Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   45  +30       9.27    97.00     8.81    90.07     5.84    56.98    26.43    80.21    94.66    99.05   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   44  +38       3.87    79.31     5.54    94.42     5.26    77.72    70.35    94.91    99.16    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   39  +15       5.85    85.78    -0.86    81.59     6.01    37.12     2.31    15.91    58.92    86.79    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   37  +21       3.67    74.17     4.89    78.29     6.10    40.84     0.80     7.40    35.51    74.72    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          17   34  +14       2.89    68.79     1.03    73.17     6.28    31.14     0.11     1.55    11.19    35.50    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   26   +0      -3.11    28.89    -8.72    64.36     6.30    14.69     0.00     0.02     0.57     3.87    78.44     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    17   25   +0       4.58    79.14     4.82    49.97     6.31    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.55     0.22R    0.00  
Everton          17   24   +2      -0.07    49.60     2.05    52.52     6.53     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     8.28     0.05R    0.00  
West_Ham         17   24   +0       2.80    69.41     4.70    51.17     6.39    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.29     0.13R    0.00  
Watford          17   24   -2       3.98    76.55     4.13    47.79     6.18   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.78     0.54R    0.01  
Bournemouth      17   23   -3       1.99    64.23     2.30    47.80     6.28   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.57R    0.02  
Leicester        17   22   +0      -1.87    37.77    -0.29    48.70     6.23    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54     0.32R    0.01  
Brighton         17   21   -4       1.81    63.91     3.00    44.40     6.12   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     1.91R    0.07  
Newcastle        17   16   -8      -4.32    22.24    -3.15    40.46     6.09   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     7.57R    0.58  
Crystal_Palace   17   15   -9      -4.52    21.12    -2.93    38.94     6.06   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    11.66R    0.91  
Cardiff          17   14  -16      -1.88    37.55    -2.17    32.89     5.97   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    46.00R    8.46  
Southampton      17   12  -16      -5.83    13.93    -6.25    35.77     6.14   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    25.72R    3.63  
Burnley          17   12  -18      -6.00    12.89    -9.17    33.76     6.00   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.10R    6.28  
Huddersfield     17   10  -18      -3.61    23.45    -1.78    26.38     5.45   -38.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.49R   39.56  
Fulham           17    9  -26      -5.06    16.51    -5.95    26.75     5.95   -47.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.71R   40.47  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    22   45  +18      10.09    92.96    10.93    82.60     7.26    24.98    28.55    49.74    89.59    58.66P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         22   44  +14      10.08    92.49     8.40    81.22     7.24    20.41    21.36    40.67    85.45    49.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       22   39  +15       0.14    50.41     1.39    82.14     7.30    30.92    27.73    48.92    89.02    61.27P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   38   +7       2.73    65.36    -0.55    76.26     7.17    15.00     7.01    17.13    65.34    29.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   37   +9       4.30    73.04     5.29    73.18     7.19    13.81     3.35     9.19    49.25    17.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   36   +8       0.19    51.17    -0.12    75.63     7.02    17.70     5.87    15.37    63.22    29.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   35  +10       4.45    74.22     9.40    68.64     7.22    10.94     0.92     3.09    26.33     7.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   33   +9      -3.35    31.38    -0.44    72.26     7.29    18.65     2.87     8.12    46.09    18.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         22   32   +3      -2.20    37.47    -3.05    69.32     7.32     9.51     1.14     3.52    29.36    10.62P    0.05R    0.00  
Birmingham      22   31   +5       4.30    74.41    10.20    59.98     6.95    -0.84     0.04     0.15     3.43     0.63P    1.35R    0.07  
Stoke           22   31   +2      -2.65    35.44    -3.09    68.20     7.39     8.49     0.80     2.66    24.51     8.49P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   31   -4       2.06    62.09    -1.97    61.98     7.33    -7.17     0.09     0.38     6.21     1.51P    1.02R    0.04  
QPR             22   31   -5       4.36    74.08     0.68    60.02     7.05   -11.38     0.03     0.14     3.48     0.63P    1.76R    0.12  
Bristol_City    22   30   +1      -0.82    45.47     0.12    63.07     7.20     1.10     0.14     0.52     8.23     2.13P    0.58R    0.02  
Preston         22   28   -2      -2.58    35.77    -2.42    61.69     7.30    -1.08     0.06     0.27     5.96     1.53P    1.02R    0.04  
Wigan           22   25   -7      -4.47    26.28    -6.08    57.38     7.24    -7.62     0.02     0.06     1.60     0.42P    4.20R    0.40  
Hull            22   24   -7      -4.70    25.27    -4.62    54.99     7.03   -10.39     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.13P    7.09R    0.72  
Sheff_Wed       22   24  -12      -3.33    31.82    -7.30    53.95     7.11   -16.97     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.09P   10.17R    1.21  
Brentford       22   22   -1      -9.17     9.20    -2.16    56.97     7.35     1.99     0.01     0.06     1.72     0.49P    4.46R    0.49  
