Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2018, Burnley 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        20   54  +40      10.43    97.56    12.29    93.88     5.15    65.90    70.25    94.85    99.25    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   47  +38       0.32    50.26     1.78    89.08     4.95    69.71    26.56    82.31    96.21    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   45  +22       4.42    76.69     0.32    81.87     5.43    42.11     2.70    17.05    67.10    91.18    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   43  +22       4.02    74.11     3.95    77.63     5.57    37.61     0.48     5.18    29.81    74.89    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          20   38  +12       2.68    66.00    -0.80    71.50     5.76    26.49     0.01     0.51     5.95    24.65    97.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   35   +9      -2.26    35.13    -6.33    67.94     5.73    21.85     0.00     0.11     1.68     9.83    92.11     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   29   +0       5.11    79.87     6.09    51.78     5.78    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.67     0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        20   28   +1       0.27    52.18     1.44    52.14     5.76    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.13     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          20   28   -1       4.19    75.30     5.76    48.87     5.59    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.17R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +1      -0.93    44.38     1.68    51.56     5.93    -0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.90     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham         20   27   -3       2.23    64.33     2.74    48.66     5.68    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.19R    0.00  
Bournemouth      20   26   -9       3.19    70.40     0.80    47.29     5.75   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.46R    0.00  
Brighton         20   25   -5       2.52    66.82     3.16    45.21     5.47   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.87R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   20   19   -9      -3.90    26.54    -1.28    40.62     5.64   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.91R    0.23  
Newcastle        20   18  -12      -5.03    20.48    -4.84    38.24     5.51   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.96R    0.58  
Cardiff          20   18  -19      -0.17    50.46    -2.29    34.31     5.36   -34.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.81R    3.55  
Southampton      20   15  -17      -6.31    14.51    -5.61    35.61     5.60   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.34R    2.17  
Burnley          20   15  -22      -5.57    17.18   -10.25    33.28     5.39   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.58R    5.07  
Fulham           20   14  -25      -3.92    25.52    -5.40    28.34     5.29   -44.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R   22.01  
Huddersfield     20   10  -23      -5.70    14.00    -3.21    23.34     4.86   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.44R   66.37  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Birmingham 0 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    25   51  +18      11.63    94.48    10.45    83.51     6.63    23.52    29.89    53.62    93.96    62.45P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   48  +14       9.68    89.91     8.01    80.37     6.64    19.27    15.13    33.72    86.30    44.45P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       25   46  +21      -0.14    48.56     2.58    84.16     6.62    35.56    37.70    61.44    95.40    72.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   44  +14       4.97    74.39     7.00    76.43     6.57    19.41     5.91    16.37    70.80    28.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   42  +10       0.79    54.29     0.09    75.80     6.45    17.21     4.62    13.47    67.03    29.57P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   42   +6       2.77    64.16    -1.27    75.74     6.58    13.41     4.42    12.83    65.68    26.66P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   38  +10       5.97    79.64    13.14    64.82     6.45     7.11     0.08     0.46    10.97     2.30P    0.06R    0.00  
QPR             25   38   -1       5.78    78.37     2.31    63.63     6.45    -6.02     0.05     0.24     7.24     1.40P    0.13R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   37   +9      -3.62    31.29    -0.58    71.86     6.64    18.18     1.71     5.56    45.31    16.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   25   36   +8       1.98    60.91     8.42    64.93     6.56     8.10     0.11     0.47    11.87     2.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City    25   35   +2      -0.36    48.42     0.47    63.57     6.52     1.58     0.06     0.27     8.01     1.87P    0.13R    0.00  
Stoke           25   35   +1      -2.88    35.34    -4.16    66.38     6.69     4.93     0.22     0.90    15.80     4.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         25   33   +1      -4.77    26.32    -4.21    64.58     6.67     5.09     0.08     0.42    10.72     3.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Hull            25   33   -3      -0.43    48.15    -1.59    61.81     6.52    -3.36     0.01     0.13     4.72     1.06P    0.34R    0.01  
Blackburn       25   31   -9       0.23    52.24    -3.34    57.67     6.64   -12.47     0.00     0.02     1.26     0.27P    2.10R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed       25   31  -10      -0.50    48.05    -5.52    59.07     6.61   -11.30     0.00     0.03     1.83     0.35P    1.34R    0.05  
Preston         25   29   -4      -5.23    24.10    -3.64    57.93     6.59    -3.97     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.32P    1.76R    0.09  
Brentford       25   27   +0      -8.65    11.95    -1.70    57.34     6.68     2.26     0.00     0.02     1.36     0.32P    2.16R    0.11  
