Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2018, Brighton 1 2 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   45  +30       9.34    97.06     8.96    90.07     5.86    56.95    26.67    80.40    94.70    99.02   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   44  +38       3.91    79.66     5.77    94.34     5.30    77.50    69.98    94.78    99.13    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        17   39  +15       5.83    85.48    -0.91    81.57     6.01    37.08     2.46    15.94    59.22    87.01    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          17   37  +21       3.72    74.82     4.97    78.22     6.10    40.73     0.77     7.23    35.19    74.68    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          17   34  +14       2.93    68.97     1.08    73.06     6.28    30.97     0.11     1.61    11.12    35.06    97.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          17   26   +0      -3.20    28.31    -8.82    64.48     6.26    14.89     0.00     0.04     0.62     4.19    78.86     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    17   25   +0       4.58    79.06     4.84    49.95     6.34    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.52     0.23R    0.00  
Everton          17   24   +2      -0.12    49.38     1.93    52.55     6.56     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     8.21     0.09R    0.00  
West_Ham         17   24   +0       2.82    69.45     4.68    51.21     6.42    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.38     0.15R    0.00  
Watford          17   24   -2       4.07    76.95     4.29    47.69     6.15   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.50R    0.00  
Bournemouth      17   23   -3       2.03    64.33     2.36    47.75     6.32   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.70R    0.01  
Leicester        17   22   +0      -1.87    37.81    -0.34    48.71     6.29    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.44     0.34R    0.01  
Brighton         17   21   -4       1.76    63.43     2.93    44.45     6.12   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52     1.86R    0.06  
Newcastle        17   16   -8      -4.40    21.79    -3.28    40.55     6.07   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.17R    0.52  
Crystal_Palace   17   15   -9      -4.62    20.96    -3.11    39.01     6.11   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    11.44R    0.97  
Cardiff          17   14  -16      -1.88    37.44    -2.15    32.90     5.98   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.86R    8.41  
Southampton      17   12  -16      -5.76    14.21    -6.12    35.77     6.15   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    25.85R    3.72  
Burnley          17   12  -18      -5.96    13.22    -9.15    33.76     6.00   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.64R    6.11  
Huddersfield     17   10  -18      -3.65    23.68    -1.87    26.42     5.44   -38.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.47R   39.48  
Fulham           17    9  -26      -5.08    16.22    -6.05    26.77     5.92   -47.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.69R   40.71  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2018, Derby 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    22   45  +18      10.16    93.30    11.05    82.52     7.24    24.84    27.85    48.75    89.59    57.69P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         22   44  +14      10.15    92.72     8.50    81.20     7.25    20.37    21.17    40.37    85.39    49.77P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       22   39  +15       0.03    49.51     1.22    82.19     7.37    31.04    28.70    49.58    88.89    61.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   38   +7       2.81    65.59    -0.40    76.23     7.21    14.94     7.02    17.44    65.35    29.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   37   +9       4.16    72.34     5.09    73.34     7.17    14.08     3.58     9.65    50.35    18.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   22   36   +8       0.23    51.16    -0.08    75.57     7.00    17.66     5.55    15.07    63.30    29.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   35  +10       4.53    74.71     9.53    68.39     7.24    10.60     0.89     2.88    25.25     7.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   33   +9      -3.35    31.20    -0.49    72.30     7.31    18.70     3.02     8.56    46.38    19.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         22   32   +3      -2.04    38.48    -2.82    69.13     7.31     9.22     1.02     3.34    28.38    10.12P    0.05R    0.00  
Birmingham      22   31   +5       4.32    74.40    10.25    59.95     7.02    -0.86     0.02     0.14     3.52     0.67P    1.36R    0.07  
Stoke           22   31   +2      -2.71    34.95    -3.18    68.30     7.34     8.58     0.82     2.72    25.00     8.68P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   31   -4       2.03    62.18    -1.97    62.03     7.38    -7.18     0.12     0.42     6.40     1.45P    0.98R    0.05  
QPR             22   31   -5       4.24    73.57     0.50    60.11     7.06   -11.23     0.04     0.17     3.46     0.65P    1.64R    0.10  
Bristol_City    22   30   +1      -0.64    46.59     0.41    62.88     7.17     0.77     0.10     0.46     7.88     1.96P    0.60R    0.03  
Preston         22   28   -2      -2.66    35.42    -2.56    61.72     7.29    -0.96     0.07     0.34     6.08     1.67P    1.09R    0.05  
Wigan           22   25   -7      -4.54    26.00    -6.23    57.55     7.20    -7.40     0.01     0.05     1.66     0.46P    3.83R    0.32  
Hull            22   24   -7      -4.63    25.68    -4.52    54.97     7.09   -10.41     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.17P    7.31R    0.73  
Sheff_Wed       22   24  -12      -3.43    31.38    -7.55    54.09     7.13   -16.78     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.09P    9.75R    1.23  
