Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 12 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 December 2018, Everton 2 2 Watford; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 16 42 +28 8.51 96.17 8.36 88.61 6.08 54.92 23.16 74.30 91.30 97.72 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 16 41 +36 3.38 76.76 5.79 93.91 5.40 77.79 72.48 94.41 98.82 99.81 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 16 36 +14 5.00 82.58 -0.69 81.14 6.15 38.19 2.92 18.33 56.29 82.33 99.81 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 16 34 +20 2.65 68.31 4.82 77.36 6.28 40.87 0.87 7.82 30.66 63.93 99.44 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 16 34 +15 4.51 79.39 2.41 75.75 6.45 34.07 0.56 4.99 21.70 50.49 98.80 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 16 26 +2 -2.57 31.68 -7.98 65.65 6.45 16.49 0.01 0.14 1.21 5.56 81.78 0.00 0.00 Everton 16 24 +4 0.31 52.14 2.00 52.81 6.65 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 7.30 0.07R 0.00 Bournemouth 16 23 -1 2.88 70.43 3.53 49.54 6.54 -8.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.87 0.36R 0.01 Leicester 16 22 +1 -0.79 44.84 0.26 50.42 6.49 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.81 0.22R 0.00 Wolverhampton 16 22 -2 3.54 74.47 3.78 47.75 6.56 -10.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.69 0.77R 0.03 West_Ham 16 21 -2 1.86 64.10 3.86 49.42 6.63 -6.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.86 0.46R 0.01 Watford 16 21 -3 2.97 71.38 4.02 46.45 6.36 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01 1.05R 0.05 Brighton 16 21 -3 2.45 68.33 2.82 45.08 6.29 -13.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 1.64R 0.10 Cardiff 16 14 -15 -0.88 44.62 -2.01 33.91 6.16 -32.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.05R 8.13 Newcastle 16 13 -9 -5.66 14.76 -3.66 38.98 6.29 -16.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 11.52R 1.63 Crystal_Palace 16 12 -10 -5.96 13.28 -3.55 36.98 6.28 -19.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 19.21R 2.86 Burnley 16 12 -17 -5.52 14.63 -9.61 34.03 6.08 -30.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.75R 7.33 Huddersfield 16 10 -17 -2.66 30.12 -1.29 27.75 5.68 -37.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.60R 35.39 Southampton 16 9 -17 -7.52 6.75 -7.49 32.86 6.28 -27.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.22R 10.89 Fulham 16 9 -24 -4.40 19.10 -5.35 28.55 6.26 -44.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.07R 33.57Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Birmingham 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 21 43 +14 10.43 93.88 8.33 81.45 7.47 20.25 23.12 41.35 84.56 50.12P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 21 42 +17 9.03 91.26 10.78 81.19 7.39 24.27 22.78 41.06 84.60 50.61P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 21 37 +10 5.25 78.00 5.61 75.01 7.43 15.51 6.14 14.45 56.83 23.68P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 21 37 +7 3.38 69.05 -0.14 77.23 7.35 15.93 9.63 21.30 68.20 33.17P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 21 36 +14 -1.23 42.22 0.80 80.28 7.58 29.55 