Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 December 2018, Southampton 1 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        19   51  +36      10.07    97.55    10.70    92.27     5.39    61.61    60.96    87.57    98.07    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        19   45  +24       5.86    84.65     2.16    84.97     5.53    47.10    10.48    36.31    81.66    95.85    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         19   44  +36      -0.11    47.43     1.93    88.33     5.11    69.26    27.88    70.99    94.33    99.05   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          19   40  +21       2.88    67.95     3.50    76.62     5.74    37.68     0.58     3.91    18.20    65.08    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          19   38  +16       2.78    67.08     0.88    72.91     5.84    30.57     0.10     1.15     6.90    32.78    97.50     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          19   32   +6      -2.61    32.82    -7.22    66.85     5.95    19.70     0.00     0.06     0.84     7.32    85.07     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        19   28   +2       1.76    61.54     2.58    54.58     6.00     1.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     7.02     0.00R    0.00  
Everton          19   27   +2       0.23    51.92     2.27    53.40     6.15     1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.73     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham         19   27   -1       3.18    70.31     4.03    50.64     5.91    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.02     0.04R    0.00  
Watford          19   27   -1       4.66    78.67     5.89    49.48     5.79    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    19   26   -2       3.71    73.52     4.23    48.27     5.87    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.17R    0.01  
Bournemouth      19   26   -6       3.29    71.35     1.43    48.31     5.86   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.17R    0.00  
Brighton         19   22   -6       1.03    57.97     2.51    43.24     5.69   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.56R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   19   19   -8      -3.20    29.92    -1.21    41.53     5.81   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.34R    0.15  
Newcastle        19   17  -12      -4.80    20.75    -4.99    38.40     5.71   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.00R    0.50  
Southampton      19   15  -15      -5.89    15.52    -5.55    36.03     5.75   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.81R    1.71  
Cardiff          19   15  -20      -1.95    37.86    -3.20    31.68     5.52   -37.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.97R    7.88  
Burnley          19   12  -24      -6.83    11.07   -11.56    31.18     5.63   -35.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.86R    9.45  
Fulham           19   11  -26      -5.19    17.54    -5.66    26.89     5.46   -45.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.72R   31.19  
Huddersfield     19   10  -22      -4.75    17.93    -2.73    24.48     5.13   -41.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.29R   49.08  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Birmingham 2 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    24   51  +20      12.54    96.00    11.66    86.19     6.85    27.47    37.42    64.52    96.92    72.17P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         24   48  +15      10.79    92.75     8.58    82.23     6.86    21.00    17.00    39.26    90.62    50.00P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       24   45  +21       0.65    52.66     3.09    85.57     6.86    37.33    36.99    64.08    96.42    74.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   41  +11       4.66    73.55     5.95    74.67     6.79    16.17     2.69     8.87    60.48    20.39P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   39   +8       0.01    49.97    -0.71    74.61     6.59    15.85     2.27     8.07    60.25    23.59P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   39   +5       1.32    57.26    -1.97    73.60     6.80    11.60     1.66     6.25    53.22    18.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham      24   37  +10       6.33    81.64    13.29    65.17     6.69     6.98     0.07     0.48    13.11     2.43P    0.08R    0.00  
QPR             24   37   -1       6.43    81.29     2.84    64.40     6.68    -5.48     0.05     0.32     9.76     1.82P    0.10R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   36   +9      -3.21    32.80    -0.62    72.35     6.88    18.34     1.34     5.31    48.61    17.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   24   36   +9       2.84    65.70     8.68    66.52     6.83     9.43     0.16     0.83    18.11     4.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Stoke           24   34   +1      -2.29    38.14    -3.89    67.29     6.95     5.73     0.22     1.14    20.30     6.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City    24   32   +1      -1.23    43.43     0.61    62.54     6.73     1.46     0.02     0.14     6.64     1.48P    0.29R    0.01  
Swansea         24   32   +1      -4.21    28.40    -3.96    65.54     6.88     5.95     0.08     0.55    14.36     4.40P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   31   -6       0.14    51.51    -2.61    59.47     6.92    -8.90     0.02     0.06     2.77     0.59P    1.41R    0.07  
Hull            24   30   -5      -1.77    41.04    -3.04    59.25     6.69    -6.87     0.01     0.03     2.43     0.48P    1.21R    0.07  
Sheff_Wed       24   30  -10      -0.37    48.66    -5.99    58.43     6.79   -13.02     0.00     0.03     1.83     0.33P    1.88R    0.09  
Preston         24   28   -4      -4.79    25.78    -3.58    58.04     6.84    -4.41     0.00     0.03     1.80     0.43P    1.94R    0.13  
Brentford       24   26   +0      -8.54    11.88    -2.08    57.81     6.93     2.35     0.00     0.03     1.98     0.50P    2.06R    0.12  