Brentford       22   22   -1      -9.12     9.17    -2.08    56.97     7.31     1.93     0.01     0.04     1.74     0.45P    4.47R    0.43  
Rotherham       22   22  -11      -0.53    48.06     1.24    45.79     6.88   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.22R   11.26  
Reading         22   19   -8      -6.54    16.38    -0.20    46.17     6.98   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.03R    9.62  
Millwall        22   19  -10      -8.17    11.25    -5.17    48.58     7.01   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.89R    5.25  
Bolton          22   18  -15      -2.58    35.04    -0.91    40.39     6.45   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.77R   34.13  
Ipswich         22   14  -19      -9.93     5.85    -9.63    40.03     6.84   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.85R   36.73  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Barnsley 1 1 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           22   48  +18      12.60    96.74    10.35    85.53     7.19    24.73    16.07    39.88    93.35    52.07P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                22   44  +21       6.64    82.45    10.10    84.88     7.45    33.02    15.48    39.36    92.38    53.45P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           20   43  +22       4.58    75.47     4.81    92.38     7.64    43.34    56.37    77.54    98.71    84.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         22   40  +12       5.10    76.42     4.99    78.56     7.34    20.52     3.41    11.84    72.32    25.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton             22   40  +11       5.42    78.21     4.58    78.02     7.28    18.51     2.68    10.07    69.41    24.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            22   38  +11       5.13    76.98     7.07    73.96     7.26    15.41     0.83     3.62    47.64    12.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             21   36  +14      -0.62    45.96     2.31    79.77     7.54    28.22     4.96    16.54    77.94    36.16P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            21   34   +4       3.78    71.50     1.81    67.97     7.30     3.64     0.12     0.68    17.70     3.97P    0.33R    0.01  
Wycombe              22   32   +2       4.68    75.24     6.68    62.36     7.26    -2.27     0.01     0.10     5.20     0.93P    2.58R    0.07  
Fleetwood_Town       22   30   +6      -1.66    40.86     3.90    65.00     7.27     9.11     0.03     0.22    10.22     2.51P    0.97R    0.04  
Walsall              22   30  -10       3.80    71.95    -3.89    58.09     7.01   -17.37     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.22P    8.65R    0.42  
Southend             22   29   +0      -1.24    43.17     0.10    62.30     7.17     0.48     0.01     0.07     4.89     1.04P    2.45R    0.07  
Coventry             22   29   -4       2.90    67.07     1.52    57.45     7.04   -10.36     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.16P    9.48R    0.49  
Accrington_Stanley   21   28   -5       3.25    69.11     0.90    57.29     7.37   -12.57     0.00     0.01     1.30     0.23P   11.38R    0.73  
Burton_Albion        21   27   -3      -1.73    40.79    -2.90    59.49     7.51    -5.86     0.00     0.05     2.90     0.70P    6.41R    0.36  
Gillingham           22   25   -3      -3.29    32.10     0.29    55.53     7.15    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.12P   14.19R    1.01  
Shrewsbury           22   25   -3      -5.31    22.12    -3.28    58.41     7.13    -2.24     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.31P    7.06R    0.39  
Oxford_Utd           22   25   -4      -4.19    27.41    -2.02    56.55     7.22    -6.30     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.22P   11.68R    0.73  
Rochdale             22   24  -12      -2.54    36.62    -5.92    52.89     7.16   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   26.34R    2.86  
Scunthorpe           22   21  -18      -7.13    15.22   -14.20    52.08     7.24   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   30.97R    3.97  
Plymouth             22   20  -15      -5.09    22.88    -6.71    47.79     7.01   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   53.68R   10.50  
Bradford             22   18  -17      -7.51    12.95    -9.73    46.04     7.02   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   63.05R   15.61  
Bristol_Rovers       22   17   -9      -9.54     7.29    -3.41    45.78     7.04   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   62.40R   14.99  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   15  -18      -7.70    11.12    -7.35    40.05     6.68   -29.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.33R   47.74  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2018, Cambridge_Utd 0 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     21   44  +20       8.75    90.65    10.34    85.90     7.33    31.33    31.70    78.24    97.81    83.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          21   43  +19       4.35    74.52     4.43    88.46     7.28    35.15    48.98    86.98    99.04    90.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       22   38  +11       3.33    68.60     4.31    74.88     7.12    16.96     2.73    21.22    71.80    33.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             22   36  +17      -2.27    36.74     4.46    77.74     7.30    30.61     6.50    37.69    84.18    52.32P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        20   35  +15       1.89    61.36     6.75    78.48     7.46    26.58     7.57    40.78    85.56    53.89P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   21   35   -2       7.45    87.01     0.20    66.52     7.32    -6.25     0.20     3.21    25.82     6.82P    0.08R    0.01  
Exeter           22   34   +7      -0.59    46.53     0.38    71.00     7.15    13.05     0.79     9.23    51.45    19.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         22   34   +5       4.22    73.00     5.56    65.89     7.23     3.32     0.17     2.75    24.14     6.57P    0.09R    0.01  
