Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Everton 2 6 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        18   48  +32       9.93    97.43     9.41    91.11     5.64    57.91    44.15    83.53    96.79    99.45   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   44  +37       1.61    61.24     3.36    91.16     5.20    73.10    49.09    86.52    97.79    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   42  +19       6.01    85.64     0.52    83.40     5.81    41.91     6.12    24.76    74.12    92.23    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   37  +20       1.97    62.65     3.64    75.64     5.99    37.58     0.40     3.14    18.15    58.21    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          18   37  +16       3.54    72.33     1.43    74.12     6.08    32.00     0.24     2.01    12.27    43.68    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          18   29   +4      -3.00    30.08    -7.15    66.05     6.08    19.02     0.00     0.04     0.88     6.67    85.84     0.00     0.00  
Watford          18   27   +0       5.29    81.84     5.69    50.31     6.05    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.51     0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth      18   26   -1       3.06    70.50     3.24    49.68     6.06    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.11     0.14R    0.01  
Leicester        18   25   +1      -0.08    49.94     0.98    51.57     6.14    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.11     0.08R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    18   25   -2       4.14    76.30     4.33    49.00     6.14    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.24R    0.00  
Everton          18   24   -2      -0.25    48.87     0.08    50.94     6.34    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.68     0.13R    0.00  
West_Ham         18   24   -2       1.76    62.30     3.28    48.88     6.15    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.30R    0.01  
Brighton         18   21   -6       1.01    58.04     1.81    42.78     5.90   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.80R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   18   18   -8      -2.49    34.15    -0.70    42.38     6.08   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     3.91R    0.18  
Newcastle        18   17   -8      -4.89    19.96    -3.53    39.50     5.89   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.37R    0.44  
Southampton      18   15  -14      -4.72    20.50    -4.99    37.69     6.04   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    15.17R    1.26  
Cardiff          18   14  -20      -1.89    37.72    -3.45    31.48     5.72   -38.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.46R   10.42  
Burnley          18   12  -20      -6.43    11.86    -9.46    33.06     5.83   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.83R    5.93  
Huddersfield     18   10  -20      -4.37    19.94    -2.70    24.93     5.22   -40.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.06R   47.88  
Fulham           18   10  -26      -4.90    18.06    -5.80    26.94     5.74   -46.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.42R   33.81  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2018, Aston_Villa 2 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    23   48  +19      11.47    95.06    11.60    84.89     7.02    26.95    32.74    57.10    95.03    65.67P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         23   47  +15      11.49    94.51     9.03    83.04     7.06    21.65    22.49    45.06    91.22    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       23   42  +19       0.07    49.82     2.70    84.20     7.06    35.72    31.64    55.99    94.12    68.44P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   39   +9       1.42    58.13     0.33    76.98     6.79    18.25     5.45    15.22    71.70    31.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           23   39   +7       2.11    61.45    -0.82    75.35     6.93    14.14     3.67    11.10    62.01    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       23   38   +9       3.58    69.18     4.79    72.63     7.02    13.52     1.82     6.23    47.37    15.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   23   35   +9       3.14    67.48     8.52    66.36     6.99     8.67     0.19     0.91    17.27     3.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Birmingham      23   34   +8       5.28    77.93    12.13    62.98     6.91     4.18     0.06     0.31     7.94     1.61P    0.28R    0.01  
Stoke           23   34   +3      -1.64    40.84    -2.99    69.43     7.13     8.88     0.69     2.60    29.87     9.71P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR             23   34   -4       5.79    79.79     1.31    62.52     6.86    -8.89     0.04     0.22     6.13     1.19P    0.44R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   33   +8      -4.58    25.77    -1.21    70.28     7.11    16.72     0.88     3.50    36.13    12.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         23   32   +2      -3.00    33.84    -3.18    67.23     7.08     7.44     0.25     1.22    20.52     6.34P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_City    23   31   +1      -1.00    44.63     0.42    63.30     7.01     2.06     0.06     0.27     8.49     1.91P    0.31R    0.01  
Blackburn       23   31   -5       1.16    56.95    -2.24    60.31     7.13    -8.58     0.01     0.12     3.83     0.82P    1.27R    0.07  
Preston         23   28   -3      -3.61    30.94    -2.89    60.08     7.03    -2.41     0.01     0.09     3.64     0.90P    1.22R    0.08  
Hull            23   27   -6      -3.37    32.25    -3.99    57.07     6.91    -8.70     0.00     0.02     1.20     0.24P    3.18R    0.20  
Sheff_Wed       23   27  -11      -2.14    38.88    -7.05    55.87     6.91   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.14P    4.58R    0.39  
Brentford       23   25   +0      -8.04    12.58    -1.92    57.83     7.14     1.79     0.01     0.05     2.08     0.55P    2.50R    0.21  
