Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 January 2019, Man_City 2 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        21   54  +39       9.34    95.41    11.75    92.73     4.90    65.35    58.95    92.76    99.28    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   50  +39       1.49    59.23     2.10    90.49     4.68    70.58    37.28    87.24    98.34    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        21   48  +25       4.61    77.17     0.82    82.74     5.24    43.99     3.53    17.51    75.32    93.34    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          21   44  +22       3.14    68.28     3.39    76.11     5.37    35.65     0.22     2.00    18.63    63.89    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          21   41  +15       2.92    67.20    -0.55    72.09     5.57    27.49     0.02     0.39     6.10    28.64    98.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          21   38  +11      -1.41    40.39    -5.56    69.32     5.54    23.52     0.00     0.10     2.33    14.35    95.45     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        21   31   +2       1.69    60.63     2.01    54.18     5.58     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.91     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          21   29   -1       3.88    73.06     6.04    48.72     5.38    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.11R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   29   -2       4.32    75.33     4.98    49.70     5.56    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham         21   28   -3       1.70    60.96     2.59    48.12     5.47    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.16R    0.00  
Everton          21   27   +0      -2.05    37.45     1.05    49.79     5.68    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.07R    0.00  
Bournemouth      21   27   -9       2.60    66.55     0.65    46.85     5.51   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.49R    0.00  
Brighton         21   26   -5       2.25    64.78     3.36    45.18     5.29   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.81R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   22   -7      -2.64    34.36     0.03    42.85     5.44   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.37R    0.01  
Newcastle        21   18  -14      -5.67    17.97    -5.79    37.21     5.33   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.42R    0.59  
Burnley          21   18  -21      -4.27    24.46    -9.68    34.82     5.19   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.56R    1.43  
Cardiff          21   18  -22      -0.25    50.16    -3.01    33.57     5.18   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.90R    3.31  
Southampton      21   16  -17      -6.09    15.81    -4.89    36.31     5.51   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.76R    1.12  
Fulham           21   14  -28      -4.06    25.08    -5.69    27.77     5.11   -45.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.46R   19.29  
Huddersfield     21   10  -24      -6.71    10.44    -3.58    21.96     4.63   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.82R   74.24  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    26   51  +16      10.81    92.34     9.31    81.92     6.44    21.19    26.36    46.96    90.67    56.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         26   49  +14       9.29    88.76     8.06    80.14     6.44    19.51    17.71    36.14    85.56    46.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +17       5.60    76.36     8.47    78.71     6.36    23.45    13.44    29.12    81.60    41.45P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       26   46  +20      -1.36    42.48     1.83    81.93     6.43    33.22    29.81    51.32    91.57    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   43  +10       0.33    51.70    -0.04    75.65     6.29    17.47     5.45    14.40    65.47    29.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           26   43   +6       2.34    61.85    -1.40    75.34     6.38    13.35     4.72    12.84    62.65    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   26   39  +10       3.01    65.81     9.58    67.01     6.37    10.75     0.31     1.16    17.47     4.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      26   39  +10       5.67    77.83    13.29    64.63     6.26     7.38     0.10     0.50     9.52     2.05P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR             26   39   -1       5.60    77.46     2.68    64.00     6.29    -4.89     0.08     0.32     7.11     1.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   38   +9      -4.19    29.29    -0.91    70.67     6.53    16.94     1.42     4.52    36.70    13.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   38   +4       0.96    55.34     1.95    66.01     6.36     4.76     0.19     0.75    13.11     3.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         26   36   +4      -4.46    28.35    -3.14    66.78     6.43     8.93     0.24     1.08    16.65     5.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull            26   36   +3      -1.44    42.62     0.53    64.26     6.41     3.95     0.08     0.42     8.81     2.22P    0.08R    0.00  
Stoke           26   35   -1      -3.64    32.01    -5.30    64.01     6.50     1.49     0.07     0.39     8.17     2.45P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -8       1.54    58.70    -2.79    60.16     6.46   -10.10     0.01     0.05     2.26     0.45P    0.55R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       26   32  -10      -0.97    45.45    -5.69    58.45     6.36   -11.73     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.23P    1.10R    0.02  
Preston         26   29   -5      -6.29    20.44    -4.13    56.00     6.38    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.13P    2.23R    0.08  
Brentford       26   28   +0      -9.15    11.27    -1.97    56.95     6.46     2.24     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.20P    1.81R    0.08  
