Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 18 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 17 45 +30 9.34 97.06 8.96 90.07 5.86 56.95 26.67 80.40 94.70 99.02 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 17 44 +38 3.91 79.66 5.77 94.34 5.30 77.50 69.98 94.78 99.13 99.89 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 17 39 +15 5.83 85.48 -0.91 81.57 6.01 37.08 2.46 15.94 59.22 87.01 99.91 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 17 37 +21 3.72 74.82 4.97 78.22 6.10 40.73 0.77 7.23 35.19 74.68 99.70 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 17 34 +14 2.93 68.97 1.08 73.06 6.28 30.97 0.11 1.61 11.12 35.06 97.76 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 17 26 +0 -3.20 28.31 -8.82 64.48 6.26 14.89 0.00 0.04 0.62 4.19 78.86 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 17 25 +0 4.58 79.06 4.84 49.95 6.34 -7.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.52 0.23R 0.00 Everton 17 24 +2 -0.12 49.38 1.93 52.55 6.56 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 8.21 0.09R 0.00 West_Ham 17 24 +0 2.82 69.45 4.68 51.21 6.42 -4.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 5.38 0.15R 0.00 Watford 17 24 -2 4.07 76.95 4.29 47.69 6.15 -12.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.66 0.50R 0.00 Bournemouth 17 23 -3 2.03 64.33 2.36 47.75 6.32 -11.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.87 0.70R 0.01 Leicester 17 22 +0 -1.87 37.81 -0.34 48.71 6.29 -5.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.44 0.34R 0.01 Brighton 17 21 -4 1.76 63.43 2.93 44.45 6.12 -13.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 1.86R 0.06 Newcastle 17 16 -8 -4.40 21.79 -3.28 40.55 6.07 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 7.17R 0.52 Crystal_Palace 17 15 -9 -4.62 20.96 -3.11 39.01 6.11 -17.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 11.44R 0.97 Cardiff 17 14 -16 -1.88 37.44 -2.15 32.90 5.98 -33.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.86R 8.41 Southampton 17 12 -16 -5.76 14.21 -6.12 35.77 6.15 -24.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 25.85R 3.72 Burnley 17 12 -18 -5.96 13.22 -9.15 33.76 6.00 -29.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.64R 6.11 Huddersfield 17 10 -18 -3.65 23.68 -1.87 26.42 5.44 -38.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.47R 39.48 Fulham 17 9 -26 -5.08 16.22 -6.05 26.77 5.92 -47.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.69R 40.71Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 22 45 +18 10.16 93.30 11.05 82.52 7.24 24.84 27.85 48.75 89.59 57.69P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 22 44 +14 10.15 92.72 8.50 81.20 7.25 20.37 21.17 40.37 85.39 49.77P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 22 39 +15 0.03 49.51 1.22 82.19 7.37 31.04 28.70 49.58 88.89 61.77P 0.00 0.00 Derby 22 38 +7 2.81 65.59 -0.40 76.23 7.21 14.94 7.02 17.44 65.35 29.81P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 37 +9 4.16 72.34 5.09 73.34 7.17 14.08 3.58 9.65 50.35 18.45P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 22 36 +8 0.23 51.16 -0.08 75.57 7.00 17.66 5.55 15.07 63.30 