Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 10 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2018, Newcastle 1 2 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 16 42 +28 8.50 96.17 8.32 88.66 6.07 55.04 23.23 74.54 91.54 97.74 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_City 16 41 +36 3.32 76.76 5.70 93.89 5.40 77.70 72.39 94.38 98.89 99.78 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 16 36 +14 5.01 82.46 -0.65 81.11 6.19 38.15 2.95 18.43 56.01 81.83 99.78 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 16 34 +20 2.73 68.93 4.97 77.22 6.30 40.58 0.86 7.56 30.19 63.22 99.27 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 16 34 +15 4.48 78.95 2.30 75.79 6.42 34.21 0.56 4.97 22.10 51.32 98.62 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 16 26 +2 -2.61 31.38 -8.06 65.69 6.45 16.56 0.00 0.13 1.27 5.88 80.20 0.00 0.00 Everton 15 23 +4 0.96 57.37 2.32 53.97 6.84 2.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.14 9.77 0.04R 0.00 Bournemouth 16 23 -1 2.84 70.13 3.41 49.58 6.54 -8.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.71 0.30R 0.02 Leicester 16 22 +1 -0.74 45.30 0.33 50.34 6.47 -3.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.46 0.22R 0.00 Wolverhampton 16 22 -2 3.45 74.02 3.69 47.88 6.61 -9.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80 0.69R 0.03 West_Ham 16 21 -2 1.83 63.90 3.78 49.53 6.60 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.76 0.44R 0.03 Brighton 16 21 -3 2.56 69.05 2.97 45.03 6.29 -13.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.64 1.63R 0.06 Watford 15 20 -3 3.06 72.80 3.52 46.17 6.55 -13.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.94 1.39R 0.07 Cardiff 16 14 -15 -0.95 44.12 -2.07 33.90 6.13 -32.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 37.78R 8.06 Newcastle 16 13 -9 -5.57 14.82 -3.56 38.74 6.29 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 12.39R 1.80 Crystal_Palace 16 12 -10 -6.05 12.73 -3.69 37.01 6.30 -19.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 18.52R 2.82 Burnley 16 12 -17 -5.41 15.12 -9.45 33.91 6.08 -30.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.63R 7.57 Huddersfield 16 10 -17 -2.60 30.36 -1.18 27.71 5.67 -37.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.23R 35.61 Southampton 16 9 -17 -7.59 6.47 -7.59 33.01 6.26 -27.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.09R 10.20 Fulham 16 9 -24 -4.32 19.60 -5.05 28.48 6.26 -44.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.63R 33.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Birmingham 0 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 21 43 +14 10.46 93.85 8.37 81.53 7.44 20.32 23.06 41.49 84.69 50.25P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 21 42 +17 8.89 90.89 10.50 81.40 7.36 24.59 23.43 42.09 85.43 51.75P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 21 37 +10 5.23 77.93 5.56 75.04 7.38 15.58 5.95 14.24 57.27 23.64P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 21 37 +7 3.23 68.26 -0.41 77.41 7.35 16.17 9.95 21.76 68.87 33.81P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 21 36 +14 -1.14 43.05 0.93 80.20 7.55 29.49 20.51 37.66 81.62 51.36P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 21 36 +9 1.53 59.08 0.83 77.51 7.20 19.48 9.85 22.09 70.48 36.33P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 21 34 +10 4.59 75.38 9.13 68.37 7.42 9.98 1.01 3.02 24.16 6.96P 0.06R 0.00 Aston_Villa 21 32 +9 -2.70 34.36 -0.06 73.05 7.47 19.23 3.98 10.18 48.49 21.09P 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 21 30 +5 4.42 75.46 9.80 59.98 7.21 -1.29 0.05 0.14 3.46 0.64P 