Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 23 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 23 60 +41 10.95 97.11 11.08 93.97 4.57 64.18 62.29 97.13 99.78 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 56 +45 2.07 62.61 3.16 91.47 4.41 72.28 36.72 93.93 99.35 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 51 +25 4.13 73.49 -0.23 81.16 4.87 40.58 0.95 7.88 71.65 90.36 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 47 +21 3.08 67.31 1.99 75.14 4.94 32.76 0.03 0.71 16.78 54.87 99.83 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 44 +16 2.75 65.47 -0.06 71.79 5.11 27.43 0.00 0.15 6.07 25.61 99.07 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 44 +13 1.01 55.26 -4.90 72.39 5.08 25.30 0.01 0.20 6.37 29.28 99.29 0.00 0.00 Watford 23 33 +0 4.83 76.57 6.29 49.99 4.93 -7.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 23 32 -4 5.37 78.93 4.97 51.20 5.23 -6.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 23 31 +0 -0.90 45.14 0.41 50.62 5.11 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.01R 0.00 West_Ham 23 31 -4 2.60 65.22 2.49 48.84 4.99 -9.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.06R 0.00 Everton 23 30 +1 -2.34 36.75 1.22 49.51 5.22 -1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.03R 0.00 Bournemouth 23 30 -9 3.04 67.98 0.78 47.45 5.05 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.19R 0.00 Brighton 23 26 -7 1.08 57.84 3.79 44.04 5.02 -11.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.11R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 23 22 -9 -4.52 24.95 -0.06 40.87 5.11 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.52R 0.06 Southampton 23 22 -15 -3.09 32.40 -3.37 40.55 5.08 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26R 0.07 Burnley 23 22 -20 -3.25 31.65 -9.27 36.29 4.78 -30.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.39R 0.28 Newcastle 23 21 -12 -5.72 19.15 -4.15 38.34 4.99 -17.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.54R 0.14 Cardiff 23 19 -25 -0.97 45.36 -4.48 31.29 4.67 -40.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.06R 3.94 Fulham 23 14 -30 -5.73 17.71 -5.63 26.39 4.76 -45.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.78R 23.18 Huddersfield 23 11 -27 -7.00 10.29 -4.04 21.61 4.32 -43.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.02R 72.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2019, Bolton 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 28 54 +17 10.84 91.46 9.92 82.34 6.05 22.41 27.24 48.84 93.51 58.37P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 28 53 +16 9.92 89.26 9.07 81.85 6.03 22.34 23.90 45.77 92.36 55.55P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 28 50 +22 -1.13 43.93 2.37 82.02 6.04 33.39 28.22 50.75 93.40 65.07P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 50 +17 5.84 76.53 8.41 78.51 5.94 22.73 11.27 26.15 82.99 39.79P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 47 +11 1.01 55.16 0.09 76.07 5.88 17.31 5.15 14.20 70.24 30.76P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 46 +5 2.72 63.38 -2.25 74.79 5.98 11.13 3.02 8.99 60.27 21.44P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 28 44 +6 3.04 64.92 2.25 69.06 5.98 6.52 0.44 1.77 23.99 6.33P 0.00 0.00 Hull 28 40 +6 -0.90 45.44 2.48 65.96 5.98 7.78 0.10 0.49 12.66 3.10P 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 28 40 +5 -3.57 32.90 -2.62 68.08 6.04 9.98 0.29 1.18 21.02 6.68P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 28 40 -4 3.05 65.46 -1.57 64.10 6.10 -5.03 0.03 0.19 6.62 1.49P 0.02R 0.00 Birmingham 28 39 +7 4.24 71.35 12.24 62.12 5.87 4.62 0.02 0.11 3.85 0.78P 0.05R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 39 +7 1.10 56.28 7.89 63.33 5.99 6.40 0.04 0.17 6.05 1.35P 0.03R 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 39 +6 -5.28 25.29 -2.85 67.60 6.09 11.86 0.24 1.11 19.61 5.99P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 28 39 -5 4.38 71.60 1.11 60.91 5.84 -9.42 0.01 0.04 2.19 0.38P 0.12R 0.00 Stoke 28 38 -2 -3.00 35.51 -5.71 64.11 6.05 0.26 0.03 0.19 6.97 1.86P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 35 -12 0.13 51.52 -6.44 58.36 5.95 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.13P 0.65R 0.01 Brentford 28 34 +4 -7.41 17.47 -0.24 60.40 6.08 6.53 0.00 0.04 2.51 0.69P 0.21R 0.01 Preston 28 33 -2 -6.15 22.22 -2.84 57.99 6.00 -1.74 0.00 0.01 0.87 0.22P 0.64R 0.01 Millwall 28 29 -10 -6.04 22.03 -4.83 50.92 5.84 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 7.60R 0.36 Wigan 28 29 -13 -6.04 22.16 -8.22 52.79 5.95 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 4.87R 0.20 Rotherham 28 25 -19 -2.28 39.30 -0.99 41.38 5.53 -32.