Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   45  +30       9.38    96.97     9.00    90.03     5.86    56.87    26.38    79.93    94.62    99.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   44  +38       3.82    79.15     5.47    94.41     5.27    77.72    70.12    94.75    99.11    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   39  +15       5.79    85.38    -0.93    81.61     6.02    37.17     2.53    16.09    59.29    86.96    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   37  +21       3.64    74.06     4.87    78.32     6.07    40.88     0.88     7.66    35.22    75.15    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          17   34  +14       2.91    68.84     1.09    73.16     6.24    31.11     0.09     1.54    11.22    34.79    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   26   +0      -3.11    29.09    -8.69    64.36     6.26    14.68     0.00     0.03     0.54     4.04    78.49     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    17   25   +0       4.47    78.55     4.66    50.06     6.31    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.73     0.18R    0.00  
Everton          17   24   +2      -0.11    49.22     1.95    52.52     6.52     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     8.12     0.10R    0.00  
West_Ham         17   24   +0       2.84    69.66     4.73    51.16     6.40    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.26     0.14R    0.00  
Watford          17   24   -2       4.10    76.91     4.34    47.66     6.18   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.67     0.62R    0.01  
Bournemouth      17   23   -3       2.04    64.47     2.40    47.78     6.27   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.64R    0.01  
Leicester        17   22   +0      -1.87    37.65    -0.31    48.67     6.23    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.56     0.41R    0.01  
Brighton         17   21   -4       1.79    63.53     3.00    44.41     6.11   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     1.83R    0.07  
Newcastle        17   16   -8      -4.25    22.86    -3.05    40.38     6.10   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     7.51R    0.56  
Crystal_Palace   17   15   -9      -4.53    21.42    -2.94    38.93     6.13   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    12.07R    1.03  
Cardiff          17   14  -16      -1.88    37.75    -2.20    32.96     6.00   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.58R    8.41  
Southampton      17   12  -16      -5.85    13.86    -6.26    35.80     6.16   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    25.45R    3.50  
Burnley          17   12  -18      -6.01    13.00    -9.16    33.76     6.01   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    38.26R    6.36  
Huddersfield     17   10  -18      -3.56    24.31    -1.70    26.38     5.43   -38.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.83R   40.02  
Fulham           17    9  -26      -5.19    15.84    -6.27    26.87     5.94   -46.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.39R   40.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    22   45  +18      10.32    93.37    11.24    82.37     7.23    24.65    27.54    48.06    89.08    57.13P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         22   44  +14      10.09    92.73     8.41    81.21     7.24    20.38    21.28    40.51    85.33    49.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       22   39  +15      -0.03    49.23     1.18    82.24     7.29    31.04    28.72    49.88    89.16    62.17P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   38   +7       2.65    64.69    -0.64    76.40     7.13    15.22     7.09    17.83    66.13    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   37   +9       4.13    72.32     5.02    73.38     7.18    14.09     3.38     9.63    50.56    18.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   36   +8       0.16    50.74    -0.20    75.59     7.02    17.68     5.97    15.28    63.06    29.48P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   35  +10       4.40    74.31     9.34    68.62     7.20    10.95     0.93     2.95    26.42     7.40P    0.06R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   33   +9      -3.30    31.47    -0.34    72.18     7.26    18.55     2.96     8.24    45.83    19.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         22   32   +3      -1.94    39.19    -2.65    69.07     7.31     9.11     0.99     3.35    28.10     9.89P    0.05R    0.00  
Birmingham      22   31   +5       4.31    74.63    10.21    59.92     7.01    -0.87     0.03     0.15     3.55     0.67P    1.38R    0.07  
Stoke           22   31   +2      -2.59    35.80    -3.06    68.17     7.39     8.47     0.78     2.76    24.49     8.46P    0.10R    0.01  
Blackburn       22   31   -4       2.13    62.35    -1.83    61.90     7.38    -7.34     0.10     0.38     6.22     1.48P    1.13R    0.06  
QPR             22   31   -5       4.26    73.79     0.58    60.14     7.04   -11.24     0.03     0.16     3.45     0.72P    1.63R    0.08  
Bristol_City    22   30   +1      -0.76    46.15     0.21    63.01     7.13     1.01     0.12     0.44     8.04     2.08P    0.51R    0.02  
Preston         22   28   -2      -2.68    35.12    -2.54    61.71     7.29    -1.03     0.06     0.26     5.90     1.52P    1.01R    0.06  
Wigan           22   25   -7      -4.51    26.28    -6.19    57.44     7.26    -7.50     0.01     0.05     1.70     0.42P    4.08R    0.35  
Hull            22   24   -7      -4.65    25.41    -4.52    54.97     7.03   -10.42     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.16P    7.31R    0.68  
Sheff_Wed       22   24  -12      -3.41    31.26    -7.43    54.05     7.10   -16.83     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P    9.84R    1.19  
Brentford       22   22   -1      -9.13     9.14    -2.10    56.98     7.31     1.98     0.00     0.03     1.71     0.44P    4.36R    0.45  
