Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 January 2019, Man_City 2 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        21   54  +39       9.28    95.14    11.72    92.71     4.91    65.31    58.77    92.59    99.22    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   50  +39       1.57    59.62     2.34    90.46     4.70    70.43    37.31    86.99    98.20    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        21   48  +25       4.60    77.16     0.78    82.82     5.22    44.08     3.63    17.81    75.87    93.54    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          21   44  +22       3.16    68.69     3.35    76.11     5.37    35.70     0.26     2.10    18.48    63.45    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          21   41  +15       2.98    67.60    -0.47    72.18     5.62    27.59     0.02     0.40     6.11    29.21    98.03     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          21   38  +11      -1.50    39.67    -5.71    69.29     5.52    23.52     0.00     0.10     2.12    14.08    95.50     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        21   31   +2       1.65    60.49     1.98    54.11     5.58     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.88     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          21   29   -1       3.90    73.32     6.01    48.66     5.40    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   29   -2       4.36    75.72     5.00    49.66     5.54    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.08R    0.00  
West_Ham         21   28   -3       1.68    60.89     2.57    48.08     5.47   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.22R    0.00  
Everton          21   27   +0      -2.07    37.45     0.96    49.75     5.66    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.11R    0.00  
Bournemouth      21   27   -9       2.64    66.92     0.71    46.89     5.54   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.54R    0.00  
Brighton         21   26   -5       2.33    65.30     3.46    45.09     5.28   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.71R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   22   -7      -2.71    34.02    -0.05    42.89     5.45   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.48R    0.03  
Newcastle        21   18  -14      -5.52    18.70    -5.55    37.17     5.33   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.65R    0.61  
Burnley          21   18  -21      -4.34    24.51    -9.86    34.94     5.21   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.96R    1.47  
Cardiff          21   18  -22      -0.34    49.48    -3.20    33.64     5.20   -35.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.84R    3.15  
Southampton      21   16  -17      -6.10    15.60    -4.89    36.32     5.50   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.98R    1.11  
Fulham           21   14  -28      -4.07    25.07    -5.64    27.81     5.12   -45.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.31R   19.45  
Huddersfield     21   10  -24      -6.65    10.70    -3.51    21.96     4.60   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   74.17  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    26   51  +16      10.60    91.94     9.01    82.05     6.42    21.41    26.68    47.45    90.99    56.83P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         26   49  +14       9.31    88.67     7.98    80.22     6.47    19.68    18.10    36.41    85.73    46.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +17       5.72    76.91     8.63    78.69     6.37    23.43    13.24    28.86    81.34    41.13P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       26   46  +20      -1.29    42.70     1.98    81.92     6.50    33.20    29.53    50.98    91.57    64.56P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   43  +10       0.30    51.31    -0.14    75.67     6.21    17.54     5.26    14.04    65.84    29.44P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           26   43   +6       2.28    61.66    -1.49    75.42     6.38    13.47     4.75    13.15    62.98    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   26   39  +10       2.96    65.59     9.56    67.04     6.40    10.77     0.28     1.16    17.53     4.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      26   39  +10       5.76    78.44    13.39    64.55     6.26     7.25     0.12     0.45     9.43     2.00P    0.05R    0.00  
QPR             26   39   -1       5.69    77.75     2.83    63.87     6.26    -5.05     0.06     0.28     6.63     1.38P    0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   38   +9      -4.25    28.81    -1.03    70.73     6.50    17.01     1.37     4.50    36.96    13.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   38   +4       0.90    55.08     1.91    66.00     6.36     4.76     0.17     0.75    13.08     3.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         26   36   +4      -4.52    27.89    -3.21    66.82     6.45     9.01     0.28     1.18    16.71     5.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull            26   36   +3      -1.25    43.88     0.82    64.10     6.41     3.70     0.09     0.38     8.52     2.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Stoke           26   35   -1      -3.50    32.62    -5.13    63.90     6.47     1.33     0.05     0.33     7.53     2.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -8       1.55    58.70    -2.74    60.14     6.49   -10.13     0.00     0.04     2.37     0.47P    0.59R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       26   32  -10      -1.07    44.94    -5.78    58.46     6.38   -11.69     0.00     0.02     1.19     0.22P    1.17R    0.03  
Preston         26   29   -5      -6.20    20.66    -3.98    55.96     6.40    -5.87     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.14P    2.39R    0.11  
Brentford       26   28   +0      -9.19    11.29    -2.00    56.93     6.46     2.17     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.21P    1.81R    0.07  