Wigan           24   25  -12      -5.31    23.18    -8.26    53.52     6.81   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.09P    7.95R    0.72  
Millwall        24   22  -10      -7.73    13.72    -5.01    48.92     6.67   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   21.06R    3.03  
Rotherham       24   22  -16      -1.47    42.83    -0.64    42.66     6.37   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.32R   17.73  
Bolton          24   21  -15      -2.09    38.70    -0.67    41.42     6.07   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.27R   21.68  
Reading         24   19  -10      -8.28    11.45    -0.94    43.73     6.50   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.04R   12.42  
Ipswich         24   15  -22     -10.44     5.66   -10.75    38.19     6.37   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.20R   43.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           24   51  +18      12.72    96.17    10.14    85.86     6.79    24.82    15.67    37.47    95.97    51.05P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                24   50  +25       8.11    86.44    11.38    88.07     6.92    36.93    27.32    54.53    98.06    66.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           22   46  +21       4.75    74.72     3.76    90.58     7.26    39.04    43.52    67.97    98.73    78.22P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             24   43  +12       5.00    75.61     4.54    77.62     6.81    18.58     1.91     7.21    73.39    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             23   42  +17       1.51    57.89     3.65    83.15     7.08    31.35    10.15    26.75    91.81    47.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   41  +10       3.85    69.84     3.83    75.89     6.89    17.15     1.20     4.66    64.20    17.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            24   39   +8       4.18    71.55     5.29    71.12     6.81    10.76     0.21     1.03    34.94     7.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool            23   34   +2       1.86    60.52     0.92    64.83     6.89     1.08     0.01     0.12     9.76     2.04P    1.00R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   23   34   -1       5.15    76.78     2.88    62.30     7.00    -5.93     0.00     0.05     5.31     0.89P    2.64R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town       24   33   +8      -2.14    38.47     4.85    65.45     6.84    11.43     0.01     0.15    12.25     2.81P    0.74R    0.01  
Southend             24   32   +0      -1.02    44.91     0.05    62.08     6.78    -0.18     0.00     0.02     4.81     0.93P    2.53R    0.09  
Wycombe              24   32   -1       2.90    65.98     5.20    58.55     6.81    -6.98     0.00     0.01     1.82     0.27P    7.60R    0.44  
Coventry             24   32   -4       3.46    69.14     1.81    58.43     6.69    -9.35     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.22P    7.74R    0.43  
Walsall              24   31  -12       2.82    66.40    -4.65    56.63     6.60   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.09P   12.98R    0.99  
Burton_Albion        23   30   -3      -1.22    43.64    -2.50    59.89     7.06    -5.58     0.00     0.01     2.87     0.58P    5.88R    0.36  
Rochdale             24   30  -10       0.36    52.97    -4.56    57.23     6.76   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.14P   11.55R    0.82  
Gillingham           24   28   -3      -2.70    36.16     0.72    56.67     6.83    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.13P   12.31R    0.94  
Shrewsbury           24   28   -3      -5.28    23.58    -3.69    58.31     6.71    -2.72     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.34P    7.50R    0.48  
Oxford_Utd           24   26   -5      -5.51    22.11    -2.44    54.85     6.80    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P   18.21R    1.78  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23   -6      -7.19    15.39    -1.77    50.23     6.70   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.50R    6.69  
Bradford             24   21  -16      -7.12    15.55    -8.53    47.64     6.65   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.58R   14.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   21  -16      -5.04    23.23    -6.25    44.35     6.36   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.06R   27.71  
Scunthorpe           24   21  -22      -8.47    11.88   -16.03    48.67     6.81   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.71R   12.31  
Plymouth             24   20  -19      -6.54    17.49    -8.62    43.75     6.53   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.41R   32.81  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     23   47  +20       8.35    88.31     9.30    85.11     6.94    29.84    35.56    74.54    97.38    80.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          23   43  +16       2.14    61.44     2.26    83.44     6.98    28.97    26.33    66.97    95.53    76.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        22   41  +18       4.01    71.89     8.07    82.34     7.04    30.48    21.93    61.52    94.16    71.39P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       24   41  +11       3.56    69.37     4.23    75.37     6.71    17.28     3.46    21.32    73.02    34.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           24   40   +9       1.95    60.53     1.24    74.58     6.79    15.56     2.91    18.48    68.09    30.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             24   39  +17      -2.35    37.03     3.83    77.48     6.90    29.79     7.30    34.32    82.79    49.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     23   39  +13       7.08    84.33    12.60    70.22     6.94    12.59     0.98     7.39    43.44    13.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         24   37   +6       4.03    71.24     6.04    66.79     6.88     5.29     0.26     2.73    24.93     6.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle         24   36   +9      -1.16    43.65     2.77    70.34     6.86    15.33     0.86     7.43    45.54    16.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        24   35   -1       2.73    65.18     0.05    65.23     6.73    -0.90     0.11     1.29    17.02     4.20P    0.08R    0.01  