Forest_Green     21   33   +9       5.10    78.03    10.47    66.15     7.27     7.33     0.17     2.90    26.26     6.86P    0.08R    0.02  
Oldham           22   32   +9      -4.49    25.81    -0.41    71.45     7.21    18.69     0.93    11.26    55.52    24.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        22   32   +0       1.82    61.06     0.04    64.53     7.11    -0.53     0.07     1.49    18.34     4.75P    0.16R    0.02  
Carlisle         22   30   +2      -2.07    38.35    -0.70    65.21     7.21     5.54     0.09     1.99    22.06     6.57P    0.13R    0.01  
Swindon          22   30   -5      -0.59    46.94    -5.63    63.91     7.12    -3.66     0.05     1.22    15.95     4.27P    0.26R    0.04  
Northampton      22   27   -2      -4.53    26.16    -4.02    61.38     7.34     0.21     0.03     0.67    10.38     2.85P    0.69R    0.13  
Port_Vale        22   27   -3      -1.05    44.51    -0.24    58.57     7.01    -4.88     0.00     0.15     4.40     0.97P    1.45R    0.27  
Crawley_Town     21   26   -6      -0.03    50.70    -1.58    55.77     7.18   -13.18     0.00     0.10     2.30     0.45P    4.15R    0.75  
Crewe            22   25   -6      -2.19    38.11    -1.54    54.95     6.98   -10.42     0.00     0.03     1.50     0.28P    4.68R    0.86  
Grimsby          22   25   -8       0.07    51.26    -0.54    52.52     6.87   -15.61     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.11P    8.87R    1.88  
Yeovil           20   22   +0      -3.39    30.58     3.00    54.86     7.34    -4.17     0.00     0.08     2.05     0.48P    5.12R    1.11  
Morecambe        22   22  -15      -1.40    42.67    -4.89    47.93     6.74   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   25.98R    7.35  
Cheltenham       21   21  -11      -3.60    29.56    -4.28    50.84     7.17   -17.95     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P   14.23R    3.58  
Cambridge_Utd    22   20  -16      -5.77    19.41    -9.69    48.81     6.95   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   22.03R    6.23  
Notts_County     22   19  -20      -7.34    13.73   -13.52    47.98     7.02   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   26.50R    8.17  
Macclesfield     22   16  -20      -3.05    32.45    -2.88    36.87     6.47   -38.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.48R   69.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Barrow 1 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      24   50  +30       6.78    83.24    14.71    90.06     6.65    44.84    53.12    97.03    67.67P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       24   49  +26       8.75    88.16    14.76    85.20     6.99    35.16    21.88    87.40    38.94P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     24   46  +19       8.75    87.39    12.25    80.51     7.10    25.67     7.64    68.14    20.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   46  +16       9.67    92.05     9.01    81.50     6.71    22.06     8.34    72.61    24.16P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     23   44  +13      11.47    95.07    11.41    76.11     6.80    14.33     1.96    40.52     8.73P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          24   42  +20       1.10    55.82     7.88    79.63     6.67    31.20     5.50    66.06    23.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   39   +9       4.51    74.32     4.32    74.33     6.88    14.68     1.02    32.15     8.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      23   37   +4       4.05    71.75     1.77    70.83     6.99     7.67     0.39    16.28     3.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh          24   36   -1       4.90    75.58     1.36    65.44     6.65    -1.94     0.03     3.78     0.67P    0.36R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   34   +5      -0.28    48.76     2.57    66.46     6.68     8.61     0.04     5.54     1.26P    0.21R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       23   31   -1      -1.22    43.23    -2.54    63.30     6.83     0.69     0.01     2.18     0.50P    0.84R    0.00  
Barrow             24   31   -2      -0.66    46.94    -0.49    57.85     6.59    -6.48     0.00     0.28     0.07P    5.03R    0.02  
Hartlepool         24   31   -6      -0.22    49.10    -3.84    58.74     6.54    -9.18     0.00     0.34     0.08P    3.95R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          24   28   -4      -6.11    19.75    -6.13    57.97     6.76    -4.18     0.00     0.36     0.07P    5.36R    0.07  
Barnet             21   28   -4      -4.41    25.65    -9.57    66.41     7.49     2.18     0.07     6.80     1.93P    0.64R    0.00  
Halifax            22   26   -5       0.44    53.66     0.96    53.97     6.77   -11.49     0.00     0.08     0.02P   15.33R    0.29  
Aldershot          24   25  -19      -4.13    27.83   -13.76    52.64     6.62   -22.15     0.00     0.03     0.00P   22.39R    0.55  
Bromley            23   24   -8      -6.09    19.44    -5.69    54.43     7.02    -9.95     0.00     0.09     0.01P   14.62R    0.35  
Havant_&_Wville    24   24   -9      -2.44    37.59     2.12    47.66     6.83   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.33R    2.47  
Chesterfield       23   23   -4     -11.32     5.05    -8.43    57.51     6.97     0.53     0.00     0.32     0.08P    6.54R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     24   21  -18      -9.25     9.29   -14.12    49.88     6.73   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.43R    1.52  
Maidenhead         23   21  -22      -2.78    35.21    -9.74    44.76     6.58   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.15R    6.76  
Maidstone_United   23   19  -16      -4.86    23.63    -4.97    43.24     6.46   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.27R    8.86  
Braintree_Town     24   14  -23      -6.92    15.12    -3.84    32.27     6.19   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   79.01