Wigan           25   26  -12      -5.53    22.93    -8.08    53.79     6.62   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    6.81R    0.49  
Millwall        25   25   -9      -6.54    18.49    -4.76    50.85     6.43   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.26R    1.21  
Bolton          25   22  -15      -2.15    38.53    -0.49    41.51     5.90   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.70R   18.59  
Rotherham       25   22  -17      -2.27    38.45    -0.90    41.86     6.25   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.62R   19.32  
Reading         25   20  -10      -8.45    11.62    -0.83    43.78     6.31   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.61R   10.80  
Ipswich         25   15  -24     -10.84     5.31   -11.42    37.26     6.19   -34.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.77R   49.23  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           25   54  +21      13.45    96.60    11.74    88.16     6.63    28.89    24.66    48.93    98.12    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                25   51  +25       7.49    83.67    11.03    87.15     6.76    36.13    22.39    45.80    97.42    59.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           23   47  +21       4.16    71.59     3.57    89.58     7.03    37.97    35.72    60.32    98.40    72.87P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             24   45  +18       2.47    62.76     3.63    84.80     6.84    32.37    13.63    31.72    94.79    52.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   44  +14       4.13    70.64     5.70    78.28     6.69    22.31     2.13     7.33    76.25    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             25   43  +11       3.93    70.19     3.99    76.61     6.65    18.08     1.08     4.25    66.98    18.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            25   42  +10       5.22    75.59     6.42    73.09     6.67    13.25     0.38     1.54    43.51     9.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            24   35   +2       1.29    57.48     0.61    64.34     6.64     0.95     0.01     0.04     7.19     1.35P    1.02R    0.03  
Coventry             25   35   -3       4.70    74.36     2.17    60.56     6.46    -7.56     0.00     0.01     2.01     0.31P    4.03R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley   24   34   -5       5.44    77.62     1.41    59.82     6.71   -11.63     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.26P    5.97R    0.33  
Fleetwood_Town       25   33   +5      -2.51    37.24     3.39    63.35     6.71     7.26     0.00     0.05     6.00     1.23P    1.60R    0.08  
Southend             25   32   -1      -1.98    39.92    -0.45    60.31     6.57    -1.77     0.00     0.00     2.20     0.39P    4.29R    0.17  
Wycombe              25   32   -2       1.97    61.31     4.85    57.16     6.60    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.12P   10.88R    0.75  
Walsall              25   32  -12       2.88    66.15    -3.96    56.70     6.48   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P   13.31R    1.09  
Burton_Albion        24   31   -3      -1.78    40.94    -2.80    58.95     6.86    -6.35     0.00     0.01     1.63     0.32P    7.43R    0.46  
Rochdale             25   30  -14       0.05    51.31    -6.81    54.70     6.51   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   21.33R    2.26  
Shrewsbury           25   29   -3      -5.52    22.88    -3.43    58.68     6.56    -1.62     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.26P    7.03R    0.45  
Gillingham           25   28   -5      -3.58    31.98    -0.39    54.98     6.56    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   18.19R    1.82  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26   -4      -6.02    20.73    -0.49    52.53     6.56    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   28.81R    3.87  
Oxford_Utd           25   26   -7      -6.34    19.78    -3.58    52.67     6.58   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   28.71R    3.87  
Bradford             25   24  -12      -6.63    18.24    -6.24    50.39     6.53   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.39R    7.62  
Scunthorpe           25   24  -21      -7.32    16.08   -15.88    50.31     6.58   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   45.73R    9.10  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   22  -16      -5.13    23.50    -5.98    44.10     6.16   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.52R   32.76  
Plymouth             25   21  -19      -6.81    17.04    -8.51    43.94     6.37   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.73R   35.16  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     24   50  +21       9.55    91.10     9.68    86.69     6.73    30.76    46.85    84.23    98.74    88.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          24   44  +16       1.59    58.10     2.02    82.95     6.75    28.76    24.18    68.58    95.93    77.40P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        23   42  +18       3.37    68.40     7.75    81.20     6.85    29.21    17.44    59.40    93.40    69.35P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   42  +11       2.99    65.75     4.03    73.96     6.56    15.74     2.34    17.52    67.64    29.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             25   40  +17      -2.78    35.11     3.99    76.45     6.68    28.68     5.50    31.77    80.98    47.32P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   40  +13       6.73    82.57    12.65    70.01     6.71    12.81     0.77     7.61    44.68    13.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           25   40   +8       0.67    53.48     0.46    72.15     6.57    12.91     1.24    11.60    57.00    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   39  +10      -0.21    48.66     2.73    71.12     6.62    15.06     0.97     9.53    52.35    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         25   38   +6       3.57    68.63     5.84    65.90     6.67     4.62     0.15     2.13    22.15     5.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County   24   36   -6       5.63    78.88    -1.62    62.65     6.71   -11.44     0.04     0.69    10.14     2.14P    0.18R    0.02  
