5.02 -11.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 23 22 -9 -4.46 25.02 0.03 40.82 5.14 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.63R 0.05 Southampton 23 22 -15 -3.13 31.94 -3.43 40.60 5.07 -18.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.23R 0.07 Burnley 23 22 -20 -3.24 31.30 -9.27 36.26 4.77 -30.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.96R 0.27 Newcastle 23 21 -12 -5.69 19.32 -4.10 38.32 5.01 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.65R 0.16 Cardiff 23 19 -25 -1.13 44.21 -4.72 31.34 4.67 -39.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.72R 3.89 Fulham 23 14 -30 -5.78 17.62 -5.75 26.48 4.78 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.49R 22.87 Huddersfield 23 11 -27 -6.92 10.85 -3.92 21.62 4.33 -43.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.99R 72.69Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2019, Bolton 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 28 54 +17 10.75 91.21 9.80 82.29 6.04 22.39 26.82 48.49 93.47 58.18P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 28 53 +16 10.00 89.35 9.19 81.80 6.03 22.25 23.81 45.68 92.43 55.72P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 28 50 +22 -1.17 43.75 2.27 82.07 6.01 33.49 28.56 51.51 93.70 65.67P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 50 +17 5.84 76.56 8.39 78.53 5.92 22.71 11.45 26.07 83.33 39.38P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 47 +11 0.90 54.23 -0.06 76.14 5.87 17.43 5.28 14.34 70.72 31.16P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 46 +5 2.92 64.38 -1.94 74.63 6.01 10.89 2.82 8.58 59.24 20.89P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 28 44 +6 3.17 65.80 2.45 69.04 5.99 6.50 0.43 1.73 24.25 6.50P 0.00 0.00 Hull 28 40 +6 -0.99 45.46 2.30 66.07 5.98 7.92 0.14 0.57 12.84 3.32P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 28 40 +5 -3.55 33.17 -2.65 68.09 6.04 10.06 0.29 1.29 20.86 6.51P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 28 40 -4 3.22 66.05 -1.26 63.93 6.05 -5.29 0.03 0.14 6.37 1.32P 0.05R 0.00 Birmingham 28 39 +7 4.28 71.41 12.34 62.09 5.88 4.58 0.02 0.09 3.75 0.73P 0.06R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 39 +7 1.03 55.63 7.75 63.38 5.93 6.48 0.02 0.14 5.95 1.24P 0.03R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 39 +6 -5.23 25.72 -2.81 67.63 6.10 11.86 0.29 1.13 19.73 6.20P 0.00 0.00 QPR 28 39 -5 4.28 71.15 0.95 60.90 5.83 -9.42 0.01 0.04 2.14 0.34P 0.11R 0.00 Stoke 28 38 -2 -3.01 35.70 -5.76 64.10 6.08 0.25 0.03 0.16 7.07 1.93P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 35 -12 0.01 50.81 -6.63 58.41 6.01 -14.09 0.00 0.01 0.79 0.15P 0.68R 0.00 Brentford 28 34 +4 -7.45 17.32 -0.28 60.47 6.05 6.61 0.00 0.02 2.44 0.57P 0.22R 0.00 Preston 28 33 -2 -5.97 22.86 -2.57 57.90 6.00 -1.84 0.00 0.01 0.81 0.19P 0.61R 0.02 Millwall 28 29 -10 -6.05 22.00 -4.85 50.95 5.84 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 7.75R 0.34 Wigan 28 29 -13 -6.18 22.05 -8.36 52.87 6.00 -14.06 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00P 5.05R 0.23 Rotherham 28 25 -19 -2.33 38.97 -1.06 41.43 5.54 -32.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.22R 12.26 Reading 28 23 -12 -8.55 12.84 -1.11 43.33 5.78 -18.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.18R 7.27 Bolton 28 22 -24 -2.81 35.76 -3.82 38.13 5.31 -36.