Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 December 2018, Southampton 1 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        19   51  +36      10.10    97.56    10.75    92.27     5.40    61.63    60.45    87.23    98.06    99.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        19   45  +24       5.86    84.89     2.16    84.98     5.54    47.15    10.34    36.01    81.98    95.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         19   44  +36      -0.18    46.57     1.83    88.43     5.12    69.46    28.59    71.94    94.34    99.16   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          19   40  +21       3.03    68.84     3.72    76.52     5.75    37.49     0.52     3.77    18.06    64.64    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          19   38  +16       2.73    66.79     0.80    72.90     5.86    30.57     0.09     1.01     6.75    33.19    97.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          19   32   +6      -2.57    32.89    -7.15    66.82     5.94    19.68     0.00     0.04     0.79     7.31    84.99     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        19   28   +2       1.79    61.98     2.61    54.66     5.97     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     7.24     0.01R    0.00  
Everton          19   27   +2       0.28    52.00     2.39    53.36     6.10     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.43     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         19   27   -1       3.16    70.13     3.95    50.65     5.92    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.05R    0.00  
Watford          19   27   -1       4.63    78.41     5.81    49.49     5.82    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   26   -2       3.59    72.89     4.07    48.35     5.94    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.13R    0.00  
Bournemouth      19   26   -6       3.32    71.44     1.45    48.31     5.91   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.17R    0.00  
Brighton         19   22   -6       1.13    58.72     2.60    43.14     5.69   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.61R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   19   19   -8      -3.22    30.00    -1.20    41.52     5.85   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.15R    0.09  
Newcastle        19   17  -12      -4.91    20.05    -5.16    38.49     5.70   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.47R    0.56  
Southampton      19   15  -15      -5.92    15.52    -5.61    36.07     5.73   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.55R    1.57  
Cardiff          19   15  -20      -1.90    38.06    -3.17    31.58     5.52   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.60R    8.21  
Burnley          19   12  -24      -6.75    11.23   -11.39    30.99     5.63   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.92R    9.90  
Fulham           19   11  -26      -5.27    17.29    -5.74    27.01     5.50   -45.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R   30.65  
Huddersfield     19   10  -22      -4.76    17.89    -2.72    24.55     5.10   -41.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.08R   48.99  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Birmingham 2 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    24   51  +20      12.69    96.27    12.00    85.98     6.84    27.16    36.79    63.73    96.70    71.29P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         24   48  +15      10.83    93.04     8.61    82.24     6.81    20.99    17.17    39.44    90.74    50.21P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       24   45  +21       0.55    52.39     2.98    85.58     6.81    37.34    37.21    64.29    96.65    75.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   41  +11       4.62    73.64     5.89    74.68     6.76    16.16     2.74     8.87    60.68    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   39   +8       0.18    51.16    -0.54    74.54     6.61    15.75     2.24     8.14    59.68    23.59P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   39   +5       1.42    57.69    -1.86    73.55     6.69    11.58     1.69     6.32    52.69    18.19P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      24   37  +10       6.35    81.52    13.28    65.23     6.66     7.11     0.12     0.52    13.00     2.55P    0.07R    0.00  
QPR             24   37   -1       6.41    81.53     2.78    64.37     6.67    -5.54     0.06     0.28     9.52     1.78P    0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   36   +9      -3.19    33.10    -0.59    72.40     6.93    18.43     1.44     5.56    49.15    18.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   36   +9       2.91    65.82     8.78    66.56     6.76     9.43     0.18     0.80    17.96     4.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           24   34   +1      -2.31    37.88    -3.94    67.33     6.92     5.80     0.20     1.07    20.56     6.16P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_City    24   32   +1      -1.55    42.07     0.17    62.76     6.73     1.78     0.03     0.19     7.07     1.68P    0.26R    0.01  
Swansea         24   32   +1      -4.26    28.43    -4.05    65.57     6.93     6.01     0.11     0.64    14.45     4.35P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6       0.24    51.94    -2.44    59.39     6.90    -9.03     0.01     0.04     2.75     0.56P    1.41R    0.05  
Hull            24   30   -5      -1.78    40.93    -3.07    59.18     6.68    -6.95     0.00     0.04     2.32     0.51P    1.30R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       24   30  -10      -0.42    48.60    -6.07    58.44     6.80   -13.06     0.00     0.02     1.86     0.34P    1.89R    0.07  
Preston         24   28   -4      -4.91    25.08    -3.76    58.15     6.82    -4.23     0.00     0.03     1.90     0.41P    1.80R    0.12  
Brentford       24   26   +0      -8.46    11.86    -1.97    57.74     6.88     2.28     0.00     0.02     1.93     0.53P    2.14R    0.14  