29.70P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 22 35 +10 4.53 74.71 9.53 68.39 7.24 10.60 0.89 2.88 25.25 7.02P 0.05R 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 33 +9 -3.35 31.20 -0.49 72.30 7.31 18.70 3.02 8.56 46.38 19.38P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 22 32 +3 -2.04 38.48 -2.82 69.13 7.31 9.22 1.02 3.34 28.38 10.12P 0.05R 0.00 Birmingham 22 31 +5 4.32 74.40 10.25 59.95 7.02 -0.86 0.02 0.14 3.52 0.67P 1.36R 0.07 Stoke 22 31 +2 -2.71 34.95 -3.18 68.30 7.34 8.58 0.82 2.72 25.00 8.68P 0.09R 0.00 Blackburn 22 31 -4 2.03 62.18 -1.97 62.03 7.38 -7.18 0.12 0.42 6.40 1.45P 0.98R 0.05 QPR 22 31 -5 4.24 73.57 0.50 60.11 7.06 -11.23 0.04 0.17 3.46 0.65P 1.64R 0.10 Bristol_City 22 30 +1 -0.64 46.59 0.41 62.88 7.17 0.77 0.10 0.46 7.88 1.96P 0.60R 0.03 Preston 22 28 -2 -2.66 35.42 -2.56 61.72 7.29 -0.96 0.07 0.34 6.08 1.67P 1.09R 0.05 Wigan 22 25 -7 -4.54 26.00 -6.23 57.55 7.20 -7.40 0.01 0.05 1.66 0.46P 3.83R 0.32 Hull 22 24 -7 -4.63 25.68 -4.52 54.97 7.09 -10.41 0.00 0.01 0.77 0.17P 7.31R 0.73 Sheff_Wed 22 24 -12 -3.43 31.38 -7.55 54.09 7.13 -16.78 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.09P 9.75R 1.23 Brentford 22 22 -1 -9.12 9.17 -2.08 56.97 7.31 1.93 0.01 0.04 1.74 0.45P 4.47R 0.43 Rotherham 22 22 -11 -0.53 48.06 1.24 45.79 6.88 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 46.22R 11.26 Reading 22 19 -8 -6.54 16.38 -0.20 46.17 6.98 -17.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 41.03R 9.62 Millwall 22 19 -10 -8.17 11.25 -5.17 48.58 7.01 -15.15 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 27.89R 5.25 Bolton 22 18 -15 -2.58 35.04 -0.91 40.39 6.45 -30.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.77R 34.13 Ipswich 22 14 -19 -9.93 5.85 -9.63 40.03 6.84 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.85R 36.73League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 22 48 +18 12.60 96.74 10.35 85.53 7.19 24.73 16.07 39.88 93.35 52.07P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 44 +21 6.64 82.45 10.10 84.88 7.45 33.02 15.48 39.36 92.38 53.45P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 20 43 +22 4.58 75.47 4.81 92.38 7.64 43.34 56.37 77.54 98.71 84.67P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 22 40 +12 5.10 76.42 4.99 78.56 7.34 20.52 3.41 11.84 72.32 25.96P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 22 40 +11 5.42 78.21 4.58 78.02 7.28 18.51 2.68 10.07 69.41 24.22P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 22 38 +11 5.13 76.98 7.07 73.96 7.26 15.41 0.83 3.62 47.64 12.99P 0.02R 0.00 Barnsley 21 36 +14 -0.62 45.96 2.31 79.77 7.54 28.22 4.96 16.54 77.94 36.16P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 21 34 +4 3.78 71.50 1.81 67.97 7.30 3.64 0.12 0.68 17.70 3.97P 0.33R 0.01 Wycombe 22 32 +2 4.68 75.24 6.68 62.36 7.26 -2.27 0.01 0.10 5.20 0.93P 2.58R 0.07 Fleetwood_Town 22 30 +6 -1.66 40.86 3.90 65.00 7.27 9.11 0.03 0.22 10.22 2.51P 0.97R 0.04 Walsall 22 30 -10 3.80 71.95 -3.89 58.09 7.01 -17.37 0.00 0.01 1.19 0.22P 8.65R 0.42 Southend 22 29 +0 -1.24 43.17 0.10 62.30 7.17 0.48 0.01 0.07 4.89 1.04P 2.45R 0.07 Coventry 22 29 -4 2.90 67.07 1.52 57.45 7.04 -10.36 0.00 0.00 1.13 0.16P 9.48R 0.49 