Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2019, Everton 2 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        22   57  +40      10.22    96.23    11.97    93.34     4.73    64.52    63.64    96.12    99.51    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   50  +39       1.55    59.75     2.31    90.48     4.64    70.50    34.89    91.21    98.56    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        22   48  +24       3.31    69.08     0.20    80.79     4.99    41.84     1.25     9.68    65.57    90.41    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          22   47  +23       3.86    71.86     3.01    76.95     5.20    35.53     0.21     2.60    27.95    70.38    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          22   41  +14       1.57    58.85    -1.23    69.84     5.36    24.88     0.00     0.13     3.50    16.16    96.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          22   41  +12       0.08    49.58    -4.70    71.48     5.29    25.36     0.01     0.27     4.90    23.25    98.32     0.00     0.00  
Watford          22   32   +0       5.28    78.98     6.56    50.66     5.18    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        22   31   +1       0.40    52.85     1.20    52.05     5.35    -1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         22   31   -2       3.37    69.85     3.47    50.47     5.28    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.04R    0.00  
Everton          22   30   +2      -1.17    43.24     1.77    51.19     5.45     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.27     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   29   -2       4.31    75.30     4.96    49.65     5.55    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth      22   27  -11       2.08    63.38    -0.04    45.62     5.29   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.82R    0.00  
Brighton         22   26   -6       1.73    61.63     3.61    44.59     5.13   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.90R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   22   -8      -3.85    28.14    -0.67    41.16     5.23   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.31R    0.07  
Burnley          22   21  -20      -3.07    32.16    -9.47    36.27     5.00   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.89R    0.45  
Southampton      22   19  -16      -4.47    24.11    -4.07    38.62     5.31   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.16R    0.28  
Cardiff          22   19  -22      -0.75    46.76    -3.50    32.78     4.93   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.89R    2.84  
Newcastle        22   18  -15      -6.16    16.36    -5.50    36.72     5.18   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.60R    0.59  
Fulham           22   14  -29      -5.08    20.10    -6.18    26.66     4.87   -46.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.74R   24.51  
Huddersfield     22   11  -24      -6.87    10.92    -3.70    22.03     4.43   -42.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   71.26  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2019, Birmingham 1 2 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    27   54  +18      11.82    93.72    10.36    83.69     6.25    23.45    34.81    56.87    95.52    65.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   50  +18       6.66    80.03     8.62    79.91     6.14    23.81    15.89    33.90    87.72    47.02P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         27   50  +14       9.18    87.98     8.47    80.44     6.27    20.65    17.38    36.26    88.49    47.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       27   47  +20      -1.75    40.69     1.85    80.79     6.26    31.92    21.34    42.07    90.49    58.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   46  +11       1.67    58.49     0.47    77.21     6.08    18.35     7.26    18.88    76.50    36.02P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   43   +4       1.75    58.99    -2.22    73.71     6.14    10.96     2.07     6.83    54.39    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    27   41   +5       1.81    59.43     1.86    66.97     6.13     4.89     0.23     0.93    16.41     4.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   39   +9       4.69    73.66    12.82    63.28     6.07     6.30     0.05     0.21     6.58     1.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   27   39   +8       2.13    61.13     8.37    65.15     6.14     8.06     0.09     0.37    11.26     2.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            27   39   +6      -0.71    46.69     2.11    65.92     6.14     7.03     0.15     0.57    13.57     3.41P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             27   39   -2       4.80    73.64     2.51    63.11     6.09    -5.00     0.02     0.14     5.34     0.96P    0.08R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   38   +6      -4.86    26.67    -2.79    68.62     6.27    12.85     0.53     1.94    25.69     8.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         27   37   +4      -4.79    27.02    -3.06    66.43     6.23     8.94     0.15     0.75    15.50     4.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   37   -6       2.56    63.59    -1.78    62.52     6.29    -6.98     0.03     0.15     4.87     1.03P    0.19R    0.00  
Stoke           27   35   -3      -4.12    30.31    -6.03    62.34     6.27    -0.97     0.01     0.12     4.91     1.21P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       27   32  -13      -1.33    43.81    -7.08    56.84     6.16   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    2.11R    0.07  
Brentford       27   31   +2      -8.12    14.52    -0.85    58.71     6.26     4.44     0.00     0.02     1.64     0.38P    0.89R    0.03  
Preston         27   30   -5      -6.68    19.28    -4.16    55.55     6.19    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.11P    2.58R    0.10  