Wigan           24   25  -12      -5.35    23.22    -8.30    53.61     6.81   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.08P    7.78R    0.75  
Millwall        24   22  -10      -7.72    13.57    -4.97    48.98     6.67   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   20.65R    2.92  
Rotherham       24   22  -16      -1.47    42.91    -0.64    42.64     6.39   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.23R   17.74  
Bolton          24   21  -15      -2.11    38.45    -0.68    41.39     6.08   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.25R   21.97  
Reading         24   19  -10      -8.18    11.88    -0.77    43.61     6.52   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.80R   12.98  
Ipswich         24   15  -22     -10.48     5.63   -10.85    38.24     6.32   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.10R   43.17  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           24   51  +18      12.91    96.33    10.36    85.74     6.81    24.70    15.63    36.94    95.80    50.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                24   50  +25       8.23    86.76    11.53    88.01     6.90    36.85    27.27    54.28    97.92    66.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           22   46  +21       4.87    75.54     3.92    90.51     7.25    38.90    43.07    68.01    98.76    78.22P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             24   43  +12       4.96    75.05     4.47    77.60     6.87    18.53     2.13     7.35    73.06    22.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             23   42  +17       1.35    57.11     3.38    83.28     7.00    31.53    10.39    27.08    92.48    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   41  +10       3.79    69.57     3.73    76.00     6.93    17.30     1.26     4.92    64.90    18.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            24   39   +8       4.23    71.90     5.38    71.05     6.86    10.63     0.21     1.07    34.02     7.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            23   34   +2       1.84    60.48     0.92    64.89     6.88     1.14     0.01     0.10     9.90     1.93P    0.99R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   23   34   -1       5.30    77.47     3.07    62.23     6.96    -6.06     0.01     0.04     5.23     0.86P    2.74R    0.10  
Fleetwood_Town       24   33   +8      -2.02    39.28     5.03    65.37     6.84    11.34     0.02     0.15    11.94     2.62P    0.78R    0.02  
Southend             24   32   +0      -1.08    44.57    -0.04    62.16     6.81    -0.10     0.01     0.02     4.99     1.04P    2.38R    0.07  
Wycombe              24   32   -1       2.83    65.68     5.12    58.64     6.79    -6.87     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.34P    7.38R    0.42  
Coventry             24   32   -4       3.55    69.62     1.95    58.46     6.65    -9.35     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.24P    7.48R    0.41  
Walsall              24   31  -12       2.88    66.41    -4.59    56.52     6.60   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P   13.21R    0.89  
Burton_Albion        23   30   -3      -1.34    43.21    -2.68    59.99     7.07    -5.40     0.00     0.02     2.92     0.60P    5.75R    0.36  
Rochdale             24   30  -10       0.23    52.05    -4.71    57.28     6.78   -15.08     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.19P   11.37R    0.85  
Gillingham           24   28   -3      -2.78    35.72     0.59    56.80     6.79    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.18P   11.86R    0.86  
Shrewsbury           24   28   -3      -5.29    23.38    -3.70    58.34     6.75    -2.71     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.33P    7.52R    0.46  
Oxford_Utd           24   26   -5      -5.55    22.25    -2.52    54.89     6.84    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P   18.07R    1.85  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23   -6      -7.15    15.54    -1.68    50.12     6.72   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   41.24R    6.86  
Bradford             24   21  -16      -7.10    15.58    -8.47    47.51     6.69   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   59.14R   14.62  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   21  -16      -4.96    23.62    -6.12    44.25     6.34   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.45R   28.23  
Scunthorpe           24   21  -22      -8.36    12.35   -15.82    48.51     6.77   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   54.30R   12.57  
Plymouth             24   20  -19      -6.85    16.52    -9.11    43.95     6.54   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.29R   31.41  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     23   47  +20       8.41    88.88     9.35    85.11     6.88    29.80    35.04    74.88    97.41    80.69P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          23   43  +16       2.09    61.17     2.18    83.51     6.96    29.14    26.47    67.37    95.66    76.60P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        22   41  +18       3.94    71.78     7.96    82.44     7.06    30.61    22.46    61.91    94.26    71.60P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       24   41  +11       3.52    68.67     4.21    75.34     6.75    17.24     3.52    21.01    72.55    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           24   40   +9       2.06    61.15     1.40    74.46     6.86    15.36     2.85    17.98    67.34    30.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             24   39  +17      -2.25    37.45     4.09    77.45     6.92    29.63     7.37    34.40    82.50    49.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   39  +13       7.05    84.46    12.56    70.32     6.90    12.73     0.90     7.26    44.18    13.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   37   +6       4.08    71.33     6.10    66.68     6.89     5.18     0.22     2.43    24.54     6.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         24   36   +9      -1.10    44.13     2.90    70.31     6.81    15.33     0.77     7.16    45.14    16.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        24   35   -1       2.46    63.87    -0.29    65.35     6.75    -0.72     0.12     1.39    17.81     4.54P    0.04R    0.01  