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.60R 12.54 Reading 28 23 -12 -8.42 13.01 -0.95 43.30 5.76 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.03R 7.63 Bolton 28 22 -24 -2.79 35.68 -3.84 38.11 5.26 -36.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.88R 31.26 Ipswich 28 18 -26 -11.46 5.59 -12.49 36.11 5.57 -36.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.24R 47.97League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 4 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 28 57 +20 12.04 93.51 10.37 85.22 6.02 25.21 12.25 28.77 96.82 43.43P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 56 +29 6.96 80.19 12.92 88.89 6.03 41.47 31.16 57.62 99.27 70.05P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 27 53 +22 3.89 68.69 3.60 88.78 6.15 36.81 29.99 54.93 99.02 69.76P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 29 53 +16 6.35 78.41 5.92 80.89 5.84 22.74 2.98 9.75 89.02 28.10P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 27 52 +24 2.73 63.29 5.62 87.44 6.18 38.07 23.10 46.35 98.52 64.43P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 47 +9 4.29 70.27 2.78 74.96 6.13 13.84 0.33 1.65 58.21 12.63P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 28 46 +14 3.13 65.07 7.38 72.65 6.04 16.76 0.19 0.91 42.63 8.71P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 27 39 +2 1.67 59.18 1.20 64.58 6.08 1.57 0.00 0.02 6.13 1.13P 0.57R 0.01 Coventry 29 39 -3 3.51 67.31 2.58 59.33 5.66 -7.20 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.11P 3.81R 0.10 Southend 28 38 +4 -2.23 39.02 1.42 62.53 6.04 3.69 0.00 0.01 3.56 0.61P 1.12R 0.02 Wycombe 28 38 -2 3.84 68.92 4.81 59.58 5.98 -7.05 0.00 0.00 1.12 0.16P 4.37R 0.15 Fleetwood_Town 28 36 +5 -3.82 31.74 3.02 61.59 6.00 6.34 0.00 0.00 2.51 0.46P 1.81R 0.06 Burton_Albion 28 36 +0 -3.53 33.67 -1.63 59.43 6.01 -1.98 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.25P 3.94R 0.15 Accrington_Stanley 27 35 -9 4.04 70.75 -0.29 56.42 6.03 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 12.79R 0.80 Walsall 28 35 -11 1.69 59.25 -3.09 56.85 5.90 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.04P 10.81R 0.65 Scunthorpe 29 34 -17 -3.61 33.22 -13.11 56.63 5.85 -18.35 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 12.06R 0.83 Shrewsbury 28 31 -6 -6.26 21.10 -4.68 55.76 5.93 -5.73 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 13.24R 1.03 Gillingham 28 31 -9 -3.26 34.57 -2.13 53.41 5.91 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 24.48R 2.76 Rochdale 29 31 -24 -0.76 47.18 -10.74 49.70 5.60 -31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.43R 9.40 Oxford_Utd 28 30 -9 -5.47 24.87 -4.07 52.77 5.99 -12.16 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 28.01R 3.37 Plymouth 28 30 -14 -3.19 34.79 -5.48 50.38 5.84 -21.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 44.59R 7.04 Bristol_Rovers 28 28 -5 -7.82 16.00 -1.30 49.91 5.86 -8.90 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 44.45R 7.43 Bradford 28 27 -16 -6.38 20.74 -8.02 48.99 5.96 -20.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.52R 11.46 AFC_Wimbledon 28 23 -20 -6.32 20.00 -7.09 42.17 5.67 -27.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.99R 54.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, Cambridge_Utd 3 2 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 27 55 +22 9.45 89.22 9.37 86.06 6.18 29.44 42.42 81.09 99.01 85.86P 0.00 0.00 Bury 29 52 +22 1.09 54.77 4.87 82.76 5.80 33.40 22.16 68.38 97.67 77.62P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 51 +19 4.43 71.32 7.16 81.66 5.87 27.75 16.04 58.34 96.37 69.63P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 29 48 +12 2.35 61.04 3.33 74.10 5.84 16.18 1.51 13.01 70.48 26.78P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 27 47 +20 -1.58 41.42 2.76 81.18 6.19 31.99 16.07 57.11 94.97 70.40P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 29 46 +11 0.86 54.09 3.02 71.40 5.81 14.05 0.49 6.15 53.36 17.33P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 27 44 +13 6.79 81.16 12.95 70.46 6.16 13.71 0.51 5.54 47.19 13.06P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 