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.54R 31.16 Ipswich 28 18 -26 -11.28 5.66 -12.27 35.99 5.55 -36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.43R 48.72League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 28 57 +20 12.07 93.72 10.41 85.21 5.99 25.20 12.05 28.31 96.82 43.03P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 56 +29 6.83 79.95 12.74 88.97 6.00 41.57 31.52 58.06 99.29 70.53P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 27 53 +22 3.81 68.12 3.44 88.86 6.12 36.97 30.03 55.33 99.08 70.07P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 29 53 +16 6.35 78.24 5.91 80.93 5.88 22.80 2.97 9.98 88.97 28.71P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 27 52 +24 2.63 62.83 5.48 87.45 6.18 38.09 22.89 45.94 98.55 63.97P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 47 +9 4.36 70.44 2.83 74.89 6.14 13.74 0.33 1.46 57.02 11.93P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 28 46 +14 3.24 65.67 7.59 72.67 6.04 16.79 0.19 0.89 42.64 8.71P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 39 +8 -3.40 33.85 4.26 63.50 5.81 9.76 0.01 0.01 4.32 0.80P 0.67R 0.00 Blackpool 27 39 +2 1.58 58.87 1.09 64.69 6.08 1.67 0.00 0.01 6.16 1.09P 0.58R 0.01 Coventry 29 39 -3 3.59 67.69 2.73 59.21 5.65 -7.39 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.11P 4.09R 0.07 Southend 28 38 +4 -2.03 40.28 1.70 62.41 6.00 3.55 0.00 0.00 3.36 0.59P 1.20R 0.02 Wycombe 28 38 -2 3.98 69.61 5.00 59.61 5.94 -7.06 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.13P 4.31R 0.11 Burton_Albion 28 36 +0 -3.30 34.59 -1.31 59.26 6.01 -2.21 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.19P 4.50R 0.17 Accrington_Stanley 27 35 -9 4.08 70.62 -0.20 56.40 6.01 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 12.77R 0.66 Walsall 29 35 -12 0.82 54.91 -3.32 55.39 5.65 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 15.32R 0.90 Scunthorpe 29 34 -17 -3.64 33.06 -13.14 56.63 5.78 -18.37 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 11.96R 0.60 Plymouth 29 33 -13 -1.97 40.96 -5.11 51.97 5.62 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 34.33R 2.80 Shrewsbury 28 31 -6 -6.46 20.20 -4.95 55.87 5.94 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 13.23R 0.76 Gillingham 28 31 -9 -3.33 34.40 -2.24 53.37 5.92 -13.01 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 25.31R 2.16 Rochdale 29 31 -24 -0.87 46.51 -10.93 49.78 5.57 -31.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.45R 7.56 Oxford_Utd 28 30 -9 -5.56 24.44 -4.25 52.86 5.97 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 27.72R 2.64 Bristol_Rovers 28 28 -5 -7.89 15.13 -1.41 49.86 5.84 -8.92 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 45.04R 6.33 Bradford 28 27 -16 -6.32 20.90 -7.97 49.00 5.94 -20.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.66R 9.24 AFC_Wimbledon 29 23 -23 -6.56 19.21 -8.35 40.61 5.44 -31.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.85R 65.97League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2019, Forest_Green 3 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 28 58 +24 10.44 90.93 10.35 87.80 5.93 31.60 51.78 87.61 99.63 90.84P 0.00 0.00 Bury 29 52 +22 1.21 55.63 4.99 82.70 5.82 33.37 18.47 66.69 97.29 76.42P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 51 +19 4.41 71.23 7.15 81.56 5.86 27.59 13.08 55.92 96.10 67.74P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 29 48 +12 2.34 61.52 3.34 74.05 5.85 16.09 1.13 11.97 68.83 25.33P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 27 47 +20 -1.58 41.40 2.76 81.19 6.18 31.97 13.88 55.38 94.73 68.95P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 47 +16 7.31 82.60 14.29 72.21 5.92 16.86 0.65 7.80 57.59 16.92P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 29 46 +11 0.76 53.60 2.89 71.50 5.77 14.21 0.40 5.57 52.65 17.09P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 44 +9 -0.22 48.72 0.41 71.19 5.98 12.70 0.46 5.58 49.69 16.54P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 29 44 -1 4.41 71.17 -0.65 66.48 5.70 -2.25 0.04 0.77 18.42 3.92P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 28 42 +7 2.98 64.72 6.27 65.51 6.02 5.22 0.03 0.86 17.04 3.97P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 29 40 -5 -0.13 49.73 -5.61 64.50 5.72 -3.42 0.01 0.31 11.08 2.42P 0.02R 0.00 Oldham 28 39 +6 -5.54 24.51 -3.21 66.73 6.01 10.41 0.05 1.22 23.38 7.31P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 