Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 26 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Everton 2 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 18 48 +32 9.98 97.62 9.50 91.06 5.65 57.87 43.45 83.49 96.90 99.47 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 44 +37 1.60 61.28 3.27 91.27 5.20 73.28 49.95 86.93 97.73 99.63 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 42 +19 6.06 85.86 0.59 83.37 5.76 41.91 5.97 24.48 73.79 92.30 99.96 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 18 37 +20 2.06 63.16 3.83 75.59 5.98 37.44 0.41 3.05 17.98 57.28 99.23 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 37 +16 3.51 71.94 1.36 74.13 6.09 32.03 0.23 2.01 12.64 44.22 98.54 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 29 +4 -3.16 29.36 -7.40 66.24 6.08 19.30 0.00 0.04 0.95 6.96 86.35 0.00 0.00 Watford 18 27 +0 5.36 82.11 5.74 50.31 6.01 -8.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.50 0.11R 0.00 Bournemouth 18 26 -1 3.02 69.81 3.18 49.64 6.07 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.10 0.17R 0.00 Leicester 18 25 +1 -0.00 50.23 1.13 51.51 6.15 -1.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.93 0.06R 0.00 Wolverhampton 18 25 -2 4.07 75.88 4.17 49.10 6.18 -7.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.87 0.28R 0.00 Everton 18 24 -2 -0.25 48.81 0.02 50.98 6.32 -3.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.51 0.11R 0.00 West_Ham 18 24 -2 1.76 62.40 3.30 48.83 6.19 -7.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.69 0.28R 0.01 Brighton 18 21 -6 1.02 57.91 1.85 42.71 5.89 -15.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 2.90R 0.10 Crystal_Palace 18 18 -8 -2.53 33.51 -0.67 42.43 6.05 -13.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 3.70R 0.13 Newcastle 18 17 -8 -4.89 19.90 -3.49 39.51 5.86 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 7.98R 0.42 Southampton 18 15 -14 -4.70 20.67 -4.92 37.56 5.99 -22.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 15.44R 1.34 Cardiff 18 14 -20 -1.89 37.77 -3.45 31.53 5.74 -38.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.32R 10.05 Burnley 18 12 -20 -6.37 12.01 -9.34 32.97 5.84 -30.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.52R 6.27 Huddersfield 18 10 -20 -4.42 19.40 -2.86 24.93 5.22 -40.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.89R 47.74 Fulham 18 10 -26 -4.91 18.18 -5.82 26.95 5.75 -46.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.23R 33.94Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Aston_Villa 2 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 23 48 +19 11.52 95.07 11.66 84.91 7.05 26.95 32.79 57.44 94.90 66.01P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 23 47 +15 11.49 94.58 9.05 83.00 7.06 21.60 22.44 44.56 91.31 54.48P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 23 42 +19 0.05 49.38 2.71 84.23 7.05 35.73 31.67 56.20 94.14 68.51P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 23 39 +9 1.52 58.59 0.42 76.95 6.83 18.24 5.25 15.39 71.61 32.04P 0.00 0.00 Derby 23 39 +7 2.19 62.07 -0.74 75.29 6.93 14.09 3.61 11.04 61.84 24.10P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 23 38 +9 3.73 69.72 5.00 72.55 6.95 13.39 1.73 5.83 