Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 25 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Everton 2 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 18 48 +32 9.97 97.50 9.49 91.05 5.61 57.81 43.36 83.73 96.93 99.51 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 44 +37 1.59 60.94 3.31 91.27 5.23 73.25 49.98 86.70 97.81 99.65 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 42 +19 5.96 85.59 0.42 83.42 5.76 42.02 5.97 24.32 73.92 92.23 99.97 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 18 37 +20 1.99 62.79 3.65 75.65 5.99 37.59 0.43 3.15 17.90 57.33 99.27 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 37 +16 3.42 71.40 1.20 74.26 6.09 32.27 0.25 2.04 12.58 44.42 98.64 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 29 +4 -3.09 29.56 -7.31 66.19 6.08 19.21 0.00 0.05 0.87 6.78 86.23 0.00 0.00 Watford 18 27 +0 5.40 82.59 5.81 50.23 6.03 -8.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.46 0.11R 0.00 Bournemouth 18 26 -1 3.11 70.33 3.36 49.55 6.09 -9.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.07 0.16R 0.00 Leicester 18 25 +1 -0.03 50.34 1.09 51.54 6.14 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.00 0.07R 0.00 Wolverhampton 18 25 -2 4.17 76.69 4.36 49.05 6.14 -8.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.76 0.28R 0.00 Everton 18 24 -2 -0.18 49.24 0.14 50.86 6.36 -3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.49 0.15R 0.00 West_Ham 18 24 -2 1.74 62.31 3.23 48.93 6.14 -7.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.79 0.32R 0.00 Brighton 18 21 -6 1.00 58.09 1.83 42.81 5.92 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 2.87R 0.07 Crystal_Palace 18 18 -8 -2.61 33.39 -0.82 42.56 6.10 -13.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 3.60R 0.14 Newcastle 18 17 -8 -4.88 20.01 -3.53 39.46 5.88 -15.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 8.18R 0.43 Southampton 18 15 -14 -4.68 20.57 -4.90 37.54 6.01 -22.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 15.27R 1.26 Cardiff 18 14 -20 -1.78 38.73 -3.26 31.42 5.75 -38.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.96R 10.46 Burnley 18 12 -20 -6.46 11.76 -9.48 33.08 5.93 -30.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.75R 6.00 Huddersfield 18 10 -20 -4.35 19.68 -2.73 24.89 5.21 -40.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.02R 47.97 Fulham 18 10 -26 -4.94 18.07 -5.86 26.90 5.68 -46.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.26R 33.66Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Aston_Villa 2 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 23 48 +19 11.64 95.19 11.84 84.78 7.04 26.78 32.12 56.35 94.65 65.08P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 23 47 +15 11.44 94.55 8.98 82.98 7.01 21.58 22.48 44.76 91.42 54.47P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 23 42 +19 -0.08 48.68 2.50 84.39 7.02 35.97 32.40 57.00 94.71 69.34P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 23 39 +9 1.46 58.00 0.39 76.93 6.78 18.18 5.34 15.42 71.45 31.98P 0.00 0.00 Derby 23 39 +7 2.13 61.51 -0.84 75.38 6.95 14.22 3.64 11.20 62.18 24.44P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 23 38 +9 3.76 70.14 5.04 72.55 6.99 13.44 