Oldham           25   35   +5      -4.47    28.03    -2.77    68.66     6.75    12.26     0.42     5.05    37.76    14.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage        25   35   -2       1.66    59.45    -0.59    63.75     6.55    -2.07     0.05     0.81    13.08     3.12P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby          25   34   -2       3.75    70.47     3.69    59.78     6.38    -6.19     0.01     0.14     4.21     0.80P    0.43R    0.06  
Swindon          25   33   -5      -1.52    42.15    -5.49    63.08     6.53    -3.22     0.04     0.61    11.08     2.87P    0.13R    0.01  
Crewe            25   31   -5      -0.34    48.72    -0.74    57.60     6.40    -8.18     0.00     0.07     2.19     0.47P    1.28R    0.22  
Northampton      25   30   -2      -5.58    23.18    -3.91    60.18     6.75    -0.01     0.01     0.23     6.23     1.69P    0.59R    0.10  
Port_Vale        25   28   -7      -3.24    33.29    -2.90    54.01     6.34   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    4.23R    0.99  
Crawley_Town     24   27   -8      -2.36    37.69    -2.38    52.72     6.55   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    6.93R    1.80  
Cheltenham       24   26   -9      -2.83    35.23    -2.52    53.39     6.67   -13.38     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.10P    6.15R    1.58  
Morecambe        25   26  -14      -1.18    44.45    -3.42    49.34     6.30   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   16.77R    5.15  
Yeovil           23   24   -1      -4.71    25.54     3.00    53.29     6.78    -4.29     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.17P    6.26R    1.61  
Cambridge_Utd    25   23  -19      -5.95    20.25   -11.26    47.29     6.30   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   26.21R    9.44  
Macclesfield     25   20  -20      -2.31    38.13    -1.75    38.99     5.98   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R   56.24  
Notts_County     25   20  -25      -9.15     9.83   -16.50    43.61     6.35   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.97R   22.75  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Barrow 3 2 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      27   54  +31       5.71    77.57    14.41    88.74     6.00    44.11    52.88    96.90    67.60P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   53  +21      10.56    92.61    11.23    85.01     6.15    27.86    22.31    88.85    40.29P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          27   49  +23       2.77    64.10     9.14    82.23     6.09    33.87    12.56    80.87    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       27   49  +20       6.92    80.47    12.16    78.43     6.37    25.13     4.84    57.77    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   47  +15       9.72    90.32    12.31    76.12     6.30    17.84     2.07    41.27     9.45P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     27   46  +16       5.53    75.08    10.76    74.67     6.45    20.03     1.43    34.28     8.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          26   46  +11       5.95    78.69     4.23    76.39     6.38    15.56     2.10    42.39    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      26   46   +7       7.42    83.71     2.55    75.57     6.31    10.46     1.58    36.35     8.55P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   40   +8       0.05    50.75     3.35    68.37     6.15    11.56     0.08     7.69     1.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Eastleigh          27   40   -3       5.52    76.46     0.47    65.32     6.04    -3.97     0.01     2.44     0.39P    0.14R    0.00  
Barrow             27   38   +0       1.97    60.49     1.07    62.13     6.06    -2.51     0.00     0.81     0.14P    0.48R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   36   -1      -2.27    38.52    -3.44    61.76     6.03    -0.82     0.00     0.72     0.14P    0.51R    0.00  
Barnet             24   34   -2      -3.32    32.42    -8.85    68.43     6.80     4.29     0.14     8.94     2.49P    0.10R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          27   34   -3      -4.20    29.27    -5.13    60.91     6.11    -1.66     0.00     0.47     0.09P    1.08R    0.01  
Hartlepool         27   33   -7      -1.87    41.13    -4.26    56.82     6.00    -9.95     0.00     0.08     0.01P    4.23R    0.02  
Halifax            26   31   -5       0.64    54.28     1.77    55.21     6.10    -9.02     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.58R    0.08  
Bromley            26   30   -5      -5.45    23.50    -4.69    56.70     6.39    -6.21     0.00     0.11     0.03P    5.27R    0.06  
Havant_&_Wville    27   26  -12      -3.10    35.27     1.54    45.19     6.04   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.86R    4.85  
Aldershot          27   26  -21      -6.26    20.11   -14.33    49.92     6.04   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.24R    1.25  
Dover_Athletic     27   25  -18      -9.19    11.10   -13.96    50.23     6.13   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.38R    1.12  
Chesterfield       26   24  -10     -12.61     4.60   -11.88    52.46     6.36    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.80R    0.45  
Maidenhead         26   24  -23      -3.58    31.81   -10.10    43.65     5.92   -35.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.17R    8.93  
Maidstone_United   26   22  -18      -4.72    25.91    -4.97    43.42     5.99   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.11R    9.32  
Braintree_Town     27   18  -24      -6.04    20.49    -3.40    34.02     5.63   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.03R   73.91