Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2018, Burnley 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        20   54  +40      10.30    97.55    12.03    93.85     5.14    65.90    70.37    94.87    99.27    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   47  +38       0.43    51.40     2.01    89.01     4.93    69.55    26.29    81.96    96.42    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   45  +22       4.39    76.45     0.21    81.94     5.41    42.27     2.80    17.50    67.33    91.73    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          20   43  +22       3.95    73.57     3.84    77.67     5.54    37.66     0.53     5.07    29.71    74.95    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          20   38  +12       2.75    66.63    -0.68    71.42     5.75    26.38     0.01     0.50     5.67    24.17    97.26     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   35   +9      -2.19    35.61    -6.27    67.95     5.69    21.87     0.00     0.10     1.60     9.66    92.32     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    20   29   +0       5.08    79.63     6.05    51.81     5.79    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        20   28   +1       0.27    52.11     1.42    52.16     5.75    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.97     0.02R    0.00  
Watford          20   28   -1       4.27    75.66     5.81    48.83     5.60    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.11R    0.00  
Everton          20   27   +1      -0.89    44.51     1.74    51.55     5.93    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.81     0.05R    0.00  
West_Ham         20   27   -3       2.30    64.84     2.82    48.66     5.73    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.17R    0.00  
Bournemouth      20   26   -9       3.13    70.07     0.74    47.35     5.72   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.44R    0.00  
Brighton         20   25   -5       2.44    66.20     3.04    45.24     5.53   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.86R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   20   19   -9      -3.97    26.05    -1.33    40.60     5.60   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.02R    0.23  
Newcastle        20   18  -12      -5.09    19.81    -4.90    38.27     5.49   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.82R    0.60  
Cardiff          20   18  -19      -0.12    50.93    -2.22    34.33     5.36   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.68R    3.44  
Southampton      20   15  -17      -6.30    14.55    -5.63    35.61     5.60   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.18R    2.15  
Burnley          20   15  -22      -5.52    17.46   -10.22    33.27     5.44   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.78R    5.18  
Fulham           20   14  -25      -3.99    25.33    -5.37    28.32     5.30   -44.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.61R   21.86  
Huddersfield     20   10  -23      -5.69    14.14    -3.10    23.32     4.89   -42.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.22R   66.51  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Birmingham 0 0 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    25   51  +18      11.57    94.09    10.40    83.57     6.64    23.61    30.27    54.13    93.99    62.82P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   48  +14       9.71    90.06     8.07    80.30     6.64    19.19    15.23    33.67    86.11    44.56P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       25   46  +21      -0.04    49.35     2.79    84.01     6.70    35.35    36.89    60.55    95.08    71.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   44  +14       5.05    74.83     7.07    76.45     6.55    19.42     6.11    16.50    70.98    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   42  +10       0.80    54.19     0.11    75.81     6.42    17.21     4.71    13.35    67.34    29.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   42   +6       2.78    64.47    -1.32    75.75     6.56    13.41     4.47    12.90    65.97    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      25   38  +10       5.85    79.26    12.99    64.92     6.45     7.26     0.12     0.49    11.19     2.28P    0.06R    0.00  
QPR             25   38   -1       5.75    78.48     2.28    63.62     6.40    -6.04     0.05     0.26     7.15     1.31P    0.14R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   37   +9      -3.56    31.41    -0.45    71.81     6.66    18.10     1.67     5.66    45.15    16.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   25   36   +8       1.98    61.07     8.45    64.78     6.58     7.92     0.09     0.51    11.50     2.65P    0.09R    0.00  
Bristol_City    25   35   +2      -0.32    48.49     0.51    63.62     6.55     1.63     0.06     0.32     7.77     1.92P    0.17R    0.01  
Stoke           25   35   +1      -2.75    35.98    -4.01    66.36     6.72     4.91     0.22     0.98    16.05     4.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         25   33   +1      -4.70    26.82    -4.11    64.56     6.66     5.07     0.08     0.46    10.62     3.21P    0.12R    0.01  
Hull            25   33   -3      -0.63    47.10    -1.82    62.01     6.50    -3.07     0.02     0.12     4.85     1.05P    0.39R    0.01  
Blackburn       25   31   -9       0.20    51.72    -3.33    57.65     6.66   -12.55     0.01     0.02     1.26     0.24P    2.19R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed       25   31  -10      -0.58    47.32    -5.68    59.11     6.59   -11.25     0.00     0.04     1.86     0.39P    1.36R    0.05  
Preston         25   29   -4      -5.20    24.43    -3.64    57.83     6.62    -4.06     0.00     0.03     1.43     0.33P    1.84R    0.10  
Brentford       25   27   +0      -8.80    11.74    -2.00    57.44     6.66     2.44     0.00     0.02     1.34     0.32P    2.06R    0.10  
Wigan           25   26  -12      -5.44    23.29    -7.93    53.69     6.61   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    7.06R    0.56  