20.94 38.32 82.10 52.12P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 21 36 +9 1.46 58.66 0.77 77.60 7.21 19.57 10.03 22.65 71.19 37.10P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 21 34 +10 4.55 75.03 9.07 68.36 7.42 9.97 1.00 3.06 24.28 7.19P 0.05R 0.00 Aston_Villa 21 32 +9 -2.82 33.65 -0.24 73.11 7.49 19.36 4.08 10.31 48.85 21.07P 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 21 30 +5 4.52 76.08 9.95 59.95 7.20 -1.34 0.03 0.20 3.54 0.77P 1.62R 0.07 Stoke 21 30 +2 -2.30 37.05 -3.18 67.98 7.62 7.57 0.83 2.76 22.97 8.19P 0.14R 0.00 Blackburn 21 30 -4 2.54 64.85 -1.85 62.90 7.58 -6.35 0.17 0.57 7.81 1.93P 0.88R 0.04 Swansea 21 29 +2 -3.22 31.89 -3.13 68.09 7.52 9.09 0.96 2.78 23.18 8.54P 0.13R 0.01 Bristol_City 21 29 +1 -0.21 49.29 0.41 63.36 7.38 1.01 0.14 0.64 8.56 2.29P 0.63R 0.03 QPR 21 28 -6 2.84 67.33 -0.09 57.66 7.23 -13.46 0.00 0.05 1.71 0.26P 3.92R 0.23 Preston 21 25 -3 -3.72 29.27 -2.72 60.22 7.48 -1.77 0.05 0.18 4.11 1.03P 1.95R 0.11 Wigan 21 25 -6 -3.51 30.77 -5.68 59.38 7.52 -5.69 0.03 0.13 3.19 0.82P 2.59R 0.17 Sheff_Wed 21 24 -11 -2.63 35.50 -7.35 55.03 7.34 -16.40 0.01 0.03 0.74 0.17P 8.45R 0.89 Brentford 21 22 +1 -8.30 10.80 -0.97 58.94 7.53 4.87 0.03 0.15 3.09 0.83P 3.00R 0.24 Hull 21 21 -9 -5.67 20.22 -5.60 52.76 7.28 -13.45 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.07P 13.42R 1.66 Rotherham 21 21 -11 -0.33 49.43 1.05 46.41 7.16 -25.20 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 42.85R 9.64 Millwall 21 19 -9 -7.12 14.00 -4.77 49.62 7.23 -14.62 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 24.35R 3.70 Reading 21 18 -8 -6.08 17.57 -0.12 46.42 7.18 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 40.79R 8.85 Bolton 21 18 -14 -1.82 39.64 -0.78 41.54 6.65 -29.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.97R 25.36 Ipswich 21 11 -20 -11.34 3.02 -10.16 37.86 6.99 -31.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.25R 48.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2018, Portsmouth 1 2 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 21 47 +18 12.90 97.39 10.26 85.49 7.38 24.11 18.45 42.22 93.20 53.71P 0.00 0.00 Luton 21 41 +20 5.43 78.22 9.76 83.45 7.66 32.25 13.30 34.11 89.53 49.10P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 19 40 +21 3.81 71.66 5.21 91.25 7.91 43.02 52.96 74.13 98.16 82.05P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 21 39 +12 5.50 78.72 5.05 78.85 7.52 20.36 4.38 14.31 73.98 28.19P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 21 37 +9 4.62 75.10 3.78 76.62 7.45 16.82 2.22 8.48 63.35 21.46P 0.00R 0.00 Barnsley 20 35 +14 -0.11 48.91 2.45 80.50 7.81 28.74 7.63 21.82 80.66 41.23P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 21 35 +8 4.68 75.58 5.87 71.70 7.48 11.44 0.57 2.55 36.61 9.32P 0.06R 0.00 Blackpool 20 34 +6 4.63 76.06 3.08 70.07 7.59 6.68 0.40 1.75 28.19 7.34P 0.17R 0.00 Wycombe 21 31 +2 4.98 76.88 6.50 62.45 7.53 -2.65 0.02 0.13 6.36 1.17P 2.75R 0.08 Walsall 21 30 -6 4.21 74.28 -1.51 60.68 7.26 -11.45 0.01 0.05 3.44 0.59P 4.56R 0.17 Coventry 21 29 -3 3.74 71.75 1.75 58.67 7.31 -9.46 0.01 0.04 2.06 0.39P 7.48R 0.28 Accrington_Stanley 20 28 -2 3.46 70.61 2.11 