Millwall        26   28   -8      -4.95    25.75    -3.81    52.47     6.22   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    6.72R    0.33  
Wigan           26   26  -15      -5.81    22.35    -9.34    51.67     6.40   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.29R    0.71  
Rotherham       26   25  -16      -0.79    46.90    -0.22    44.02     5.99   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.13R    7.89  
Bolton          26   22  -21      -1.76    41.00    -3.46    39.84     5.64   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.61R   23.23  
Reading         26   20  -13      -8.71    11.44    -1.94    41.99     6.14   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.56R   12.88  
Ipswich         26   15  -25     -11.81     4.06   -11.55    35.61     5.98   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.69R   54.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Charlton 1 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           26   57  +22      14.52    97.34    11.94    89.14     6.43    28.98    27.77    54.41    98.72    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                26   52  +25       7.05    81.39    11.01    86.83     6.44    36.21    18.90    42.13    97.37    57.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           25   51  +22       4.82    73.81     3.77    90.73     6.55    38.74    41.09    66.56    99.25    77.30P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             27   47  +12       4.78    73.08     4.36    77.48     6.22    18.54     0.88     4.08    71.29    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             25   46  +18       2.22    61.16     3.88    84.33     6.58    32.16    10.05    27.04    94.55    49.06P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            26   45  +15       4.89    73.69     8.39    75.23     6.44    19.02     0.60     2.67    58.11    13.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         26   44  +12       2.99    64.99     4.03    75.78     6.47    18.52     0.70     3.06    61.08    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   38   -2       5.09    75.17     3.35    61.26     6.01    -5.92     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.26P    2.27R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        26   35   +1      -1.95    40.27    -0.92    61.32     6.39    -0.64     0.00     0.01     2.72     0.53P    2.57R    0.10  
Southend             26   35   +1      -1.29    43.44     0.15    62.19     6.39     0.62     0.00     0.01     3.47     0.70P    1.88R    0.11  
Blackpool            25   35   +1       0.46    52.75     0.33    62.89     6.44    -0.12     0.00     0.02     4.08     0.82P    1.53R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town       26   34   +5      -2.75    36.13     3.47    63.09     6.45     7.48     0.00     0.02     4.84     0.96P    1.41R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   25   34   -8       5.28    76.52     0.19    57.82     6.48   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.10P    9.56R    0.75  
Wycombe              26   32   -4       1.43    58.39     4.09    55.16     6.33   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   17.06R    1.80  
Walsall              26   32  -13       2.02    61.53    -4.26    55.84     6.28   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P   15.50R    1.54  
Shrewsbury           26   30   -3      -5.78    21.94    -3.34    58.09     6.37    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.23P    7.65R    0.57  
Scunthorpe           27   30  -18      -4.88    26.85   -14.13    54.52     6.22   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   21.02R    2.48  
Rochdale             27   30  -23       0.22    52.24   -10.93    50.75     5.99   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.93R    7.83  
Gillingham           26   28   -7      -4.23    29.34    -1.39    53.60     6.34   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   23.47R    3.07  
Bristol_Rovers       26   27   -4      -6.39    19.63    -0.58    52.05     6.29    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   30.37R    4.65  
Bradford             26   27   -9      -6.12    20.85    -4.97    52.30     6.33   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   30.46R    4.45  
Oxford_Utd           26   26  -10      -6.80    18.41    -5.20    50.60     6.38   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   40.98R    7.49  
Plymouth             26   24  -16      -6.14    20.71    -7.12    46.34     6.19   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.55R   22.55  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   22  -17      -5.88    20.65    -6.13    43.37     6.00   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.78R   42.43  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Cambridge_Utd 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     25   51  +21       8.90    89.19     9.31    85.42     6.54    29.38    34.39    75.71    97.95    81.25P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          25   47  +22       0.79    53.39     4.20    85.23     6.52    35.87    36.13    76.82    97.99    83.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             27   46  +20      -1.07    43.99     4.63    79.23     6.23    30.89     8.91    42.05    89.89    57.17P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        25   45  +18       3.39    67.32     7.37    81.22     6.42    28.94    14.42    53.95    93.58    65.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   45  +13       1.98    60.00     4.07    74.67     6.27    18.48     2.11    15.97    70.27    28.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   43  +14       7.83    85.34    12.94    71.81     6.54    14.07     1.08     8.68    51.88    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           26   43  +10       1.62    58.43     1.48    74.25     6.44    15.66     2.00    14.58    66.72    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43   +9       1.34    57.27     2.14    70.87     6.14    11.73     0.45     5.45    45.34    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         26   39   +6       3.09    65.96     5.74    64.99     6.45     3.84     0.06     1.00    15.70     3.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           26   38   +7      -3.84    31.13    -2.35    69.91     6.46    13.63     0.42     4.89    41.27    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        27   38   -3       1.89    60.31    -1.56    63.33     6.15    -4.11     0.01     0.32     8.60     1.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          27   36   -6      -0.95    45.26    -6.00    62.54     6.15    -5.41     0.00     0.18     6.92     1.49P    0.07R    0.00  