Millwall        25   25   -9      -6.45    18.99    -4.64    50.82     6.44   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.28R    1.25  
Bolton          25   22  -15      -2.18    38.39    -0.54    41.54     5.92   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.45R   18.61  
Rotherham       25   22  -17      -2.40    37.90    -1.11    41.98     6.20   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.51R   18.36  
Reading         25   20  -10      -8.41    11.74    -0.77    43.78     6.37   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   49.59R   10.85  
Ipswich         25   15  -24     -10.75     5.30   -11.30    37.15     6.23   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.64R   49.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           25   54  +21      13.51    96.61    11.88    88.11     6.58    28.83    24.20    48.50    98.11    59.97P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                25   51  +25       7.46    83.64    10.97    87.21     6.79    36.23    22.63    45.92    97.38    60.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           23   47  +21       4.26    72.01     3.69    89.56     7.06    37.95    35.97    60.00    98.40    72.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             24   45  +18       2.39    62.30     3.49    84.92     6.85    32.51    13.57    32.15    95.10    52.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   44  +14       4.10    70.54     5.67    78.28     6.70    22.33     2.10     7.31    76.11    22.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton             25   43  +11       3.98    70.20     4.07    76.56     6.70    18.01     1.20     4.48    66.56    18.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            25   42  +10       5.24    75.89     6.43    73.13     6.66    13.30     0.32     1.55    43.79     9.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            24   35   +2       1.34    57.79     0.72    64.23     6.66     0.80     0.00     0.05     7.07     1.37P    1.01R    0.03  
Coventry             25   35   -3       4.83    74.80     2.37    60.45     6.46    -7.76     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.28P    4.19R    0.16  
Accrington_Stanley   24   34   -5       5.37    77.60     1.29    59.93     6.67   -11.47     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.23P    5.84R    0.30  
Fleetwood_Town       25   33   +5      -2.70    36.31     3.10    63.46     6.70     7.45     0.00     0.02     6.21     1.24P    1.51R    0.05  
Southend             25   32   -1      -2.18    38.90    -0.65    60.45     6.56    -1.58     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.41P    4.02R    0.21  
Wycombe              25   32   -2       1.99    61.06     4.87    57.15     6.54    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.09P   10.86R    0.79  
Walsall              25   32  -12       2.84    66.16    -4.03    56.69     6.45   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P   13.33R    0.97  
Burton_Albion        24   31   -3      -1.89    40.35    -2.94    59.09     6.86    -6.18     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.33P    7.22R    0.39  
Rochdale             25   30  -14       0.22    52.01    -6.57    54.55     6.46   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   21.79R    2.37  
Shrewsbury           25   29   -3      -5.48    22.72    -3.37    58.65     6.57    -1.64     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.26P    6.96R    0.44  
Gillingham           25   28   -5      -3.43    32.63    -0.23    54.93     6.53    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   18.20R    1.81  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26   -4      -6.02    20.59    -0.50    52.51     6.51    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   28.55R    3.76  
Oxford_Utd           25   26   -7      -6.28    19.93    -3.52    52.71     6.62   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   28.56R    3.84  
Bradford             25   24  -12      -6.59    18.22    -6.23    50.39     6.50   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   42.25R    7.53  
Scunthorpe           25   24  -21      -7.33    16.09   -15.82    50.16     6.58   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.06R    9.39  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   22  -16      -5.10    23.60    -5.93    44.06     6.16   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.87R   32.98  
Plymouth             25   21  -19      -6.95    16.67    -8.75    43.97     6.37   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.75R   34.98  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     24   50  +21       9.51    90.72     9.62    86.72     6.76    30.80    46.64    84.09    98.75    87.88P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          24   44  +16       1.72    58.80     2.21    82.90     6.80    28.70    23.77    67.78    95.65    76.67P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        23   42  +18       3.33    67.98     7.69    81.31     6.82    29.41    17.70    59.65    93.60    69.61P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   42  +11       2.72    64.54     3.61    74.26     6.56    16.15     2.40    18.44    69.51    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             25   40  +17      -2.91    34.41     3.79    76.49     6.67    28.70     5.52    31.71    81.22    47.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     24   40  +13       6.70    82.32    12.64    70.00     6.80    12.79     0.87     7.54    44.41    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           25   40   +8       0.58    53.14     0.30    72.23     6.62    13.08     1.42    11.80    57.32    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   39  +10      -0.07    49.53     2.90    70.95     6.70    14.78     1.04     9.24    50.74    19.31P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         25   38   +6       3.47    67.93     5.72    66.02     6.73     4.77     0.13     2.25    22.58     6.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County   24   36   -6       5.69    78.95    -1.52    62.58     6.69   -11.58     0.03     0.67     9.85     2.03P    0.21R    0.03  
