Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Everton 2 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        18   48  +32       9.97    97.50     9.49    91.05     5.61    57.81    43.36    83.73    96.93    99.51   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   44  +37       1.59    60.94     3.31    91.27     5.23    73.25    49.98    86.70    97.81    99.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   42  +19       5.96    85.59     0.42    83.42     5.76    42.02     5.97    24.32    73.92    92.23    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   37  +20       1.99    62.79     3.65    75.65     5.99    37.59     0.43     3.15    17.90    57.33    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   37  +16       3.42    71.40     1.20    74.26     6.09    32.27     0.25     2.04    12.58    44.42    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          18   29   +4      -3.09    29.56    -7.31    66.19     6.08    19.21     0.00     0.05     0.87     6.78    86.23     0.00     0.00  
Watford          18   27   +0       5.40    82.59     5.81    50.23     6.03    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.46     0.11R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   26   -1       3.11    70.33     3.36    49.55     6.09    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.07     0.16R    0.00  
Leicester        18   25   +1      -0.03    50.34     1.09    51.54     6.14    -1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.00     0.07R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   25   -2       4.17    76.69     4.36    49.05     6.14    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.28R    0.00  
Everton          18   24   -2      -0.18    49.24     0.14    50.86     6.36    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.49     0.15R    0.00  
West_Ham         18   24   -2       1.74    62.31     3.23    48.93     6.14    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.32R    0.00  
Brighton         18   21   -6       1.00    58.09     1.83    42.81     5.92   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.87R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   18   18   -8      -2.61    33.39    -0.82    42.56     6.10   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     3.60R    0.14  
Newcastle        18   17   -8      -4.88    20.01    -3.53    39.46     5.88   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.18R    0.43  
Southampton      18   15  -14      -4.68    20.57    -4.90    37.54     6.01   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    15.27R    1.26  
Cardiff          18   14  -20      -1.78    38.73    -3.26    31.42     5.75   -38.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.96R   10.46  
Burnley          18   12  -20      -6.46    11.76    -9.48    33.08     5.93   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.75R    6.00  
Huddersfield     18   10  -20      -4.35    19.68    -2.73    24.89     5.21   -40.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.02R   47.97  
Fulham           18   10  -26      -4.94    18.07    -5.86    26.90     5.68   -46.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.26R   33.66  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Aston_Villa 2 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    23   48  +19      11.64    95.19    11.84    84.78     7.04    26.78    32.12    56.35    94.65    65.08P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         23   47  +15      11.44    94.55     8.98    82.98     7.01    21.58    22.48    44.76    91.42    54.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       23   42  +19      -0.08    48.68     2.50    84.39     7.02    35.97    32.40    57.00    94.71    69.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   39   +9       1.46    58.00     0.39    76.93     6.78    18.18     5.34    15.42    71.45    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           23   39   +7       2.13    61.51    -0.84    75.38     6.95    14.22     3.64    11.20    62.18    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       23   38   +9       3.76    70.14     5.04    72.55     6.99    13.44     1.73     5.95    46.70    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   23   35   +9       3.13    67.50     8.48    66.44     7.00     8.77     0.22     1.04    17.57     4.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   +8       5.29    77.96    12.13    62.96     6.85     4.14     0.04     0.27     7.91     1.49P    0.18R    0.01  
Stoke           23   34   +3      -1.51    41.81    -2.79    69.34     7.13     8.70     0.65     2.51    29.48     9.54P    0.03R    0.00  
QPR             23   34   -4       5.73    79.56     1.20    62.56     6.90    -8.87     0.04     0.21     6.12     1.12P    0.46R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     23   33   +8      -4.54    26.23    -1.10    70.28     7.06    16.73     0.89     3.32    36.01    12.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         23   32   +2      -3.29    32.52    -3.58    67.51     7.13     7.83     0.34     1.43    21.74     6.85P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City    23   31   +1      -0.88    45.41     0.66    63.12     6.98     1.77     0.05     0.27     7.96     1.83P    0.37R    0.01  
Blackburn       23   31   -5       1.11    56.92    -2.31    60.31     7.09    -8.58     0.03     0.10     3.77     0.84P    1.17R    0.06  
Preston         23   28   -3      -3.64    30.72    -2.90    60.10     7.01    -2.40     0.02     0.09     3.59     0.79P    1.17R    0.07  
Hull            23   27   -6      -3.34    32.53    -3.99    57.08     6.91    -8.71     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.25P    3.03R    0.22  
Sheff_Wed       23   27  -11      -2.12    38.64    -7.09    55.92     6.90   -15.36     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.16P    4.63R    0.37  
Brentford       23   25   +0      -8.10    12.66    -1.98    57.83     7.13     1.81     0.00     0.04     2.10     0.55P    2.52R    0.21  