Millwall        26   28   -8      -5.07    25.32    -3.90    52.50     6.23   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    6.70R    0.34  
Wigan           26   26  -15      -5.86    22.11    -9.44    51.71     6.35   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    9.80R    0.67  
Rotherham       26   25  -16      -1.01    45.79    -0.56    44.14     6.01   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.40R    7.70  
Bolton          26   22  -21      -1.52    42.46    -3.08    39.68     5.66   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.61R   24.19  
Reading         26   20  -13      -8.67    11.36    -1.91    42.00     6.15   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.65R   13.08  
Ipswich         26   15  -25     -11.90     3.99   -11.73    35.73     5.98   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.54R   53.81  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Charlton 1 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           26   57  +22      14.34    97.14    11.69    89.26     6.38    29.20    28.48    55.43    98.83    65.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                26   52  +25       7.40    82.73    11.50    86.59     6.52    35.84    18.11    40.88    97.16    56.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           25   51  +22       4.99    74.38     3.97    90.60     6.60    38.54    40.47    66.04    99.13    76.92P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             27   47  +12       4.69    72.69     4.27    77.55     6.26    18.65     1.00     4.41    71.64    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             25   46  +18       2.15    60.85     3.76    84.28     6.64    32.12    10.51    27.34    94.23    49.07P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            26   45  +15       4.98    74.23     8.52    75.14     6.48    18.91     0.67     2.75    57.52    13.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         26   44  +12       3.03    65.28     4.09    75.72     6.52    18.48     0.75     3.11    60.96    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   38   -2       4.98    74.41     3.15    61.41     6.08    -5.71     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.29P    2.16R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        26   35   +1      -2.08    39.73    -1.14    61.47     6.44    -0.45     0.00     0.01     3.05     0.69P    2.48R    0.10  
Southend             26   35   +1      -1.29    43.53     0.12    62.14     6.41     0.56     0.00     0.01     3.57     0.68P    2.05R    0.07  
Blackpool            25   35   +1       0.46    52.99     0.32    62.85     6.44    -0.10     0.00     0.01     4.25     0.72P    1.55R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town       26   34   +5      -2.87    35.20     3.31    63.18     6.43     7.64     0.00     0.01     5.02     1.01P    1.42R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley   25   34   -8       5.18    76.25     0.03    57.90     6.46   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.11P    9.36R    0.70  
Wycombe              26   32   -4       1.31    58.08     3.95    55.19     6.33   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   17.23R    1.80  
Walsall              26   32  -13       1.97    61.19    -4.31    55.83     6.25   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   15.59R    1.43  
Shrewsbury           26   30   -3      -5.73    22.04    -3.32    58.05     6.32    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.15P    7.40R    0.53  
Scunthorpe           27   30  -18      -4.90    26.91   -14.12    54.59     6.22   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   20.72R    2.46  
Rochdale             27   30  -23       0.39    52.78   -10.66    50.69     6.00   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.57R    7.92  
Gillingham           26   28   -7      -4.16    29.53    -1.27    53.50     6.34   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   24.15R    3.20  
Bristol_Rovers       26   27   -4      -6.43    19.20    -0.67    52.09     6.27    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   30.53R    4.37  
Bradford             26   27   -9      -6.18    20.62    -5.06    52.40     6.32   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   29.54R    4.42  
Oxford_Utd           26   26  -10      -6.75    18.27    -5.13    50.55     6.30   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   40.84R    7.47  
Plymouth             26   24  -16      -6.00    21.21    -6.90    46.30     6.23   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.52R   22.98  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   22  -17      -5.89    20.56    -6.10    43.38     6.01   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.91R   42.40  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Cambridge_Utd 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     25   51  +21       8.94    88.88     9.37    85.45     6.55    29.42    34.97    75.77    98.03    81.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          25   47  +22       0.81    53.85     4.29    85.19     6.51    35.83    35.50    76.66    98.05    83.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             27   46  +20      -1.13    43.66     4.47    79.20     6.24    30.83     8.98    41.70    89.77    56.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        25   45  +18       3.44    68.19     7.39    81.22     6.40    28.96    14.25    53.81    93.58    65.76P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   45  +13       2.09    60.42     4.28    74.59     6.29    18.38     2.07    15.63    69.93    28.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   43  +14       7.89    85.99    13.03    71.76     6.56    13.97     1.09     8.74    51.28    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           26   43  +10       1.48    57.72     1.27    74.45     6.42    15.95     2.08    15.37    67.77    28.57P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43   +9       1.29    56.59     2.06    70.80     6.16    11.64     0.54     5.45    44.82    14.81P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         26   39   +6       3.17    66.21     5.84    65.00     6.48     3.84     0.08     1.04    15.78     3.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           26   38   +7      -3.91    30.61    -2.44    69.98     6.43    13.71     0.40     4.95    41.69    14.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        27   38   -3       2.10    61.35    -1.28    63.24     6.12    -4.23     0.02     0.32     8.32     1.76P    0.06R    0.01  