Oldham           25   35   +5      -4.52    27.64    -2.90    68.71     6.66    12.31     0.42     5.06    37.48    14.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        25   35   -2       1.69    59.49    -0.52    63.75     6.54    -2.07     0.04     0.80    12.70     2.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Grimsby          25   34   -2       3.63    69.88     3.53    59.78     6.37    -6.19     0.00     0.13     4.21     0.77P    0.44R    0.07  
Swindon          25   33   -5      -1.66    41.58    -5.69    63.16     6.56    -3.06     0.01     0.55    11.30     2.92P    0.11R    0.01  
Crewe            25   31   -5      -0.21    49.71    -0.47    57.53     6.44    -8.31     0.00     0.05     2.19     0.38P    1.34R    0.25  
Northampton      25   30   -2      -5.56    23.20    -3.89    60.24     6.68     0.08     0.01     0.21     6.06     1.65P    0.57R    0.07  
Port_Vale        25   28   -7      -3.23    33.40    -2.88    53.99     6.36   -11.03     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.10P    4.26R    0.91  
Crawley_Town     24   27   -8      -2.23    38.68    -2.19    52.60     6.52   -15.27     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.05P    6.96R    1.69  
Cheltenham       24   26   -9      -2.72    35.65    -2.37    53.33     6.70   -13.50     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.12P    6.23R    1.64  
Morecambe        25   26  -14      -1.26    43.81    -3.52    49.43     6.25   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   15.76R    4.74  
Yeovil           23   24   -1      -4.70    25.08     3.08    53.28     6.81    -4.29     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.12P    6.08R    1.58  
Cambridge_Utd    25   23  -19      -5.93    20.16   -11.21    47.22     6.30   -25.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.42R    9.33  
Macclesfield     25   20  -20      -2.26    38.17    -1.74    38.82     5.93   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.40R   56.51  
Notts_County     25   20  -25      -9.00    10.05   -16.20    43.50     6.38   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.08R   23.15  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2018, Barrow 3 2 Salford_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      27   54  +31       5.70    77.39    14.37    88.78     6.00    44.17    53.45    97.01    67.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   53  +21      10.70    92.83    11.44    84.87     6.15    27.64    21.59    88.28    39.18P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          27   49  +23       2.68    63.14     8.99    82.26     6.04    33.87    12.45    80.77    33.16P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       27   49  +20       6.90    80.20    12.09    78.45     6.43    25.20     5.04    57.56    16.57P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     26   47  +15       9.87    90.69    12.51    76.03     6.29    17.69     2.02    40.64     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     27   46  +16       5.60    75.26    10.83    74.68     6.49    20.04     1.44    34.77     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   46  +11       5.92    78.70     4.25    76.44     6.34    15.66     2.14    42.88    11.18P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      26   46   +7       7.41    83.86     2.54    75.58     6.33    10.51     1.62    36.16     8.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   40   +8       0.01    50.15     3.29    68.40     6.15    11.61     0.06     7.75     1.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh          27   40   -3       5.47    76.34     0.38    65.32     6.04    -4.00     0.01     2.46     0.40P    0.10R    0.00  
Barrow             27   38   +0       1.95    60.85     1.03    62.21     6.00    -2.41     0.00     0.75     0.13P    0.44R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       27   36   -1      -2.19    38.89    -3.33    61.67     6.05    -0.95     0.00     0.73     0.15P    0.61R    0.00  
Barnet             24   34   -2      -3.39    32.26    -8.91    68.44     6.90     4.31     0.17     9.40     2.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          27   34   -3      -4.26    29.18    -5.19    60.91     6.15    -1.63     0.00     0.58     0.13P    1.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool         27   33   -7      -1.96    40.26    -4.42    56.87     5.98    -9.85     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.11R    0.02  
Halifax            26   31   -5       0.80    55.38     2.01    55.14     6.11    -9.14     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.94R    0.12  
Bromley            26   30   -5      -5.46    23.64    -4.75    56.73     6.38    -6.18     0.00     0.14     0.04P    5.24R    0.05  
Havant_&_Wville    27   26  -12      -3.22    34.69     1.33    45.28     6.04   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.32R    4.75  
Aldershot          27   26  -21      -6.09    20.61   -14.04    49.85     6.05   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.02R    1.24  
Dover_Athletic     27   25  -18      -9.17    11.03   -13.98    50.28     6.10   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.19R    1.02  
Chesterfield       26   24  -10     -12.60     4.54   -11.86    52.48     6.40    -8.18     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.69R    0.55  
Maidenhead         26   24  -23      -3.72    30.94   -10.33    43.68     5.93   -35.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.19R    8.74  
Maidstone_United   26   22  -18      -4.78    25.67    -5.01    43.43     6.01   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.87R    9.47  
Braintree_Town     27   18  -24      -5.97    20.90    -3.25    33.98     5.63   -39.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.17R   74.04