Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   45  +30       9.30    97.01     8.88    90.15     5.82    57.12    26.82    80.67    94.95    99.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   44  +38       3.86    79.60     5.63    94.41     5.25    77.63    69.93    94.93    99.16    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   39  +15       5.78    85.58    -1.01    81.60     6.00    37.16     2.35    15.78    59.11    86.87    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   37  +21       3.68    74.26     4.90    78.19     6.10    40.71     0.77     6.96    34.66    74.01    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          17   34  +14       2.88    68.90     1.00    73.27     6.29    31.27     0.13     1.63    11.52    35.96    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   26   +0      -3.12    28.97    -8.68    64.39     6.30    14.72     0.00     0.03     0.59     4.00    78.64     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    17   25   +0       4.57    78.86     4.81    49.91     6.34    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.68     0.22R    0.00  
Everton          17   24   +2      -0.10    49.48     2.02    52.51     6.52     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     8.17     0.08R    0.00  
West_Ham         17   24   +0       2.87    69.68     4.80    51.05     6.38    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.07     0.18R    0.00  
Watford          17   24   -2       4.13    77.23     4.38    47.67     6.21   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.91     0.53R    0.01  
Bournemouth      17   23   -3       1.94    63.74     2.22    47.86     6.24   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.57R    0.02  
Leicester        17   22   +0      -1.90    37.67    -0.37    48.75     6.24    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.45     0.33R    0.01  
Brighton         17   21   -4       1.79    63.56     2.92    44.39     6.12   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     1.91R    0.09  
Newcastle        17   16   -8      -4.30    22.50    -3.10    40.42     6.06   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.24R    0.56  
Crystal_Palace   17   15   -9      -4.52    21.19    -2.93    38.97     6.09   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    11.81R    1.02  
Cardiff          17   14  -16      -1.85    37.84    -2.11    32.83     6.00   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    46.80R    8.69  
Southampton      17   12  -16      -5.80    14.04    -6.19    35.79     6.14   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    25.49R    3.61  
Burnley          17   12  -18      -6.01    12.83    -9.15    33.82     6.01   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.95R    6.18  
Huddersfield     17   10  -18      -3.64    23.64    -1.88    26.48     5.47   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.24R   38.99  
Fulham           17    9  -26      -5.13    16.00    -6.14    26.79     5.90   -47.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.63R   40.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    22   45  +18      10.10    93.19    10.97    82.54     7.19    24.89    27.72    48.71    89.78    57.70P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         22   44  +14      10.06    92.50     8.30    81.24     7.25    20.50    21.46    40.80    85.42    49.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       22   39  +15      -0.04    49.27     1.13    82.26     7.29    31.12    28.40    49.87    89.32    62.13P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   38   +7       2.87    65.74    -0.34    76.18     7.16    14.90     6.95    17.02    64.84    29.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   37   +9       4.12    72.25     5.04    73.36     7.19    14.10     3.54     9.60    50.23    18.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   36   +8       0.19    51.03    -0.12    75.62     6.99    17.69     5.74    14.98    63.21    29.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   35  +10       4.48    74.44     9.43    68.53     7.21    10.82     0.87     2.89    25.75     7.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   33   +9      -3.32    31.41    -0.42    72.22     7.29    18.63     2.95     8.37    45.59    19.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Swansea         22   32   +3      -2.23    37.46    -3.07    69.33     7.27     9.50     1.16     3.54    29.19    10.57P    0.05R    0.01  
Birmingham      22   31   +5       4.21    73.79    10.07    60.08     7.02    -0.67     0.03     0.14     3.64     0.70P    1.30R    0.06  
Stoke           22   31   +2      -2.77    34.81    -3.24    68.35     7.38     8.66     0.84     2.71    25.35     8.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   31   -4       2.03    62.16    -1.99    61.99     7.32    -7.16     0.10     0.38     6.37     1.55P    0.96R    0.04  
QPR             22   31   -5       4.40    74.42     0.70    60.04     7.01   -11.38     0.02     0.15     3.24     0.63P    1.64R    0.10  
Bristol_City    22   30   +1      -0.74    46.07     0.28    62.95     7.16     0.96     0.12     0.42     7.88     1.95P    0.57R    0.02  
Preston         22   28   -2      -2.47    36.21    -2.24    61.51     7.31    -1.36     0.07     0.30     5.59     1.42P    1.13R    0.06  
Wigan           22   25   -7      -4.46    26.27    -6.14    57.43     7.21    -7.56     0.01     0.05     1.64     0.41P    3.87R    0.32  
Hull            22   24   -7      -4.70    25.56    -4.60    54.99     7.09   -10.40     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.13P    7.25R    0.79  
Sheff_Wed       22   24  -12      -3.40    31.23    -7.47    54.08     7.15   -16.78     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.11P   10.04R    1.18  
