Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 December 2018, Southampton 1 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        19   51  +36      10.02    97.39    10.63    92.30     5.40    61.71    60.95    87.59    98.02    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        19   45  +24       5.90    84.77     2.26    84.86     5.52    46.92    10.01    35.66    81.33    95.59    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         19   44  +36      -0.10    47.40     1.94    88.40     5.13    69.28    28.37    71.59    94.36    99.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          19   40  +21       2.94    68.30     3.62    76.62     5.76    37.62     0.55     3.96    18.43    65.01    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          19   38  +16       2.75    66.71     0.80    72.92     5.90    30.59     0.12     1.15     7.05    33.27    97.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          19   32   +6      -2.59    33.03    -7.18    66.86     5.91    19.73     0.00     0.05     0.82     7.17    85.29     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        19   28   +2       1.83    62.08     2.65    54.58     6.00     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.09     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          19   27   +2       0.27    51.80     2.37    53.31     6.14     1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.35     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         19   27   -1       3.16    70.27     3.98    50.62     5.92    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.05     0.05R    0.00  
Watford          19   27   -1       4.63    78.06     5.84    49.47     5.84    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   26   -2       3.67    73.40     4.21    48.29     5.86    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.14R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   26   -6       3.34    71.56     1.49    48.30     5.94   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.23R    0.00  
Brighton         19   22   -6       0.95    57.34     2.30    43.31     5.69   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.48R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   19   19   -8      -3.15    30.38    -1.15    41.55     5.84   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.28R    0.15  
Newcastle        19   17  -12      -4.80    20.71    -5.02    38.40     5.72   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.72R    0.51  
Southampton      19   15  -15      -5.93    15.57    -5.62    36.12     5.76   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.59R    1.64  
Cardiff          19   15  -20      -1.96    37.93    -3.19    31.67     5.50   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.99R    7.98  
Burnley          19   12  -24      -6.77    10.98   -11.44    31.02     5.61   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.88R    9.92  
Fulham           19   11  -26      -5.27    17.44    -5.80    27.01     5.52   -45.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.89R   30.44  
Huddersfield     19   10  -22      -4.73    18.09    -2.67    24.48     5.07   -41.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.63R   49.30  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Birmingham 2 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    24   51  +20      12.49    95.99    11.67    86.11     6.85    27.32    37.05    63.97    96.90    71.38P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         24   48  +15      10.87    93.02     8.67    82.22     6.84    21.00    17.08    39.31    90.58    50.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       24   45  +21       0.64    52.70     3.13    85.50     6.88    37.17    36.83    63.83    96.39    74.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   41  +11       4.61    73.42     5.88    74.65     6.82    16.12     2.67     9.09    60.34    20.59P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   39   +8       0.13    50.67    -0.57    74.51     6.65    15.70     2.33     8.30    59.68    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   39   +5       1.34    57.43    -2.02    73.65     6.75    11.67     1.87     6.42    53.29    18.58P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      24   37  +10       6.35    81.44    13.28    65.17     6.73     7.04     0.10     0.51    13.13     2.58P    0.06R    0.00  
QPR             24   37   -1       6.35    81.32     2.71    64.40     6.65    -5.46     0.07     0.34     9.58     1.82P    0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   36   +9      -3.25    32.82    -0.68    72.45     6.88    18.50     1.49     5.46    49.15    17.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   36   +9       2.80    65.32     8.66    66.57     6.83     9.53     0.17     0.84    18.45     4.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Stoke           24   34   +1      -2.27    38.06    -3.84    67.28     7.00     5.70     0.22     1.10    20.63     6.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City    24   32   +1      -1.28    43.62     0.55    62.53     6.68     1.39     0.02     0.15     6.40     1.45P    0.30R    0.01  
Swansea         24   32   +1      -4.21    28.44    -3.99    65.56     6.87     6.00     0.10     0.54    14.34     4.26P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6       0.24    52.10    -2.49    59.39     6.88    -9.01     0.00     0.03     2.72     0.52P    1.37R    0.07  
Hull            24   30   -5      -1.98    40.03    -3.39    59.44     6.68    -6.56     0.01     0.04     2.55     0.53P    1.17R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       24   30  -10      -0.43    48.28    -6.08    58.47     6.76   -12.99     0.00     0.02     1.76     0.36P    1.82R    0.09  
Preston         24   28   -4      -4.80    25.44    -3.59    58.02     6.80    -4.41     0.00     0.03     1.87     0.41P    1.97R    0.09  
Brentford       24   26   +0      -8.41    12.04    -1.89    57.75     6.92     2.32     0.00     0.03     1.90     0.49P    2.07R    0.14  