Accrington_Stanley 21 28 -5 3.25 69.11 0.90 57.29 7.37 -12.57 0.00 0.01 1.30 0.23P 11.38R 0.73 Burton_Albion 21 27 -3 -1.73 40.79 -2.90 59.49 7.51 -5.86 0.00 0.05 2.90 0.70P 6.41R 0.36 Gillingham 22 25 -3 -3.29 32.10 0.29 55.53 7.15 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.12P 14.19R 1.01 Shrewsbury 22 25 -3 -5.31 22.12 -3.28 58.41 7.13 -2.24 0.00 0.01 1.58 0.31P 7.06R 0.39 Oxford_Utd 22 25 -4 -4.19 27.41 -2.02 56.55 7.22 -6.30 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.22P 11.68R 0.73 Rochdale 22 24 -12 -2.54 36.62 -5.92 52.89 7.16 -18.85 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 26.34R 2.86 Scunthorpe 22 21 -18 -7.13 15.22 -14.20 52.08 7.24 -21.58 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 30.97R 3.97 Plymouth 22 20 -15 -5.09 22.88 -6.71 47.79 7.01 -23.38 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 53.68R 10.50 Bradford 22 18 -17 -7.51 12.95 -9.73 46.04 7.02 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 63.05R 15.61 Bristol_Rovers 22 17 -9 -9.54 7.29 -3.41 45.78 7.04 -15.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 62.40R 14.99 AFC_Wimbledon 22 15 -18 -7.70 11.12 -7.35 40.05 6.68 -29.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.33R 47.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 21 44 +20 8.75 90.65 10.34 85.90 7.33 31.33 31.70 78.24 97.81 83.34P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 21 43 +19 4.35 74.52 4.43 88.46 7.28 35.15 48.98 86.98 99.04 90.98P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 22 38 +11 3.33 68.60 4.31 74.88 7.12 16.96 2.73 21.22 71.80 33.70P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 22 36 +17 -2.27 36.74 4.46 77.74 7.30 30.61 6.50 37.69 84.18 52.32P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 20 35 +15 1.89 61.36 6.75 78.48 7.46 26.58 7.57 40.78 85.56 53.89P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 21 35 -2 7.45 87.01 0.20 66.52 7.32 -6.25 0.20 3.21 25.82 6.82P 0.08R 0.01 Exeter 22 34 +7 -0.59 46.53 0.38 71.00 7.15 13.05 0.79 9.23 51.45 19.81P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 22 34 +5 4.22 73.00 5.56 65.89 7.23 3.32 0.17 2.75 24.14 6.57P 0.09R 0.01 Forest_Green 21 33 +9 5.10 78.03 10.47 66.15 7.27 7.33 0.17 2.90 26.26 6.86P 0.08R 0.02 Oldham 22 32 +9 -4.49 25.81 -0.41 71.45 7.21 18.69 0.93 11.26 55.52 24.85P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 22 32 +0 1.82 61.06 0.04 64.53 7.11 -0.53 0.07 1.49 18.34 4.75P 0.16R 0.02 Carlisle 22 30 +2 -2.07 38.35 -0.70 65.21 7.21 5.54 0.09 1.99 22.06 6.57P 0.13R 0.01 Swindon 22 30 -5 -0.59 46.94 -5.63 63.91 7.12 -3.66 0.05 1.22 15.95 4.27P 0.26R 0.04 Northampton 22 27 -2 -4.53 26.16 -4.02 61.38 7.34 0.21 0.03 0.67 10.38 2.85P 0.69R 0.13 Port_Vale 22 27 -3 -1.05 44.51 -0.24 58.57 7.01 -4.88 0.00 0.15 4.40 0.97P 1.45R 0.27 Crawley_Town 21 26 -6 -0.03 50.70 -1.58 55.77 7.18 -13.18 0.00 0.10 2.30 0.45P 4.15R 0.75 Crewe 22 25 -6 -2.19 38.11 -1.54 54.95 6.98 -10.42 0.00 0.03 1.50 0.28P 4.68R 0.86 Grimsby 22 25 -8 0.07 51.26 -0.54 52.52 6.87 -15.61 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.11P 8.87R 1.88 Yeovil 20 22 +0 -3.39 30.58 3.00 54.86 7.34 -4.17 0.00 0.08 2.05 0.48P 5.12R 