Rotherham       22   22  -11      -0.56    47.89     1.21    45.84     6.88   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.53R   11.14  
Reading         22   19   -8      -6.54    16.23    -0.24    46.16     6.92   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   41.05R    9.58  
Millwall        22   19  -10      -8.09    11.24    -5.08    48.54     7.05   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.10R    5.26  
Bolton          22   18  -15      -2.64    34.80    -1.02    40.43     6.44   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R   33.78  
Ipswich         22   14  -19      -9.85     6.03    -9.49    39.90     6.82   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.19R   37.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           22   48  +18      12.62    96.76    10.40    85.54     7.16    24.74    16.25    39.80    93.53    51.87P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                22   44  +21       6.54    82.20     9.96    84.91     7.43    33.08    15.43    39.11    92.49    53.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           20   43  +22       4.63    75.60     4.92    92.27     7.63    43.12    56.15    77.19    98.78    84.22P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +12       5.08    76.44     4.96    78.59     7.38    20.58     3.40    12.11    72.15    25.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton             22   40  +11       5.40    78.09     4.49    78.06     7.28    18.57     2.65    10.20    69.65    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            22   38  +11       5.15    77.07     7.15    73.98     7.28    15.38     0.84     3.70    47.49    12.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             21   36  +14      -0.56    46.26     2.35    79.78     7.60    28.24     5.11    16.82    77.82    36.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            21   34   +4       3.95    72.43     2.08    67.83     7.34     3.39     0.11     0.61    17.29     3.92P    0.37R    0.01  
Wycombe              22   32   +2       4.64    74.97     6.60    62.42     7.28    -2.18     0.01     0.10     5.24     0.96P    2.59R    0.06  
Fleetwood_Town       22   30   +6      -1.61    41.20     4.06    64.88     7.26     8.99     0.03     0.21    10.13     2.43P    0.97R    0.02  
Walsall              22   30  -10       3.82    71.78    -3.90    58.19     7.05   -17.27     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.19P    8.36R    0.40  
Southend             22   29   +0      -1.19    43.91     0.15    62.28     7.27     0.42     0.01     0.06     4.98     1.12P    2.68R    0.11  
Coventry             22   29   -4       2.87    66.93     1.47    57.47     7.04   -10.35     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.21P    9.53R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   21   28   -5       3.24    69.10     0.90    57.32     7.42   -12.55     0.00     0.02     1.42     0.28P   11.36R    0.70  
Burton_Albion        21   27   -3      -1.58    41.51    -2.66    59.30     7.53    -6.11     0.01     0.03     2.61     0.52P    6.81R    0.37  
Gillingham           22   25   -3      -3.29    32.34     0.29    55.56     7.13    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.12P   14.29R    1.00  
Shrewsbury           22   25   -3      -5.50    21.14    -3.58    58.56     7.12    -1.98     0.00     0.01     1.72     0.40P    6.96R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd           22   25   -4      -4.18    27.51    -2.03    56.54     7.23    -6.32     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.19P   11.79R    0.86  
Rochdale             22   24  -12      -2.55    36.13    -5.93    52.92     7.13   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   26.20R    2.76  
Scunthorpe           22   21  -18      -7.14    15.20   -14.25    52.11     7.26   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   30.88R    4.02  
Plymouth             22   20  -15      -4.99    23.26    -6.57    47.69     7.02   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    54.23R   10.59  
Bradford             22   18  -17      -7.59    12.74    -9.85    46.19     7.03   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   62.16R   15.41  
Bristol_Rovers       22   17   -9      -9.60     7.35    -3.48    45.80     7.07   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.38R   15.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   15  -18      -7.81    10.86    -7.52    40.04     6.65   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.41R   47.84  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     21   44  +20       8.75    90.70    10.28    85.96     7.32    31.45    31.99    78.51    97.75    83.60P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   43  +19       4.40    74.72     4.48    88.38     7.32    35.11    48.18    86.32    98.97    90.37P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       22   38  +11       3.36    68.77     4.36    74.83     7.14    16.87     2.67    20.49    71.23    32.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             22   36  +17      -2.36    36.18     4.31    77.85     7.37    30.75     6.69    38.20    84.24    52.64P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        20   35  +15       1.87    61.28     6.69    78.54     7.44    26.67     7.62    40.77    85.59    53.83P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   21   35   -2       7.48    87.12     0.26    66.50     7.34    -6.35     0.25     3.14    25.84     6.65P    0.07R    0.01  
Exeter           22   34   +7      -0.48    47.21     0.49    70.91     7.15    12.93     0.85     9.16    50.90    19.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +5       4.07    72.11     5.36    65.98     7.28     3.43     0.19     2.76    24.53     6.88P    0.10R    0.01  