Swindon          27   36   -6      -1.29    43.77    -6.45    62.73     6.11    -5.16     0.01     0.21     7.29     1.62P    0.08R    0.01  
Newport_County   25   36   -7       4.74    74.49    -1.88    61.37     6.49   -12.31     0.01     0.25     5.69     1.07P    0.20R    0.03  
Grimsby          26   34   -3       2.76    65.32     3.21    58.66     6.18    -6.88     0.00     0.04     2.23     0.38P    0.52R    0.09  
Crawley_Town     26   33   -5       0.14    51.54    -0.63    56.44     6.11   -11.32     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.17P    1.18R    0.16  
Crewe            27   32   -7      -1.20    44.28    -1.22    56.36     6.08    -9.49     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.16P    1.19R    0.19  
Northampton      26   30   -3      -6.36    20.55    -4.00    58.77     6.47    -1.08     0.00     0.05     2.83     0.70P    0.72R    0.10  
Cheltenham       26   29   -7      -2.94    35.33    -1.01    54.87     6.35    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.08P    2.60R    0.50  
Port_Vale        26   29   -7      -3.30    33.27    -2.44    54.45     6.16    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P    2.74R    0.52  
Morecambe        27   27  -16      -2.25    38.82    -4.22    47.45     5.86   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.12R    5.94  
Cambridge_Utd    27   26  -23      -4.04    29.50   -12.57    47.63     5.88   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.54R    6.48  
Yeovil           25   24   -5      -6.20    19.84     1.02    49.57     6.39    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.37R    3.49  
Macclesfield     27   21  -21      -3.56    31.73    -2.01    37.79     5.50   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.50R   61.10  
Notts_County     27   21  -27      -9.63     9.50   -16.07    43.01     6.07   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.15R   21.38  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2019, Bromley 2 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      29   57  +29       5.97    77.29    12.56    87.41     5.59    39.64    52.92    97.04    67.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       29   55  +25       8.12    83.16    13.98    83.56     5.99    32.95    22.63    88.16    39.12P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     29   54  +19      11.23    92.05    14.38    79.33     5.76    22.21     7.00    68.55    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   53  +16       7.91    84.26     8.13    79.41     5.54    20.77     6.14    68.62    21.77P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          29   50  +22       0.91    54.31     8.03    79.37     5.65    31.17     7.77    71.57    27.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      28   49   +7       7.60    83.22     2.52    75.58     5.94    10.09     2.06    39.97     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     29   47  +15       4.36    69.82    10.80    72.62     5.98    18.56     0.86    25.77     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          29   46   +8       2.36    61.47     2.02    70.49     5.71     9.89     0.22    14.04     3.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   44  +12      -0.34    48.43     4.98    69.94     5.83    15.93     0.20    13.57     3.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh          29   43   -5       6.41    79.05    -0.50    65.06     5.63    -6.93     0.02     2.04     0.35P    0.13R    0.00  
Bromley            29   39   -1      -1.62    42.35    -2.28    62.71     5.84    -0.57     0.00     1.06     0.25P    0.46R    0.00  
Barrow             29   39   -2       1.25    57.20     0.56    60.55     5.64    -4.18     0.00     0.37     0.05P    1.08R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   38   -1      -2.83    36.18    -3.14    61.56     5.64    -0.30     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.72R    0.00  
Hartlepool         29   36   -7      -1.74    41.78    -4.40    56.71     5.58   -10.51     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.97R    0.01  
Barnet             25   35   -2      -3.62    31.39    -8.67    67.61     6.62     3.64     0.16     8.38     2.43P    0.16R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   35   -4      -5.79    23.65    -5.74    59.72     5.83    -1.95     0.00     0.27     0.04P    2.03R    0.00  
Halifax            28   33   -5      -0.23    49.64     1.59    53.88     5.66    -9.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.28R    0.07  
Dover_Athletic     29   31  -16      -6.28    21.59   -12.65    54.15     5.77   -16.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.82R    0.10  
Havant_&_Wville    29   29  -11      -3.10    35.90     2.02    46.60     5.65   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.53R    2.00  
Maidenhead         28   28  -22      -2.06    40.22    -8.94    46.26     5.61   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.43R    2.67  
Aldershot          28   27  -21      -6.72    19.18   -14.53    48.96     5.84   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.89R    1.34  
Chesterfield       28   26  -10     -13.28     4.36   -11.64    52.13     6.02    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.55R    0.40  
Maidstone_United   28   25  -18      -4.18    29.41    -4.65    44.14     5.56   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.38R    5.80  
Braintree_Town     29   19  -28      -5.86    21.67    -4.44    32.64     5.17   -43.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   87.59