Wigan           27   29  -12      -5.25    25.12    -7.98    54.26     6.19   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    4.83R    0.22  
Millwall        27   28  -10      -6.01    21.75    -5.29    50.64     5.98   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.33R    0.73  
Rotherham       27   25  -17      -1.73    41.66    -0.60    42.73     5.76   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.06R   11.79  
Reading         27   23  -11      -7.74    15.08    -1.02    44.18     5.92   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.46R    8.06  
Bolton          27   22  -22      -2.35    37.83    -3.22    39.05     5.52   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.76R   32.35  
Ipswich         27   18  -24     -10.67     6.62   -11.36    37.12     5.81   -34.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.39R   46.65  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           27   57  +21      13.16    95.72    10.97    87.17     6.17    27.11    20.04    42.21    97.75    54.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                27   53  +25       6.85    80.67    11.31    86.85     6.28    36.76    20.47    43.90    97.63    58.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           26   52  +22       4.32    70.84     3.59    89.90     6.35    38.03    38.93    63.36    99.10    75.06P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             28   50  +15       5.44    75.34     5.89    79.69     6.05    22.38     2.15     7.94    82.61    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             26   49  +21       2.52    62.46     4.79    85.91     6.36    35.09    16.94    37.22    96.97    57.07P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   47  +13       4.15    69.84     4.33    76.70     6.29    18.38     1.11     3.90    66.75    16.83P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            27   45  +14       3.76    68.07     7.78    73.27     6.22    17.17     0.36     1.42    43.36     9.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry             28   39   -2       4.42    71.66     2.96    60.70     5.82    -6.17     0.00     0.01     1.30     0.19P    2.58R    0.07  
Blackpool            26   38   +2       2.03    60.92     1.21    65.25     6.29     1.96     0.00     0.03     6.94     1.32P    0.54R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       27   35   +5      -3.31    33.56     3.24    62.24     6.21     6.75     0.00     0.00     3.11     0.61P    1.82R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        27   35   +0      -3.19    34.79    -1.71    59.45     6.25    -2.46     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.27P    4.60R    0.25  
Southend             27   35   +0      -2.49    37.93    -0.55    60.00     6.16    -1.59     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.25P    3.71R    0.16  
Wycombe              27   35   -3       2.76    64.49     4.76    57.30     6.11    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P    9.81R    0.78  
Accrington_Stanley   26   35   -8       4.76    74.01    -0.21    57.47     6.19   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    9.95R    0.73  
Scunthorpe           28   33  -17      -3.51    33.39   -13.55    56.43     6.00   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   13.32R    1.20  
Walsall              27   32  -14       0.95    55.92    -4.76    54.34     6.04   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   22.07R    2.56  
Gillingham           27   31   -6      -2.68    37.10    -0.43    55.59     6.17    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   15.27R    1.66  
Shrewsbury           27   30   -6      -6.19    21.17    -5.01    56.15     6.18    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   12.85R    1.30  
Rochdale             28   30  -24      -0.41    48.87   -10.68    49.86     5.77   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.39R   10.80  
Bristol_Rovers       27   28   -4      -6.84    18.38    -0.81    51.74     6.07    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   32.85R    5.21  
Oxford_Utd           27   27  -10      -7.02    18.21    -4.94    50.56     6.19   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.75R    8.14  
Bradford             27   27  -12      -6.23    20.90    -6.05    51.17     6.12   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   38.07R    6.98  
Plymouth             27   27  -15      -4.51    28.30    -6.03    48.57     6.07   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.71R   14.42  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   23  -17      -6.20    20.04    -6.10    43.46     5.83   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.72R   45.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2019, Bury 4 3 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     26   52  +21       8.39    86.71     9.06    85.01     6.37    29.31    37.45    77.10    97.99    82.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             28   49  +21       0.05    49.61     4.70    81.00     6.09    32.20    16.20    57.99    94.18    69.21P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          26   47  +21      -0.35    47.47     3.47    83.90     6.35    35.10    31.70    74.28    97.35    82.36P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   46  +12       2.05    60.41     3.74    72.99     5.95    15.42     1.35    11.10    60.57    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        26   45  +17       1.99    60.17     6.38    78.66     6.29    26.12     8.90    40.12    87.88    54.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   45  +10       1.81    59.10     2.96    72.68     6.05    14.53     1.12    10.29    58.43    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     26   44  +14       7.85    85.31    13.47    71.88     6.36    14.73     1.20     9.65    52.61    17.04P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           27   44  +10       1.03    55.19     1.22    72.99     6.25    14.31     1.54    11.90    59.40    23.78P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         27   42   +8       4.05    69.89     6.77    67.39     6.25     6.98     0.21     2.48    25.57     6.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        28   41   -2       3.16    66.12    -1.13    64.67     5.94    -3.50     0.03     0.62    11.89     2.75P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           27   39   +7      -4.55    28.12    -2.75    69.00     6.24    12.75     0.27     3.98    35.68    13.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          28   37   -6      -1.45    42.79    -6.15    62.39     5.92    -5.12     0.00     0.15     6.08     1.26P    0.07R    0.01  
