Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   45  +30       9.29    96.92     8.88    90.11     5.86    57.08    26.73    80.28    94.77    99.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   44  +38       3.85    79.61     5.59    94.42     5.25    77.66    70.04    94.86    99.11    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   39  +15       5.77    85.44    -1.00    81.62     6.01    37.17     2.36    15.96    59.21    87.02    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   37  +21       3.63    73.96     4.84    78.29     6.09    40.81     0.77     7.33    35.04    74.56    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          17   34  +14       2.92    69.12     1.09    73.18     6.24    31.17     0.10     1.53    11.26    35.35    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   26   +0      -3.18    28.55    -8.80    64.46     6.28    14.86     0.00     0.03     0.60     3.96    78.64     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    17   25   +0       4.55    78.98     4.79    49.93     6.32    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.48     0.24R    0.00  
Everton          17   24   +2      -0.09    49.43     2.01    52.54     6.52     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     8.32     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham         17   24   +0       2.78    69.28     4.66    51.18     6.39    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.34     0.18R    0.00  
Watford          17   24   -2       4.02    76.59     4.18    47.74     6.18   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.55R    0.02  
Bournemouth      17   23   -3       2.09    64.90     2.51    47.68     6.27   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.55R    0.01  
Leicester        17   22   +0      -1.78    38.45    -0.16    48.60     6.23    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.50     0.38R    0.01  
Brighton         17   21   -4       1.72    63.23     2.83    44.52     6.11   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     1.80R    0.06  
Newcastle        17   16   -8      -4.33    22.26    -3.18    40.45     6.08   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.38R    0.51  
Crystal_Palace   17   15   -9      -4.44    21.83    -2.86    38.93     6.11   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    11.89R    1.11  
Cardiff          17   14  -16      -1.79    38.26    -2.02    32.78     5.93   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.50R    8.81  
Southampton      17   12  -16      -5.85    13.92    -6.28    35.88     6.13   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    24.77R    3.52  
Burnley          17   12  -18      -5.99    12.92    -9.17    33.74     5.97   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.47R    6.18  
Huddersfield     17   10  -18      -3.62    23.82    -1.81    26.42     5.45   -38.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.35R   39.30  
Fulham           17    9  -26      -5.14    16.16    -6.10    26.76     5.88   -47.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.88R   40.45  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    22   45  +18      10.17    93.19    11.09    82.48     7.27    24.78    27.84    48.83    89.19    57.71P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         22   44  +14      10.11    92.65     8.44    81.23     7.21    20.38    21.43    40.94    85.79    50.07P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       22   39  +15       0.12    50.17     1.36    82.11     7.29    30.91    28.19    49.21    89.00    61.62P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   38   +7       2.75    65.28    -0.50    76.22     7.16    15.00     7.00    17.27    65.35    30.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   37   +9       4.20    72.64     5.12    73.31     7.16    14.00     3.48     9.60    49.99    18.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   36   +8       0.35    51.96     0.11    75.42     7.01    17.45     5.66    14.67    62.22    28.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   35  +10       4.35    73.87     9.25    68.65     7.21    10.97     0.91     3.01    26.63     7.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   33   +9      -3.29    31.70    -0.39    72.23     7.31    18.60     3.16     8.57    46.11    19.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         22   32   +3      -2.19    37.71    -3.02    69.25     7.29     9.41     1.07     3.45    28.73    10.45P    0.05R    0.00  
Birmingham      22   31   +5       4.29    74.42    10.17    59.99     7.01    -0.74     0.02     0.12     3.57     0.68P    1.34R    0.06  
Stoke           22   31   +2      -2.81    34.53    -3.33    68.36     7.36     8.70     0.90     2.93    25.38     8.85P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   31   -4       2.16    62.61    -1.78    61.91     7.35    -7.36     0.10     0.42     6.21     1.51P    1.07R    0.08  
QPR             22   31   -5       4.31    74.04     0.61    60.13     7.04   -11.23     0.03     0.13     3.30     0.67P    1.64R    0.10  
Bristol_City    22   30   +1      -0.59    47.03     0.46    62.84     7.19     0.75     0.12     0.46     7.95     2.03P    0.61R    0.04  
Preston         22   28   -2      -2.61    35.73    -2.49    61.68     7.28    -1.09     0.07     0.29     5.89     1.54P    1.15R    0.06  
Wigan           22   25   -7      -4.40    26.35    -6.01    57.39     7.25    -7.67     0.01     0.04     1.67     0.36P    4.10R    0.36  
Hull            22   24   -7      -4.66    25.29    -4.60    55.02     7.06   -10.33     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.18P    7.35R    0.74  
Sheff_Wed       22   24  -12      -3.39    31.41    -7.41    53.97     7.09   -16.95     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.07P   10.07R    1.12  
Brentford       22   22   -1      -9.16     9.13    -2.15    57.01     7.29     2.01     0.01     0.05     1.73     0.51P    4.31R    0.40  
