Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 21 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 17 45 +30 9.35 97.06 9.00 90.05 5.84 56.89 26.35 80.12 94.68 99.08 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 17 44 +38 3.83 79.38 5.48 94.44 5.29 77.75 70.16 94.82 99.06 99.88 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 17 39 +15 5.76 85.37 -1.03 81.67 6.01 37.26 2.45 16.07 59.52 87.39 99.91 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 17 37 +21 3.63 73.90 4.80 78.33 6.14 40.94 0.93 7.53 35.27 74.86 99.72 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 17 34 +14 2.93 69.22 1.16 73.10 6.25 31.05 0.11 1.42 10.80 34.44 97.81 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 17 26 +0 -3.19 28.49 -8.82 64.53 6.29 14.97 0.00 0.04 0.66 4.18 78.95 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 17 25 +0 4.60 79.11 4.86 49.96 6.32 -7.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.53 0.20R 0.00
Everton 17 24 +2 -0.10 49.67 1.98 52.50 6.49 0.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 8.07 0.06R 0.00
West_Ham 17 24 +0 2.76 68.96 4.64 51.21 6.39 -4.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 5.32 0.15R 0.01
Watford 17 24 -2 4.10 77.28 4.36 47.65 6.17 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.52R 0.01
Bournemouth 17 23 -3 2.00 64.28 2.32 47.75 6.28 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80 0.52R 0.01
Leicester 17 22 +0 -1.89 37.77 -0.40 48.74 6.27 -4.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.55 0.34R 0.01
Brighton 17 21 -4 1.77 63.21 2.92 44.45 6.11 -13.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 1.96R 0.05
Newcastle 17 16 -8 -4.34 22.32 -3.17 40.49 6.09 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 7.22R 0.55
Crystal_Palace 17 15 -9 -4.48 21.59 -2.89 38.84 6.09 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 12.05R 1.04
Cardiff 17 14 -16 -1.86 37.75 -2.13 32.88 5.92 -33.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 46.06R 8.20
Southampton 17 12 -16 -5.75 14.23 -6.07 35.70 6.11 -24.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 25.75R 3.64
Burnley 17 12 -18 -5.96 13.24 -9.08 33.68 5.98 -29.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.27R 6.17
Huddersfield 17 10 -18 -3.63 23.73 -1.79 26.41 5.46 -38.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.50R 39.84
Fulham 17 9 -26 -5.12 16.22 -6.12 26.81 5.91 -47.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.39R 40.47
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leeds_United 22 45 +18 10.16 93.16 11.06 82.50 7.24 24.83 27.97 48.92 89.47 57.94P 0.00 0.00
Norwich 22 44 +14 10.18 92.88 8.55 81.14 7.23 20.29 21.08 40.29 85.53 49.72P 0.00 0.00
West_Brom 22 39 +15 0.16 50.39 1.43 82.15 7.33 30.96 28.44 49.37 89.22 61.56P 0.00 0.00
Derby 22 38 +7 2.82 65.78 -0.39 76.14 7.14 14.86 7.10 17.38 64.67 29.53P 0.00R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 22 37 +9 4.30 72.95 5.30 73.16 7.20 13.78 3.31 9.24 49.62 17.94P 0.00R 0.00