Rotherham       22   22  -11      -0.56    48.01     1.16    45.83     6.85   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   45.77R   11.09  
Reading         22   19   -8      -6.52    16.54    -0.19    46.21     6.98   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.05R    9.45  
Millwall        22   19  -10      -8.17    11.26    -5.16    48.64     7.06   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.92R    5.24  
Bolton          22   18  -15      -2.62    34.88    -0.94    40.42     6.42   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.52R   33.86  
Ipswich         22   14  -19      -9.88     6.06    -9.58    39.91     6.83   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.26R   37.40  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           22   48  +18      12.67    96.83    10.47    85.47     7.18    24.66    16.22    39.59    93.62    52.02P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                22   44  +21       6.67    82.59    10.10    84.78     7.43    32.93    15.04    39.13    92.14    53.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           20   43  +22       4.60    75.25     4.86    92.35     7.62    43.30    56.65    77.28    98.88    84.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +12       5.16    76.78     5.10    78.47     7.32    20.36     3.20    11.60    71.97    25.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton             22   40  +11       5.31    77.81     4.43    78.06     7.28    18.59     2.71    10.29    69.61    24.43P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            22   38  +11       5.19    77.03     7.24    73.84     7.30    15.22     0.81     3.77    46.94    12.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             21   36  +14      -0.63    46.07     2.26    79.94     7.59    28.42     5.22    17.34    78.51    36.97P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            21   34   +4       3.96    72.53     2.07    67.76     7.32     3.33     0.13     0.59    17.12     3.99P    0.35R    0.00  
Wycombe              22   32   +2       4.57    74.73     6.51    62.47     7.28    -2.13     0.00     0.08     5.39     0.94P    2.51R    0.08  
Fleetwood_Town       22   30   +6      -1.67    40.82     3.96    64.94     7.22     9.07     0.02     0.18    10.16     2.34P    1.05R    0.02  
Walsall              22   30  -10       3.98    72.61    -3.66    58.02     7.06   -17.54     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.18P    8.99R    0.45  
Southend             22   29   +0      -1.26    43.11     0.05    62.41     7.28     0.63     0.00     0.07     5.35     1.15P    2.52R    0.10  
Coventry             22   29   -4       2.87    67.17     1.48    57.46     7.00   -10.36     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.15P    9.46R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   21   28   -5       3.18    68.97     0.78    57.32     7.37   -12.49     0.00     0.01     1.35     0.24P   11.25R    0.68  
Burton_Albion        21   27   -3      -1.61    41.52    -2.73    59.39     7.47    -5.98     0.00     0.03     2.74     0.60P    6.60R    0.33  
Gillingham           22   25   -3      -3.31    31.92     0.23    55.58     7.16    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P   14.47R    1.03  
Shrewsbury           22   25   -3      -5.42    21.61    -3.53    58.54     7.16    -2.04     0.00     0.01     1.65     0.36P    7.02R    0.40  
Oxford_Utd           22   25   -4      -4.12    27.88    -1.90    56.48     7.24    -6.48     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.19P   12.05R    0.79  
Rochdale             22   24  -12      -2.55    36.18    -5.96    52.98     7.06   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   25.90R    2.70  
Scunthorpe           22   21  -18      -7.21    15.11   -14.29    52.14     7.31   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   31.02R    4.05  
Plymouth             22   20  -15      -5.10    22.74    -6.73    47.82     7.06   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   53.43R   10.47  
Bradford             22   18  -17      -7.50    13.05    -9.72    46.08     7.04   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.72R   15.76  
Bristol_Rovers       22   17   -9      -9.67     7.02    -3.54    45.79     7.09   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.38R   15.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   15  -18      -7.77    10.79    -7.47    40.10     6.69   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.24R   47.36  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     21   44  +20       8.71    90.78    10.26    85.99     7.32    31.46    32.59    78.61    97.89    83.67P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   43  +19       4.43    74.80     4.58    88.22     7.31    34.89    47.46    86.04    98.92    90.15P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       22   38  +11       3.26    68.23     4.20    75.01     7.14    17.14     2.97    21.73    72.45    34.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             22   36  +17      -2.34    36.58     4.32    77.81     7.37    30.75     6.63    38.26    84.20    52.79P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        20   35  +15       1.87    61.00     6.71    78.48     7.45    26.58     7.57    40.61    85.29    53.88P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   21   35   -2       7.42    86.77     0.17    66.60     7.36    -6.16     0.31     3.29    26.22     6.89P    0.10R    0.00  
Exeter           22   34   +7      -0.32    48.32     0.73    70.67     7.15    12.62     0.72     8.55    49.51    18.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +5       4.20    72.97     5.49    65.94     7.23     3.35     0.18     2.62    24.60     6.51P    0.08R    0.01  