Rotherham       22   22  -11      -0.71    47.08     0.95    45.98     6.89   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.12R   10.88  
Reading         22   19   -8      -6.57    16.05    -0.34    46.30     7.00   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.39R    9.42  
Millwall        22   19  -10      -8.01    11.42    -4.94    48.43     7.04   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.13R    5.39  
Bolton          22   18  -15      -2.66    34.49    -1.00    40.46     6.41   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.42R   34.00  
Ipswich         22   14  -19      -9.90     5.91    -9.60    39.96     6.83   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.09R   37.36  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           22   48  +18      12.68    96.83    10.47    85.43     7.21    24.58    15.79    39.24    93.07    51.38P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                22   44  +21       6.55    82.37     9.95    84.99     7.41    33.19    15.66    39.61    92.59    54.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           20   43  +22       4.70    76.02     5.04    92.22     7.63    43.04    56.08    76.94    98.77    84.40P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +12       5.07    76.48     4.95    78.57     7.33    20.49     3.31    11.75    72.16    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             22   40  +11       5.25    77.54     4.33    78.15     7.28    18.72     2.80    10.33    70.14    24.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            22   38  +11       5.14    76.81     7.12    73.94     7.28    15.36     0.90     3.86    47.10    13.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             21   36  +14      -0.67    45.52     2.20    79.86     7.59    28.37     5.26    17.12    78.11    36.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            21   34   +4       3.76    71.29     1.82    68.03     7.29     3.74     0.12     0.70    17.93     4.11P    0.31R    0.00  
Wycombe              22   32   +2       4.62    74.81     6.58    62.53     7.28    -2.03     0.01     0.08     5.28     0.91P    2.43R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town       22   30   +6      -1.51    41.66     4.18    64.79     7.24     8.87     0.04     0.21     9.80     2.31P    1.06R    0.03  
Walsall              22   30  -10       3.89    72.33    -3.83    58.09     6.96   -17.42     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.20P    8.59R    0.44  
Southend             22   29   +0      -1.21    43.47     0.19    62.23     7.30     0.37     0.01     0.07     5.13     1.14P    2.71R    0.10  
Coventry             22   29   -4       3.02    67.95     1.70    57.29     7.01   -10.58     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.14P    9.95R    0.57  
Accrington_Stanley   21   28   -5       3.34    69.74     1.04    57.22     7.41   -12.65     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.21P   11.60R    0.68  
Burton_Albion        21   27   -3      -1.58    41.53    -2.67    59.36     7.56    -6.08     0.02     0.04     2.72     0.59P    6.80R    0.36  
Gillingham           22   25   -3      -3.37    31.86     0.16    55.62     7.10    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.13P   14.09R    1.00  
Shrewsbury           22   25   -3      -5.34    21.86    -3.37    58.43     7.13    -2.20     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.37P    7.08R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd           22   25   -4      -4.20    27.39    -2.07    56.54     7.31    -6.31     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.18P   12.20R    0.84  
Rochdale             22   24  -12      -2.59    36.24    -6.05    53.02     7.10   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   25.79R    2.66  
Scunthorpe           22   21  -18      -7.17    15.02   -14.27    52.11     7.24   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   30.94R    4.04  
Plymouth             22   20  -15      -5.11    22.75    -6.73    47.84     7.04   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.23R   10.39  
Bradford             22   18  -17      -7.50    12.97    -9.71    46.05     7.07   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.04R   15.69  
Bristol_Rovers       22   17   -9      -9.66     7.00    -3.60    45.90     7.07   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.00R   14.72  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   15  -18      -7.75    10.98    -7.40    40.02     6.80   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.16R   48.06  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     21   44  +20       8.68    90.60    10.23    86.01     7.35    31.53    32.48    78.62    97.72    83.63P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   43  +19       4.48    74.95     4.63    88.22     7.30    34.87    47.29    85.77    98.90    89.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       22   38  +11       3.22    67.95     4.14    75.09     7.08    17.23     2.77    21.62    73.19    34.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             22   36  +17      -2.37    36.37     4.28    77.92     7.35    30.88     7.02    38.49    84.37    53.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield        20   35  +15       1.77    60.74     6.56    78.59     7.42    26.71     7.66    41.01    85.95    54.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   21   35   -2       7.49    87.23     0.27    66.51     7.32    -6.32     0.23     3.04    25.72     6.64P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter           22   34   +7      -0.42    47.48     0.55    70.87     7.16    12.85     0.84     8.96    50.72    19.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +5       4.31    73.33     5.68    65.77     7.23     3.10     0.14     2.52    23.84     6.38P    0.07R    0.01  