Middlesbrough 22 36 +8 0.28 51.66 0.00 75.49 7.04 17.55 5.75 15.02 62.83 29.63P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 22 35 +10 4.44 74.46 9.40 68.50 7.20 10.78 0.85 2.99 25.88 7.48P 0.04R 0.00
Aston_Villa 22 33 +9 -3.36 31.05 -0.51 72.41 7.27 18.85 3.16 8.81 47.02 19.57P 0.01R 0.00
Swansea 22 32 +3 -2.19 37.87 -3.00 69.24 7.29 9.36 1.12 3.63 28.81 10.46P 0.03R 0.00
Birmingham 22 31 +5 4.47 75.45 10.47 59.85 6.98 -1.03 0.03 0.14 3.36 0.65P 1.43R 0.07
Stoke 22 31 +2 -2.77 34.75 -3.29 68.28 7.39 8.61 0.84 2.77 24.92 8.54P 0.10R 0.00
Blackburn 22 31 -4 2.07 62.16 -1.89 62.00 7.34 -7.20 0.10 0.37 6.35 1.56P 1.02R 0.05
QPR 22 31 -5 4.31 73.87 0.58 60.07 7.03 -11.34 0.03 0.12 3.25 0.60P 1.67R 0.11
Bristol_City 22 30 +1 -0.77 46.03 0.18 63.09 7.13 1.14 0.15 0.50 8.13 2.07P 0.51R 0.03
Preston 22 28 -2 -2.75 34.69 -2.64 61.78 7.27 -0.93 0.04 0.30 6.12 1.52P 0.91R 0.03
Wigan 22 25 -7 -4.50 26.15 -6.20 57.51 7.28 -7.44 0.02 0.06 1.80 0.47P 4.10R 0.38
Hull 22 24 -7 -4.69 25.21 -4.55 54.94 7.00 -10.47 0.00 0.02 0.72 0.17P 7.35R 0.73
Sheff_Wed 22 24 -12 -3.49 31.05 -7.57 54.13 7.17 -16.74 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.11P 9.90R 1.14
Brentford 22 22 -1 -9.15 9.27 -2.14 56.94 7.29 1.94 0.01 0.05 1.73 0.47P 4.37R 0.43
Rotherham 22 22 -11 -0.67 47.54 1.08 45.91 6.87 -25.37 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 45.52R 10.91
Reading 22 19 -8 -6.41 16.72 -0.07 46.14 6.99 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 41.25R 9.72
Millwall 22 19 -10 -8.16 11.18 -5.17 48.59 7.02 -15.14 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 28.20R 5.42
Bolton 22 18 -15 -2.66 34.64 -1.06 40.46 6.43 -30.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.31R 33.49
Ipswich 22 14 -19 -9.86 5.97 -9.58 39.91 6.81 -29.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.27R 37.47
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Portsmouth 22 48 +18 12.64 96.81 10.39 85.53 7.17 24.75 16.34 39.69 93.45 52.00P 0.00 0.00
Luton 22 44 +21 6.67 82.40 10.15 84.77 7.46 32.85 15.33 38.88 92.16 52.93P 0.00 0.00
Sunderland 20 43 +22 4.72 75.81 5.07 92.20 7.66 43.04 55.98 76.80 98.64 84.18P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 22 40 +12 4.99 75.95 4.80 78.61 7.35 20.67 3.42 12.01 72.35 25.98P 0.00 0.00
Charlton 22 40 +11 5.33 78.01 4.47 78.05 7.26 18.61 2.70 10.37 69.59 24.37P 0.00R 0.00
Doncaster 22 38 +11 5.21 77.08 7.23 73.86 7.27 15.26 0.84 3.80 46.55 12.76P 0.01R 0.00
Barnsley 21 36 +14 -0.65 45.63 2.20 79.90 7.56 28.41 5.22 17.34 78.36 37.37P 0.00 0.00
Blackpool 21 34 +4 3.80 71.70 1.85 67.92 7.33 3.59 0.13 0.64 17.89 4.00P 0.33R 0.01
Wycombe 22 32 +2 4.70 75.17 6.68 62.42 7.34 -2.24 0.01 0.09 5.28 1.00P 2.59R 0.09
Fleetwood_Town 22 30 +6 -1.61 41.25 4.04 64.90 7.27 8.98 0.03 0.21 10.06 2.27P 1.00R 0.02
Walsall 22 30 -10 3.89 72.35 -3.84 58.11 7.01 -17.38 0.00 0.02 1.26 0.21P 8.50R 0.39
Southend 22 29 +0 -1.41 42.20 -0.13 62.46 7.31 0.69 0.01 0.09 5.42 1.14P 2.46R 0.12
Coventry 22 29 -4 2.93 67.50 1.56 57.38 7.02 -10.43 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.17P 9.75R 0.56