Forest_Green     21   33   +9       5.11    78.00    10.52    66.14     7.29     7.36     0.19     2.94    26.28     6.93P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           22   32   +9      -4.56    25.67    -0.52    71.56     7.28    18.87     1.08    11.67    56.26    25.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        22   32   +0       1.83    60.83     0.05    64.54     7.09    -0.48     0.07     1.55    18.43     4.82P    0.15R    0.01  
Carlisle         22   30   +2      -1.96    38.96    -0.53    65.07     7.18     5.36     0.12     1.87    21.37     6.41P    0.15R    0.02  
Swindon          22   30   -5      -0.65    46.63    -5.74    63.96     7.16    -3.59     0.07     1.23    16.10     4.29P    0.29R    0.03  
Northampton      22   27   -2      -4.62    25.79    -4.18    61.64     7.30     0.57     0.03     0.68    10.86     3.08P    0.64R    0.11  
Port_Vale        22   27   -3      -1.19    43.61    -0.42    58.71     6.99    -4.69     0.01     0.17     4.53     0.98P    1.42R    0.24  
Crawley_Town     21   26   -6       0.14    51.72    -1.36    55.70     7.16   -13.33     0.00     0.07     2.26     0.43P    3.95R    0.80  
Crewe            22   25   -6      -2.17    37.96    -1.57    54.95     7.01   -10.40     0.00     0.03     1.48     0.30P    4.54R    0.85  
Grimsby          22   25   -8       0.04    51.34    -0.53    52.53     6.81   -15.58     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.09P    8.73R    1.77  
Yeovil           20   22   +0      -3.36    30.76     3.00    54.67     7.34    -4.40     0.00     0.06     1.94     0.41P    5.37R    1.18  
Morecambe        22   22  -15      -1.37    42.74    -4.84    47.97     6.79   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   26.05R    7.44  
Cheltenham       21   21  -11      -3.68    29.23    -4.38    50.91     7.27   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P   14.30R    3.79  
Cambridge_Utd    22   20  -16      -5.76    19.33    -9.65    48.71     6.90   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   22.12R    6.25  
Notts_County     22   19  -20      -7.34    13.66   -13.53    47.97     7.05   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.60R    8.06  
Macclesfield     22   16  -20      -3.03    32.61    -2.77    36.87     6.47   -38.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.43R   69.44  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2018, Halifax 1 1 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      24   50  +30       6.84    83.38    14.76    90.02     6.64    44.73    52.88    97.08    67.25P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       24   49  +26       8.90    88.37    14.97    85.14     7.00    35.05    21.64    87.26    38.67P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   46  +19       8.73    87.39    12.24    80.45     7.12    25.62     7.75    67.77    20.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   46  +16       9.71    92.22     8.99    81.47     6.74    22.02     8.46    72.55    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   44  +13      11.33    94.89    11.21    76.22     6.88    14.50     2.07    41.38     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          24   42  +20       1.21    56.47     8.01    79.52     6.69    31.04     5.63    65.06    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   39   +9       4.49    74.07     4.31    74.37     6.87    14.73     1.07    32.30     8.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      23   37   +4       3.81    70.75     1.45    71.04     6.90     8.01     0.32    16.80     3.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   36   -1       5.00    76.17     1.49    65.36     6.66    -2.08     0.03     3.68     0.71P    0.38R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   34   +5      -0.37    48.15     2.47    66.53     6.71     8.72     0.05     5.74     1.25P    0.18R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       24   32   -1      -1.60    41.37    -2.57    62.89     6.62     0.54     0.01     1.75     0.41P    0.85R    0.00  
Barrow             24   31   -2      -0.67    46.76    -0.50    57.84     6.60    -6.47     0.00     0.33     0.06P    5.15R    0.02  
Hartlepool         24   31   -6      -0.20    49.45    -3.82    58.75     6.55    -9.11     0.00     0.39     0.08P    4.00R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          24   28   -4      -6.15    19.78    -6.13    57.99     6.72    -4.24     0.00     0.33     0.07P    5.15R    0.05  
Barnet             21   28   -4      -4.50    25.47    -9.72    66.48     7.47     2.32     0.10     6.99     2.03P    0.53R    0.00  
Halifax            23   27   -5       0.19    51.89     0.98    53.78     6.59   -11.24     0.00     0.06     0.02P   15.50R    0.28  
Aldershot          24   25  -19      -4.12    28.00   -13.75    52.70     6.62   -22.09     0.00     0.02     0.00P   21.93R    0.54  
Bromley            23   24   -8      -6.12    19.16    -5.72    54.40     7.02    -9.97     0.00     0.11     0.02P   14.77R    0.30  
Havant_&_Wville    24   24   -9      -2.54    37.48     2.02    47.77     6.88   -19.44     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.71R    2.40  
Chesterfield       23   23   -4     -11.36     5.13    -8.51    57.51     7.01     0.54     0.00     0.39     0.11P    6.53R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     24   21  -18      -9.29     9.27   -14.15    49.86     6.70   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.33R    1.46  
Maidenhead         23   21  -22      -2.66    35.70    -9.51    44.61     6.59   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.77R    7.12  
Maidstone_United   23   19  -16      -4.78    24.00    -4.76    43.10     6.52   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.46R    9.22  
Braintree_Town     24   14  -23      -6.85    15.12    -3.74    32.29     6.13   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.70R   78.51