Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 January 2019, Man_City 2 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        21   54  +39       9.31    95.27    11.78    92.73     4.91    65.32    59.04    92.62    99.28    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   50  +39       1.51    59.48     2.20    90.49     4.66    70.56    37.23    87.43    98.38    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        21   48  +25       4.69    77.70     0.93    82.69     5.24    43.86     3.51    17.27    75.35    93.31    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          21   44  +22       3.23    69.04     3.48    76.06     5.37    35.59     0.18     2.13    18.42    63.29    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          21   41  +15       2.90    66.99    -0.52    72.16     5.60    27.62     0.02     0.46     6.30    29.34    98.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          21   38  +11      -1.43    40.51    -5.59    69.28     5.52    23.53     0.00     0.08     2.26    14.30    95.45     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        21   31   +2       1.76    61.39     2.11    54.16     5.57     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.79     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          21   29   -1       3.82    72.87     5.88    48.68     5.39    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.12R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   29   -2       4.34    75.90     5.02    49.62     5.51    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham         21   28   -3       1.76    61.17     2.65    48.06     5.50   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.22R    0.00  
Everton          21   27   +0      -2.08    37.69     0.97    49.80     5.66    -1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.12R    0.00  
Bournemouth      21   27   -9       2.64    66.94     0.70    46.85     5.51   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.55R    0.00  
Brighton         21   26   -5       2.13    64.31     3.20    45.22     5.30   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.82R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   22   -7      -2.80    33.39    -0.18    42.91     5.45   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.40R    0.03  
Newcastle        21   18  -14      -5.55    18.44    -5.57    37.17     5.31   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.49R    0.58  
Burnley          21   18  -21      -4.30    24.57    -9.77    34.86     5.21   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.20R    1.52  
Cardiff          21   18  -22      -0.16    50.70    -2.84    33.50     5.21   -36.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.61R    3.46  
Southampton      21   16  -17      -6.12    15.69    -4.96    36.33     5.50   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.91R    1.11  
Fulham           21   14  -28      -4.21    24.30    -5.92    27.95     5.12   -45.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.70R   18.75  
Huddersfield     21   10  -24      -6.71    10.61    -3.57    21.98     4.65   -43.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.77R   74.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2019, Aston_Villa 2 2 QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    26   51  +16      10.75    92.36     9.18    81.98     6.40    21.28    26.66    47.69    90.92    56.85P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         26   49  +14       9.28    88.48     7.97    80.20     6.47    19.66    18.46    36.54    85.75    46.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +17       5.80    77.35     8.77    78.58     6.33    23.21    12.91    28.73    81.10    40.89P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       26   46  +20      -1.20    43.30     2.07    81.86     6.45    33.14    29.46    50.75    91.33    64.24P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   43  +10       0.53    52.75     0.22    75.51     6.26    17.28     5.14    13.99    65.23    29.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           26   43   +6       2.39    62.40    -1.35    75.39     6.35    13.41     4.74    12.81    62.99    25.85P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   26   39  +10       2.82    64.77     9.32    67.16     6.38    10.94     0.31     1.25    18.01     4.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      26   39  +10       5.85    78.75    13.53    64.52     6.30     7.18     0.12     0.48     9.38     1.97P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR             26   39   -1       5.69    77.67     2.90    63.90     6.22    -5.00     0.06     0.27     6.67     1.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   38   +9      -4.22    28.91    -0.97    70.71     6.50    16.98     1.50     4.67    37.51    14.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City    26   38   +4       0.89    54.91     1.87    66.04     6.34     4.81     0.18     0.78    13.24     3.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         26   36   +4      -4.49    28.07    -3.17    66.80     6.49     8.97     0.26     1.19    16.71     5.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull            26   36   +3      -1.22    43.98     0.84    64.11     6.36     3.69     0.08     0.36     8.39     2.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Stoke           26   35   -1      -3.58    32.33    -5.25    63.93     6.47     1.42     0.10     0.37     7.64     2.19P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       26   34   -8       1.48    58.39    -2.84    60.14     6.45   -10.13     0.01     0.07     2.26     0.46P    0.62R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       26   32  -10      -1.09    44.82    -5.88    58.48     6.41   -11.66     0.01     0.02     1.23     0.27P    1.16R    0.03  
Preston         26   29   -5      -6.38    20.15    -4.26    56.03     6.41    -5.73     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.13P    2.23R    0.08  
Brentford       26   28   +0      -9.14    11.21    -1.93    56.90     6.49     2.16     0.00     0.02     0.92     0.22P    1.82R    0.07  