28 44 +9 -0.11 49.54 0.58 71.23 6.01 12.77 0.57 6.47 51.69 17.77P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 29 44 -1 4.53 71.49 -0.50 66.36 5.71 -2.40 0.04 0.90 19.22 4.13P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 28 42 +7 2.97 64.69 6.28 65.57 6.03 5.34 0.07 0.95 18.78 4.30P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 29 40 -5 -0.08 50.14 -5.53 64.43 5.70 -3.55 0.01 0.29 11.49 2.50P 0.02R 0.00 Oldham 28 39 +6 -5.56 24.58 -3.20 66.65 6.01 10.33 0.07 1.41 24.43 7.64P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 27 39 -7 5.22 75.70 -1.61 62.14 6.09 -11.58 0.03 0.26 6.67 1.24P 0.14R 0.02 Crewe 29 38 -5 1.68 59.11 0.34 60.59 5.74 -6.00 0.00 0.04 3.75 0.65P 0.17R 0.02 Grimsby 28 34 -6 1.13 56.89 1.76 55.33 5.82 -10.61 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.09P 2.05R 0.39 Northampton 28 33 -1 -7.09 19.02 -3.41 59.39 6.04 1.41 0.00 0.04 3.24 0.81P 0.47R 0.08 Crawley_Town 29 33 -8 -2.48 38.35 -1.43 52.72 5.57 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 4.74R 1.12 Port_Vale 28 32 -9 -2.27 39.15 -3.36 54.39 5.79 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.06P 3.13R 0.70 Cambridge_Utd 29 32 -21 -1.29 44.13 -11.34 51.74 5.57 -26.41 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 8.30R 1.91 Yeovil 27 30 -2 -3.66 31.92 2.82 53.89 6.03 -5.24 0.00 0.01 0.44 0.07P 3.71R 0.82 Cheltenham 28 29 -11 -4.34 29.39 -2.89 51.73 5.91 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 8.00R 2.09 Morecambe 29 28 -17 -3.20 34.70 -4.27 46.47 5.48 -24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.20R 10.68 Macclesfield 29 27 -18 -0.73 47.60 0.08 42.84 5.27 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.27R 26.99 Notts_County 29 21 -30 -11.38 6.76 -17.74 39.97 5.63 -36.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.80R 55.18National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 30 57 +27 5.38 74.57 11.65 85.62 5.44 37.00 42.63 94.81 58.95P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 30 57 +20 12.49 93.71 14.88 80.80 5.53 22.91 12.04 76.74 24.57P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 30 56 +25 7.76 81.81 14.04 82.74 5.75 32.27 22.22 85.73 37.97P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 30 53 +24 1.85 58.67 9.05 81.14 5.50 33.37 15.11 81.02 35.40P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 53 +14 7.43 82.35 7.27 77.97 5.41 18.62 4.13 57.74 17.24P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 30 50 +17 4.79 71.27 10.98 74.36 5.80 20.73 1.78 34.14 8.77P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 29 49 +6 6.63 79.23 2.12 74.14 5.74 8.93 1.33 29.17 7.14P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 47 +14 0.69 53.48 6.15 72.00 5.61 18.54 0.51 20.57 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +8 2.21 60.86 2.38 70.35 5.55 10.21 0.17 12.15 2.90P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 30 46 -4 7.82 83.21 0.28 67.01 5.40 -5.55 0.03 3.27 0.50P 0.02R 0.00 Bromley 30 40 -1 -2.10 40.15 -2.46 62.55 5.64 -0.24 0.00 0.70 0.16P 0.45R 0.00 Barrow 30 40 -2 0.79 54.54 0.37 60.02 5.44 -4.42 0.00 0.15 0.04P 1.21R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 38 -1 -5.23 26.47 -4.32 61.32 5.62 1.03 0.00 0.48 0.09P 0.84R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 30 38 -3 -3.72 32.19 -4.46 59.14 5.47 -3.78 0.00 0.11 0.01P 1.91R 0.00 Hartlepool 30 36 -9 -2.18 40.10 -4.92 55.52 5.37 -12.25 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.03R 0.05 Barnet 26 35 -6 -4.07 29.83 -11.36 64.66 6.45 -2.61 0.05 3.17 0.91P 0.52R 0.00 Halifax 29 34 -5 -0.34 49.01 1.79 53.99 5.48 -9.11 0.00 0.01 0.00P 12.16R 0.09 Havant_&_Wville 30 32 -9 -2.04 41.30 3.10 49.22 5.52 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.94R 1.15 Dover_Athletic 30 32 -16 -6.73 20.20 -12.79 53.50 5.53 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.93R 0.23 Maidenhead 30 31 -21 -1.96 41.14 -8.08 47.21 5.24 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.52R 2.66 Chesterfield 29 29 -8 -12.49 5.95 -10.86 54.09 5.83 -5.26 0.00 0.01 0.01P 12.74R 0.18 Aldershot 29 27 -23 -7.31 17.24 -15.37 47.31 5.64 -26.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.23R 3.62 Maidstone_United 30 25 -23 -5.48 24.10 -7.12 40.65 5.13 -32.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.83R 23.17 Braintree_Town 30 22 -24 -5.40 24.79 -2.36 35.71 5.09 -36.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.66R 68.86