Newport_County   25   36   -7       4.72    74.58    -1.91    61.38     6.53   -12.29     0.01     0.27     5.90     1.19P    0.25R    0.03  
Grimsby          26   34   -3       2.75    65.41     3.22    58.62     6.19    -6.97     0.00     0.03     2.13     0.36P    0.48R    0.07  
Crawley_Town     26   33   -5       0.12    51.27    -0.62    56.41     6.15   -11.40     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.20P    1.26R    0.18  
Crewe            27   32   -7      -1.09    45.07    -1.06    56.31     6.06    -9.55     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.17P    1.21R    0.20  
Northampton      26   30   -3      -6.52    19.87    -4.23    58.87     6.45    -0.96     0.00     0.07     2.86     0.72P    0.58R    0.08  
Cheltenham       26   29   -7      -2.83    35.79    -0.86    54.81     6.31    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    2.71R    0.51  
Port_Vale        26   29   -7      -3.35    32.97    -2.48    54.41     6.17    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    2.84R    0.50  
Morecambe        27   27  -16      -2.31    38.36    -4.36    47.54     5.89   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.55R    5.91  
Cambridge_Utd    27   26  -23      -4.06    29.75   -12.59    47.73     5.94   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.55R    6.41  
Yeovil           25   24   -5      -6.31    19.30     0.88    49.70     6.35    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.26R    3.33  
Macclesfield     27   21  -21      -3.41    32.80    -1.79    37.77     5.56   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.46R   61.40  
Notts_County     27   21  -27      -9.65     9.53   -16.19    42.98     6.08   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.72R   21.37  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2019, Bromley 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      29   57  +29       6.26    78.21    12.95    87.25     5.62    39.44    52.39    96.88    66.28P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       29   55  +25       8.24    83.57    14.14    83.43     6.00    32.73    22.56    87.42    38.64P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   54  +19      11.33    92.18    14.50    79.30     5.72    22.11     6.88    68.23    19.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   53  +16       7.88    84.24     8.12    79.43     5.51    20.79     6.23    69.03    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          29   50  +22       0.95    54.58     8.04    79.44     5.67    31.24     8.16    71.60    27.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      28   49   +7       7.58    83.02     2.46    75.65     5.94    10.18     2.19    40.25     9.98P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     29   47  +15       4.13    68.56    10.45    72.75     5.99    18.75     0.96    26.28     6.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          29   46   +8       2.41    61.79     2.10    70.47     5.73     9.85     0.21    13.89     3.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   44  +12      -0.23    48.77     5.18    69.88     5.79    15.82     0.22    13.09     3.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          29   43   -5       6.38    79.02    -0.59    65.03     5.64    -6.98     0.02     2.04     0.38P    0.14R    0.00  
Bromley            29   39   -1      -1.74    41.75    -2.50    62.79     5.81    -0.44     0.00     1.01     0.21P    0.46R    0.00  
Barrow             29   39   -2       1.21    56.76     0.50    60.60     5.61    -4.10     0.00     0.31     0.06P    1.03R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   38   -1      -2.84    36.23    -3.18    61.59     5.69    -0.24     0.00     0.61     0.15P    0.74R    0.00  
Hartlepool         29   36   -7      -1.74    41.77    -4.37    56.71     5.61   -10.54     0.00     0.05     0.01P    5.02R    0.01  
Barnet             25   35   -2      -3.98    29.64    -9.16    67.90     6.62     4.05     0.18     9.02     2.71P    0.14R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   35   -4      -5.57    24.24    -5.43    59.60     5.79    -2.07     0.00     0.25     0.07P    2.04R    0.00  
Halifax            28   33   -5      -0.24    49.74     1.54    53.90     5.69    -9.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.31R    0.07  
Dover_Athletic     29   31  -16      -6.32    21.52   -12.61    54.10     5.76   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.79R    0.11  
Havant_&_Wville    29   29  -11      -3.13    35.42     1.97    46.53     5.66   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.87R    1.96  
Maidenhead         28   28  -22      -2.01    40.48    -8.94    46.22     5.62   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.87R    2.87  
Aldershot          28   27  -21      -6.62    19.10   -14.38    48.97     5.85   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.46R    1.33  
Chesterfield       28   26  -10     -13.33     4.40   -11.77    52.10     6.06    -7.75     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.64R    0.37  
Maidstone_United   28   25  -18      -4.23    29.29    -4.67    44.15     5.58   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.88R    5.71  
Braintree_Town     29   19  -28      -5.84    21.90    -4.38    32.60     5.12   -43.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   87.58