Millwall        26   28   -8      -5.25    24.47    -4.20    52.70     6.29   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    6.60R    0.28  
Wigan           26   26  -15      -5.78    22.29    -9.36    51.68     6.37   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.04R    0.72  
Rotherham       26   25  -16      -0.91    46.28    -0.44    44.05     5.97   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.92R    7.73  
Bolton          26   22  -21      -1.63    41.72    -3.21    39.69     5.64   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.43R   24.71  
Reading         26   20  -13      -8.70    11.06    -1.95    42.03     6.11   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.68R   12.92  
Ipswich         26   15  -25     -12.05     3.77   -11.87    35.79     5.97   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.23R   53.46  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Charlton 1 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           26   57  +22      14.45    97.33    11.80    89.20     6.42    29.10    28.13    54.83    98.73    64.65P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                26   52  +25       7.04    81.71    10.99    86.81     6.45    36.14    18.64    42.09    97.39    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           25   51  +22       4.98    74.38     3.93    90.62     6.60    38.66    40.95    66.25    99.09    76.86P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             27   47  +12       4.60    72.34     4.17    77.57     6.26    18.67     0.90     4.20    71.77    19.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             25   46  +18       2.26    61.49     3.94    84.25     6.59    31.99    10.13    26.88    94.27    48.86P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            26   45  +15       4.95    73.90     8.47    75.17     6.46    18.98     0.57     2.73    57.48    13.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         26   44  +12       3.07    65.35     4.18    75.67     6.50    18.38     0.67     2.99    60.64    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             27   38   -2       4.91    74.11     3.10    61.35     6.07    -5.80     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.29P    2.25R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        26   35   +1      -1.98    40.17    -1.02    61.37     6.38    -0.54     0.00     0.00     2.84     0.52P    2.50R    0.09  
Southend             26   35   +1      -1.29    43.64     0.09    62.20     6.40     0.63     0.00     0.01     3.48     0.61P    1.90R    0.09  
Blackpool            25   35   +1       0.39    52.63     0.23    63.00     6.48     0.02     0.00     0.01     4.54     0.86P    1.46R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       26   34   +5      -2.87    35.39     3.31    63.21     6.47     7.67     0.00     0.01     5.15     1.02P    1.36R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   25   34   -8       5.17    75.97    -0.01    57.93     6.48   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.10P    9.52R    0.74  
Wycombe              26   32   -4       1.44    58.34     4.11    55.18     6.33   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   16.91R    1.77  
Walsall              26   32  -13       2.13    62.32    -4.08    55.71     6.27   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   15.84R    1.66  
Shrewsbury           26   30   -3      -5.79    21.98    -3.38    58.07     6.40    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.19P    7.67R    0.55  
Scunthorpe           27   30  -18      -4.89    26.48   -14.13    54.57     6.25   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   20.87R    2.42  
Rochdale             27   30  -23       0.34    52.83   -10.75    50.66     5.97   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.49R    7.78  
Gillingham           26   28   -7      -4.08    30.13    -1.15    53.48     6.39   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   24.11R    3.16  
Bristol_Rovers       26   27   -4      -6.31    19.95    -0.49    52.01     6.30    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   30.32R    4.52  
Bradford             26   27   -9      -6.11    20.91    -4.97    52.32     6.38   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   30.15R    4.72  
Oxford_Utd           26   26  -10      -6.67    18.86    -4.97    50.47     6.32   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.03R    7.83  
Plymouth             26   24  -16      -6.17    20.66    -7.15    46.45     6.22   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.69R   22.28  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   22  -17      -5.97    20.42    -6.22    43.38     6.00   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   82.94R   42.26  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Cambridge_Utd 2 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     25   51  +21       8.88    88.73     9.28    85.43     6.52    29.40    34.89    75.94    98.13    81.82P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          25   47  +22       0.85    54.12     4.27    85.18     6.54    35.83    35.90    76.61    98.00    83.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             27   46  +20      -1.13    43.90     4.52    79.21     6.27    30.85     9.05    42.48    89.72    57.06P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        25   45  +18       3.61    68.96     7.66    81.07     6.46    28.69    14.15    52.83    93.24    64.54P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   45  +13       2.03    60.22     4.17    74.62     6.28    18.37     2.02    15.70    70.17    28.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   43  +14       7.99    86.10    13.16    71.75     6.56    13.98     1.04     8.90    51.44    16.22P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           26   43  +10       1.62    58.16     1.44    74.31     6.39    15.77     1.96    14.90    66.94    27.82P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43   +9       1.32    56.94     2.10    70.92     6.16    11.77     0.48     5.69    45.54    15.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         26   39   +6       3.15    66.12     5.85    64.93     6.41     3.76     0.06     0.97    15.28     3.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           26   38   +7      -3.80    31.15    -2.29    69.95     6.47    13.68     0.42     4.99    41.60    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        27   38   -3       1.94    60.32    -1.55    63.28     6.09    -4.16     0.01     0.29     8.55     1.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          27   36   -6      -1.20    44.03    -6.35    62.70     6.13    -5.18     0.01     0.25     7.29     1.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Newport_County   25   36   -7       4.72    74.49    -1.91    61.42     6.52   -12.24     0.02     0.31     5.79     1.17P    0.25R    0.04  
