Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Everton 2 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        18   48  +32       9.98    97.62     9.50    91.06     5.65    57.87    43.45    83.49    96.90    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   44  +37       1.60    61.28     3.27    91.27     5.20    73.28    49.95    86.93    97.73    99.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   42  +19       6.06    85.86     0.59    83.37     5.76    41.91     5.97    24.48    73.79    92.30    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   37  +20       2.06    63.16     3.83    75.59     5.98    37.44     0.41     3.05    17.98    57.28    99.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   37  +16       3.51    71.94     1.36    74.13     6.09    32.03     0.23     2.01    12.64    44.22    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          18   29   +4      -3.16    29.36    -7.40    66.24     6.08    19.30     0.00     0.04     0.95     6.96    86.35     0.00     0.00  
Watford          18   27   +0       5.36    82.11     5.74    50.31     6.01    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.50     0.11R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   26   -1       3.02    69.81     3.18    49.64     6.07    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.10     0.17R    0.00  
Leicester        18   25   +1      -0.00    50.23     1.13    51.51     6.15    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.93     0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   25   -2       4.07    75.88     4.17    49.10     6.18    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.28R    0.00  
Everton          18   24   -2      -0.25    48.81     0.02    50.98     6.32    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.51     0.11R    0.00  
West_Ham         18   24   -2       1.76    62.40     3.30    48.83     6.19    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.28R    0.01  
Brighton         18   21   -6       1.02    57.91     1.85    42.71     5.89   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.90R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace   18   18   -8      -2.53    33.51    -0.67    42.43     6.05   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     3.70R    0.13  
Newcastle        18   17   -8      -4.89    19.90    -3.49    39.51     5.86   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.98R    0.42  
Southampton      18   15  -14      -4.70    20.67    -4.92    37.56     5.99   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    15.44R    1.34  
Cardiff          18   14  -20      -1.89    37.77    -3.45    31.53     5.74   -38.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.32R   10.05  
Burnley          18   12  -20      -6.37    12.01    -9.34    32.97     5.84   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.52R    6.27  
Huddersfield     18   10  -20      -4.42    19.40    -2.86    24.93     5.22   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.89R   47.74  
Fulham           18   10  -26      -4.91    18.18    -5.82    26.95     5.75   -46.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.23R   33.94  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Aston_Villa 2 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    23   48  +19      11.52    95.07    11.66    84.91     7.05    26.95    32.79    57.44    94.90    66.01P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         23   47  +15      11.49    94.58     9.05    83.00     7.06    21.60    22.44    44.56    91.31    54.48P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       23   42  +19       0.05    49.38     2.71    84.23     7.05    35.73    31.67    56.20    94.14    68.51P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   39   +9       1.52    58.59     0.42    76.95     6.83    18.24     5.25    15.39    71.61    32.04P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           23   39   +7       2.19    62.07    -0.74    75.29     6.93    14.09     3.61    11.04    61.84    24.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       23   38   +9       3.73    69.72     5.00    72.55     6.95    13.39     1.73     5.83    47.01    14.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   23   35   +9       3.20    68.00     8.58    66.25     6.94     8.54     0.23     0.92    16.79     3.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   +8       5.17    77.56    11.98    62.97     6.88     4.20     0.05     0.25     7.75     1.54P    0.27R    0.01  
Stoke           23   34   +3      -1.74    40.43    -3.11    69.55     7.15     9.04     0.76     2.65    30.48     9.83P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR             23   34   -4       5.72    79.51     1.20    62.60     6.88    -8.81     0.04     0.19     6.24     1.13P    0.41R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   33   +8      -4.53    26.00    -1.09    70.27     7.13    16.64     0.97     3.59    36.12    12.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         23   32   +2      -3.10    33.33    -3.34    67.33     7.11     7.55     0.37     1.39    20.94     6.69P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City    23   31   +1      -1.01    44.81     0.41    63.27     6.99     1.99     0.06     0.28     8.44     1.98P    0.33R    0.00  
Blackburn       23   31   -5       1.04    56.40    -2.38    60.34     7.04    -8.54     0.02     0.11     3.65     0.77P    1.22R    0.06  
Preston         23   28   -3      -3.57    31.09    -2.86    60.06     7.04    -2.42     0.01     0.08     3.61     0.80P    1.19R    0.05  
Hull            23   27   -6      -3.25    32.87    -3.83    56.99     6.91    -8.88     0.00     0.02     1.33     0.27P    3.25R    0.23  
Sheff_Wed       23   27  -11      -2.14    38.61    -7.17    55.97     6.92   -15.28     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.17P    4.57R    0.41  
Brentford       23   25   +0      -8.10    12.67    -1.98    57.85     7.15     1.86     0.00     0.03     2.29     0.59P    2.54R    0.20  