Wigan           23   25  -10      -5.02    24.35    -7.95    54.66     6.93   -12.59     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.11P    6.46R    0.59  
Rotherham       23   22  -15      -0.48    48.76    -0.39    44.13     6.60   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.92R   13.96  
Reading         23   19   -9      -7.35    14.15    -0.58    44.98     6.77   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.88R   10.38  
Millwall        23   19  -11      -8.85     9.72    -5.23    47.38     6.84   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   30.17R    5.67  
Bolton          23   18  -16      -3.34    30.87    -1.16    39.60     6.23   -30.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.53R   34.72  
Ipswich         23   15  -19     -10.05     6.18    -9.33    39.79     6.58   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.32R   33.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Blackpool 0 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           23   51  +20      13.65    97.49    11.50    88.02     6.95    27.99    25.37    50.63    97.29    61.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                23   47  +23       7.31    84.34    10.61    86.46     7.19    34.97    21.24    44.05    95.56    57.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           21   43  +20       3.96    71.34     3.98    89.71     7.51    39.34    39.16    62.92    97.72    74.24P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             23   43  +13       6.08    80.33     5.11    79.70     7.04    20.56     3.91    12.24    78.85    27.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         23   41  +12       4.48    73.04     4.62    77.27     7.10    19.13     2.19     7.31    67.61    20.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             22   39  +15       0.66    53.41     2.77    81.53     7.36    29.36     7.55    20.09    85.35    40.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            23   39  +11       4.67    74.04     6.95    73.07     7.09    14.57     0.51     2.32    42.70    10.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            22   34   +3       2.63    65.20     1.14    66.74     7.08     2.83     0.05     0.28    13.14     2.79P    0.49R    0.00  
Wycombe              23   32   +1       3.54    69.56     6.08    60.17     7.03    -4.55     0.00     0.01     2.68     0.41P    4.75R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   22   31   -2       3.78    71.23     2.26    60.37     7.19    -7.35     0.01     0.04     2.90     0.54P    4.88R    0.23  
Walsall              23   31  -10       3.74    71.02    -3.42    58.58     6.85   -15.99     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.18P    7.80R    0.47  
Fleetwood_Town       23   30   +5      -2.72    35.46     3.44    63.03     7.06     7.30     0.01     0.06     6.20     1.37P    1.82R    0.05  
Southend             23   29   -1      -2.34    37.66    -0.52    59.93     7.00    -1.96     0.00     0.01     2.45     0.46P    4.88R    0.25  
Coventry             23   29   -5       2.07    62.65     1.18    56.18     6.85   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.12P   13.26R    0.96  
Shrewsbury           23   28   -2      -4.18    27.72    -3.06    59.95     6.91    -1.33     0.00     0.01     2.25     0.47P    4.59R    0.23  
Burton_Albion        22   27   -5      -2.02    39.22    -3.30    57.96     7.26    -7.99     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.29P    9.75R    0.77  
Rochdale             23   27  -11      -1.08    44.78    -5.24    55.40     6.97   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P   16.98R    1.65  
Oxford_Utd           23   26   -4      -4.50    26.36    -1.93    56.75     7.05    -5.45     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.14P   11.67R    0.97  
Gillingham           23   25   -5      -3.88    29.63    -0.58    54.29     7.00    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P   19.49R    1.95  
Bradford             23   21  -15      -6.50    17.66    -8.73    48.16     6.84   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.65R   11.71  
Scunthorpe           23   21  -20      -7.87    13.23   -15.20    50.16     7.04   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   42.50R    7.91  
Bristol_Rovers       23   20   -8      -8.15    11.44    -2.76    47.82     6.90   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   52.67R   11.82  
Plymouth             23   20  -18      -5.71    20.80    -8.46    45.39     6.78   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.31R   22.54  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   18  -17      -6.11    17.76    -6.43    42.41     6.54   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   82.47R   38.32  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Bury 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     22   47  +21       9.63    92.44    10.12    87.06     7.11    31.68    41.75    82.32    98.51    86.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          22   43  +18       3.16    67.44     3.79    85.88     7.17    32.46    35.21    77.97    97.59    84.47P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   41  +12       4.92    75.95     5.19    77.49     6.90    19.33     5.48    31.67    81.99    44.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             23   39  +18      -1.44    41.54     4.17    78.92     7.13    30.94     9.26    43.22    87.01    57.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           23   37   +8       1.07    55.96     1.33    73.24     6.98    14.94     1.66    14.10    62.10    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36  +10       6.21    81.92    10.69    67.73     7.07     8.36     0.31     3.86    31.34     8.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        21   35  +14       0.71    54.22     6.00    76.68     7.23    24.89     5.18    30.12    78.82    44.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        23   35   +1       3.15    67.72     0.51    66.76     6.93     1.40     0.16     2.43    24.89     6.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Newport_County   22   35   -3       6.81    84.37     0.45    65.68     7.16    -6.51     0.16     2.16    20.59     5.06P    0.06R    0.01  