Grimsby          26   34   -3       2.74    65.28     3.19    58.59     6.16    -6.97     0.00     0.05     2.11     0.35P    0.47R    0.05  
Crawley_Town     26   33   -5       0.12    51.54    -0.64    56.51     6.17   -11.26     0.00     0.02     1.06     0.19P    1.24R    0.19  
Crewe            27   32   -7      -1.10    44.92    -1.09    56.32     6.05    -9.56     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.14P    1.23R    0.22  
Northampton      26   30   -3      -6.50    20.13    -4.20    58.92     6.50    -0.88     0.00     0.07     3.12     0.82P    0.68R    0.11  
Cheltenham       26   29   -7      -3.02    34.57    -1.13    54.92     6.31    -9.47     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.11P    2.59R    0.50  
Port_Vale        26   29   -7      -3.30    33.51    -2.43    54.36     6.21    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    2.96R    0.56  
Morecambe        27   27  -16      -2.40    38.03    -4.43    47.52     5.82   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.55R    5.94  
Cambridge_Utd    27   26  -23      -4.07    29.64   -12.50    47.61     5.93   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.95R    6.52  
Yeovil           25   24   -5      -6.27    19.51     0.90    49.64     6.34    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   12.22R    3.13  
Macclesfield     27   21  -21      -3.45    32.37    -1.87    37.78     5.52   -35.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.49R   61.71  
Notts_County     27   21  -27      -9.64     9.33   -16.16    43.04     6.06   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.26R   21.05  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2019, Bromley 3 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      29   57  +29       6.12    77.92    12.73    87.32     5.60    39.52    51.48    96.84    65.61P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       29   55  +25       8.27    83.74    14.18    83.43     5.97    32.81    21.76    87.41    37.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   53  +18       8.59    86.79     9.25    81.26     5.82    23.41    11.40    78.33    28.81P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     28   51  +18       9.89    89.50    13.80    77.30     5.94    20.62     3.92    53.90    13.59P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          29   50  +22       0.86    53.94     7.97    79.40     5.65    31.17     7.66    71.30    26.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      28   49   +7       7.73    83.42     2.66    75.51     5.90     9.97     1.96    39.16     9.49P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     29   47  +15       4.26    69.32    10.61    72.68     5.95    18.64     0.80    25.38     5.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          28   46   +9       3.70    68.31     2.95    72.21     5.96    11.41     0.62    21.94     5.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   44  +12      -0.26    48.73     5.08    69.88     5.77    15.86     0.18    12.82     3.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          29   43   -5       6.44    79.11    -0.49    65.05     5.62    -6.97     0.01     1.95     0.28P    0.13R    0.00  
Barrow             29   39   -2       1.30    57.27     0.63    60.61     5.63    -4.13     0.00     0.32     0.07P    1.11R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       29   38   -1      -2.79    36.59    -3.10    61.52     5.71    -0.35     0.00     0.61     0.15P    0.71R    0.00  
Bromley            28   36   -3      -2.69    37.17    -3.40    60.64     6.02    -3.21     0.00     0.46     0.10P    1.51R    0.00  
Hartlepool         29   36   -7      -1.85    41.53    -4.56    56.82     5.59   -10.40     0.00     0.07     0.02P    4.66R    0.01  
Barnet             25   35   -2      -3.95    29.86    -9.13    67.93     6.68     4.04     0.20     9.18     2.71P    0.15R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          29   35   -4      -5.56    24.57    -5.42    59.62     5.84    -2.05     0.00     0.29     0.05P    2.14R    0.01  
Halifax            28   33   -5      -0.17    49.71     1.57    53.84     5.65    -9.82     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.36R    0.04  
Dover_Athletic     29   31  -16      -6.36    21.19   -12.72    54.20     5.78   -16.13     0.00     0.01     0.01P   13.68R    0.11  
Havant_&_Wville    29   29  -11      -3.18    35.54     1.92    46.48     5.68   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.30R    2.02  
Maidenhead         28   28  -22      -2.04    40.39    -8.97    46.21     5.58   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.55R    2.82  
Aldershot          28   27  -21      -6.84    18.19   -14.69    49.13     5.81   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.54R    1.29  
Chesterfield       28   26  -10     -13.45     4.16   -11.90    52.13     6.02    -7.70     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.59R    0.38  
Maidstone_United   28   25  -18      -4.26    29.09    -4.74    44.19     5.60   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.99R    5.68  
Braintree_Town     29   19  -28      -5.74    22.23    -4.23    32.58     5.12   -43.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   87.65