Wigan           24   25  -12      -5.26    23.48    -8.16    53.51     6.78   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    7.99R    0.82  
Millwall        24   22  -10      -7.68    14.05    -4.99    48.94     6.61   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   20.94R    3.12  
Rotherham       24   22  -16      -1.51    42.44    -0.69    42.67     6.36   -31.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.09R   17.60  
Bolton          24   21  -15      -2.13    38.45    -0.69    41.45     6.10   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.37R   21.54  
Reading         24   19  -10      -8.17    11.72    -0.75    43.64     6.57   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.67R   12.81  
Ipswich         24   15  -22     -10.40     5.94   -10.73    38.22     6.43   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.91R   43.66  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           24   51  +18      12.83    96.38    10.27    85.84     6.78    24.81    15.60    37.39    96.15    50.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                24   50  +25       7.96    86.10    11.16    88.24     6.91    37.18    28.48    55.52    98.17    67.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           22   46  +21       4.91    75.72     4.03    90.45     7.25    38.76    42.38    67.22    98.70    77.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             24   43  +12       4.83    74.55     4.32    77.72     6.84    18.73     2.05     7.22    73.76    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             23   42  +17       1.47    57.66     3.52    83.20     7.06    31.40    10.12    26.60    92.01    47.89P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   41  +10       3.90    70.06     3.92    75.89     6.91    17.11     1.12     4.61    64.16    17.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            24   39   +8       4.23    71.89     5.35    71.12     6.89    10.75     0.20     1.09    34.74     7.72P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            23   34   +2       1.70    59.66     0.72    65.02     6.89     1.37     0.01     0.10     9.97     1.96P    1.02R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   23   34   -1       5.22    76.98     2.93    62.23     7.00    -6.00     0.02     0.05     5.08     0.82P    2.89R    0.11  
Fleetwood_Town       24   33   +8      -2.05    39.14     4.95    65.43     6.83    11.41     0.02     0.12    11.94     2.63P    0.72R    0.01  
Southend             24   32   +0      -1.06    44.55    -0.05    62.11     6.80    -0.14     0.01     0.03     4.85     0.97P    2.47R    0.08  
Wycombe              24   32   -1       2.92    66.18     5.30    58.55     6.80    -7.00     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.26P    7.74R    0.48  
Coventry             24   32   -4       3.52    69.39     1.90    58.50     6.65    -9.28     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.20P    7.50R    0.39  
Walsall              24   31  -12       2.98    67.15    -4.43    56.43     6.62   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.07P   13.64R    1.07  
Burton_Albion        23   30   -3      -1.19    43.95    -2.47    59.81     7.07    -5.67     0.00     0.02     2.79     0.58P    5.91R    0.34  
Rochdale             24   30  -10       0.33    52.48    -4.61    57.19     6.71   -15.20     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.12P   11.53R    0.84  
Gillingham           24   28   -3      -2.77    35.63     0.63    56.73     6.78    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.18P   11.81R    0.83  
Shrewsbury           24   28   -3      -5.34    23.23    -3.79    58.37     6.75    -2.63     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.32P    7.71R    0.50  
Oxford_Utd           24   26   -5      -5.47    22.89    -2.36    54.83     6.85    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P   18.38R    1.88  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23   -6      -7.24    15.44    -1.85    50.25     6.66   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.09R    6.65  
Bradford             24   21  -16      -7.23    15.05    -8.69    47.62     6.67   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.22R   13.93  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   21  -16      -4.78    24.51    -5.87    44.14     6.33   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.87R   28.47  
Scunthorpe           24   21  -22      -8.41    12.19   -15.91    48.64     6.76   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.85R   12.21  
Plymouth             24   20  -19      -6.79    16.71    -8.97    43.87     6.54   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   78.60R   32.16  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     23   47  +20       8.52    88.75     9.53    85.03     6.92    29.65    34.92    74.47    97.28    80.44P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          23   43  +16       2.06    61.18     2.12    83.61     6.99    29.25    27.29    67.87    95.69    76.94P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        22   41  +18       4.00    71.82     8.04    82.31     7.04    30.46    21.83    61.43    94.10    71.29P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       24   41  +11       3.64    69.37     4.34    75.26     6.74    17.12     3.52    20.99    72.08    33.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           24   40   +9       1.92    60.68     1.24    74.56     6.77    15.48     2.86    18.00    68.47    30.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             24   39  +17      -2.23    37.89     4.09    77.40     6.93    29.60     7.14    34.19    82.35    49.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   39  +13       6.95    83.85    12.44    70.37     6.95    12.74     0.97     7.63    44.11    14.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   37   +6       4.00    70.75     6.01    66.74     6.93     5.27     0.24     2.77    25.00     6.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         24   36   +9      -1.05    44.19     2.89    70.30     6.86    15.30     0.83     7.18    45.06    16.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        24   35   -1       2.64    64.61    -0.07    65.27     6.77    -0.82     0.08     1.37    17.30     4.47P    0.07R    0.01  