27 39 -7 5.23 75.78 -1.55 62.17 6.13 -11.54 0.01 0.21 6.44 1.12P 0.14R 0.02 Crewe 29 38 -5 1.74 59.26 0.37 60.60 5.75 -5.97 0.00 0.06 3.36 0.58P 0.14R 0.01 Grimsby 29 34 -9 0.84 55.16 0.40 53.98 5.57 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 2.88R 0.54 Northampton 28 33 -1 -6.96 19.46 -3.22 59.39 6.08 1.40 0.00 0.05 2.98 0.73P 0.50R 0.09 Crawley_Town 29 33 -8 -2.68 37.31 -1.73 52.77 5.56 -13.58 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 4.55R 0.98 Port_Vale 28 32 -9 -2.30 38.72 -3.38 54.44 5.79 -12.24 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 2.89R 0.63 Cambridge_Utd 29 32 -21 -1.29 44.27 -11.24 51.64 5.59 -26.60 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 8.37R 2.02 Yeovil 28 30 -4 -4.32 29.32 1.84 52.41 5.77 -7.38 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 5.22R 1.21 Cheltenham 28 29 -11 -4.25 29.74 -2.70 51.69 5.87 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 7.49R 2.02 Morecambe 29 28 -17 -3.28 34.20 -4.37 46.56 5.46 -23.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.97R 10.29 Macclesfield 29 27 -18 -0.67 47.74 0.10 42.79 5.28 -29.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.76R 26.73 Notts_County 29 21 -30 -11.21 6.74 -17.49 39.81 5.59 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.07R 55.45National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 30 57 +27 5.38 74.61 11.65 85.58 5.44 36.96 42.40 94.53 58.64P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 30 57 +20 12.42 93.71 14.73 80.90 5.51 23.06 12.00 77.17 24.75P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 30 56 +25 7.50 81.06 13.69 82.85 5.75 32.48 22.76 86.25 38.69P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 30 53 +24 1.82 58.57 8.95 81.18 5.45 33.41 15.04 81.44 35.62P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 53 +14 7.49 82.69 7.38 77.91 5.39 18.56 4.03 57.29 16.83P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 50 +17 4.98 71.64 11.30 74.21 5.80 20.49 1.77 33.34 8.43P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +6 6.56 79.14 2.01 74.21 5.70 9.04 1.31 29.53 7.24P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 47 +14 0.84 54.34 6.35 71.98 5.61 18.51 0.43 20.38 5.31P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +8 2.36 61.47 2.56 70.37 5.58 10.22 0.18 12.43 2.87P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 30 46 -4 7.68 82.60 0.03 67.00 5.45 -5.54 0.03 3.31 0.55P 0.02R 0.00 Bromley 30 40 -1 -2.05 40.39 -2.33 62.50 5.63 -0.32 0.00 0.68 0.14P 0.43R 0.00 Barrow 30 40 -2 0.86 54.82 0.47 59.98 5.39 -4.41 0.00 0.16 0.03P 1.02R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 38 -1 -5.16 26.63 -4.19 61.30 5.61 0.98 0.00 0.42 0.10P 0.81R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 38 -3 -3.83 31.77 -4.57 59.14 5.48 -3.81 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.87R 0.01 Hartlepool 30 36 -9 -2.39 38.77 -5.20 55.55 5.38 -12.23 0.00 0.01 0.00 7.16R 0.02 Barnet 26 35 -6 -3.99 30.20 -11.30 64.61 6.46 -2.66 0.03 2.94 0.78P 0.57R 0.00 Halifax 29 34 -5 -0.29 49.40 1.82 53.94 5.47 -9.22 0.00 0.01 0.00P 12.29R 0.08 Havant_&_Wville 30 32 -9 -1.99 41.46 3.18 49.23 5.52 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.07R 1.09 Dover_Athletic 30 32 -16 -6.70 20.47 -12.70 53.45 5.55 -16.71 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.45R 0.20 Maidenhead 30 31 -21 -2.01 40.99 -8.12 47.26 5.23 -30.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.97R 2.40 Chesterfield 29 29 -8 -12.48 5.90 -10.81 54.16 5.81 -5.17 0.00 0.01 0.00 12.48R 0.24 Aldershot 29 27 -23 -7.42 16.89 -15.56 47.38 5.63 -26.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.77R 3.71 Maidstone_United 30 25 -23 -5.24 25.24 -6.74 40.53 5.08 -32.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.51R 24.00 Braintree_Town 30 22 -24 -5.54 24.30 -2.61 35.77 5.11 -36.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.59R 68.25