Brentford       22   22   -1      -8.99     9.44    -1.87    56.85     7.26     1.81     0.01     0.04     1.67     0.45P    4.44R    0.47  
Rotherham       22   22  -11      -0.73    46.80     0.97    45.95     6.87   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.99R   10.79  
Reading         22   19   -8      -6.46    16.96    -0.18    46.21     6.97   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.90R    9.33  
Millwall        22   19  -10      -7.97    11.81    -4.88    48.34     7.04   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   29.30R    5.71  
Bolton          22   18  -15      -2.68    34.37    -1.04    40.49     6.42   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.86R   33.22  
Ipswich         22   14  -19      -9.73     6.10    -9.28    39.81     6.81   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.56R   37.90  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           22   48  +18      12.65    96.75    10.44    85.41     7.26    24.54    15.83    39.36    93.22    51.68P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                22   44  +21       6.72    82.86    10.19    84.76     7.40    32.81    14.85    38.36    92.25    52.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           20   43  +22       4.62    75.30     4.88    92.40     7.62    43.32    57.00    77.65    98.84    84.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +12       5.05    76.21     4.94    78.59     7.33    20.56     3.33    11.92    72.35    25.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton             22   40  +11       5.22    77.25     4.30    78.17     7.27    18.75     2.78    10.45    70.08    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            22   38  +11       5.39    78.03     7.49    73.74     7.28    15.04     0.75     3.61    46.37    12.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             21   36  +14      -0.71    45.61     2.18    79.91     7.58    28.41     5.30    17.48    78.22    37.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            21   34   +4       3.86    71.93     1.96    67.81     7.35     3.37     0.13     0.71    17.68     4.15P    0.38R    0.01  
Wycombe              22   32   +2       4.63    74.83     6.56    62.54     7.24    -2.05     0.01     0.08     5.40     0.96P    2.40R    0.07  
Fleetwood_Town       22   30   +6      -1.54    41.20     4.15    64.86     7.27     8.92     0.01     0.20    10.13     2.31P    1.09R    0.02  
Walsall              22   30  -10       3.86    72.27    -3.82    58.12     7.06   -17.35     0.00     0.01     1.45     0.25P    8.70R    0.47  
Southend             22   29   +0      -1.23    43.39     0.11    62.28     7.23     0.45     0.01     0.07     5.15     1.05P    2.54R    0.07  
Coventry             22   29   -4       2.97    67.66     1.63    57.39     7.02   -10.48     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.19P    9.63R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   21   28   -5       3.17    68.89     0.75    57.36     7.36   -12.40     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.21P   11.05R    0.67  
Burton_Albion        21   27   -3      -1.66    40.85    -2.82    59.43     7.49    -5.93     0.01     0.05     2.74     0.65P    6.57R    0.29  
Gillingham           22   25   -3      -3.25    32.70     0.36    55.54     7.19    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.12P   14.66R    1.01  
Shrewsbury           22   25   -3      -5.47    21.39    -3.56    58.58     7.17    -1.97     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.41P    6.90R    0.37  
Oxford_Utd           22   25   -4      -4.17    27.55    -1.99    56.58     7.26    -6.27     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.16P   11.91R    0.79  
Rochdale             22   24  -12      -2.54    36.10    -5.96    52.90     7.13   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   26.38R    2.82  
Scunthorpe           22   21  -18      -7.22    14.78   -14.34    52.14     7.22   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   30.61R    3.93  
Plymouth             22   20  -15      -5.02    23.24    -6.61    47.66     6.99   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.41R   10.81  
Bradford             22   18  -17      -7.56    12.85    -9.83    46.12     7.02   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.60R   15.43  
Bristol_Rovers       22   17   -9      -9.67     6.96    -3.56    45.83     7.05   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.07R   14.94  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   15  -18      -7.77    10.76    -7.45    40.08     6.71   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.06R   47.79  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     21   44  +20       8.78    90.83    10.36    85.89     7.33    31.34    31.50    77.83    97.80    83.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   43  +19       4.34    74.18     4.40    88.44     7.33    35.21    48.66    86.59    98.98    90.54P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       22   38  +11       3.31    68.53     4.25    74.92     7.11    16.98     2.80    21.15    72.34    33.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             22   36  +17      -2.26    36.93     4.45    77.74     7.42    30.62     6.61    37.99    83.65    52.48P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        20   35  +15       1.78    60.73     6.64    78.63     7.44    26.75     7.74    41.46    85.91    54.48P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   21   35   -2       7.63    87.61     0.45    66.31     7.31    -6.60     0.21     2.85    24.80     6.15P    0.10R    0.02  
Exeter           22   34   +7      -0.46    47.32     0.56    70.85     7.19    12.84     0.77     9.02    50.51    19.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +5       4.11    72.16     5.41    65.98     7.32     3.44     0.21     2.90    25.09     7.00P    0.09R    0.01  