Accrington_Stanley 21 28 -5 3.41 70.00 1.12 57.09 7.38 -12.80 0.00 0.02 1.28 0.23P 11.87R 0.76
Burton_Albion 21 27 -3 -1.67 40.89 -2.81 59.49 7.51 -5.87 0.00 0.03 2.86 0.62P 6.36R 0.30
Gillingham 22 25 -3 -3.40 31.67 0.13 55.67 7.14 -6.96 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.15P 13.98R 1.02
Shrewsbury 22 25 -3 -5.39 21.77 -3.44 58.45 7.16 -2.21 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.36P 7.11R 0.37
Oxford_Utd 22 25 -4 -4.24 27.52 -2.12 56.69 7.28 -6.09 0.00 0.01 1.08 0.20P 11.63R 0.76
Rochdale 22 24 -12 -2.48 36.58 -5.86 52.92 7.09 -18.86 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 26.14R 2.73
Scunthorpe 22 21 -18 -7.13 15.27 -14.18 52.03 7.29 -21.72 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 31.32R 4.28
Plymouth 22 20 -15 -5.09 22.76 -6.71 47.79 7.01 -23.33 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 53.63R 10.43
Bradford 22 18 -17 -7.46 13.14 -9.69 46.07 7.07 -24.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 62.94R 15.55
Bristol_Rovers 22 17 -9 -9.61 7.21 -3.48 45.80 7.04 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 62.32R 14.96
AFC_Wimbledon 22 15 -18 -7.79 10.83 -7.45 40.08 6.70 -29.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.05R 47.65
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Lincoln_City 21 44 +20 8.72 90.64 10.30 85.95 7.32 31.44 32.20 78.40 97.80 83.55P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 21 43 +19 4.41 74.73 4.53 88.32 7.33 35.04 48.18 86.20 98.86 90.41P 0.00 0.00
Colchester 22 38 +11 3.38 68.93 4.38 74.76 7.14 16.85 2.76 20.67 71.35 32.83P 0.00 0.00
Bury 22 36 +17 -2.20 37.18 4.53 77.73 7.37 30.55 6.49 37.84 83.67 52.21P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 20 35 +15 1.79 60.67 6.60 78.51 7.40 26.63 7.57 40.88 85.51 54.02P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 21 35 -2 7.54 87.12 0.34 66.48 7.31 -6.38 0.23 3.11 25.73 6.54P 0.08R 0.01
Exeter 22 34 +7 -0.51 46.78 0.45 70.98 7.22 13.03 0.88 9.48 51.42 20.16P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 22 34 +5 4.22 72.69 5.59 65.84 7.31 3.24 0.17 2.67 24.17 6.60P 0.08R 0.01
Forest_Green 21 33 +9 5.07 78.06 10.44 66.21 7.28 7.42 0.18 3.02 26.58 7.07P 0.07R 0.01
Oldham 22 32 +9 -4.50 26.14 -0.48 71.47 7.28 18.77 1.03 11.61 55.58 25.03P 0.00R 0.00
Stevenage 22 32 +0 1.79 60.84 -0.02 64.64 7.16 -0.31 0.10 1.71 18.78 4.94P 0.15R 0.01
Carlisle 22 30 +2 -2.08 38.33 -0.73 65.10 7.20 5.44 0.10 1.99 21.57 6.41P 0.14R 0.02
Swindon 22 30 -5 -0.80 45.79 -5.95 64.10 7.15 -3.40 0.07 1.26 16.42 4.53P 0.22R 0.04
Northampton 22 27 -2 -4.54 26.13 -4.03 61.49 7.37 0.34 0.04 0.77 10.72 3.13P 0.67R 0.10
Port_Vale 22 27 -3 -1.16 43.88 -0.37 58.70 6.99 -4.68 0.00 0.16 4.60 1.04P 1.33R 0.24
Crawley_Town 21 26 -6 -0.05 50.51 -1.62 55.80 7.16 -13.16 0.00 0.07 2.17 0.46P 3.99R 0.71
Crewe 22 25 -6 -2.17 38.16 -1.54 54.95 7.00 -10.42 0.00 0.04 1.60 0.32P 4.57R 0.89
Grimsby 22 25 -8 0.21 52.25 -0.30 52.43 6.82 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.09P 8.96R 1.95
Yeovil 20 22 +0 -3.35 30.52 3.04 54.83 7.40 -4.23 0.00 0.08 2.06 0.50P 5.24R 1.05
