Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2019, Fulham 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        23   60  +41      10.99    96.99    11.12    93.93     4.62    64.10    62.13    97.03    99.80    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         23   56  +45       2.04    62.57     3.19    91.46     4.38    72.21    36.85    93.91    99.38    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        23   51  +25       4.13    73.56    -0.19    81.20     4.84    40.58     0.98     7.98    71.92    90.60    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          23   47  +21       3.15    67.93     2.09    75.09     4.97    32.64     0.04     0.75    16.42    53.83    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          23   44  +16       2.52    64.30    -0.53    71.93     5.11    27.72     0.00     0.16     6.24    26.33    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          23   44  +13       0.91    54.80    -5.02    72.37     5.10    25.28     0.01     0.17     6.23    29.37    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Watford          23   33   +0       4.94    76.85     6.48    49.96     4.93    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   32   -4       5.37    79.13     5.02    51.16     5.27    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.02R    0.00  
Leicester        23   31   +0      -0.70    46.27     0.71    50.49     5.10    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham         23   31   -4       2.62    65.38     2.54    48.83     5.02    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.06R    0.00  
Everton          23   30   +1      -2.39    36.13     1.13    49.53     5.20    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      23   30   -9       3.14    68.60     0.94    47.36     5.03   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.20R    0.00  
Brighton         23   26   -7       0.98    57.11     3.63    44.13     5.02   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.02R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   23   22   -9      -4.51    24.96    -0.10    40.92     5.13   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.05  
Southampton      23   22  -15      -3.17    31.91    -3.49    40.61     5.09   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.28R    0.05  
Burnley          23   22  -20      -3.27    31.30    -9.28    36.31     4.76   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.52R    0.29  
Newcastle        23   21  -12      -5.70    19.15    -4.11    38.30     4.99   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.91R    0.15  
Cardiff          23   19  -25      -1.01    44.98    -4.52    31.26     4.66   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.11R    4.13  
Fulham           23   14  -30      -5.73    17.52    -5.67    26.50     4.77   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R   22.72  
Huddersfield     23   11  -27      -6.94    10.53    -3.92    21.60     4.33   -43.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   72.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 2 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    28   54  +17      10.78    91.41     9.83    82.34     6.02    22.43    28.61    50.49    93.72    59.81P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         28   53  +16       9.94    89.41     9.07    81.78     6.02    22.22    25.38    46.92    92.47    56.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   50  +17       5.77    76.40     8.34    78.49     5.93    22.72    12.14    27.30    83.25    40.59P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       27   47  +20      -1.85    40.21     1.71    80.90     6.22    32.18    23.84    44.93    90.45    60.19P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   47  +11       0.94    54.75    -0.03    76.16     5.87    17.46     5.65    15.28    70.85    31.80P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           28   46   +5       2.77    63.80    -2.16    74.76     5.96    11.08     3.05     9.42    60.55    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    28   44   +6       3.26    66.22     2.59    68.94     5.96     6.34     0.48     1.78    23.85     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hull            28   40   +6      -0.99    45.27     2.36    66.09     5.97     7.95     0.13     0.59    13.28     3.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         28   40   +5      -3.66    32.64    -2.77    68.12     6.01    10.08     0.29     1.24    21.41     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   40   -4       3.20    66.16    -1.26    63.95     6.05    -5.30     0.05     0.20     6.35     1.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   39   +7       4.17    70.95    12.17    62.14     5.93     4.65     0.02     0.10     4.19     0.74P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   28   39   +7       1.17    56.24     7.94    63.30     5.96     6.32     0.01     0.12     6.09     1.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   39   +6      -5.33    25.17    -2.93    67.69     6.06    12.02     0.31     1.32    20.03     6.25P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             28   39   -5       4.40    71.81     1.13    60.84     5.83    -9.47     0.00     0.03     2.13     0.33P    0.13R    0.00  
Stoke           28   38   -2      -3.08    35.20    -5.82    64.14     6.04     0.29     0.05     0.21     7.13     1.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   35  -12      -0.15    50.19    -6.87    58.47     5.98   -13.96     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.17P    0.67R    0.01  
Brentford       28   34   +4      -7.53    17.20    -0.39    60.48     6.04     6.64     0.00     0.04     2.53     0.63P    0.23R    0.00  
Preston         28   33   -2      -6.14    21.87    -2.83    58.06     5.98    -1.62     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.17P    0.62R    0.01  
Millwall        28   29  -10      -5.95    22.27    -4.70    50.86     5.85   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     8.34R    0.41  