Tranmere         23   34   +4       3.28    67.96     5.30    65.19     7.08     3.42     0.10     1.86    19.94     5.20P    0.09R    0.00  
Carlisle         23   33   +3      -0.85    45.24    -0.32    67.15     7.00     7.06     0.19     2.96    28.47     8.76P    0.03R    0.01  
Oldham           23   32   +8      -5.64    21.74    -1.18    69.27     7.03    16.57     0.49     5.97    41.14    16.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          23   31   -5      -1.26    43.42    -6.12    62.89     6.88    -4.56     0.02     0.66    11.25     2.80P    0.25R    0.02  
Northampton      23   28   -2      -4.85    24.89    -3.94    61.13     7.12     0.33     0.02     0.50     8.47     2.35P    0.52R    0.06  
Port_Vale        23   28   -3      -1.66    41.17    -0.60    57.96     6.75    -5.18     0.00     0.09     2.98     0.64P    1.28R    0.18  
Grimsby          23   28   -4       0.52    53.82     1.80    55.05     6.68   -10.40     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.19P    3.28R    0.61  
Crawley_Town     22   26   -7      -1.02    44.98    -1.91    54.12     6.96   -14.75     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.23P    5.32R    1.10  
Crewe            23   25   -7      -3.16    32.87    -1.99    53.77     6.82   -11.10     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.15P    5.36R    1.01  
Morecambe        23   25  -12      -0.63    47.40    -3.10    50.23     6.58   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   13.63R    3.18  
Yeovil           21   23   +0      -3.70    29.36     3.07    54.36     7.18    -4.35     0.00     0.05     1.44     0.32P    5.02R    0.96  
Cheltenham       22   22  -11      -3.67    29.53    -3.92    51.02     7.00   -16.95     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   12.07R    2.87  
Cambridge_Utd    23   20  -19      -6.22    17.94   -11.30    46.70     6.74   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   29.99R    9.48  
Notts_County     23   19  -24      -7.46    13.74   -15.44    45.61     6.80   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.72R   12.72  
Macclesfield     23   17  -20      -3.15    32.34    -2.59    36.75     6.24   -38.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.31R   67.80  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      25   53  +32       7.63    85.46    15.54    91.52     6.42    46.68    65.85    98.50    76.60P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       25   49  +25       7.70    84.21    14.29    82.78     6.81    32.55    12.47    80.14    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            24   47  +16       9.29    91.10     8.93    81.02     6.49    21.86     6.67    71.53    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   46  +18       7.77    83.98    11.96    78.60     6.91    23.84     4.26    58.92    15.74P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          25   45  +22       2.20    61.55     9.11    81.00     6.47    32.81     7.52    73.88    27.85P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   44  +12      10.15    92.10    10.40    74.25     6.59    12.64     0.90    30.54     6.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   42  +10       5.68    78.77     4.70    75.90     6.75    15.60     1.57    40.97    10.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      24   40   +5       5.22    76.61     2.13    72.59     6.73     8.88     0.54    22.97     5.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   39   +0       6.21    80.28     1.91    67.32     6.45    -0.56     0.05     5.88     1.05P    0.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   34   +3      -0.92    45.30     1.63    65.22     6.50     6.79     0.01     3.54     0.76P    0.24R    0.00  
Barrow             25   34   -1       1.00    56.02     0.44    59.96     6.41    -4.77     0.00     0.59     0.11P    2.08R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       25   33   -1      -2.27    37.88    -2.98    62.03     6.44    -0.11     0.00     1.18     0.29P    0.91R    0.01  
Hartlepool         25   32   -6      -0.81    46.25    -4.22    57.93     6.31    -9.75     0.00     0.22     0.04P    3.85R    0.02  
Barnet             22   31   -2      -3.71    29.44    -8.93    68.09     7.29     4.24     0.16    10.08     2.94P    0.18R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          25   31   -3      -4.77    25.98    -5.51    60.46     6.54    -1.93     0.00     0.72     0.16P    1.94R    0.01  
Halifax            24   27   -6      -0.72    46.94     0.61    52.22     6.41   -12.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.43R    0.37  
Bromley            24   27   -7      -5.10    23.94    -5.71    55.61     6.77    -9.55     0.00     0.13     0.02P    9.32R    0.11  
Aldershot          25   26  -19      -4.34    27.51   -13.69    52.48     6.43   -21.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.75R    0.46  
Havant_&_Wville    25   25   -9      -2.66    36.84     2.31    47.76     6.62   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.87R    1.93  
Chesterfield       24   23   -6     -11.86     4.77    -9.28    56.17     6.87    -1.44     0.00     0.18     0.05P    7.98R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     25   21  -20      -9.77     8.52   -14.84    48.58     6.49   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.39R    1.90  
Maidenhead         24   21  -23      -3.58    30.90    -9.88    43.75     6.37   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R    8.19  
Maidstone_United   24   19  -17      -5.85    19.59    -5.19    42.18     6.33   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.44R   10.79  
Braintree_Town     25   15  -23      -7.10    14.87    -3.73    32.54     6.01   -40.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R   76.13