Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 24 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 23 60 +41 10.99 96.98 11.13 93.90 4.58 64.03 62.26 97.10 99.77 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 56 +45 2.06 62.81 3.18 91.40 4.39 72.13 36.68 93.94 99.35 99.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 51 +25 4.16 73.29 -0.16 81.18 4.87 40.57 1.00 7.89 71.93 90.55 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +21 3.12 67.31 2.06 75.14 4.96 32.72 0.05 0.74 16.74 54.54 99.85 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 44 +16 2.55 64.32 -0.42 71.88 5.10 27.62 0.00 0.15 6.08 26.09 99.15 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 44 +13 1.04 55.23 -4.84 72.35 5.09 25.24 0.00 0.18 6.13 28.92 99.29 0.00 0.00 Watford 23 33 +0 4.70 75.82 6.10 50.04 4.96 -7.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 23 32 -4 5.38 79.36 4.99 51.13 5.26 -6.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.02R 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +0 -0.59 47.18 0.87 50.47 5.11 -2.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 23 31 -4 2.50 64.71 2.31 48.86 4.99 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.06R 0.00 Everton 23 30 +1 -2.35 36.71 1.22 49.57 5.19 -1.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.07R 0.00 Bournemouth 23 30 -9 3.16 68.54 1.02 47.32 5.05 -15.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.21R 0.00 Brighton 23 26 -7 0.85 56.01 3.50 44.16 4.99 -11.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.98R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 23 22 -9 -4.50 24.88 -0.08 40.85 5.07 -12.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.51R 0.05 Southampton 23 22 -15 -3.07 32.63 -3.36 40.57 5.09 -18.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.16R 0.08 Burnley 23 22 -20 -3.27 31.32 -9.31 36.33 4.79 -30.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.49R 0.26 Newcastle 23 21 -12 -5.68 19.12 -4.05 38.33 5.00 -17.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.76R 0.16 Cardiff 23 19 -25 -1.05 44.88 -4.58 31.32 4.68 -39.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.03R 4.22 Fulham 23 14 -30 -5.81 17.28 -5.77 26.45 4.75 -45.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.69R 22.43 Huddersfield 23 11 -27 -6.86 10.88 -3.85 21.58 4.30 -43.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.00R 72.80Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2019, Bolton 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 28 54 +17 10.62 90.97 9.57 82.45 6.02 22.59 27.42 49.55 93.73 59.20P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 28 53 +16 9.76 88.64 8.80 81.90 6.05 22.45 24.23 46.10 92.40 56.01P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 28 50 +22 -1.26 43.44 2.13 82.10 5.99 33.54 28.28 51.15 93.79 65.35P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 50 +17 5.85 76.81 8.46 78.41 5.94 22.59 10.86 25.17 82.54 38.65P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 47 +11 0.91 54.55 0.01 76.08 5.88 17.36 5.11 14.00 70.29 30.75P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 46 +5 2.67 63.04 -2.27 74.82 6.00 11.14 2.96 9.01 60.70 21.68P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 28 44 +6 3.40 66.69 2.74 68.93 5.97 6.34 0.39 1.52 23.52 6.04P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 28 40 +6 -1.08 44.92 2.24 66.10 5.96 7.97 0.10 0.49 12.96 3.22P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 28 40 +5 -3.63 32.61 -2.73 68.13 6.05 10.09 0.30 1.28 21.21 6.72P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 28 40 -4 3.30 66.28 -1.16 63.91 6.06 -5.34 0.02 0.15 6.25 1.29P 0.03R 0.00 Birmingham 28 39 +7 4.18 71.21 12.15 62.17 5.89 4.68 0.01 0.08 3.99 0.71P 0.04R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 39 +7 1.10 56.10 7.82 63.36 5.93 6.44 0.02 0.15 6.00 1.26P 0.03R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 39 +6 -5.20 25.60 -2.77 67.61 6.07 11.84 0.26 1.08 19.55 5.93P 0.00 0.00 QPR 28 39 -5 4.36 71.58 1.10 60.84 5.82 -9.49 0.00 0.04 2.10 0.33P 0.08R 0.00 Stoke 28 38 -2 -2.88 36.13 -5.57 64.08 6.02 0.20 0.04 0.19 6.75 1.80P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 35 -12 -0.02 50.41 -6.61 58.42 6.00 -14.06 0.00 0.01 0.84 0.16P 0.63R 0.01 Brentford 28 34 +4 -7.46 17.34 -0.30 60.46 6.04 6.64 0.01 0.03 2.45 0.66P 0.23R 0.00 Preston 28 33 -2 -6.04 22.29 -2.68 57.97 6.00 -1.75 0.00 0.01 0.85 0.21P 0.60R 0.01 Millwall 28 29 -10 -5.91 22.62 -4.63 50.86 5.83 -14.39 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 7.66R 0.35 Wigan 28 29 -13 -6.06 21.76 -8.26 52.84 5.92 -14.13 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 4.90R 0.19 Rotherham 28 25 -19 -2.24 39.52 -0.97 41.34 5.48 -32.