Newport_County   23   35   -6       6.19    81.64    -1.20    63.36     6.91   -11.04     0.07     0.89    11.64     2.45P    0.20R    0.03  
Oldham           24   32   +2      -5.08    24.84    -4.30    66.43     6.88     8.33     0.18     2.23    24.29     8.15P    0.04R    0.01  
Swindon          24   32   -5      -1.48    42.20    -5.85    62.85     6.71    -4.17     0.04     0.55     9.92     2.41P    0.18R    0.04  
Grimsby          24   31   -3       1.85    61.19     2.30    57.50     6.56    -8.20     0.00     0.07     2.18     0.42P    1.44R    0.26  
Northampton      24   29   -2      -5.26    24.11    -3.98    60.30     6.91    -0.31     0.02     0.27     5.90     1.56P    0.73R    0.17  
Port_Vale        24   28   -4      -2.87    34.76    -1.41    55.99     6.56    -7.01     0.00     0.01     1.31     0.26P    2.45R    0.59  
Crewe            24   28   -6      -1.66    41.40    -1.12    55.89     6.62    -9.37     0.00     0.03     1.22     0.26P    2.79R    0.67  
Crawley_Town     23   26   -8      -2.08    39.25    -2.43    52.65     6.79   -16.02     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.10P    7.93R    2.27  
Cheltenham       23   25   -9      -2.43    37.04    -2.53    53.80     6.89   -13.35     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.15P    6.08R    1.63  
Morecambe        24   25  -14      -1.22    43.99    -3.81    49.05     6.47   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.64R    6.02  
Yeovil           22   23   -1      -4.55    25.55     2.87    53.38     7.02    -4.80     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.17P    6.64R    1.83  
Cambridge_Utd    24   23  -18      -5.02    23.97   -10.84    48.49     6.53   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   21.81R    7.78  
Macclesfield     24   20  -19      -1.61    42.11    -1.85    39.44     6.08   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.87R   53.21  
Notts_County     24   19  -25      -8.93     9.98   -16.48    43.38     6.61   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.08R   25.48  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Barrow 1 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      26   53  +31       6.21    79.88    14.44    89.72     6.25    45.10    59.21    97.13    71.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   50  +20       9.46    90.67    10.98    83.56     6.33    27.10    15.60    82.71    33.73P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       26   49  +21       8.04    84.59    12.74    80.27     6.64    26.87     7.97    67.00    21.57P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     25   47  +16      10.75    92.85    12.95    77.19     6.47    18.44     2.90    46.63    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          26   46  +22       1.46    57.54     8.53    80.48     6.29    32.65     7.72    70.15    26.68P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     26   46  +17       6.55    79.38    11.15    76.33     6.66    21.48     2.59    43.31    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   45  +11       6.63    81.58     4.72    77.25     6.54    16.20     2.76    46.88    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      25   43   +6       6.35    80.61     2.36    74.22     6.49     9.84     1.06    28.15     6.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          26   40   +0       5.73    77.92     1.81    66.90     6.21    -0.64     0.04     4.30     0.86P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   37   +5      -0.36    48.20     2.13    66.38     6.35     8.07     0.04     4.32     1.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   36   +0      -0.91    45.35    -2.41    63.92     6.22     1.25     0.01     1.77     0.40P    0.38R    0.00  
Barrow             26   35   -1       0.68    54.34     0.53    60.11     6.23    -4.06     0.00     0.44     0.07P    1.73R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          26   34   -2      -3.38    32.95    -4.92    62.70     6.36    -0.08     0.01     1.25     0.28P    0.70R    0.00  
Hartlepool         26   32   -7      -1.62    42.03    -4.33    56.86     6.17   -10.38     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.26R    0.02  
Barnet             23   31   -3      -4.72    25.36    -9.47    66.39     7.09     2.76     0.09     5.79     1.76P    0.33R    0.00  
Halifax            25   30   -5       0.82    55.41     1.59    54.96     6.22    -9.85     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.78R    0.05  
Bromley            25   27   -8      -6.05    20.68    -6.05    54.47     6.65   -10.19     0.00     0.04     0.02P   12.32R    0.16  
Havant_&_Wville    26   26   -9      -2.92    35.95     2.49    47.30     6.35   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.63R    1.66  
Aldershot          26   26  -20      -5.51    22.75   -14.18    51.05     6.22   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00P   27.31R    0.56  
Dover_Athletic     26   24  -18      -9.03    11.07   -14.12    50.19     6.36   -19.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.26R    0.82  
Maidenhead         25   24  -22      -2.40    37.71    -9.33    45.62     6.20   -33.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.91R    3.79  
Chesterfield       25   23  -10     -12.07     4.98   -11.60    53.25     6.64    -7.66     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.07R    0.26  
Maidstone_United   25   19  -19      -6.49    17.54    -6.01    40.93     6.14   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.15R   12.63  
Braintree_Town     26   15  -25      -7.62    13.46    -3.99    31.80     5.83   -41.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   80.02