59.47 7.59 -8.22 0.00 0.07 2.95 0.60P 7.02R 0.34 Fleetwood_Town 21 27 +5 -2.95 33.12 3.47 63.35 7.42 8.06 0.02 0.15 8.00 1.92P 1.86R 0.06 Burton_Albion 20 27 -2 -0.69 46.65 -2.34 60.84 7.74 -4.88 0.01 0.10 4.76 1.05P 4.88R 0.23 Southend 21 26 -3 -1.80 40.21 -1.31 59.99 7.48 -3.57 0.01 0.03 3.40 0.70P 5.44R 0.24 Gillingham 21 24 -3 -2.89 33.96 0.27 56.23 7.44 -6.58 0.00 0.02 1.24 0.29P 13.02R 0.83 Shrewsbury 21 24 -3 -4.95 23.10 -3.40 58.62 7.37 -2.42 0.00 0.03 2.19 0.54P 7.15R 0.37 Rochdale 21 24 -11 -1.30 43.14 -5.17 55.05 7.38 -16.56 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.13P 18.09R 1.46 Oxford_Utd 21 22 -6 -5.13 22.73 -3.02 54.25 7.48 -9.36 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.13P 19.63R 1.74 Scunthorpe 21 21 -15 -6.79 15.94 -12.88 54.09 7.51 -17.56 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.12P 22.13R 2.15 Bristol_Rovers 21 17 -8 -8.87 8.46 -3.66 46.47 7.20 -15.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 58.33R 12.26 Plymouth 21 17 -16 -6.47 16.05 -7.36 45.33 7.23 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 66.59R 17.14 AFC_Wimbledon 21 15 -16 -7.30 12.08 -6.77 41.27 6.94 -27.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.77R 35.79 Bradford 21 15 -21 -8.08 10.32 -12.14 43.19 7.16 -30.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.07R 26.86League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Bury 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 MK_Dons 21 43 +19 4.46 74.66 4.62 88.26 7.33 34.90 47.43 84.25 98.75 89.15P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 41 +18 8.12 89.62 9.86 84.70 7.50 29.97 25.82 70.19 96.32 77.00P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 21 38 +15 3.50 70.03 6.55 77.61 7.31 22.94 5.88 32.13 82.16 44.92P 0.00 0.00 Bury 21 36 +19 -1.59 40.16 5.47 79.77 7.52 33.49 10.74 46.38 88.41 60.33P 0.00R 0.00 Mansfield 20 35 +15 1.78 60.65 6.57 78.62 7.44 26.76 7.79 38.78 85.12 52.30P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 21 35 -2 7.61 87.32 0.38 66.38 7.34 -6.51 0.25 2.62 24.32 5.76P 0.06R 0.00 Tranmere 21 34 +6 5.21 77.89 5.92 67.59 7.49 4.95 0.34 3.99 31.69 8.98P 0.04R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 33 +9 5.14 78.40 10.48 66.11 7.32 7.34 0.17 2.57 25.32 6.59P 0.06R 0.00 Exeter 21 31 +6 -1.66 40.10 0.17 69.77 7.46 12.66 0.66 6.90 43.91 16.25P 0.02R 0.00 Stevenage 21 31 +0 2.00 62.23 -0.28 64.60 7.32 -0.92 0.10 1.54 18.59 4.83P 0.16R 0.01 Swindon 21 30 -4 0.47 53.14 -5.11 65.86 7.36 -1.73 0.15 2.22 22.85 6.64P 0.10R 0.01 Oldham 21 29 +7 -5.44 20.94 -1.39 69.19 7.47 15.75 0.57 6.37 42.09 17.23P 0.03R 0.00 Carlisle 21 27 -2 -2.45 36.09 -2.91 62.03 7.36 -0.68 0.03 0.63 11.51 2.94P 0.43R 0.04 Northampton 21 26 -2 -3.83 28.82 -3.58 62.09 7.61 0.67 0.05 0.79 12.52 3.51P 0.52R 0.04 Port_Vale 21 26 -3 -0.59 47.00 -0.15 59.50 7.22 -3.97 0.01 0.26 6.03 1.35P 1.08R 0.15 Crawley_Town 20 26 -4 1.17 58.00 0.06 58.04 7.48 -9.70 0.01 0.20 4.48 0.90P 1.95R 0.29 Crewe 21 25 -5 -1.40 42.43 -1.44 55.98 7.24 -9.93 0.00 0.08 2.39 0.54P 3.05R 0.38 Grimsby 21 22 -9 -1.38 42.45 -1.35 50.46 7.01 -17.18 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.05P 12.91R 2.42 Morecambe 21 