Newport_County   23   35   -6       6.09    81.03    -1.35    63.39     6.96   -11.00     0.07     0.92    11.77     2.57P    0.23R    0.05  
Oldham           24   32   +2      -4.87    25.59    -4.01    66.21     6.89     7.99     0.20     2.19    23.36     7.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          24   32   -5      -1.40    42.89    -5.76    62.81     6.70    -4.19     0.02     0.51     9.77     2.45P    0.21R    0.03  
Grimsby          24   31   -3       2.05    62.47     2.65    57.25     6.47    -8.52     0.00     0.07     2.02     0.38P    1.49R    0.27  
Northampton      24   29   -2      -5.35    23.57    -4.16    60.45     6.90    -0.09     0.00     0.23     6.16     1.70P    0.69R    0.09  
Port_Vale        24   28   -4      -2.90    34.52    -1.42    56.04     6.58    -6.95     0.00     0.02     1.33     0.26P    2.57R    0.56  
Crewe            24   28   -6      -1.70    41.38    -1.24    55.94     6.64    -9.30     0.00     0.02     1.36     0.24P    2.82R    0.67  
Crawley_Town     23   26   -8      -2.05    39.28    -2.37    52.66     6.76   -16.02     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.10P    8.10R    2.28  
Cheltenham       23   25   -9      -2.37    37.11    -2.42    53.74     6.90   -13.44     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.16P    6.39R    1.72  
Morecambe        24   25  -14      -1.27    43.48    -3.83    49.05     6.40   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.50R    6.15  
Yeovil           22   23   -1      -4.54    25.65     2.94    53.37     7.00    -4.88     0.00     0.03     0.84     0.19P    6.86R    1.94  
Cambridge_Utd    24   23  -18      -5.11    23.29   -10.99    48.56     6.51   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   21.11R    7.32  
Macclesfield     24   20  -19      -1.55    42.32    -1.70    39.41     6.09   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.18R   53.91  
Notts_County     24   19  -25      -9.14     9.40   -16.74    43.52     6.61   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.68R   25.02  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2018, Barrow 1 1 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      26   53  +31       6.15    79.65    14.38    89.71     6.20    45.08    58.74    97.34    71.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   50  +20       9.48    90.67    10.98    83.58     6.36    27.12    15.61    82.64    33.63P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       26   49  +21       7.91    84.06    12.56    80.34     6.62    26.96     7.95    67.05    21.40P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     25   47  +16      10.78    92.83    12.98    77.14     6.48    18.36     2.91    46.24    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          26   46  +22       1.47    57.63     8.52    80.44     6.30    32.62     7.72    69.89    26.67P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     26   46  +17       6.46    78.83    11.05    76.39     6.74    21.56     2.80    43.29    11.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   45  +11       6.54    81.38     4.59    77.39     6.56    16.40     3.02    47.47    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      25   43   +6       6.30    80.64     2.32    74.23     6.53     9.91     1.09    28.13     6.82P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          26   40   +0       5.82    78.22     1.89    66.91     6.24    -0.65     0.06     4.33     0.84P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   37   +5      -0.44    47.91     1.99    66.39     6.37     8.11     0.03     4.45     1.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       26   36   +0      -0.92    45.58    -2.45    63.93     6.28     1.24     0.01     1.74     0.37P    0.37R    0.00  
Barrow             26   35   -1       0.55    53.46     0.30    60.14     6.25    -4.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    1.80R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          26   34   -2      -3.38    33.03    -4.92    62.67     6.39    -0.10     0.00     1.21     0.28P    0.69R    0.00  
Hartlepool         26   32   -7      -1.66    41.93    -4.41    56.93     6.17   -10.30     0.00     0.07     0.01P    5.20R    0.02  
Barnet             23   31   -3      -4.52    26.32    -9.22    66.25     7.08     2.54     0.06     5.63     1.62P    0.30R    0.00  
Halifax            25   30   -5       0.76    55.09     1.53    55.02     6.24    -9.81     0.00     0.04     0.00P    9.89R    0.06  
Bromley            25   27   -8      -6.08    20.43    -6.10    54.54     6.59   -10.05     0.00     0.06     0.00P   11.91R    0.13  
Havant_&_Wville    26   26   -9      -2.85    36.12     2.68    47.22     6.39   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.21R    1.62  
Aldershot          26   26  -20      -5.58    22.39   -14.25    51.00     6.24   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.72R    0.55  
Dover_Athletic     26   24  -18      -8.99    11.04   -14.06    50.18     6.32   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.29R    0.84  
Maidenhead         25   24  -22      -2.40    37.71    -9.41    45.80     6.20   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.88R    3.63  
Chesterfield       25   23  -10     -11.99     4.99   -11.48    53.13     6.57    -7.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.32R    0.25  
Maidstone_United   25   19  -19      -6.43    17.59    -5.88    40.96     6.12   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.04R   12.33  
Braintree_Town     26   15  -25      -7.40    13.99    -3.59    31.62     5.79   -42.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.18R   80.57