47.01 14.36P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 23 35 +9 3.20 68.00 8.58 66.25 6.94 8.54 0.23 0.92 16.79 3.99P 0.06R 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 +8 5.17 77.56 11.98 62.97 6.88 4.20 0.05 0.25 7.75 1.54P 0.27R 0.01 Stoke 23 34 +3 -1.74 40.43 -3.11 69.55 7.15 9.04 0.76 2.65 30.48 9.83P 0.01R 0.00 QPR 23 34 -4 5.72 79.51 1.20 62.60 6.88 -8.81 0.04 0.19 6.24 1.13P 0.41R 0.01 Aston_Villa 23 33 +8 -4.53 26.00 -1.09 70.27 7.13 16.64 0.97 3.59 36.12 12.63P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 23 32 +2 -3.10 33.33 -3.34 67.33 7.11 7.55 0.37 1.39 20.94 6.69P 0.05R 0.00 Bristol_City 23 31 +1 -1.01 44.81 0.41 63.27 6.99 1.99 0.06 0.28 8.44 1.98P 0.33R 0.00 Blackburn 23 31 -5 1.04 56.40 -2.38 60.34 7.04 -8.54 0.02 0.11 3.65 0.77P 1.22R 0.06 Preston 23 28 -3 -3.57 31.09 -2.86 60.06 7.04 -2.42 0.01 0.08 3.61 0.80P 1.19R 0.05 Hull 23 27 -6 -3.25 32.87 -3.83 56.99 6.91 -8.88 0.00 0.02 1.33 0.27P 3.25R 0.23 Sheff_Wed 23 27 -11 -2.14 38.61 -7.17 55.97 6.92 -15.28 0.00 0.01 0.93 0.17P 4.57R 0.41 Brentford 23 25 +0 -8.10 12.67 -1.98 57.85 7.15 1.86 0.00 0.03 2.29 0.59P 2.54R 0.20 Wigan 23 25 -10 -4.90 25.09 -7.77 54.53 7.02 -12.79 0.00 0.01 0.56 0.13P 7.01R 0.64 Rotherham 23 22 -15 -0.52 48.42 -0.40 44.16 6.58 -30.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.82R 14.22 Reading 23 19 -9 -7.27 14.24 -0.43 44.87 6.74 -17.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.57R 10.85 Millwall 23 19 -11 -8.90 9.51 -5.30 47.49 6.87 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 29.81R 5.63 Bolton 23 18 -16 -3.39 30.68 -1.23 39.69 6.29 -30.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.00R 34.25 Ipswich 23 15 -19 -10.11 6.18 -9.36 39.88 6.63 -29.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.86R 33.44League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Blackpool 0 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 23 51 +20 13.59 97.67 11.41 88.00 6.97 27.98 25.19 50.38 97.30 61.20P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 47 +23 7.34 84.38 10.71 86.38 7.18 34.87 20.73 43.75 95.65 57.66P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 21 43 +20 3.92 71.06 3.95 89.86 7.48 39.58 39.99 64.08 97.87 75.13P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 23 43 +13 6.17 80.79 5.26 79.55 7.06 20.39 3.98 11.99 77.97 27.50P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 23 41 +12 4.47 72.87 4.61 77.34 7.15 19.21 2.28 7.50 68.23 20.78P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 22 39 +15 0.74 53.63 2.86 81.44 7.32 29.25 7.17 19.58 85.23 40.56P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 23 39 +11 4.61 74.04 6.87 73.06 7.07 14.58 0.58 2.30 42.86 10.41P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 22 34 +3 3.00 67.13 1.63 66.46 7.10 2.46 0.06 0.26 12.67 2.60P 0.51R 0.01 Wycombe 23 32 +1 3.16 67.48 5.48 60.50 7.04 -4.04 0.01 0.02 2.90 0.44P 4.26R 0.19 Accrington_Stanley 22 31 -2 3.93 71.76 2.47 60.24 7.25 -7.54 0.01 0.03 2.88 0.52P 5.39R 0.27 Walsall 23 31 -10 3.77 71.42 -3.40 58.55 6.84 -15.99 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.15P 7.81R 0.44 Fleetwood_Town 23 30 +5 -2.78 35.01 3.39 63.19 7.13 7.48 0.01 0.07 6.57 1.39P 1.84R 0.08 Southend 23 29 -1 -2.48 36.54 -0.71 60.08 7.00 -1.80 0.00 0.01 2.40 0.49P 4.81R 0.26 Coventry 23 29 -5 2.14 62.82 1.29 56.06 6.80 -11.38 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.08P 13.59R 1.07 Shrewsbury 23 28 -2 -4.20 27.73 -3.06 59.93 6.90 -1.35 0.00 0.01 2.21 0.48P 4.68R 0.20 Burton_Albion 22 27 -5 -2.07 38.76 -3.43 58.03 7.24 -7.86 0.00 0.01 1.66 0.30P 9.44R 0.70 Rochdale 23 27 -11 -0.97 45.53 -5.06 55.34 6.91 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.09P 17.11R 1.60 Oxford_Utd 23 26 -4 -4.35 27.24 -1.70 56.59 7.02 -5.71 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.14P 11.90R 1.07 Gillingham 23 25 -5 -3.92 29.29 -0.58 54.30 7.03 -8.92 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 19.79R 2.28 Bradford 23 21 -15 -6.46 17.52 -8.71 48.20 6.83 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 52.77R 11.65 Scunthorpe 23 21 -20 -7.88 13.05 -15.27 50.19 7.02 -24.44 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 42.57R 7.97 Bristol_Rovers 23 20 -8 -8.25 11.28 -2.93 47.91 6.87 -13.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 52.37R 11.57 Plymouth 23 20 -18 -5.72 20.48 -8.44 45.37 6.79 -28.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 69.23R 22.84 AFC_Wimbledon 23 18 -17 -6.23 17.38 -6.64 42.51 6.58 -27.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 81.92R 37.80League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Bury 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 22 47 +21 9.55 92.14 10.03 87.13 7.12 31.81 42.28 82.76 98.57 86.91P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 22 43 +18 3.14 67.56 3.74 85.93 7.09 32.51 35.30 78.73 97.80 84.88P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 23 41 +12 5.06 76.81 5.38 77.40 6.87 19.18 5.07 31.10 81.97 43.23P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 39 +18 -1.27 42.60 4.45 78.76 7.10 30.63 8.97 42.35 86.68 55.98P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 23 37 +8 1.05 55.75 1.35 73.18 7.01 14.89 1.67 14.24 61.93 26.45P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 22 36 +10 6.29 82.44 10.77 67.66 7.07 8.27 0.29 3.87 30.64 8.44P 0.02R 0.00 Mansfield 21 35 +14 0.71 53.83 5.97 76.65 7.25 24.86 5.16 30.15 79.05 44.63P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 23 35 +1 3.17 67.60 0.59 66.74 6.91 1.42 0.18 2.47 25.14 6.93P 0.04R 0.00 Newport_County 22 35 -3 6.77 84.19 0.38 65.78 7.16 -6.36 0.14 2.18 21.17 5.23P 0.09R 0.01 Tranmere 23 34 +4 3.54 69.30 5.72 64.98 7.14 3.08 0.11 1.79 19.42 5.11P 0.10R 0.01 Carlisle 23 33 +3 -0.73 46.15 -0.11 67.10 7.01 6.93 0.21 2.97 28.32 8.77P 0.03R 0.00 Oldham 23 32 +8 -5.65 21.68 -1.18 69.30 7.06 16.59 0.57 6.04 41.86 16.65P 0.02R 0.00 Swindon 23 31 -5 -1.33 42.96 -6.18 62.96 6.92 -4.49 0.03 0.74 11.39 2.96P 0.26R 0.04 Northampton 23 28 -2 -4.87 25.20 -3.98 61.17 7.09 0.39 0.02 0.46 8.36 2.28P 0.51R 0.08 Port_Vale 23 28 -3 -1.61 41.34 -0.60 57.93 6.70 -5.21 0.00 0.07 2.83 0.58P 1.34R 0.20 Grimsby 23 28 -4 0.50 53.91 1.79 55.05 6.67 -10.39 0.00 0.02 1.14 0.19P 3.49R 0.63 Crawley_Town 22 26 -7 -1.06 44.42 -1.97 54.14 6.94 -14.70 0.00 0.02 1.02 0.20P 5.27R 1.04 Crewe 23 25 -7 -3.00 33.86 -1.77 53.58 6.79 -11.34 0.00 0.02 0.79 0.17P 5.78R 1.16 Morecambe 23 25 -12 -0.73 46.69 -3.33 50.34 6.65 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 13.48R 3.22 Yeovil 21 23 +0 -3.71 29.12 3.05 54.36 7.14 -4.33 0.00 0.03 1.31 0.29P 5.02R 1.06 Cheltenham 22 22 -11 -3.79 29.02 -4.09 51.12 7.08 -16.85 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.06P 12.09R 3.14 Cambridge_Utd 23 20 -19 -6.36 17.23 -11.46 46.79 6.69 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 29.71R 9.09 Notts_County 23 19 -24 -7.51 13.80 -15.52 45.66 6.77 -32.