Forest_Green     21   33   +9       4.98    77.26    10.31    66.25     7.35     7.53     0.18     3.26    26.96     7.31P    0.07R    0.01  
Oldham           22   32   +9      -4.52    25.75    -0.51    71.50     7.23    18.78     1.08    11.31    55.78    24.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        22   32   +0       1.80    60.83    -0.01    64.60     7.10    -0.34     0.09     1.61    18.52     4.82P    0.12R    0.02  
Carlisle         22   30   +2      -1.95    38.86    -0.54    65.03     7.23     5.30     0.09     1.89    21.47     6.38P    0.15R    0.02  
Swindon          22   30   -5      -0.57    47.27    -5.64    63.86     7.14    -3.73     0.04     1.21    15.77     4.26P    0.27R    0.03  
Northampton      22   27   -2      -4.58    25.86    -4.10    61.52     7.31     0.39     0.03     0.60    10.55     2.92P    0.61R    0.07  
Port_Vale        22   27   -3      -1.20    43.71    -0.43    58.74     7.01    -4.64     0.00     0.17     4.66     1.01P    1.44R    0.25  
Crawley_Town     21   26   -6       0.13    51.25    -1.32    55.62     7.15   -13.41     0.00     0.06     2.22     0.42P    4.26R    0.80  
Crewe            22   25   -6      -2.19    37.69    -1.68    54.98     7.01   -10.34     0.00     0.06     1.58     0.35P    4.54R    0.89  
Grimsby          22   25   -8       0.13    51.93    -0.41    52.47     6.82   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.09P    8.88R    1.80  
Yeovil           20   22   +0      -3.33    30.80     3.07    54.81     7.34    -4.29     0.00     0.03     1.97     0.35P    5.28R    1.07  
Morecambe        22   22  -15      -1.39    42.63    -4.82    47.95     6.74   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   25.84R    7.37  
Cheltenham       21   21  -11      -3.63    29.41    -4.32    50.87     7.21   -17.92     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.07P   14.48R    3.61  
Cambridge_Utd    22   20  -16      -5.76    19.42    -9.63    48.77     6.90   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   21.93R    6.13  
Notts_County     22   19  -20      -7.50    13.19   -13.78    48.09     7.09   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   26.14R    7.88  
Macclesfield     22   16  -20      -2.98    32.81    -2.72    36.81     6.43   -38.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.78R   70.04  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Barrow 1 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      24   50  +30       6.82    83.23    14.73    90.05     6.64    44.80    53.30    97.06    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       24   49  +26       8.93    88.45    15.03    85.07     7.03    34.98    21.46    86.99    38.22P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   46  +19       8.64    87.16    12.15    80.52     7.11    25.70     7.68    68.39    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   46  +16       9.72    92.38     9.01    81.49     6.71    22.06     8.42    72.74    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   44  +13      11.58    95.12    11.51    75.96     6.85    14.11     1.89    40.25     8.57P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          24   42  +20       1.21    56.15     8.02    79.54     6.71    31.09     5.56    65.27    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   39   +9       4.47    73.90     4.31    74.40     6.89    14.78     1.13    32.54     8.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      23   37   +4       3.96    71.41     1.69    70.93     6.90     7.78     0.35    16.41     3.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   36   -1       4.90    75.63     1.32    65.42     6.64    -1.95     0.04     3.72     0.75P    0.35R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   34   +5      -0.30    49.03     2.55    66.47     6.65     8.63     0.07     5.61     1.32P    0.17R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       23   31   -1      -1.18    43.44    -2.51    63.28     6.84     0.62     0.01     2.26     0.56P    1.00R    0.00  
Barrow             24   31   -2      -0.51    47.55    -0.31    57.73     6.59    -6.65     0.00     0.28     0.04P    5.26R    0.03  
Hartlepool         24   31   -6      -0.27    49.12    -3.86    58.74     6.58    -9.15     0.00     0.36     0.07P    4.11R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          24   28   -4      -6.12    19.79    -6.11    57.99     6.71    -4.17     0.00     0.34     0.07P    5.09R    0.04  
Barnet             21   28   -4      -4.48    25.40    -9.71    66.51     7.51     2.31     0.10     7.22     2.13P    0.63R    0.00  
Halifax            22   26   -5       0.48    53.91     0.98    53.92     6.79   -11.58     0.00     0.08     0.01P   15.79R    0.25  
Aldershot          24   25  -19      -3.97    28.83   -13.54    52.53     6.62   -22.29     0.00     0.02     0.00P   23.11R    0.57  
Bromley            23   24   -8      -6.26    18.68    -5.93    54.57     7.02    -9.75     0.00     0.12     0.02P   14.30R    0.29  
Havant_&_Wville    24   24   -9      -2.60    36.81     1.87    47.75     6.83   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.99R    2.31  
Chesterfield       23   23   -4     -11.44     5.03    -8.61    57.63     6.99     0.73     0.00     0.34     0.11P    6.17R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     24   21  -18      -9.30     9.10   -14.13    49.94     6.70   -19.71     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.75R    1.48  
Maidenhead         23   21  -22      -2.72    35.38    -9.61    44.73     6.52   -34.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.66R    6.71  
Maidstone_United   23   19  -16      -4.93    23.12    -5.00    43.31     6.47   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.96R    8.83  
Braintree_Town     24   14  -23      -6.86    14.94    -3.83    32.24     6.16   -41.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   79.37