Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 January 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2018, Burnley 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        20   54  +40      10.42    97.64    12.22    93.83     5.12    65.92    70.14    94.89    99.30    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   47  +38       0.44    51.22     2.01    89.07     4.93    69.65    26.75    82.57    96.53    99.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   45  +22       4.42    76.26     0.32    81.87     5.41    42.12     2.66    16.94    66.98    91.30    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   43  +22       3.98    73.92     3.88    77.61     5.53    37.54     0.41     4.99    29.82    75.14    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          20   38  +12       2.70    66.05    -0.73    71.43     5.70    26.38     0.03     0.54     5.70    23.97    97.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   35   +9      -2.22    35.37    -6.29    67.93     5.77    21.83     0.01     0.07     1.67    10.07    91.94     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   29   +0       5.03    79.19     5.94    51.79     5.82    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        20   28   +1       0.44    53.09     1.61    52.11     5.75    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.96     0.01R    0.00  
Watford          20   28   -1       4.18    75.48     5.76    48.84     5.62    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.14R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +1      -0.94    44.33     1.64    51.55     5.94    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.93     0.03R    0.00  
West_Ham         20   27   -3       2.22    64.30     2.73    48.81     5.70    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.16R    0.00  
Bournemouth      20   26   -9       3.06    69.77     0.59    47.41     5.71   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.46R    0.00  
Brighton         20   25   -5       2.49    66.81     3.10    45.30     5.47   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.74R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   19   -9      -3.95    26.02    -1.34    40.67     5.66   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.94R    0.24  
Newcastle        20   18  -12      -5.01    20.55    -4.79    38.20     5.50   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.54R    0.58  
Cardiff          20   18  -19      -0.12    50.87    -2.22    34.23     5.36   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.03R    3.51  
Southampton      20   15  -17      -6.29    14.31    -5.58    35.54     5.61   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.75R    2.28  
Burnley          20   15  -22      -5.58    17.37   -10.29    33.30     5.41   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.94R    5.08  
Fulham           20   14  -25      -4.04    25.14    -5.50    28.40     5.27   -44.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.79R   21.22  
Huddersfield     20   10  -23      -5.62    14.04    -3.06    23.24     4.88   -42.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.45R   67.09  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Birmingham 0 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    25   51  +18      11.46    93.97    10.22    83.64     6.63    23.71    30.25    54.48    94.14    63.12P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   48  +14       9.69    89.87     8.02    80.32     6.64    19.16    15.25    33.58    86.26    44.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       25   46  +21      -0.17    48.27     2.57    84.18     6.63    35.63    37.42    61.14    95.49    72.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   44  +14       4.98    74.35     6.98    76.46     6.58    19.42     6.12    16.42    71.03    29.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   42  +10       0.78    54.22     0.08    75.81     6.38    17.24     4.32    13.31    67.52    29.63P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   42   +6       2.84    65.03    -1.14    75.61     6.57    13.20     4.33    12.43    64.92    25.59P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   38  +10       5.93    79.48    13.07    64.77     6.48     7.05     0.12     0.52    10.92     2.26P    0.07R    0.00  
QPR             25   38   -1       5.75    78.36     2.26    63.69     6.43    -5.96     0.06     0.26     7.33     1.36P    0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   37   +9      -3.55    31.78    -0.48    71.79     6.65    18.09     1.63     5.48    44.99    16.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   25   36   +8       2.11    61.58     8.65    64.71     6.58     7.81     0.10     0.51    11.34     2.63P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City    25   35   +2      -0.31    48.61     0.50    63.56     6.52     1.57     0.05     0.27     7.88     1.96P    0.15R    0.00  
Stoke           25   35   +1      -2.79    35.70    -4.07    66.38     6.69     4.92     0.23     0.91    16.02     4.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea         25   33   +1      -4.85    25.91    -4.32    64.69     6.66     5.25     0.08     0.49    11.05     3.37P    0.14R    0.00  
Hull            25   33   -3      -0.55    47.37    -1.71    61.91     6.52    -3.23     0.02     0.09     4.73     0.99P    0.35R    0.00  
Blackburn       25   31   -9       0.15    51.72    -3.45    57.73     6.65   -12.39     0.01     0.01     1.33     0.22P    2.14R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed       25   31  -10      -0.42    48.52    -5.39    59.05     6.62   -11.33     0.01     0.04     1.88     0.35P    1.35R    0.07  
Preston         25   29   -4      -5.23    24.07    -3.69    57.90     6.61    -4.01     0.00     0.02     1.38     0.34P    1.75R    0.07  
Brentford       25   27   +0      -8.65    12.19    -1.72    57.40     6.72     2.32     0.00     0.02     1.45     0.39P    2.15R    0.12  