Wigan           28   29  -13      -6.14    21.57    -8.33    52.88     5.93   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    5.08R    0.21  
Rotherham       28   25  -19      -2.20    39.64    -0.87    41.36     5.50   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.78R   13.52  
Reading         28   23  -12      -8.40    13.33    -0.85    43.26     5.76   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.50R    7.94  
Bolton          27   22  -22      -2.28    38.32    -3.10    38.97     5.45   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.84R   26.96  
Ipswich         28   18  -26     -11.25     5.59   -12.23    35.99     5.54   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.65R   50.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 4 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           28   57  +20      12.00    93.43    10.34    85.23     6.06    25.23    12.24    28.83    96.72    43.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                28   56  +29       7.02    80.73    13.04    88.87     6.07    41.43    31.00    56.99    99.24    69.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           27   53  +22       3.83    68.30     3.52    88.82     6.15    36.88    30.02    55.00    99.07    70.03P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             29   53  +16       6.43    78.78     6.02    80.89     5.88    22.76     2.95     9.94    89.07    28.54P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             27   52  +24       2.65    62.64     5.51    87.50     6.18    38.18    23.25    46.80    98.66    64.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   47   +9       4.32    70.29     2.82    74.93     6.08    13.76     0.39     1.58    57.84    12.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            28   46  +14       3.08    64.89     7.37    72.61     6.01    16.70     0.15     0.83    42.71     8.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            27   39   +2       1.57    58.55     1.02    64.68     6.11     1.70     0.00     0.02     6.55     1.20P    0.55R    0.00  
Coventry             29   39   -3       3.59    67.90     2.69    59.25     5.59    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.10P    3.76R    0.09  
Southend             28   38   +4      -2.19    39.28     1.42    62.48     5.99     3.63     0.00     0.00     3.46     0.64P    1.17R    0.02  
Wycombe              28   38   -2       3.82    68.95     4.81    59.63     5.95    -6.96     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.13P    4.00R    0.17  
Fleetwood_Town       28   36   +5      -3.85    31.67     2.97    61.66     6.00     6.44     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.48P    1.69R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        28   36   +0      -3.41    34.13    -1.46    59.38     5.97    -2.03     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.18P    4.08R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   27   35   -9       3.98    70.59    -0.41    56.47     6.02   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P   12.47R    0.84  
Walsall              28   35  -11       1.78    59.87    -2.96    56.82     5.90   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   11.11R    0.70  
Scunthorpe           29   34  -17      -3.65    33.22   -13.19    56.62     5.80   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   11.76R    0.81  
Shrewsbury           28   31   -6      -6.42    20.79    -4.92    55.88     5.99    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P   13.20R    0.97  
Gillingham           28   31   -9      -3.21    34.61    -2.02    53.32     5.93   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   25.22R    2.83  
Rochdale             29   31  -24      -0.72    47.53   -10.71    49.69     5.62   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.62R    9.45  
Oxford_Utd           28   30   -9      -5.38    25.05    -3.90    52.66     5.98   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.45R    3.34  
Plymouth             28   30  -14      -3.34    33.87    -5.70    50.40     5.85   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.46R    6.87  
Bristol_Rovers       28   28   -5      -7.92    15.31    -1.52    50.00     5.84    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.59R    7.13  
Bradford             28   27  -16      -6.30    20.96    -7.92    49.00     5.92   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.37R   11.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   23  -20      -6.13    20.50    -6.84    42.04     5.63   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.47R   55.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, Cambridge_Utd 3 2 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     27   55  +22       9.46    89.35     9.33    86.02     6.17    29.36    42.36    81.20    99.07    85.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             29   52  +22       1.24    55.74     5.06    82.69     5.81    33.29    22.00    67.88    97.64    77.39P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        28   51  +19       4.37    71.07     7.12    81.70     5.87    27.79    16.15    58.58    96.54    69.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   48  +12       2.33    61.67     3.32    74.08     5.85    16.14     1.51    13.10    70.44    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          27   47  +20      -1.43    42.22     2.94    81.13     6.15    31.86    16.12    56.78    94.95    70.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       29   46  +11       0.89    54.35     3.11    71.40     5.78    14.06     0.53     6.03    53.34    17.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     27   44  +13       6.81    81.16    12.97    70.44     6.16    13.67     0.48     5.65    46.62    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           28   44   +9      -0.04    49.80     0.66    71.21     6.03    12.74     0.65     6.56    51.51    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        29   44   -1       4.42    71.10    -0.62    66.36     5.72    -2.36     0.05     0.92    19.20     4.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   42   +7       2.83    63.92     6.07    65.57     6.03     5.33     0.04     1.02    18.51     4.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          29   40   -5      -0.00    50.52    -5.41    64.44     5.72    -3.53     0.01     0.36    11.66     2.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           28   39   +6      -5.56    24.60    -3.23    66.71     6.06    10.40     0.07     1.55    24.90     8.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   27   39   -7       5.24    75.80    -1.59    62.15     6.13   -11.54     0.02     0.28     6.85     1.32P    0.15R    0.02  