Forest_Green     21   33   +9       5.07    77.89    10.48    66.18     7.32     7.39     0.20     3.05    26.55     7.06P    0.10R    0.01  
Oldham           22   32   +9      -4.60    25.56    -0.59    71.48     7.25    18.78     1.11    11.40    55.45    25.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        22   32   +0       1.82    60.73     0.05    64.50     7.12    -0.53     0.07     1.50    18.24     4.64P    0.18R    0.02  
Carlisle         22   30   +2      -2.03    38.60    -0.67    65.18     7.20     5.52     0.08     1.89    21.99     6.45P    0.15R    0.02  
Swindon          22   30   -5      -0.58    47.08    -5.62    63.87     7.14    -3.69     0.07     1.13    15.54     4.28P    0.29R    0.04  
Northampton      22   27   -2      -4.47    26.57    -3.95    61.41     7.34     0.27     0.03     0.63    10.35     3.03P    0.72R    0.11  
Port_Vale        22   27   -3      -1.11    44.00    -0.26    58.64     6.96    -4.80     0.00     0.16     4.42     0.90P    1.32R    0.22  
Crawley_Town     21   26   -6       0.09    51.55    -1.43    55.71     7.18   -13.27     0.00     0.06     2.23     0.37P    4.13R    0.83  
Crewe            22   25   -6      -2.10    38.34    -1.49    54.86     7.03   -10.52     0.00     0.04     1.48     0.31P    4.68R    0.93  
Grimsby          22   25   -8       0.12    51.69    -0.44    52.48     6.85   -15.74     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.10P    8.94R    1.96  
Yeovil           20   22   +0      -3.41    30.20     2.95    54.77     7.37    -4.30     0.00     0.07     2.04     0.42P    5.36R    1.08  
Morecambe        22   22  -15      -1.37    42.78    -4.80    47.90     6.77   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.31R    7.71  
Cheltenham       21   21  -11      -3.59    29.54    -4.25    50.86     7.21   -17.94     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P   14.33R    3.77  
Cambridge_Utd    22   20  -16      -5.84    19.09    -9.76    48.82     6.88   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   21.72R    6.18  
Notts_County     22   19  -20      -7.47    13.23   -13.73    48.14     7.08   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   26.14R    8.00  
Macclesfield     22   16  -20      -3.06    32.30    -2.84    36.88     6.47   -38.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.44R   69.12  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2018, Halifax 1 1 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      24   50  +30       6.81    83.35    14.76    90.01     6.62    44.77    53.19    97.08    67.63P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       24   49  +26       8.74    88.05    14.73    85.20     6.97    35.13    21.70    87.33    38.75P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   46  +19       8.69    87.31    12.18    80.49     7.13    25.67     7.80    67.84    20.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   46  +16       9.62    92.13     8.91    81.57     6.68    22.17     8.48    73.02    24.40P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   44  +13      11.50    95.03    11.41    76.13     6.88    14.41     1.96    40.92     8.76P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          24   42  +20       1.19    56.29     7.99    79.48     6.69    30.96     5.27    64.79    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   39   +9       4.53    74.31     4.35    74.36     6.92    14.77     1.06    32.46     8.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      23   37   +4       3.96    71.47     1.65    70.93     7.00     7.81     0.35    16.65     3.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   36   -1       4.90    75.57     1.39    65.42     6.70    -1.95     0.02     3.72     0.67P    0.37R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   34   +5      -0.30    48.79     2.57    66.50     6.65     8.67     0.05     5.57     1.27P    0.20R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       24   32   -1      -1.60    41.44    -2.54    62.83     6.61     0.48     0.00     1.66     0.37P    0.86R    0.00  
Barrow             24   31   -2      -0.57    47.50    -0.35    57.76     6.62    -6.59     0.00     0.32     0.06P    5.14R    0.02  
Hartlepool         24   31   -6      -0.23    49.49    -3.86    58.79     6.59    -9.07     0.00     0.46     0.08P    4.02R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red          24   28   -4      -6.20    19.30    -6.22    58.08     6.69    -4.09     0.00     0.32     0.06P    4.92R    0.04  
Barnet             21   28   -4      -4.49    25.36    -9.73    66.53     7.54     2.33     0.12     7.34     2.19P    0.57R    0.00  
Halifax            23   27   -5       0.18    52.17     1.03    53.68     6.61   -11.45     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.69R    0.28  
Aldershot          24   25  -19      -3.99    28.91   -13.61    52.58     6.57   -22.28     0.00     0.02     0.01P   22.47R    0.57  
Bromley            23   24   -8      -6.20    18.91    -5.86    54.51     7.03    -9.81     0.00     0.12     0.03P   14.42R    0.31  
Havant_&_Wville    24   24   -9      -2.43    37.65     2.15    47.66     6.80   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.35R    2.43  
Chesterfield       23   23   -4     -11.27     5.19    -8.36    57.41     6.99     0.39     0.00     0.32     0.09P    6.63R    0.09  
Dover_Athletic     24   21  -18      -9.27     9.25   -14.08    49.80     6.70   -19.94     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.49R    1.55  
Maidenhead         23   21  -22      -2.71    35.53    -9.58    44.72     6.57   -34.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.31R    6.85  
Maidstone_United   23   19  -16      -4.94    23.21    -5.01    43.29     6.48   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R    8.63  
Braintree_Town     24   14  -23      -6.92    14.55    -3.92    32.26     6.11   -41.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.70R   79.19