Wigan           25   26  -12      -5.57    22.62    -8.12    53.78     6.60   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    6.84R    0.52  
Millwall        25   25   -9      -6.38    19.11    -4.53    50.76     6.39   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.30R    1.19  
Bolton          25   22  -15      -2.10    38.84    -0.41    41.49     5.88   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.68R   19.35  
Rotherham       25   22  -17      -2.19    39.12    -0.81    41.86     6.21   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.83R   19.15  
Reading         25   20  -10      -8.49    11.56    -0.89    43.80     6.36   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.50R   10.85  
Ipswich         25   15  -24     -10.99     5.15   -11.61    37.34     6.23   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.49R   48.57  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           25   54  +21      13.34    96.45    11.58    88.32     6.63    29.11    25.08    49.97    98.03    61.01P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                25   51  +25       7.52    83.68    11.00    87.19     6.74    36.18    22.26    46.05    97.45    59.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           23   47  +21       4.26    72.10     3.70    89.51     7.13    37.88    35.93    59.80    98.27    72.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             24   45  +18       2.56    63.13     3.76    84.70     6.86    32.21    13.18    30.98    94.68    51.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   44  +14       4.17    70.97     5.73    78.27     6.70    22.31     2.10     7.28    76.17    22.85P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             25   43  +11       3.97    70.43     4.07    76.55     6.69    18.02     1.12     4.27    66.57    18.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            25   42  +10       5.20    75.59     6.41    73.07     6.72    13.22     0.33     1.53    43.37     9.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            24   35   +2       1.24    57.20     0.60    64.39     6.68     1.02     0.01     0.05     7.36     1.41P    1.07R    0.03  
Coventry             25   35   -3       4.62    73.83     2.12    60.59     6.49    -7.56     0.00     0.01     2.10     0.36P    3.98R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley   24   34   -5       5.42    77.62     1.37    59.86     6.69   -11.55     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.27P    5.75R    0.30  
Fleetwood_Town       25   33   +5      -2.62    36.57     3.25    63.40     6.69     7.35     0.00     0.03     6.18     1.28P    1.57R    0.05  
Southend             25   32   -1      -2.16    39.15    -0.68    60.45     6.61    -1.56     0.00     0.01     2.40     0.45P    4.23R    0.16  
Wycombe              25   32   -2       2.02    61.38     4.87    57.11     6.60    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P   11.28R    0.75  
Walsall              25   32  -12       2.90    66.45    -3.94    56.65     6.45   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.08P   13.27R    1.02  
Burton_Albion        24   31   -3      -1.73    41.23    -2.69    58.98     6.82    -6.28     0.00     0.01     1.74     0.35P    7.31R    0.51  
Rochdale             25   30  -14       0.11    51.32    -6.73    54.66     6.51   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   21.28R    2.24  
Shrewsbury           25   29   -3      -5.37    23.33    -3.23    58.61     6.60    -1.69     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.27P    7.14R    0.47  
Gillingham           25   28   -5      -3.54    32.22    -0.38    54.90     6.56    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P   18.61R    1.75  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26   -4      -6.09    20.45    -0.60    52.58     6.57    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   28.59R    3.77  
Oxford_Utd           25   26   -7      -6.28    19.88    -3.48    52.63     6.58   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   28.86R    3.95  
Bradford             25   24  -12      -6.77    17.78    -6.46    50.48     6.50   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.74R    7.55  
Scunthorpe           25   24  -21      -7.12    16.97   -15.51    50.19     6.58   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   46.14R    9.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   22  -16      -5.22    23.13    -6.12    44.12     6.19   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.27R   32.49  
Plymouth             25   21  -19      -6.89    16.92    -8.64    43.92     6.37   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.89R   35.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     24   50  +21       9.68    91.44     9.90    86.54     6.71    30.55    45.91    83.82    98.69    87.62P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          24   44  +16       1.59    58.41     2.01    82.99     6.76    28.89    24.90    68.44    95.86    77.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        23   42  +18       3.48    68.90     7.89    81.15     6.83    29.16    17.47    59.09    93.21    69.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   42  +11       2.87    65.04     3.85    74.08     6.55    15.90     2.36    17.61    68.40    29.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             25   40  +17      -2.89    34.77     3.81    76.54     6.68    28.73     5.50    32.27    81.54    47.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   40  +13       6.76    82.62    12.66    70.00     6.75    12.76     0.80     7.64    44.85    14.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           25   40   +8       0.74    53.90     0.55    72.07     6.63    12.86     1.28    11.51    56.72    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   39  +10      -0.12    49.47     2.84    71.06     6.68    14.96     1.06     9.62    51.43    19.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         25   38   +6       3.69    69.16     6.03    65.85     6.67     4.57     0.17     2.13    22.00     5.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County   24   36   -6       5.64    79.03    -1.61    62.65     6.73   -11.40     0.04     0.76    10.25     2.20P    0.21R    0.02  