1.73 5.95 46.70 14.46P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 23 35 +9 3.13 67.50 8.48 66.44 7.00 8.77 0.22 1.04 17.57 4.23P 0.06R 0.00 Birmingham 23 34 +8 5.29 77.96 12.13 62.96 6.85 4.14 0.04 0.27 7.91 1.49P 0.18R 0.01 Stoke 23 34 +3 -1.51 41.81 -2.79 69.34 7.13 8.70 0.65 2.51 29.48 9.54P 0.03R 0.00 QPR 23 34 -4 5.73 79.56 1.20 62.56 6.90 -8.87 0.04 0.21 6.12 1.12P 0.46R 0.02 Aston_Villa 23 33 +8 -4.54 26.23 -1.10 70.28 7.06 16.73 0.89 3.32 36.01 12.46P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 23 32 +2 -3.29 32.52 -3.58 67.51 7.13 7.83 0.34 1.43 21.74 6.85P 0.07R 0.00 Bristol_City 23 31 +1 -0.88 45.41 0.66 63.12 6.98 1.77 0.05 0.27 7.96 1.83P 0.37R 0.01 Blackburn 23 31 -5 1.11 56.92 -2.31 60.31 7.09 -8.58 0.03 0.10 3.77 0.84P 1.17R 0.06 Preston 23 28 -3 -3.64 30.72 -2.90 60.10 7.01 -2.40 0.02 0.09 3.59 0.79P 1.17R 0.07 Hull 23 27 -6 -3.34 32.53 -3.99 57.08 6.91 -8.71 0.00 0.01 1.26 0.25P 3.03R 0.22 Sheff_Wed 23 27 -11 -2.12 38.64 -7.09 55.92 6.90 -15.36 0.00 0.01 0.82 0.16P 4.63R 0.37 Brentford 23 25 +0 -8.10 12.66 -1.98 57.83 7.13 1.81 0.00 0.04 2.10 0.55P 2.52R 0.21 Wigan 23 25 -10 -5.02 24.35 -7.95 54.66 6.93 -12.59 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.11P 6.46R 0.59 Rotherham 23 22 -15 -0.48 48.76 -0.39 44.13 6.60 -30.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.92R 13.96 Reading 23 19 -9 -7.35 14.15 -0.58 44.98 6.77 -17.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 43.88R 10.38 Millwall 23 19 -11 -8.85 9.72 -5.23 47.38 6.84 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 30.17R 5.67 Bolton 23 18 -16 -3.34 30.87 -1.16 39.60 6.23 -30.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.53R 34.72 Ipswich 23 15 -19 -10.05 6.18 -9.33 39.79 6.58 -29.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.32R 33.70League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Blackpool 0 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 23 51 +20 13.65 97.49 11.50 88.02 6.95 27.99 25.37 50.63 97.29 61.26P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 47 +23 7.31 84.34 10.61 86.46 7.19 34.97 21.24 44.05 95.56 57.87P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 21 43 +20 3.96 71.34 3.98 89.71 7.51 39.34 39.16 62.92 97.72 74.24P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 23 43 +13 6.08 80.33 5.11 79.70 7.04 20.56 3.91 12.24 78.85 27.89P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 23 41 +12 4.48 73.04 4.62 77.27 7.10 19.13 2.19 7.31 67.61 20.59P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 22 39 +15 0.66 53.41 2.77 81.53 7.36 29.36 7.55 20.09 85.35 40.75P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 23 39 +11 4.67 74.04 6.95 73.07 7.09 14.57 0.51 2.32 42.70 10.48P 0.05R 0.00 Blackpool 22 34 +3 2.63 65.20 1.14 66.74 7.08 2.83 0.05 0.28 13.14 2.79P 0.49R 0.00 Wycombe 23 32 +1 3.54 69.56 6.08 60.17 7.03 -4.55 0.00 0.01 2.68 0.41P 4.75R 0.17 Accrington_Stanley 22 31 -2 3.78 71.23 2.26 60.37 7.19 -7.35 0.01 0.04 2.90 0.54P 4.88R 0.23 Walsall 23 31 -10 3.74 71.02 -3.42 58.58 6.85 -15.99 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.18P 7.80R 0.47 Fleetwood_Town 23 30 +5 -2.72 35.46 3.44 63.03 7.06 7.30 0.01 0.06 6.20 1.37P 1.82R 0.05 Southend 23 29 -1 -2.34 37.66 -0.52 59.93 7.00 -1.96 0.00 0.01 2.45 0.46P 4.88R 0.25 Coventry 23 29 -5 2.07 62.65 1.18 56.18 6.85 -11.19 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.12P 13.26R 0.96 Shrewsbury 23 28 -2 -4.18 27.72 -3.06 59.95 6.91 -1.33 0.00 0.01 2.25 0.47P 4.59R 0.23 Burton_Albion 22 27 -5 -2.02 39.22 -3.30 57.96 7.26 -7.99 0.00 0.01 1.51 0.29P 9.75R 0.77 Rochdale 23 27 -11 -1.08 44.78 -5.24 55.40 6.97 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.08P 16.98R 1.65 Oxford_Utd 23 26 -4 -4.50 26.36 -1.93 56.75 7.05 -5.45 0.00 0.01 0.83 0.14P 11.67R 0.97 Gillingham 23 25 -5 -3.88 29.63 -0.58 54.29 7.00 -8.90 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 19.49R 1.95 Bradford 23 21 -15 -6.50 17.66 -8.73 48.16 6.84 -21.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 52.65R 11.71 Scunthorpe 23 21 -20 -7.87 13.23 -15.20 50.16 7.04 -24.43 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 42.50R 7.91 Bristol_Rovers 23 20 -8 -8.15 11.44 -2.76 47.82 6.90 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 52.67R 11.82 Plymouth 23 20 -18 -5.71 20.80 -8.46 45.39 6.78 -27.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 69.31R 22.54 AFC_Wimbledon 23 18 -17 -6.11 17.76 -6.43 42.41 6.54 -27.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 82.47R 38.32League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Bury 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 22 47 +21 9.63 92.44 10.12 87.06 7.11 31.68 41.75 82.32 98.51 86.55P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 22 43 +18 3.16 67.44 3.79 85.88 7.17 32.46 35.21 77.97 97.59 84.47P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 23 41 +12 4.92 75.95 5.19 77.49 6.90 19.33 5.48 31.67 81.99 44.22P 0.00 0.00 Bury 23 39 +18 -1.44 41.54 4.17 78.92 7.13 30.94 9.26 43.22 87.01 57.03P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 23 37 +8 1.07 55.96 1.33 73.24 6.98 14.94 1.66 14.10 62.10 26.24P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 22 36 +10 6.21 81.92 10.69 67.73 7.07 8.36 0.31 3.86 31.34 8.56P 0.01R 0.00 Mansfield 21 35 +14 0.71 54.22 6.00 76.68 7.23 24.89 5.18 30.12 78.82 44.23P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 23 35 +1 3.15 67.72 0.51 66.76 6.93 1.40 0.16 2.43 24.89 6.57P 0.04R 0.00 Newport_County 22 35 -3 6.81 84.37 0.45 65.68 7.16 -6.51 0.16 2.16 20.59 5.06P 0.06R 0.01 Tranmere 23 34 +4 3.28 67.96 5.30 65.19 7.08 3.42 0.10 1.86 19.94 5.20P 0.09R 0.00 Carlisle 23 33 +3 -0.85 45.24 -0.32 67.15 7.00 7.06 0.19 2.96 28.47 8.76P 0.03R 0.01 Oldham 23 32 +8 -5.64 21.74 -1.18 69.27 7.03 16.57 0.49 5.97 41.14 16.33P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 23 31 -5 -1.26 43.42 -6.12 62.89 6.88 -4.56 0.02 0.66 11.25 2.80P 0.25R 0.02 Northampton 23 28 -2 -4.85 24.89 -3.94 61.13 7.12 0.33 0.02 0.50 8.47 2.35P 0.52R 0.06 Port_Vale 23 28 -3 -1.66 41.17 -0.60 57.96 6.75 -5.18 0.00 0.09 2.98 0.64P 1.28R 0.18 Grimsby 23 28 -4 0.52 53.82 1.80 55.05 6.68 -10.40 0.00 0.02 1.16 0.19P 3.28R 0.61 Crawley_Town 22 26 -7 -1.02 44.98 -1.91 54.12 6.96 -14.75 0.00 0.02 1.00 0.23P 5.32R 1.10 Crewe 23 25 -7 -3.16 32.87 -1.99 53.77 6.82 -11.10 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.15P 5.36R 1.01 Morecambe 23 25 -12 -0.63 47.40 -3.10 50.23 6.58 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 13.63R 3.18 Yeovil 21 23 +0 -3.70 29.36 3.07 54.36 7.18 -4.35 0.00 0.05 1.44 0.32P 5.02R 0.96 Cheltenham 22 22 -11 -3.67 29.53 -3.92 51.02 7.00 -16.95 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.07P 12.07R 2.87 Cambridge_Utd 23 20 -19 -6.22 17.94 -11.30 46.70 6.74 -26.10 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 29.99R 9.48 Notts_County 23 19 -24 -7.46 13.74 -15.44 45.61 6.80 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 37.72R 12.72 Macclesfield 23 17 -20 -3.15 32.34 -2.59 36.75 6.24 -38.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.31R 67.80National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 25 53 +32 7.63 85.46 15.54 91.52 6.42 46.68 65.85 98.50 76.60P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 25 49 +25 7.70 84.21 14.29 82.78 6.81 32.55 12.47 80.14 29.86P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 24 47 +16 9.29 91.10 8.93 81.02 6.49 21.86 6.67 71.53 22.73P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 25 46 +18 7.77 83.98 11.96 78.60 6.91 23.84 4.26 58.92 15.74P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 25 45 +22 2.20 61.55 9.11 81.00 6.47 32.81 7.52 73.88 27.85P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 24 44 +12 10.15 92.10 10.40 74.25 6.59 12.64 0.90 30.54 6.18P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 24 42 +10 5.68 78.77 4.70 75.90 6.75 15.60 1.57 40.97 10.44P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 24 40 +5 5.22 76.61 2.13 72.59 6.73 8.88 0.54 22.97 5.17P 0.00R 0.00 Eastleigh 25 39 +0 6.21 80.28 1.91 67.32 6.45 -0.56 0.05 5.88 1.05P 0.11R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 25 34 +3 -0.92 45.30 1.63 65.22 6.50 6.79 0.01 3.54 0.76P 0.24R 0.00 Barrow 25 34 -1 1.00 56.02 0.44 59.96 6.41 -4.77 0.00 0.59 0.11P 2.08R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 25 33 -1 -2.27 37.88 -2.98 62.03 6.44 -0.11 0.00 1.18 0.29P 0.91R 0.01 Hartlepool 25 32 -6 -0.81 46.25 -4.22 57.93 6.31 -9.75 0.00 0.22 0.04P 3.85R 0.02 Barnet 22 31 -2 -3.71 29.44 -8.93 68.09 7.29 4.24 0.16 10.08 2.94P 0.18R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 25 31 -3 -4.77 25.98 -5.51 60.46 6.54 -1.93 0.00 0.72 0.16P 1.94R 0.01 Halifax 24 27 -6 -0.72 46.94 0.61 52.22 6.41 -12.55 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.43R 0.37 Bromley 24 27 -7 -5.10 23.94 -5.71 55.61 6.77 -9.55 0.00 0.13 0.02P 9.32R 0.11 Aldershot 25 26 -19 -4.34 27.51 -13.69 52.48 6.43 -21.89 0.00 0.01 0.00 20.75R 0.46 Havant_&_Wville 25 25 -9 -2.66 36.84 2.31 47.76 6.62 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.87R 1.93 Chesterfield 24 23 -6 -11.86 4.77 -9.28 56.17 6.87 -1.44 0.00 0.18 0.05P 7.98R 0.08 Dover_Athletic 25 21 -20 -9.77 8.52 -14.84 48.58 6.49 -21.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.39R 1.90 Maidenhead 24 21 -23 -3.58 30.90 -9.88 43.75 6.37 -34.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.09R 8.19 Maidstone_United 24 19 -17 -5.85 19.59 -5.19 42.18 6.33 -27.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.44R 10.79 Braintree_Town 25 15 -23 -7.10 14.87 -3.73 32.54 6.01 -40.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.40R 76.13