Wigan           23   25  -10      -4.90    25.09    -7.77    54.53     7.02   -12.79     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.13P    7.01R    0.64  
Rotherham       23   22  -15      -0.52    48.42    -0.40    44.16     6.58   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.82R   14.22  
Reading         23   19   -9      -7.27    14.24    -0.43    44.87     6.74   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.57R   10.85  
Millwall        23   19  -11      -8.90     9.51    -5.30    47.49     6.87   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   29.81R    5.63  
Bolton          23   18  -16      -3.39    30.68    -1.23    39.69     6.29   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.00R   34.25  
Ipswich         23   15  -19     -10.11     6.18    -9.36    39.88     6.63   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.86R   33.44  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Blackpool 0 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           23   51  +20      13.59    97.67    11.41    88.00     6.97    27.98    25.19    50.38    97.30    61.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                23   47  +23       7.34    84.38    10.71    86.38     7.18    34.87    20.73    43.75    95.65    57.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           21   43  +20       3.92    71.06     3.95    89.86     7.48    39.58    39.99    64.08    97.87    75.13P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             23   43  +13       6.17    80.79     5.26    79.55     7.06    20.39     3.98    11.99    77.97    27.50P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   41  +12       4.47    72.87     4.61    77.34     7.15    19.21     2.28     7.50    68.23    20.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             22   39  +15       0.74    53.63     2.86    81.44     7.32    29.25     7.17    19.58    85.23    40.56P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            23   39  +11       4.61    74.04     6.87    73.06     7.07    14.58     0.58     2.30    42.86    10.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            22   34   +3       3.00    67.13     1.63    66.46     7.10     2.46     0.06     0.26    12.67     2.60P    0.51R    0.01  
Wycombe              23   32   +1       3.16    67.48     5.48    60.50     7.04    -4.04     0.01     0.02     2.90     0.44P    4.26R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   22   31   -2       3.93    71.76     2.47    60.24     7.25    -7.54     0.01     0.03     2.88     0.52P    5.39R    0.27  
Walsall              23   31  -10       3.77    71.42    -3.40    58.55     6.84   -15.99     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.15P    7.81R    0.44  
Fleetwood_Town       23   30   +5      -2.78    35.01     3.39    63.19     7.13     7.48     0.01     0.07     6.57     1.39P    1.84R    0.08  
Southend             23   29   -1      -2.48    36.54    -0.71    60.08     7.00    -1.80     0.00     0.01     2.40     0.49P    4.81R    0.26  
Coventry             23   29   -5       2.14    62.82     1.29    56.06     6.80   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P   13.59R    1.07  
Shrewsbury           23   28   -2      -4.20    27.73    -3.06    59.93     6.90    -1.35     0.00     0.01     2.21     0.48P    4.68R    0.20  
Burton_Albion        22   27   -5      -2.07    38.76    -3.43    58.03     7.24    -7.86     0.00     0.01     1.66     0.30P    9.44R    0.70  
Rochdale             23   27  -11      -0.97    45.53    -5.06    55.34     6.91   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P   17.11R    1.60  
Oxford_Utd           23   26   -4      -4.35    27.24    -1.70    56.59     7.02    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.14P   11.90R    1.07  
Gillingham           23   25   -5      -3.92    29.29    -0.58    54.30     7.03    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   19.79R    2.28  
Bradford             23   21  -15      -6.46    17.52    -8.71    48.20     6.83   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.77R   11.65  
Scunthorpe           23   21  -20      -7.88    13.05   -15.27    50.19     7.02   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.57R    7.97  
Bristol_Rovers       23   20   -8      -8.25    11.28    -2.93    47.91     6.87   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   52.37R   11.57  
Plymouth             23   20  -18      -5.72    20.48    -8.44    45.37     6.79   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.23R   22.84  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   18  -17      -6.23    17.38    -6.64    42.51     6.58   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   81.92R   37.80  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Bury 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     22   47  +21       9.55    92.14    10.03    87.13     7.12    31.81    42.28    82.76    98.57    86.91P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          22   43  +18       3.14    67.56     3.74    85.93     7.09    32.51    35.30    78.73    97.80    84.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   41  +12       5.06    76.81     5.38    77.40     6.87    19.18     5.07    31.10    81.97    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             23   39  +18      -1.27    42.60     4.45    78.76     7.10    30.63     8.97    42.35    86.68    55.98P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           23   37   +8       1.05    55.75     1.35    73.18     7.01    14.89     1.67    14.24    61.93    26.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36  +10       6.29    82.44    10.77    67.66     7.07     8.27     0.29     3.87    30.64     8.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield        21   35  +14       0.71    53.83     5.97    76.65     7.25    24.86     5.16    30.15    79.05    44.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        23   35   +1       3.17    67.60     0.59    66.74     6.91     1.42     0.18     2.47    25.14     6.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County   22   35   -3       6.77    84.19     0.38    65.78     7.16    -6.36     0.14     2.18    21.17     5.23P    0.09R    0.01  