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 37.65R 12.85 Macclesfield 23 17 -20 -3.38 30.72 -3.04 36.89 6.20 -37.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.11R 67.47National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 25 53 +32 7.55 85.47 15.42 91.52 6.41 46.67 66.54 98.48 77.13P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 25 49 +25 7.89 84.82 14.56 82.56 6.79 32.28 11.58 79.16 28.75P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 24 47 +16 9.35 91.11 8.99 80.99 6.53 21.82 6.78 70.89 22.72P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 25 46 +18 7.76 83.95 11.89 78.69 6.87 23.98 4.38 59.36 15.92P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 25 45 +22 2.01 60.59 8.82 81.08 6.48 32.98 7.58 74.06 28.07P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 24 44 +12 10.16 92.36 10.49 74.22 6.64 12.64 0.95 30.60 6.19P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 24 42 +10 5.54 78.07 4.54 76.01 6.71 15.75 1.43 41.68 10.51P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 24 40 +5 5.22 76.67 2.08 72.66 6.77 8.94 0.51 23.13 5.34P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 25 39 +0 6.21 80.31 1.93 67.32 6.44 -0.57 0.05 5.78 1.01P 0.10R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 25 34 +3 -0.83 45.98 1.77 65.12 6.55 6.60 0.01 3.45 0.81P 0.24R 0.00 Barrow 25 34 -1 0.95 55.76 0.37 60.09 6.41 -4.63 0.00 0.59 0.13P 1.95R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 25 33 -1 -2.20 38.37 -2.89 61.93 6.44 -0.22 0.00 1.21 0.25P 0.92R 0.00 Hartlepool 25 32 -6 -0.86 45.75 -4.25 57.92 6.30 -9.78 0.00 0.25 0.03P 3.85R 0.03 Barnet 22 31 -2 -3.85 28.67 -9.12 68.23 7.26 4.43 0.18 10.35 2.90P 0.20R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 25 31 -3 -4.76 25.77 -5.50 60.49 6.57 -1.90 0.00 0.70 0.16P 1.82R 0.00 Halifax 24 27 -6 -0.82 46.13 0.46 52.31 6.42 -12.47 0.00 0.02 0.00P 18.96R 0.34 Bromley 24 27 -7 -5.16 23.73 -5.78 55.69 6.77 -9.46 0.00 0.13 0.03P 9.13R 0.14 Aldershot 25 26 -19 -4.25 27.85 -13.56 52.44 6.41 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.80R 0.44 Havant_&_Wville 25 25 -9 -2.58 37.42 2.45 47.73 6.70 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.28R 2.05 Chesterfield 24 23 -6 -11.67 4.99 -8.97 56.00 6.83 -1.68 0.00 0.15 0.05P 8.19R 0.10 Dover_Athletic 25 21 -20 -9.72 8.54 -14.79 48.55 6.51 -21.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.40R 1.88 Maidenhead 24 21 -23 -3.55 31.05 -9.88 43.75 6.35 -34.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.10R 8.13 Maidstone_United 24 19 -17 -5.83 19.76 -5.18 42.15 6.34 -27.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.43R 11.01 Braintree_Town 25 15 -23 -7.19 14.04 -3.85 32.59 5.98 -40.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.60R 75.87