Newport_County   23   35   -6       6.05    80.89    -1.40    63.48     6.94   -10.87     0.06     0.91    11.82     2.47P    0.24R    0.03  
Oldham           24   32   +2      -5.04    24.92    -4.25    66.36     6.89     8.26     0.17     2.29    23.85     8.13P    0.04R    0.01  
Swindon          24   32   -5      -1.46    42.36    -5.88    62.91     6.71    -4.04     0.03     0.56    10.07     2.58P    0.20R    0.03  
Grimsby          24   31   -3       2.07    62.41     2.64    57.25     6.55    -8.57     0.00     0.05     2.00     0.38P    1.59R    0.28  
Northampton      24   29   -2      -5.32    23.58    -4.08    60.36     6.90    -0.25     0.02     0.31     6.10     1.69P    0.67R    0.13  
Port_Vale        24   28   -4      -2.83    34.69    -1.30    55.90     6.56    -7.15     0.00     0.02     1.33     0.28P    2.64R    0.58  
Crewe            24   28   -6      -1.51    42.13    -0.98    55.82     6.64    -9.46     0.00     0.02     1.35     0.26P    2.91R    0.64  
Crawley_Town     23   26   -8      -2.05    39.37    -2.33    52.65     6.73   -16.04     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P    7.97R    2.25  
Cheltenham       23   25   -9      -2.45    36.80    -2.53    53.84     6.91   -13.32     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.13P    6.18R    1.62  
Morecambe        24   25  -14      -1.25    44.07    -3.83    49.05     6.44   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   18.48R    6.23  
Yeovil           22   23   -1      -4.61    24.92     2.81    53.39     6.98    -4.81     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.17P    6.58R    1.86  
Cambridge_Utd    24   23  -18      -5.20    22.90   -11.10    48.58     6.49   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   20.86R    7.33  
Macclesfield     24   20  -19      -1.66    41.84    -1.89    39.48     6.13   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.75R   53.02  
Notts_County     24   19  -25      -8.85    10.00   -16.35    43.28     6.56   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.82R   25.98  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Barrow 1 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      26   53  +31       6.19    79.77    14.40    89.64     6.22    45.01    58.74    97.10    71.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   50  +20       9.40    90.60    10.89    83.61     6.36    27.19    15.88    82.78    34.24P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       26   49  +21       7.98    84.24    12.73    80.30     6.60    26.90     7.77    66.96    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     25   47  +16      10.64    92.77    12.76    77.23     6.46    18.54     2.96    46.85    11.32P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          26   46  +22       1.54    57.90     8.64    80.44     6.29    32.57     8.02    69.87    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     26   46  +17       6.56    79.52    11.18    76.35     6.61    21.52     2.65    43.39    11.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   45  +11       6.57    81.57     4.60    77.35     6.51    16.37     2.79    47.19    12.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      25   43   +6       6.38    80.79     2.37    74.20     6.55     9.84     1.03    27.89     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          26   40   +0       5.83    78.10     1.94    66.94     6.23    -0.59     0.04     4.24     0.83P    0.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   37   +5      -0.35    48.57     2.13    66.33     6.33     8.02     0.03     4.22     1.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   36   +0      -0.90    45.29    -2.40    63.88     6.22     1.14     0.01     1.75     0.40P    0.33R    0.00  
Barrow             26   35   -1       0.67    54.01     0.46    60.12     6.22    -4.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    1.70R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          26   34   -2      -3.33    33.34    -4.78    62.59     6.37    -0.25     0.00     1.11     0.25P    0.72R    0.00  
Hartlepool         26   32   -7      -1.62    41.83    -4.39    56.88     6.13   -10.36     0.00     0.08     0.02P    5.22R    0.02  
Barnet             23   31   -3      -4.80    25.04    -9.65    66.51     7.13     2.92     0.09     6.06     1.76P    0.35R    0.00  
Halifax            25   30   -5       0.81    55.40     1.60    54.96     6.21    -9.90     0.00     0.03     0.00P    9.73R    0.06  
Bromley            25   27   -8      -6.01    20.61    -5.99    54.47     6.58   -10.20     0.00     0.03     0.01P   12.30R    0.12  
Havant_&_Wville    26   26   -9      -2.98    35.53     2.43    47.32     6.39   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.45R    1.68  
Aldershot          26   26  -20      -5.44    22.85   -14.12    50.97     6.27   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    0.61  
Dover_Athletic     26   24  -18      -9.08    10.97   -14.20    50.22     6.39   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.40R    0.83  
Maidenhead         25   24  -22      -2.35    37.88    -9.28    45.66     6.18   -33.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.65R    3.92  
Chesterfield       25   23  -10     -12.17     4.76   -11.73    53.29     6.66    -7.56     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.99R    0.32  
Maidstone_United   25   19  -19      -6.40    17.86    -5.80    40.94     6.15   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.89R   12.27  
Braintree_Town     26   15  -25      -7.53    13.70    -3.80    31.69     5.82   -42.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   80.17