Crewe            29   38   -5       1.65    59.05     0.21    60.60     5.74    -5.93     0.00     0.04     3.88     0.67P    0.19R    0.02  
Grimsby          28   34   -6       1.05    56.18     1.65    55.38     5.81   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.08P    1.85R    0.28  
Northampton      28   33   -1      -7.18    18.66    -3.59    59.46     6.09     1.53     0.00     0.04     3.35     0.84P    0.49R    0.12  
Crawley_Town     29   33   -8      -2.55    38.04    -1.60    52.75     5.52   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P    4.67R    1.04  
Port_Vale        28   32   -9      -2.23    39.27    -3.31    54.39     5.81   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    3.04R    0.65  
Cambridge_Utd    29   32  -21      -1.32    44.18   -11.36    51.69     5.56   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.32R    2.01  
Yeovil           27   30   -2      -3.69    31.96     2.77    53.93     6.03    -5.14     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.08P    3.75R    0.80  
Cheltenham       28   29  -11      -4.15    30.16    -2.54    51.63     5.88   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    7.99R    2.14  
Morecambe        29   28  -17      -3.33    33.72    -4.41    46.55     5.50   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.05R   10.67  
Macclesfield     29   27  -18      -0.67    47.92     0.07    42.83     5.29   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.40R   26.87  
Notts_County     29   21  -30     -11.35     6.58   -17.62    39.90     5.64   -37.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.07R   55.37  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2019, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      30   57  +27       5.49    74.87    11.78    85.57     5.45    36.95    42.62    94.68    58.63P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     30   57  +20      12.41    93.49    14.73    80.84     5.54    22.97    12.04    76.94    24.94P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       30   56  +25       7.73    81.64    13.99    82.75     5.75    32.32    22.29    85.98    38.27P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          30   53  +24       1.79    58.27     9.00    81.17     5.47    33.42    15.25    81.72    35.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   53  +14       7.39    82.35     7.25    77.93     5.38    18.56     4.14    57.52    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     30   50  +17       5.00    71.58    11.29    74.11     5.81    20.40     1.60    33.15     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      29   49   +6       6.52    79.09     1.94    74.23     5.72     9.07     1.34    29.80     7.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   47  +14       0.88    54.22     6.38    71.97     5.57    18.48     0.51    20.39     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          30   47   +8       2.31    61.34     2.54    70.26     5.56    10.14     0.12    12.08     2.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          30   46   -4       7.81    83.09     0.20    66.95     5.42    -5.63     0.05     3.25     0.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Bromley            30   40   -1      -2.06    40.34    -2.38    62.59     5.64    -0.17     0.00     0.70     0.15P    0.40R    0.00  
Barrow             30   40   -2       0.78    54.42     0.35    60.04     5.43    -4.38     0.00     0.17     0.04P    1.20R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          30   38   -1      -5.28    26.17    -4.38    61.32     5.61     1.02     0.00     0.44     0.12P    0.77R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       30   38   -3      -3.81    32.28    -4.59    59.23     5.49    -3.69     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.67R    0.01  
Hartlepool         30   36   -9      -2.21    39.48    -4.98    55.52     5.38   -12.26     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.38R    0.04  
Barnet             26   35   -6      -4.14    29.50   -11.47    64.73     6.39    -2.53     0.04     3.00     0.82P    0.39R    0.00  
Halifax            29   34   -5      -0.34    48.89     1.76    53.92     5.43    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.65R    0.08  
Havant_&_Wville    30   32   -9      -2.13    40.60     2.97    49.30     5.48   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R    1.06  
Dover_Athletic     30   32  -16      -6.75    20.39   -12.73    53.55     5.53   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.56R    0.20  
Maidenhead         30   31  -21      -1.97    41.27    -8.04    47.18     5.23   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.73R    2.41  
Chesterfield       29   29   -8     -12.55     5.92   -10.97    54.15     5.84    -5.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.60R    0.21  
Aldershot          29   27  -23      -7.15    17.66   -15.19    47.26     5.62   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.59R    3.74  
Maidstone_United   30   25  -23      -5.48    24.39    -7.10    40.69     5.11   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.06R   22.71  
Braintree_Town     30   22  -24      -5.40    24.80    -2.35    35.72     5.10   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.51R   69.55