Newport_County   26   36   -8       3.86    70.46    -2.06    59.97     6.30   -13.47     0.00     0.12     3.53     0.68P    0.45R    0.07  
Crewe            28   35   -6       0.04    50.77    -0.60    57.85     5.91    -8.77     0.00     0.02     1.35     0.28P    0.70R    0.12  
Grimsby          27   34   -5       1.78    60.47     1.82    56.17     5.97   -10.47     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.11P    1.47R    0.23  
Northampton      27   33   +0      -6.08    22.09    -3.01    61.20     6.26     3.09     0.01     0.17     5.58     1.51P    0.21R    0.04  
Crawley_Town     27   33   -6      -0.60    47.70    -0.65    55.23     5.93   -12.08     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.12P    2.09R    0.41  
Cheltenham       27   29   -9      -3.68    32.16    -1.97    52.81     6.09   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    5.66R    1.48  
Port_Vale        27   29  -10      -3.70    31.59    -3.99    52.48     5.97   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    5.76R    1.47  
Cambridge_Utd    28   29  -22      -2.55    37.59   -11.82    49.71     5.75   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.18R    4.19  
Morecambe        28   28  -16      -2.19    39.49    -3.76    47.95     5.71   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.34R    6.69  
Yeovil           26   27   -4      -4.64    26.84     1.86    52.32     6.23    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    6.49R    1.77  
Macclesfield     28   24  -19      -2.17    39.73    -0.63    40.39     5.46   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.65R   44.53  
Notts_County     28   21  -28     -10.82     7.21   -16.94    41.29     5.83   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.90R   39.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2019, Bromley 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      29   57  +29       6.10    77.88    12.71    87.35     5.60    39.61    52.80    96.99    66.81P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       29   55  +25       8.12    83.40    13.98    83.42     5.98    32.79    22.53    87.64    38.94P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   54  +19      11.21    91.86    14.37    79.32     5.75    22.12     7.17    68.25    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   53  +16       8.09    85.08     8.37    79.35     5.54    20.65     6.03    68.52    21.74P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          29   50  +22       0.97    54.47     8.16    79.37     5.66    31.16     7.85    71.42    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      28   49   +7       7.53    82.94     2.40    75.77     5.92    10.34     2.17    41.32    10.32P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     29   47  +15       4.30    69.67    10.74    72.67     5.98    18.61     0.90    25.65     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          29   46   +8       2.43    62.22     2.15    70.51     5.72     9.93     0.21    14.13     3.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   44  +12      -0.29    48.79     5.06    69.88     5.78    15.86     0.17    12.89     3.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          29   43   -5       6.32    78.67    -0.66    65.07     5.66    -6.88     0.02     2.15     0.36P    0.10R    0.00  
Bromley            29   39   -1      -1.72    42.06    -2.44    62.77     5.82    -0.47     0.00     0.96     0.16P    0.46R    0.00  
Barrow             29   39   -2       1.22    56.75     0.49    60.59     5.61    -4.11     0.00     0.33     0.05P    1.06R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   38   -1      -2.78    36.64    -3.06    61.57     5.66    -0.28     0.00     0.57     0.13P    0.66R    0.00  
Hartlepool         29   36   -7      -1.80    41.47    -4.49    56.71     5.59   -10.56     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.96R    0.01  
Barnet             25   35   -2      -3.78    30.74    -8.89    67.78     6.63     3.83     0.15     8.84     2.57P    0.14R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   35   -4      -5.55    24.37    -5.40    59.57     5.78    -2.09     0.00     0.26     0.07P    2.03R    0.00  
Halifax            28   33   -5      -0.30    49.18     1.43    53.91     5.68    -9.72     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.27R    0.06  
Dover_Athletic     29   31  -16      -6.24    21.63   -12.58    54.15     5.80   -16.23     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.97R    0.13  
Havant_&_Wville    29   29  -11      -3.05    36.19     2.10    46.49     5.65   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.48R    1.95  
Maidenhead         28   28  -22      -2.14    39.77    -9.10    46.30     5.63   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.41R    2.70  
Aldershot          28   27  -21      -6.82    18.36   -14.70    49.06     5.84   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.93R    1.30  
Chesterfield       28   26  -10     -13.28     4.43   -11.64    52.06     6.03    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.66R    0.39  
Maidstone_United   28   25  -18      -4.24    29.14    -4.69    44.13     5.60   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.29R    5.63  
Braintree_Town     29   19  -28      -5.76    22.21    -4.32    32.60     5.12   -43.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   87.81