Oldham           25   35   +5      -4.53    27.56    -2.91    68.70     6.71    12.33     0.45     5.13    37.99    14.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        25   35   -2       1.66    59.55    -0.51    63.71     6.51    -2.12     0.02     0.77    12.77     2.98P    0.09R    0.01  
Grimsby          25   34   -2       3.68    70.29     3.57    59.81     6.39    -6.14     0.01     0.16     4.26     0.82P    0.48R    0.07  
Swindon          25   33   -5      -1.45    42.42    -5.36    63.00     6.56    -3.32     0.03     0.64    10.84     2.79P    0.15R    0.03  
Crewe            25   31   -5      -0.26    49.25    -0.61    57.57     6.42    -8.21     0.00     0.06     2.21     0.39P    1.35R    0.24  
Northampton      25   30   -2      -5.66    23.03    -4.04    60.32     6.74     0.17     0.01     0.28     6.34     1.78P    0.62R    0.13  
Port_Vale        25   28   -7      -3.28    32.86    -2.93    53.96     6.36   -11.05     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.11P    4.29R    1.02  
Crawley_Town     24   27   -8      -2.36    37.84    -2.40    52.70     6.55   -15.14     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.07P    6.82R    1.85  
Cheltenham       24   26   -9      -2.97    34.36    -2.75    53.48     6.72   -13.27     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.15P    6.06R    1.49  
Morecambe        25   26  -14      -1.37    43.45    -3.72    49.56     6.32   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   15.61R    4.71  
Yeovil           23   24   -1      -4.72    25.03     3.02    53.24     6.82    -4.37     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.16P    6.23R    1.73  
Cambridge_Utd    25   23  -19      -5.88    20.61   -11.15    47.21     6.33   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.86R    9.72  
Macclesfield     25   20  -20      -2.39    37.61    -1.95    38.97     5.99   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.79R   55.87  
Notts_County     25   20  -25      -9.00    10.27   -16.20    43.53     6.40   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.42R   23.12  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Barrow 3 2 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      27   54  +31       5.56    76.41    14.19    88.81     5.99    44.20    53.10    96.95    67.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   53  +21      10.59    92.54    11.29    85.03     6.12    27.86    22.29    88.97    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          27   49  +23       2.83    63.90     9.17    82.21     6.07    33.85    12.29    80.48    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       27   49  +20       6.87    80.39    12.08    78.48     6.41    25.18     5.09    57.92    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   47  +15       9.98    90.85    12.65    75.93     6.31    17.55     1.91    39.94     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     27   46  +16       5.48    74.96    10.69    74.76     6.42    20.18     1.43    34.79     8.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   46  +11       5.95    78.71     4.27    76.51     6.30    15.69     2.10    43.35    11.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      26   46   +7       7.40    83.99     2.54    75.56     6.28    10.47     1.51    36.29     8.45P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   40   +8       0.20    51.29     3.58    68.32     6.15    11.50     0.08     7.53     1.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          27   40   -3       5.55    76.90     0.50    65.28     6.06    -4.06     0.01     2.42     0.38P    0.13R    0.00  
Barrow             27   38   +0       2.03    60.98     1.20    62.06     6.04    -2.63     0.00     0.74     0.12P    0.52R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   36   -1      -2.26    38.35    -3.43    61.75     6.01    -0.85     0.00     0.65     0.13P    0.58R    0.00  
Barnet             24   34   -2      -3.40    32.14    -8.91    68.41     6.84     4.29     0.17     9.25     2.76P    0.10R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          27   34   -3      -4.44    28.14    -5.45    61.02     6.16    -1.53     0.00     0.50     0.14P    1.08R    0.01  
Hartlepool         27   33   -7      -1.91    40.66    -4.32    56.83     5.96    -9.93     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.23R    0.04  
Halifax            26   31   -5       0.80    55.30     1.98    55.13     6.13    -9.13     0.00     0.04     0.00P    8.08R    0.10  
Bromley            26   30   -5      -5.54    23.19    -4.83    56.81     6.36    -6.05     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.05R    0.07  
Havant_&_Wville    27   26  -12      -3.38    33.75     1.03    45.38     6.05   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.63R    4.59  
Aldershot          27   26  -21      -6.36    19.73   -14.50    50.02     6.04   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.72R    1.20  
Dover_Athletic     27   25  -18      -9.07    11.46   -13.78    50.20     6.16   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00P   28.73R    1.11  
Chesterfield       26   24  -10     -12.46     4.84   -11.68    52.36     6.40    -8.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.25R    0.54  
Maidenhead         26   24  -23      -3.51    32.21   -10.05    43.58     5.94   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.48R    8.83  
Maidstone_United   26   22  -18      -4.78    25.47    -5.06    43.41     6.01   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.14R    9.37  
Braintree_Town     27   18  -24      -5.94    20.67    -3.18    33.90     5.58   -39.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.25R   74.14