Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   60  +41      10.95    97.11    11.08    93.97     4.57    64.18    62.29    97.13    99.78    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   56  +45       2.07    62.61     3.16    91.47     4.41    72.28    36.72    93.93    99.35    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   51  +25       4.13    73.49    -0.23    81.16     4.87    40.58     0.95     7.88    71.65    90.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +21       3.08    67.31     1.99    75.14     4.94    32.76     0.03     0.71    16.78    54.87    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +16       2.75    65.47    -0.06    71.79     5.11    27.43     0.00     0.15     6.07    25.61    99.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   44  +13       1.01    55.26    -4.90    72.39     5.08    25.30     0.01     0.20     6.37    29.28    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Watford          23   33   +0       4.83    76.57     6.29    49.99     4.93    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   32   -4       5.37    78.93     4.97    51.20     5.23    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +0      -0.90    45.14     0.41    50.62     5.11    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         23   31   -4       2.60    65.22     2.49    48.84     4.99    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          23   30   +1      -2.34    36.75     1.22    49.51     5.22    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   30   -9       3.04    67.98     0.78    47.45     5.05   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.19R    0.00  
Brighton         23   26   -7       1.08    57.84     3.79    44.04     5.02   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.11R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   22   -9      -4.52    24.95    -0.06    40.87     5.11   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.52R    0.06  
Southampton      23   22  -15      -3.09    32.40    -3.37    40.55     5.08   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26R    0.07  
Burnley          23   22  -20      -3.25    31.65    -9.27    36.29     4.78   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.39R    0.28  
Newcastle        23   21  -12      -5.72    19.15    -4.15    38.34     4.99   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.54R    0.14  
Cardiff          23   19  -25      -0.97    45.36    -4.48    31.29     4.67   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.06R    3.94  
Fulham           23   14  -30      -5.73    17.71    -5.63    26.39     4.76   -45.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.78R   23.18  
Huddersfield     23   11  -27      -7.00    10.29    -4.04    21.61     4.32   -43.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   72.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2019, Bolton 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    28   54  +17      10.84    91.46     9.92    82.34     6.05    22.41    27.24    48.84    93.51    58.37P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         28   53  +16       9.92    89.26     9.07    81.85     6.03    22.34    23.90    45.77    92.36    55.55P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       28   50  +22      -1.13    43.93     2.37    82.02     6.04    33.39    28.22    50.75    93.40    65.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   50  +17       5.84    76.53     8.41    78.51     5.94    22.73    11.27    26.15    82.99    39.79P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   47  +11       1.01    55.16     0.09    76.07     5.88    17.31     5.15    14.20    70.24    30.76P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   46   +5       2.72    63.38    -2.25    74.79     5.98    11.13     3.02     8.99    60.27    21.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +6       3.04    64.92     2.25    69.06     5.98     6.52     0.44     1.77    23.99     6.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            28   40   +6      -0.90    45.44     2.48    65.96     5.98     7.78     0.10     0.49    12.66     3.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         28   40   +5      -3.57    32.90    -2.62    68.08     6.04     9.98     0.29     1.18    21.02     6.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   -4       3.05    65.46    -1.57    64.10     6.10    -5.03     0.03     0.19     6.62     1.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   39   +7       4.24    71.35    12.24    62.12     5.87     4.62     0.02     0.11     3.85     0.78P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   39   +7       1.10    56.28     7.89    63.33     5.99     6.40     0.04     0.17     6.05     1.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   39   +6      -5.28    25.29    -2.85    67.60     6.09    11.86     0.24     1.11    19.61     5.99P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             28   39   -5       4.38    71.60     1.11    60.91     5.84    -9.42     0.01     0.04     2.19     0.38P    0.12R    0.00  
Stoke           28   38   -2      -3.00    35.51    -5.71    64.11     6.05     0.26     0.03     0.19     6.97     1.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   35  -12       0.13    51.52    -6.44    58.36     5.95   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.13P    0.65R    0.01  
Brentford       28   34   +4      -7.41    17.47    -0.24    60.40     6.08     6.53     0.00     0.04     2.51     0.69P    0.21R    0.01  
Preston         28   33   -2      -6.15    22.22    -2.84    57.99     6.00    -1.74     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.22P    0.64R    0.01  
Millwall        28   29  -10      -6.04    22.03    -4.83    50.92     5.84   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.60R    0.36  
Wigan           28   29  -13      -6.04    22.16    -8.22    52.79     5.95   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.87R    0.20  