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.14R 12.43 Reading 28 23 -12 -8.52 12.79 -1.01 43.31 5.74 -18.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.72R 7.15 Bolton 28 22 -24 -2.78 35.67 -3.79 38.10 5.27 -36.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.49R 31.36 Ipswich 28 18 -26 -11.31 5.75 -12.27 35.98 5.53 -36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.42R 48.49League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 3 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 28 57 +20 12.09 93.52 10.45 85.26 5.99 25.24 12.20 28.94 96.84 43.61P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 56 +29 6.87 80.17 12.80 88.95 5.97 41.56 31.64 58.27 99.27 70.23P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 27 53 +22 3.88 68.66 3.60 88.80 6.15 36.84 29.82 54.74 98.96 69.63P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 29 53 +16 6.43 78.53 6.00 80.83 5.86 22.69 2.75 9.39 88.79 27.92P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 27 52 +24 2.78 63.32 5.74 87.40 6.17 37.99 23.05 46.15 98.43 64.23P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 47 +9 4.26 70.12 2.65 74.98 6.11 13.88 0.36 1.62 57.76 12.43P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 28 46 +14 3.17 65.43 7.48 72.63 6.02 16.75 0.18 0.86 41.95 8.70P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 39 +8 -3.37 33.94 4.31 63.49 5.83 9.73 0.00 0.01 4.40 0.89P 0.75R 0.01 Blackpool 27 39 +2 1.64 58.95 1.11 64.63 6.09 1.63 0.00 0.01 6.20 1.13P 0.56R 0.00 Coventry 29 39 -3 3.50 67.28 2.57 59.24 5.61 -7.29 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.08P 3.91R 0.07 Southend 28 38 +4 -2.28 39.22 1.36 62.58 6.03 3.77 0.00 0.00 3.66 0.65P 1.17R 0.03 Wycombe 28 38 -2 4.06 69.84 5.13 59.45 5.95 -7.23 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.14P 4.49R 0.09 Burton_Albion 28 36 +0 -3.33 34.35 -1.34 59.26 6.01 -2.19 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.20P 4.34R 0.13 Accrington_Stanley 27 35 -9 4.00 70.53 -0.33 56.47 6.02 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.03P 12.75R 0.64 Walsall 29 35 -12 0.68 54.22 -3.55 55.39 5.66 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 15.28R 0.78 Scunthorpe 29 34 -17 -3.67 33.17 -13.21 56.62 5.83 -18.36 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.03P 12.10R 0.63 Plymouth 29 33 -13 -2.17 39.96 -5.40 52.14 5.66 -19.82 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 33.05R 2.82 Shrewsbury 28 31 -6 -6.47 20.45 -4.97 55.94 5.95 -5.49 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05P 13.09R 0.77 Gillingham 28 31 -9 -3.02 35.81 -1.84 53.26 5.94 -13.17 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 25.90R 2.32 Rochdale 29 31 -24 -0.70 47.59 -10.57 49.69 5.60 -31.90 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 52.34R 7.82 Oxford_Utd 28 30 -9 -5.68 23.69 -4.39 52.96 6.01 -11.83 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 27.23R 2.49 Bristol_Rovers 28 28 -5 -7.82 15.84 -1.30 49.86 5.85 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 45.24R 6.18 Bradford 28 27 -16 -6.32 20.93 -7.97 48.97 5.91 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 53.69R 9.13 AFC_Wimbledon 29 23 -23 -6.51 19.50 -8.34 40.54 5.43 -31.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.10R 66.11League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2019, Forest_Green 3 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 28 58 +24 10.39 91.07 10.28 87.82 5.93 31.63 52.05 87.45 99.62 90.68P 0.00 0.00 Bury 29 52 +22 1.22 55.51 4.99 82.70 5.85 33.32 18.52 66.44 97.24 76.24P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 51 +19 4.46 71.26 7.18 81.54 5.85 27.59 12.92 55.52 95.90 67.41P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 29 48 +12 2.37 61.45 3.37 74.06 5.88 16.16 1.21 12.07 68.92 25.49P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 27 47 +20 -1.66 40.86 2.65 81.25 6.16 32.02 13.62 55.81 94.77 69.42P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 47 +16 7.41 82.86 14.45 72.13 5.93 16.78 0.72 7.73 56.93 16.57P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 29 46 +11 0.82 53.97 2.97 71.40 5.77 14.07 0.38 5.40 51.63 16.40P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 44 +9 -0.33 48.39 0.27 71.37 6.00 12.96 0.47 5.96 51.11 17.16P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 29 44 -1 4.53 71.48 -0.46 66.44 5.72 -2.31 0.02 0.88 18.44 4.05P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 28 42 +7 2.99 64.55 6.27 65.55 6.04 5.26 0.03 0.86 17.42 4.12P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 29 40 -5 -0.13 49.70 -5.60 64.48 5.70 -3.46 0.01 0.27 11.02 2.52P 0.01R 0.00 Oldham 28 39 +6 -5.47 24.88 -3.12 66.67 6.04 10.33 0.05 1.29 23.31 7.18P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 27 39 -7 5.29 76.14 -1.54 62.20 6.11 -11.51 0.01 0.23 6.38 1.15P 0.09R 0.01 Crewe 29 38 -5 1.69 59.04 0.31 60.57 5.73 -6.01 0.00 0.03 3.45 0.66P 0.15R 0.02 Grimsby 29 34 -9 0.88 55.47 0.47 53.95 5.59 -13.70 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 2.88R 0.55 Northampton 28 33 -1 -7.09 19.09 -3.43 59.44 6.04 1.47 0.00 0.05 2.96 0.81P 0.41R 0.08 Crawley_Town 29 33 -8 -2.49 38.43 -1.48 52.69 5.56 -13.69 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 4.77R 1.03 Port_Vale 28 32 -9 -2.39 38.42 -3.43 54.41 5.77 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 2.80R 0.60 Cambridge_Utd 29 32 -21 -1.30 44.29 -11.27 51.75 5.57 -26.44 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 7.76R 1.87 Yeovil 28 30 -4 -4.41 28.54 1.68 52.40 5.77 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 5.25R 1.27 Cheltenham 28 29 -11 -4.24 29.63 -2.73 51.70 5.91 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 7.77R 2.11 Morecambe 29 28 -17 -3.41 33.54 -4.52 46.58 5.51 -23.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.71R 10.26 Macclesfield 29 27 -18 -0.63 48.14 0.22 42.72 5.25 -29.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.43R 26.91 Notts_County 29 21 -30 -11.33 6.60 -17.54 39.87 5.58 -37.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.95R 55.30National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 30 57 +27 5.37 74.13 11.64 85.60 5.41 37.00 42.25 94.84 58.85P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 30 57 +20 12.34 93.41 14.69 80.84 5.52 22.98 12.22 76.89 24.73P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 30 56 +25 7.58 80.83 13.76 82.80 5.74 32.39 22.52 86.00 38.21P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 30 53 +24 1.68 57.87 8.77 81.24 5.46 33.50 15.25 81.50 36.08P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 53 +14 7.50 82.69 7.38 77.98 5.38 18.63 3.97 57.46 16.66P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 50 +17 4.86 71.25 11.10 74.29 5.80 20.67 1.68 33.82 8.43P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +6 6.59 79.34 2.05 74.17 5.76 9.01 1.37 29.26 7.12P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 47 +14 0.84 54.01 6.32 71.97 5.59 18.47 0.46 20.30 5.22P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +8 2.12 60.23 2.28 70.38 5.54 10.25 0.22 12.27 2.92P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 30 46 -4 7.78 82.80 0.19 66.99 5.41 -5.51 0.04 3.26 0.60P 0.02R 0.00 Bromley 30 40 -1 -1.90 41.16 -2.12 62.52 5.66 -0.29 0.00 0.69 0.13P 0.44R 0.00 Barrow 30 40 -2 1.05 55.99 0.75 59.91 5.43 -4.57 0.00 0.17 0.04P 1.24R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 38 -1 -5.27 26.31 -4.37 61.31 5.63 1.03 0.00 0.47 0.14P 0.86R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 38 -3 -3.83 31.77 -4.63 59.21 5.46 -3.70 0.00 0.12 0.03P 1.74R 0.00 Hartlepool 30 36 -9 -2.25 39.66 -5.02 55.55 5.39 -12.22 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.24R 0.03 Barnet 26 35 -6 -3.90 30.56 -11.11 64.53 6.45 -2.78 0.02 2.94 0.83P 0.58R 0.00 Halifax 29 34 -5 -0.21 49.74 1.97 53.92 5.48 -9.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.71R 0.09 Havant_&_Wville 30 32 -9 -2.19 40.38 2.88 49.27 5.48 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.50R 1.04 Dover_Athletic 30 32 -16 -6.80 20.10 -12.79 53.49 5.53 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.76R 0.23 Maidenhead 30 31 -21 -1.86 41.70 -7.89 47.19 5.25 -30.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.45R 2.53 Chesterfield 29 29 -8 -12.50 5.91 -10.90 54.12 5.86 -5.23 0.00 0.01 0.00 12.90R 0.21 Aldershot 29 27 -23 -7.37 16.92 -15.45 47.38 5.59 -26.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.69R 3.66 Maidstone_United 30 25 -23 -5.30 25.14 -6.86 40.56 5.08 -32.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.37R 23.75 Braintree_Town 30 22 -24 -5.59 23.94 -2.65 35.77 5.09 -36.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.51R 68.47