1.11 Morecambe 22 22 -15 -1.40 42.67 -4.89 47.93 6.74 -25.26 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 25.98R 7.35 Cheltenham 21 21 -11 -3.60 29.56 -4.28 50.84 7.17 -17.95 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.08P 14.23R 3.58 Cambridge_Utd 22 20 -16 -5.77 19.41 -9.69 48.81 6.95 -21.94 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 22.03R 6.23 Notts_County 22 19 -20 -7.34 13.73 -13.52 47.98 7.02 -26.42 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 26.50R 8.17 Macclesfield 22 16 -20 -3.05 32.45 -2.88 36.87 6.47 -38.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.48R 69.57National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Barrow 1 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 24 50 +30 6.78 83.24 14.71 90.06 6.65 44.84 53.12 97.03 67.67P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 24 49 +26 8.75 88.16 14.76 85.20 6.99 35.16 21.88 87.40 38.94P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 24 46 +19 8.75 87.39 12.25 80.51 7.10 25.67 7.64 68.14 20.54P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 46 +16 9.67 92.05 9.01 81.50 6.71 22.06 8.34 72.61 24.16P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 23 44 +13 11.47 95.07 11.41 76.11 6.80 14.33 1.96 40.52 8.73P 0.00R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 24 42 +20 1.10 55.82 7.88 79.63 6.67 31.20 5.50 66.06 23.65P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 23 39 +9 4.51 74.32 4.32 74.33 6.88 14.68 1.02 32.15 8.05P 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 23 37 +4 4.05 71.75 1.77 70.83 6.99 7.67 0.39 16.28 3.57P 0.02R 0.00 Eastleigh 24 36 -1 4.90 75.58 1.36 65.44 6.65 -1.94 0.03 3.78 0.67P 0.36R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 24 34 +5 -0.28 48.76 2.57 66.46 6.68 8.61 0.04 5.54 1.26P 0.21R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 23 31 -1 -1.22 43.23 -2.54 63.30 6.83 0.69 0.01 2.18 0.50P 0.84R 0.00 Barrow 24 31 -2 -0.66 46.94 -0.49 57.85 6.59 -6.48 0.00 0.28 0.07P 5.03R 0.02 Hartlepool 24 31 -6 -0.22 49.10 -3.84 58.74 6.54 -9.18 0.00 0.34 0.08P 3.95R 0.02 Dag_&_Red 24 28 -4 -6.11 19.75 -6.13 57.97 6.76 -4.18 0.00 0.36 0.07P 5.36R 0.07 Barnet 21 28 -4 -4.41 25.65 -9.57 66.41 7.49 2.18 0.07 6.80 1.93P 0.64R 0.00 Halifax 22 26 -5 0.44 53.66 0.96 53.97 6.77 -11.49 0.00 0.08 0.02P 15.33R 0.29 Aldershot 24 25 -19 -4.13 27.83 -13.76 52.64 6.62 -22.15 0.00 0.03 0.00P 22.39R 0.55 Bromley 23 24 -8 -6.09 19.44 -5.69 54.43 7.02 -9.95 0.00 0.09 0.01P 14.62R 0.35 Havant_&_Wville 24 24 -9 -2.44 37.59 2.12 47.66 6.83 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.33R 2.47 Chesterfield 23 23 -4 -11.32 5.05 -8.43 57.51 6.97 0.53 0.00 0.32 0.08P 6.54R 0.08 Dover_Athletic 24 21 -18 -9.25 9.29 -14.12 49.88 6.73 -19.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.43R 1.52 Maidenhead 23 21 -22 -2.78 35.21 -9.74 44.76 6.58 -34.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.15R 6.76 Maidstone_United 23 19 -16 -4.86 23.63 -4.97 43.24 6.46 -26.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.27R 8.86 Braintree_Town 24 14 -23 -6.92 15.12 -3.84 32.27 6.19 -41.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.52R 79.01