Rotherham       28   25  -19      -2.28    39.30    -0.99    41.38     5.53   -32.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.60R   12.54  
Reading         28   23  -12      -8.42    13.01    -0.95    43.30     5.76   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.03R    7.63  
Bolton          28   22  -24      -2.79    35.68    -3.84    38.11     5.26   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.88R   31.26  
Ipswich         28   18  -26     -11.46     5.59   -12.49    36.11     5.57   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.24R   47.97  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 4 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           28   57  +20      12.04    93.51    10.37    85.22     6.02    25.21    12.25    28.77    96.82    43.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                28   56  +29       6.96    80.19    12.92    88.89     6.03    41.47    31.16    57.62    99.27    70.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           27   53  +22       3.89    68.69     3.60    88.78     6.15    36.81    29.99    54.93    99.02    69.76P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             29   53  +16       6.35    78.41     5.92    80.89     5.84    22.74     2.98     9.75    89.02    28.10P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             27   52  +24       2.73    63.29     5.62    87.44     6.18    38.07    23.10    46.35    98.52    64.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   47   +9       4.29    70.27     2.78    74.96     6.13    13.84     0.33     1.65    58.21    12.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            28   46  +14       3.13    65.07     7.38    72.65     6.04    16.76     0.19     0.91    42.63     8.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            27   39   +2       1.67    59.18     1.20    64.58     6.08     1.57     0.00     0.02     6.13     1.13P    0.57R    0.01  
Coventry             29   39   -3       3.51    67.31     2.58    59.33     5.66    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.11P    3.81R    0.10  
Southend             28   38   +4      -2.23    39.02     1.42    62.53     6.04     3.69     0.00     0.01     3.56     0.61P    1.12R    0.02  
Wycombe              28   38   -2       3.84    68.92     4.81    59.58     5.98    -7.05     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.16P    4.37R    0.15  
Fleetwood_Town       28   36   +5      -3.82    31.74     3.02    61.59     6.00     6.34     0.00     0.00     2.51     0.46P    1.81R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        28   36   +0      -3.53    33.67    -1.63    59.43     6.01    -1.98     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.25P    3.94R    0.15  
Accrington_Stanley   27   35   -9       4.04    70.75    -0.29    56.42     6.03   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   12.79R    0.80  
Walsall              28   35  -11       1.69    59.25    -3.09    56.85     5.90   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P   10.81R    0.65  
Scunthorpe           29   34  -17      -3.61    33.22   -13.11    56.63     5.85   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   12.06R    0.83  
Shrewsbury           28   31   -6      -6.26    21.10    -4.68    55.76     5.93    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   13.24R    1.03  
Gillingham           28   31   -9      -3.26    34.57    -2.13    53.41     5.91   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.48R    2.76  
Rochdale             29   31  -24      -0.76    47.18   -10.74    49.70     5.60   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.43R    9.40  
Oxford_Utd           28   30   -9      -5.47    24.87    -4.07    52.77     5.99   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.01R    3.37  
Plymouth             28   30  -14      -3.19    34.79    -5.48    50.38     5.84   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.59R    7.04  
Bristol_Rovers       28   28   -5      -7.82    16.00    -1.30    49.91     5.86    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    44.45R    7.43  
Bradford             28   27  -16      -6.38    20.74    -8.02    48.99     5.96   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.52R   11.46  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   23  -20      -6.32    20.00    -7.09    42.17     5.67   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.99R   54.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, Cambridge_Utd 3 2 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     27   55  +22       9.45    89.22     9.37    86.06     6.18    29.44    42.42    81.09    99.01    85.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             29   52  +22       1.09    54.77     4.87    82.76     5.80    33.40    22.16    68.38    97.67    77.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        28   51  +19       4.43    71.32     7.16    81.66     5.87    27.75    16.04    58.34    96.37    69.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   48  +12       2.35    61.04     3.33    74.10     5.84    16.18     1.51    13.01    70.48    26.78P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   47  +20      -1.58    41.42     2.76    81.18     6.19    31.99    16.07    57.11    94.97    70.40P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   46  +11       0.86    54.09     3.02    71.40     5.81    14.05     0.49     6.15    53.36    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   44  +13       6.79    81.16    12.95    70.46     6.16    13.71     0.51     5.54    47.19    13.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           28   44   +9      -0.11    49.54     0.58    71.23     6.01    12.77     0.57     6.47    51.69    17.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        29   44   -1       4.53    71.49    -0.50    66.36     5.71    -2.40     0.04     0.90    19.22     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         28   42   +7       2.97    64.69     6.28    65.57     6.03     5.34     0.07     0.95    18.78     4.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          29   40   -5      -0.08    50.14    -5.53    64.43     5.70    -3.55     0.01     0.29    11.49     2.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           28   39   +6      -5.56    24.58    -3.20    66.65     6.01    10.33     0.07     1.41    24.43     7.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   -7       5.22    75.70    -1.61    62.14     6.09   -11.58     0.03     0.26     6.67     1.24P    0.14R    0.02  