Tranmere         23   34   +4       3.54    69.30     5.72    64.98     7.14     3.08     0.11     1.79    19.42     5.11P    0.10R    0.01  
Carlisle         23   33   +3      -0.73    46.15    -0.11    67.10     7.01     6.93     0.21     2.97    28.32     8.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           23   32   +8      -5.65    21.68    -1.18    69.30     7.06    16.59     0.57     6.04    41.86    16.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          23   31   -5      -1.33    42.96    -6.18    62.96     6.92    -4.49     0.03     0.74    11.39     2.96P    0.26R    0.04  
Northampton      23   28   -2      -4.87    25.20    -3.98    61.17     7.09     0.39     0.02     0.46     8.36     2.28P    0.51R    0.08  
Port_Vale        23   28   -3      -1.61    41.34    -0.60    57.93     6.70    -5.21     0.00     0.07     2.83     0.58P    1.34R    0.20  
Grimsby          23   28   -4       0.50    53.91     1.79    55.05     6.67   -10.39     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.19P    3.49R    0.63  
Crawley_Town     22   26   -7      -1.06    44.42    -1.97    54.14     6.94   -14.70     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.20P    5.27R    1.04  
Crewe            23   25   -7      -3.00    33.86    -1.77    53.58     6.79   -11.34     0.00     0.02     0.79     0.17P    5.78R    1.16  
Morecambe        23   25  -12      -0.73    46.69    -3.33    50.34     6.65   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   13.48R    3.22  
Yeovil           21   23   +0      -3.71    29.12     3.05    54.36     7.14    -4.33     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.29P    5.02R    1.06  
Cheltenham       22   22  -11      -3.79    29.02    -4.09    51.12     7.08   -16.85     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P   12.09R    3.14  
Cambridge_Utd    23   20  -19      -6.36    17.23   -11.46    46.79     6.69   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.71R    9.09  
Notts_County     23   19  -24      -7.51    13.80   -15.52    45.66     6.77   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.65R   12.85  
Macclesfield     23   17  -20      -3.38    30.72    -3.04    36.89     6.20   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.11R   67.47  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      25   53  +32       7.55    85.47    15.42    91.52     6.41    46.67    66.54    98.48    77.13P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       25   49  +25       7.89    84.82    14.56    82.56     6.79    32.28    11.58    79.16    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            24   47  +16       9.35    91.11     8.99    80.99     6.53    21.82     6.78    70.89    22.72P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   46  +18       7.76    83.95    11.89    78.69     6.87    23.98     4.38    59.36    15.92P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          25   45  +22       2.01    60.59     8.82    81.08     6.48    32.98     7.58    74.06    28.07P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   44  +12      10.16    92.36    10.49    74.22     6.64    12.64     0.95    30.60     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   42  +10       5.54    78.07     4.54    76.01     6.71    15.75     1.43    41.68    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      24   40   +5       5.22    76.67     2.08    72.66     6.77     8.94     0.51    23.13     5.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   39   +0       6.21    80.31     1.93    67.32     6.44    -0.57     0.05     5.78     1.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   34   +3      -0.83    45.98     1.77    65.12     6.55     6.60     0.01     3.45     0.81P    0.24R    0.00  
Barrow             25   34   -1       0.95    55.76     0.37    60.09     6.41    -4.63     0.00     0.59     0.13P    1.95R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       25   33   -1      -2.20    38.37    -2.89    61.93     6.44    -0.22     0.00     1.21     0.25P    0.92R    0.00  
Hartlepool         25   32   -6      -0.86    45.75    -4.25    57.92     6.30    -9.78     0.00     0.25     0.03P    3.85R    0.03  
Barnet             22   31   -2      -3.85    28.67    -9.12    68.23     7.26     4.43     0.18    10.35     2.90P    0.20R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          25   31   -3      -4.76    25.77    -5.50    60.49     6.57    -1.90     0.00     0.70     0.16P    1.82R    0.00  
Halifax            24   27   -6      -0.82    46.13     0.46    52.31     6.42   -12.47     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.96R    0.34  
Bromley            24   27   -7      -5.16    23.73    -5.78    55.69     6.77    -9.46     0.00     0.13     0.03P    9.13R    0.14  
Aldershot          25   26  -19      -4.25    27.85   -13.56    52.44     6.41   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.80R    0.44  
Havant_&_Wville    25   25   -9      -2.58    37.42     2.45    47.73     6.70   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.28R    2.05  
Chesterfield       24   23   -6     -11.67     4.99    -8.97    56.00     6.83    -1.68     0.00     0.15     0.05P    8.19R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic     25   21  -20      -9.72     8.54   -14.79    48.55     6.51   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.40R    1.88  
Maidenhead         24   21  -23      -3.55    31.05    -9.88    43.75     6.35   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.10R    8.13  
Maidstone_United   24   19  -17      -5.83    19.76    -5.18    42.15     6.34   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.43R   11.01  
Braintree_Town     25   15  -23      -7.19    14.04    -3.85    32.59     5.98   -40.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R   75.87