22 -13 -0.96 44.94 -4.50 48.92 6.92 -23.75 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 18.78R 3.69 Yeovil 19 21 +0 -3.10 31.66 2.94 55.06 7.61 -4.40 0.00 0.08 2.29 0.54P 4.68R 0.71 Cheltenham 20 20 -11 -3.39 30.36 -4.58 50.59 7.45 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.10P 13.91R 2.79 Cambridge_Utd 21 19 -16 -5.36 20.53 -9.54 49.22 7.19 -21.91 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 18.21R 3.91 Notts_County 21 16 -21 -8.62 8.85 -14.15 46.02 7.29 -27.85 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 33.54R 8.87 Macclesfield 21 13 -22 -4.23 24.76 -4.04 34.23 6.65 -42.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.48R 76.68National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Barrow 1 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 24 50 +30 6.76 83.07 14.67 90.04 6.62 44.80 53.27 97.14 67.70P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 24 49 +26 8.73 87.82 14.70 85.19 6.99 35.14 21.55 87.32 38.53P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 24 46 +19 8.70 87.27 12.22 80.47 7.16 25.73 7.89 67.59 20.67P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 46 +16 9.65 92.15 8.94 81.54 6.72 22.15 8.30 72.55 24.18P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 23 44 +13 11.31 94.84 11.13 76.21 6.84 14.52 1.99 41.10 8.97P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 24 42 +20 1.25 56.59 8.12 79.49 6.68 31.02 5.44 64.97 22.95P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 23 39 +9 4.45 73.79 4.24 74.41 6.85 14.77 1.02 32.52 8.52P 0.01R 0.00 Sutton_United 23 37 +4 3.88 70.93 1.53 71.02 7.04 7.96 0.36 17.01 3.89P 0.04R 0.00 Eastleigh 24 36 -1 4.93 75.88 1.40 65.44 6.66 -1.99 0.02 3.76 0.67P 0.36R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 24 34 +5 -0.26 48.73 2.59 66.41 6.67 8.57 0.05 5.56 1.22P 0.19R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 23 31 -1 -1.11 43.82 -2.36 63.23 6.85 0.57 0.01 2.21 0.48P 0.93R 0.01 Barrow 24 31 -2 -0.52 47.61 -0.28 57.76 6.59 -6.60 0.00 0.27 0.03P 5.18R 0.03 Hartlepool 24 31 -6 -0.19 49.48 -3.81 58.72 6.58 -9.16 0.00 0.38 0.07P 4.13R 0.05 Dag_&_Red 24 28 -4 -6.17 19.90 -6.20 58.03 6.73 -4.15 0.00 0.36 0.09P 4.99R 0.05 Barnet 21 28 -4 -4.28 26.47 -9.38 66.28 7.51 2.02 0.09 6.68 1.89P 0.61R 0.00 Halifax 22 26 -5 0.37 53.33 0.86 54.05 6.82 -11.36 0.00 0.10 0.02P 15.34R 0.27 Aldershot 24 25 -19 -4.01 28.66 -13.65 52.61 6.63 -22.20 0.00 0.03 0.00P 22.25R 0.55 Bromley 23 24 -8 -6.11 19.27 -5.68 54.43 7.07 -9.98 0.00 0.10 0.02P 14.76R 0.32 Havant_&_Wville 24 24 -9 -2.18 39.24 2.57 47.47 6.85 -19.96 0.00 0.01 0.00P 49.28R 2.70 Chesterfield 23 23 -4 -11.44 5.00 -8.60 57.63 6.98 0.72 0.00 0.35 0.09P 6.21R 0.08 Dover_Athletic 24 21 -18 -9.34 9.12 -14.20 49.85 6.64 -19.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.45R 1.43 Maidenhead 23 21 -22 -2.81 34.88 -9.78 44.74 6.61 -34.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.90R 6.84 Maidstone_United 23 19 -16 -4.89 23.21 -4.92 43.27 6.54 -26.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.79R 8.95 Braintree_Town 24 14 -23 -7.03 14.45 -4.09 32.34 6.19 -41.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.59R 78.72