Crewe            29   38   -5       1.68    59.11     0.34    60.59     5.74    -6.00     0.00     0.04     3.75     0.65P    0.17R    0.02  
Grimsby          28   34   -6       1.13    56.89     1.76    55.33     5.82   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    2.05R    0.39  
Northampton      28   33   -1      -7.09    19.02    -3.41    59.39     6.04     1.41     0.00     0.04     3.24     0.81P    0.47R    0.08  
Crawley_Town     29   33   -8      -2.48    38.35    -1.43    52.72     5.57   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    4.74R    1.12  
Port_Vale        28   32   -9      -2.27    39.15    -3.36    54.39     5.79   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    3.13R    0.70  
Cambridge_Utd    29   32  -21      -1.29    44.13   -11.34    51.74     5.57   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.30R    1.91  
Yeovil           27   30   -2      -3.66    31.92     2.82    53.89     6.03    -5.24     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.07P    3.71R    0.82  
Cheltenham       28   29  -11      -4.34    29.39    -2.89    51.73     5.91   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    8.00R    2.09  
Morecambe        29   28  -17      -3.20    34.70    -4.27    46.47     5.48   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.20R   10.68  
Macclesfield     29   27  -18      -0.73    47.60     0.08    42.84     5.27   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.27R   26.99  
Notts_County     29   21  -30     -11.38     6.76   -17.74    39.97     5.63   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.80R   55.18  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      30   57  +27       5.38    74.57    11.65    85.62     5.44    37.00    42.63    94.81    58.95P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     30   57  +20      12.49    93.71    14.88    80.80     5.53    22.91    12.04    76.74    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       30   56  +25       7.76    81.81    14.04    82.74     5.75    32.27    22.22    85.73    37.97P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          30   53  +24       1.85    58.67     9.05    81.14     5.50    33.37    15.11    81.02    35.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   53  +14       7.43    82.35     7.27    77.97     5.41    18.62     4.13    57.74    17.24P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       4.79    71.27    10.98    74.36     5.80    20.73     1.78    34.14     8.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +6       6.63    79.23     2.12    74.14     5.74     8.93     1.33    29.17     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   47  +14       0.69    53.48     6.15    72.00     5.61    18.54     0.51    20.57     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          30   47   +8       2.21    60.86     2.38    70.35     5.55    10.21     0.17    12.15     2.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          30   46   -4       7.82    83.21     0.28    67.01     5.40    -5.55     0.03     3.27     0.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley            30   40   -1      -2.10    40.15    -2.46    62.55     5.64    -0.24     0.00     0.70     0.16P    0.45R    0.00  
Barrow             30   40   -2       0.79    54.54     0.37    60.02     5.44    -4.42     0.00     0.15     0.04P    1.21R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          30   38   -1      -5.23    26.47    -4.32    61.32     5.62     1.03     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.84R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   38   -3      -3.72    32.19    -4.46    59.14     5.47    -3.78     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.91R    0.00  
Hartlepool         30   36   -9      -2.18    40.10    -4.92    55.52     5.37   -12.25     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.03R    0.05  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -4.07    29.83   -11.36    64.66     6.45    -2.61     0.05     3.17     0.91P    0.52R    0.00  
Halifax            29   34   -5      -0.34    49.01     1.79    53.99     5.48    -9.11     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.16R    0.09  
Havant_&_Wville    30   32   -9      -2.04    41.30     3.10    49.22     5.52   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.94R    1.15  
Dover_Athletic     30   32  -16      -6.73    20.20   -12.79    53.50     5.53   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.93R    0.23  
Maidenhead         30   31  -21      -1.96    41.14    -8.08    47.21     5.24   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.52R    2.66  
Chesterfield       29   29   -8     -12.49     5.95   -10.86    54.09     5.83    -5.26     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.74R    0.18  
Aldershot          29   27  -23      -7.31    17.24   -15.37    47.31     5.64   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.23R    3.62  
Maidstone_United   30   25  -23      -5.48    24.10    -7.12    40.65     5.13   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.83R   23.17  
Braintree_Town     30   22  -24      -5.40    24.79    -2.36    35.71     5.09   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.66R   68.86