Wigan           23   25  -10      -4.95    24.53    -7.85    54.61     7.02   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.15P    6.78R    0.73  
Rotherham       23   22  -15      -0.43    48.75    -0.30    44.07     6.60   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.49R   14.40  
Reading         23   19   -9      -7.30    14.09    -0.48    44.95     6.73   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.85R   10.36  
Millwall        23   19  -11      -8.97     9.50    -5.39    47.54     6.93   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   29.45R    5.61  
Bolton          23   18  -16      -3.26    31.55    -1.06    39.59     6.22   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.61R   34.67  
Ipswich         23   15  -19     -10.11     6.13    -9.45    39.88     6.59   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.85R   33.26  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Blackpool 0 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           23   51  +20      13.74    97.54    11.60    87.95     7.00    27.91    24.93    49.95    97.24    60.73P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                23   47  +23       7.26    84.13    10.60    86.43     7.23    34.93    21.01    43.71    95.43    57.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           21   43  +20       3.83    70.57     3.76    89.92     7.48    39.65    39.97    63.94    97.96    75.17P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             23   43  +13       6.07    80.23     5.14    79.68     7.06    20.56     3.84    12.19    78.79    27.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         23   41  +12       4.44    72.80     4.59    77.31     7.10    19.16     2.09     7.39    68.03    20.87P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             22   39  +15       0.64    53.32     2.74    81.52     7.36    29.34     7.51    20.10    85.41    40.67P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            23   39  +11       4.70    74.47     7.00    73.01     7.04    14.48     0.59     2.29    42.22    10.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            22   34   +3       2.92    66.74     1.55    66.50     7.10     2.51     0.04     0.27    12.68     2.58P    0.54R    0.02  
Wycombe              23   32   +1       3.29    68.27     5.68    60.38     7.01    -4.21     0.00     0.01     2.76     0.46P    4.38R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   22   31   -2       4.01    72.41     2.53    60.17     7.21    -7.64     0.01     0.03     2.86     0.48P    5.27R    0.22  
Walsall              23   31  -10       3.81    71.69    -3.35    58.44     6.84   -16.15     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.20P    8.01R    0.46  
Fleetwood_Town       23   30   +5      -2.72    35.36     3.45    63.11     7.04     7.40     0.01     0.08     6.24     1.37P    1.77R    0.06  
Southend             23   29   -1      -2.48    36.67    -0.72    60.17     6.97    -1.69     0.00     0.01     2.55     0.50P    4.51R    0.21  
Coventry             23   29   -5       2.04    62.33     1.13    56.23     6.85   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P   12.85R    0.98  
Shrewsbury           23   28   -2      -4.29    27.09    -3.22    60.07     6.92    -1.15     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.46P    4.43R    0.23  
Burton_Albion        22   27   -5      -2.14    38.60    -3.48    58.04     7.32    -7.85     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.34P    9.44R    0.72  
Rochdale             23   27  -11      -0.83    46.44    -4.88    55.21     6.95   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P   17.50R    1.75  
Oxford_Utd           23   26   -4      -4.33    27.14    -1.70    56.61     7.04    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.16P   11.88R    1.01  
Gillingham           23   25   -5      -4.03    28.79    -0.74    54.35     7.01    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P   19.30R    1.98  
Bradford             23   21  -15      -6.44    17.52    -8.63    48.20     6.84   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.93R   11.63  
Scunthorpe           23   21  -20      -7.76    13.77   -15.04    50.04     7.07   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   43.11R    8.26  
Bristol_Rovers       23   20   -8      -8.31    11.28    -3.01    47.87     6.92   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   52.37R   11.63  
Plymouth             23   20  -18      -5.62    20.97    -8.34    45.31     6.77   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.50R   23.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   18  -17      -6.30    16.87    -6.68    42.50     6.51   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.19R   37.59  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, Bury 2 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     22   47  +21       9.65    92.35    10.17    86.96     7.08    31.53    41.80    82.20    98.47    86.41P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          22   43  +18       3.16    67.47     3.80    85.87     7.08    32.44    35.26    78.62    97.89    85.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   41  +12       4.91    75.69     5.22    77.44     6.92    19.29     5.43    31.72    81.86    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             23   39  +18      -1.18    43.00     4.65    78.65     7.15    30.48     8.78    41.87    86.17    55.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           23   37   +8       1.04    55.93     1.29    73.25     7.01    15.01     1.77    14.63    62.16    26.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     22   36  +10       6.29    82.21    10.82    67.69     7.12     8.28     0.32     3.84    31.29     8.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Mansfield        21   35  +14       0.71    54.21     5.96    76.68     7.20    24.91     5.40    29.92    79.20    44.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        23   35   +1       3.29    68.35     0.78    66.57     6.93     1.15     0.15     2.36    24.25     6.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County   22   35   -3       6.70    84.03     0.27    65.81     7.18    -6.25     0.18     2.21    21.12     5.05P    0.08R    0.01  