Morecambe 22 22 -15 -1.44 42.48 -4.91 47.98 6.79 -25.25 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 25.37R 7.18
Cheltenham 21 21 -11 -3.61 29.61 -4.29 50.80 7.22 -17.98 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.10P 14.43R 3.80
Cambridge_Utd 22 20 -16 -5.77 19.11 -9.65 48.75 6.94 -22.03 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 21.90R 6.20
Notts_County 22 19 -20 -7.31 13.74 -13.48 47.93 7.07 -26.50 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 26.83R 8.03
Macclesfield 22 16 -20 -3.02 32.20 -2.83 36.78 6.43 -38.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.95R 69.75
National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2018, Halifax 1 1 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Leyton_Orient 24 50 +30 6.79 83.19 14.76 90.01 6.58 44.73 53.29 97.11 67.63P 0.00 0.00
Salford_City 24 49 +26 8.92 88.31 15.03 85.07 7.03 34.95 21.47 86.92 38.43P 0.00 0.00
Harrogate_Town 24 46 +19 8.70 87.34 12.19 80.51 7.08 25.72 7.62 68.30 20.84P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 23 46 +16 9.72 92.43 9.04 81.50 6.71 22.05 8.31 72.92 24.28P 0.00 0.00
Solihull_Moors 23 44 +13 11.47 94.81 11.37 76.11 6.83 14.35 1.97 40.93 8.94P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Fylde 24 42 +20 1.20 56.15 8.06 79.53 6.71 31.07 5.70 64.96 23.21P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 23 39 +9 4.44 74.17 4.24 74.38 6.91 14.77 1.07 32.66 8.28P 0.01R 0.00
Sutton_United 23 37 +4 3.89 70.90 1.56 70.98 6.95 7.89 0.37 16.65 3.68P 0.02R 0.00
Eastleigh 24 36 -1 4.95 75.76 1.45 65.45 6.65 -2.01 0.01 3.70 0.62P 0.34R 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 24 34 +5 -0.39 47.93 2.45 66.54 6.70 8.73 0.05 5.86 1.38P 0.21R 0.00
Boreham_Wood 24 32 -1 -1.59 41.48 -2.58 62.80 6.59 0.47 0.00 1.63 0.41P 0.92R 0.00
Barrow 24 31 -2 -0.52 47.73 -0.30 57.72 6.58 -6.67 0.00 0.27 0.05P 5.32R 0.04
Hartlepool 24 31 -6 -0.33 48.68 -4.00 58.84 6.60 -9.00 0.00 0.40 0.08P 3.86R 0.03
Dag_&_Red 24 28 -4 -6.12 19.73 -6.15 58.00 6.72 -4.17 0.00 0.29 0.06P 5.14R 0.06
Barnet 21 28 -4 -4.36 26.19 -9.51 66.37 7.51 2.14 0.11 6.83 1.99P 0.54R 0.00
Halifax 23 27 -5 0.20 52.19 1.07 53.70 6.63 -11.38 0.00 0.05 0.00P 16.04R 0.27
Aldershot 24 25 -19 -4.05 28.33 -13.71 52.64 6.64 -22.13 0.00 0.02 0.00P 22.12R 0.55
Bromley 23 24 -8 -6.13 19.03 -5.75 54.43 7.01 -9.96 0.00 0.11 0.01P 14.45R 0.33
Havant_&_Wville 24 24 -9 -2.35 38.44 2.27 47.58 6.88 -19.77 0.00 0.01 0.00 48.85R 2.59
Chesterfield 23 23 -4 -11.56 5.08 -8.81 57.67 7.06 0.79 0.00 0.35 0.09P 6.32R 0.10
Dover_Athletic 24 21 -18 -9.15 9.56 -13.96 49.77 6.71 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.86R 1.49
Maidenhead 23 21 -22 -2.82 34.92 -9.73 44.79 6.57 -34.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.66R 6.74
Maidstone_United 23 19 -16 -4.96 23.21 -5.07 43.34 6.52 -26.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.68R 8.64
Braintree_Town 24 14 -23 -6.93 14.82 -3.93 32.28 6.16 -41.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.68R 79.16