Forest_Green     21   33   +9       5.09    78.45    10.44    66.17     7.36     7.41     0.23     3.17    26.44     7.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham           22   32   +9      -4.63    25.47    -0.65    71.64     7.24    18.96     1.07    11.65    56.28    25.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        22   32   +0       1.90    61.31     0.16    64.51     7.07    -0.50     0.08     1.49    17.87     4.63P    0.15R    0.01  
Carlisle         22   30   +2      -2.05    38.47    -0.72    65.19     7.24     5.54     0.11     2.01    22.02     6.59P    0.13R    0.01  
Swindon          22   30   -5      -0.69    46.49    -5.80    64.00     7.13    -3.54     0.05     1.26    16.19     4.28P    0.24R    0.02  
Northampton      22   27   -2      -4.51    26.30    -3.99    61.49     7.31     0.32     0.02     0.66    10.55     2.96P    0.60R    0.10  
Port_Vale        22   27   -3      -1.13    43.92    -0.33    58.70     7.00    -4.72     0.00     0.15     4.53     0.98P    1.35R    0.23  
Crawley_Town     21   26   -6       0.09    51.49    -1.38    55.67     7.19   -13.35     0.00     0.08     2.12     0.40P    4.22R    0.87  
Crewe            22   25   -6      -2.13    38.24    -1.47    54.87     7.07   -10.52     0.00     0.04     1.58     0.31P    4.60R    0.90  
Grimsby          22   25   -8       0.14    52.07    -0.36    52.35     6.85   -15.87     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.08P    9.13R    1.96  
Yeovil           20   22   +0      -3.32    30.86     3.10    54.76     7.39    -4.35     0.00     0.09     2.07     0.46P    5.38R    1.17  
Morecambe        22   22  -15      -1.41    42.54    -4.86    47.84     6.77   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.17R    7.49  
Cheltenham       21   21  -11      -3.66    29.33    -4.33    50.89     7.22   -17.84     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.08P   14.30R    3.78  
Cambridge_Utd    22   20  -16      -5.77    19.06    -9.66    48.82     6.91   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   21.34R    5.95  
Notts_County     22   19  -20      -7.47    13.32   -13.69    48.05     7.12   -26.32     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   26.43R    8.02  
Macclesfield     22   16  -20      -2.98    33.04    -2.68    36.79     6.44   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.71R   69.48  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2018, Halifax 1 1 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      24   50  +30       6.71    83.10    14.64    90.16     6.59    44.92    54.16    97.30    68.23P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       24   49  +26       8.88    88.31    14.95    85.03     6.97    34.89    20.90    86.89    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   46  +19       8.72    87.55    12.20    80.51     7.08    25.70     7.61    68.21    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   46  +16       9.72    92.33     9.04    81.49     6.72    22.06     8.40    72.66    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   44  +13      11.55    95.12    11.46    76.07     6.81    14.29     1.82    40.71     8.74P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          24   42  +20       1.18    56.17     8.00    79.47     6.73    31.04     5.46    64.81    23.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   39   +9       4.36    73.38     4.12    74.52     6.91    14.98     1.12    33.08     8.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      23   37   +4       3.89    71.15     1.55    70.99     6.97     7.92     0.35    16.84     3.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   36   -1       5.02    75.83     1.53    65.28     6.65    -2.18     0.02     3.56     0.66P    0.38R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   34   +5      -0.35    48.46     2.53    66.50     6.64     8.66     0.04     5.60     1.25P    0.19R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       24   32   -1      -1.70    40.67    -2.73    63.01     6.58     0.73     0.01     1.70     0.39P    0.75R    0.00  
Barrow             24   31   -2      -0.63    46.88    -0.44    57.82     6.59    -6.54     0.00     0.32     0.04P    5.24R    0.03  
Hartlepool         24   31   -6      -0.25    49.09    -3.90    58.87     6.53    -8.97     0.00     0.39     0.05P    3.66R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          24   28   -4      -6.15    19.94    -6.15    58.01     6.73    -4.16     0.00     0.36     0.08P    5.11R    0.05  
Barnet             21   28   -4      -4.38    25.68    -9.59    66.41     7.50     2.19     0.11     7.00     1.99P    0.62R    0.00  
Halifax            23   27   -5       0.25    52.36     1.16    53.67     6.62   -11.45     0.00     0.05     0.01P   15.95R    0.25  
Aldershot          24   25  -19      -4.07    28.41   -13.66    52.67     6.63   -22.15     0.00     0.02     0.00    22.17R    0.62  
Bromley            23   24   -8      -6.13    19.14    -5.77    54.44     7.04    -9.95     0.00     0.10     0.03P   14.56R    0.33  
Havant_&_Wville    24   24   -9      -2.30    38.56     2.36    47.53     6.83   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.88R    2.42  
Chesterfield       23   23   -4     -11.40     5.21    -8.56    57.55     6.99     0.58     0.00     0.39     0.11P    6.46R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     24   21  -18      -9.25     9.19   -14.07    49.81     6.73   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.72R    1.54  
Maidenhead         23   21  -22      -2.75    35.22    -9.70    44.67     6.53   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.62R    6.93  
Maidstone_United   23   19  -16      -5.02    22.71    -5.11    43.36     6.52   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.05R    8.77  
Braintree_Town     24   14  -23      -6.89    14.65    -3.86    32.27     6.21   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R   78.96