Tranmere         23   34   +4       3.35    68.38     5.41    65.16     7.14     3.31     0.13     1.83    20.18     5.30P    0.11R    0.02  
Carlisle         23   33   +3      -0.79    45.66    -0.23    67.09     6.99     6.94     0.21     3.00    27.80     8.45P    0.05R    0.00  
Oldham           23   32   +8      -5.69    21.27    -1.26    69.35     7.08    16.67     0.53     6.41    41.89    17.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          23   31   -5      -1.13    44.15    -5.95    62.83     6.93    -4.68     0.03     0.70    11.15     2.92P    0.28R    0.02  
Northampton      23   28   -2      -4.95    24.77    -4.11    61.29     7.05     0.55     0.01     0.49     8.53     2.47P    0.53R    0.07  
Port_Vale        23   28   -3      -1.68    40.94    -0.65    58.01     6.75    -5.09     0.00     0.10     2.99     0.66P    1.29R    0.18  
Grimsby          23   28   -4       0.50    53.61     1.77    55.04     6.66   -10.39     0.00     0.02     1.17     0.22P    3.32R    0.59  
Crawley_Town     22   26   -7      -1.05    44.47    -1.98    54.15     6.97   -14.72     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.18P    5.54R    1.11  
Crewe            23   25   -7      -3.16    32.85    -2.02    53.75     6.80   -11.06     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.14P    5.24R    1.06  
Morecambe        23   25  -12      -0.67    46.86    -3.20    50.30     6.60   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   13.72R    3.15  
Yeovil           21   23   +0      -3.70    29.54     3.06    54.35     7.24    -4.37     0.00     0.04     1.52     0.35P    5.29R    1.07  
Cheltenham       22   22  -11      -3.73    29.32    -4.03    51.09     7.03   -16.85     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P   12.00R    2.92  
Cambridge_Utd    23   20  -19      -6.23    17.92   -11.29    46.68     6.65   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   30.22R    9.35  
Notts_County     23   19  -24      -7.64    13.07   -15.71    45.78     6.77   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   36.92R   12.52  
Macclesfield     23   17  -20      -3.21    31.90    -2.76    36.83     6.25   -37.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.33R   67.91  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 0 Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      25   53  +32       7.45    85.33    15.32    91.63     6.34    46.82    66.50    98.59    77.10P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       25   49  +25       7.83    84.42    14.46    82.75     6.79    32.49    11.97    79.78    29.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            24   47  +16       9.26    90.79     8.86    81.00     6.50    21.88     6.57    71.06    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     25   46  +18       7.70    83.44    11.86    78.72     6.91    24.05     4.28    59.27    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          25   45  +22       1.96    60.18     8.75    81.12     6.48    33.01     7.58    74.59    28.19P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     24   44  +12      10.21    92.36    10.51    74.17     6.60    12.56     0.86    29.97     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   42  +10       5.63    78.34     4.63    75.98     6.77    15.70     1.56    41.30    10.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      24   40   +5       5.14    76.46     2.02    72.73     6.71     9.08     0.51    23.10     4.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Eastleigh          25   39   +0       6.23    80.16     1.94    67.28     6.43    -0.66     0.05     5.69     0.99P    0.11R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   34   +3      -1.01    44.77     1.50    65.26     6.51     6.82     0.02     3.71     0.83P    0.19R    0.00  
Barrow             25   34   -1       0.81    54.81     0.23    60.11     6.39    -4.55     0.00     0.61     0.09P    1.86R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       25   33   -1      -2.25    38.00    -2.99    62.03     6.41    -0.09     0.00     1.16     0.25P    0.83R    0.00  
Hartlepool         25   32   -6      -0.69    46.87    -4.01    57.85     6.35    -9.92     0.00     0.26     0.05P    3.93R    0.02  
Barnet             22   31   -2      -3.58    30.14    -8.77    68.01     7.27     4.10     0.10     9.83     2.87P    0.20R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          25   31   -3      -4.85    25.44    -5.61    60.52     6.51    -1.86     0.00     0.72     0.17P    1.72R    0.01  
Halifax            24   27   -6      -0.65    47.13     0.72    52.16     6.35   -12.65     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.32R    0.32  
Bromley            24   27   -7      -5.03    24.56    -5.60    55.54     6.76    -9.69     0.00     0.13     0.02P    9.52R    0.13  
Aldershot          25   26  -19      -4.24    28.07   -13.58    52.43     6.39   -21.97     0.00     0.01     0.00    20.55R    0.47  
Havant_&_Wville    25   25   -9      -2.70    36.65     2.18    47.80     6.66   -18.75     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.53R    1.86  
Chesterfield       24   23   -6     -11.91     4.89    -9.35    56.22     6.86    -1.35     0.00     0.20     0.06P    7.79R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic     25   21  -20      -9.60     8.64   -14.62    48.45     6.49   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.40R    1.99  
Maidenhead         24   21  -23      -3.57    31.15    -9.88    43.71     6.34   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.10R    7.96  
Maidstone_United   24   19  -17      -5.77    19.60    -5.11    42.16     6.33   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.40R   10.57  
Braintree_Town     25   15  -23      -6.97    15.11    -3.46    32.45     5.94   -40.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.54R   76.57