1.52R 0.07 Stoke 21 30 +2 -2.50 35.58 -3.44 68.14 7.59 7.84 0.95 2.83 23.52 8.26P 0.11R 0.00 Blackburn 21 30 -4 2.63 65.58 -1.71 62.78 7.54 -6.57 0.17 0.60 7.47 1.88P 0.93R 0.04 Swansea 21 29 +2 -3.18 31.95 -3.03 68.08 7.48 9.04 0.80 2.72 23.09 8.44P 0.13R 0.01 Bristol_City 21 29 +1 -0.31 48.48 0.28 63.44 7.36 1.16 0.16 0.64 8.62 2.39P 0.66R 0.03 QPR 21 28 -6 2.79 66.89 -0.21 57.74 7.16 -13.33 0.01 0.07 1.62 0.34P 3.68R 0.26 Preston 21 25 -3 -3.61 29.92 -2.58 60.11 7.50 -1.93 0.04 0.21 3.98 1.06P 2.10R 0.11 Wigan 21 25 -6 -3.40 31.06 -5.52 59.33 7.50 -5.82 0.03 0.11 2.99 0.80P 2.71R 0.18 Sheff_Wed 21 24 -11 -2.55 35.97 -7.24 54.97 7.34 -16.51 0.01 0.03 0.67 0.15P 8.64R 0.77 Brentford 21 22 +1 -8.24 11.02 -0.88 58.78 7.54 4.65 0.03 0.13 3.07 0.80P 3.04R 0.21 Hull 21 21 -9 -5.69 20.11 -5.62 52.77 7.26 -13.34 0.00 0.02 0.31 0.05P 13.19R 1.59 Rotherham 21 21 -11 -0.20 50.25 1.25 46.36 7.18 -25.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 43.19R 9.68 Millwall 21 19 -9 -7.19 13.60 -4.88 49.69 7.25 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 23.68R 3.66 Reading 21 18 -8 -6.12 17.55 -0.18 46.47 7.23 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 40.38R 8.66 Bolton 21 18 -14 -1.81 39.60 -0.71 41.41 6.67 -30.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.49R 25.85 Ipswich 21 11 -20 -11.38 2.90 -10.18 37.85 6.97 -31.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.49R 48.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 20 47 +19 14.08 98.63 10.99 87.41 7.62 25.91 24.55 51.49 95.76 61.50P 0.00 0.00 Luton 21 41 +20 5.51 78.59 9.85 83.33 7.68 32.08 12.01 31.71 89.67 47.75P 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 19 40 +21 3.68 70.95 5.00 91.42 7.87 43.37 50.65 73.81 98.46 82.12P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 21 39 +12 5.49 78.86 5.05 78.79 7.61 20.29 3.91 13.02 74.94 27.44P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 20 35 +14 -0.16 48.58 2.39 80.48 7.83 28.69 6.80 20.35 81.58 40.22P 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 21 35 +8 4.66 75.34 5.79 71.74 7.53 11.49 0.52 2.45 38.40 9.56P 0.11R 0.00 Charlton 20 34 +8 3.17 68.41 3.10 74.42 7.65 15.00 1.12 5.10 53.25 16.29P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 20 34 +6 4.70 76.28 3.20 69.98 7.54 6.52 0.35 1.49 28.82 7.11P 0.17R 0.01 Wycombe 21 31 +2 4.96 77.00 6.47 62.61 7.55 -2.44 0.03 0.13 7.07 1.24P 2.74R 0.08 Walsall 21 30 -6 4.10 73.77 -1.62 60.74 7.26 -11.34 0.00 0.04 3.71 0.58P 4.44R 0.16 Coventry 21 29 -3 3.86 72.35 1.92 58.61 7.26 -9.61 0.00 0.02 2.17 0.34P 7.55R 0.28 Accrington_Stanley 20 28 -2 3.38 69.97 2.02 59.51 7.64 -8.16 0.01 0.04 3.34 0.62P 6.93R 0.33 Fleetwood_Town 21 27 +5 -2.77 34.27 3.73 63.16 7.48 7.80 0.02 0.17 8.35 1.97P 2.10R 0.05 Burton_Albion 20 27 -2 -0.86 45.40 -2.61 61.12 7.78 -4.47 0.02 0.10 5.41 1.34P 4.60R 0.18 Southend 21 26 -3 -1.80 39.82 -1.29 59.88 7.35 -3.73 0.00 0.04 3.16 0.68P 5.37R 0.19 Gillingham 21 24 -3 -2.83 34.27 0.35 56.18 7.38 -6.63 0.00 0.01 1.23 0.24P 12.96R 0.88 Shrewsbury 21 24 -3 -5.07 22.63 -3.54 58.76 7.39 -2.20 0.00 0.03 2.57 0.64P 6.75R 0.33 Rochdale 21 24 -11 -1.32 42.91 -5.26 55.11 7.37 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.12P 17.81R 1.46 Oxford_Utd 21 22 -6 -5.18 22.15 -3.06 54.29 7.39 -9.31 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.11P 19.25R 1.58 Scunthorpe 21 21 -15 -6.78 15.98 -12.87 54.12 7.54 -17.51 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.11P 22.28R 2.17 Bristol_Rovers 21 17 -8 -8.85 8.51 -3.59 46.36 7.21 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 59.03R 12.22 Plymouth 21 17 -16 -6.45 16.02 -7.35 45.32 7.28 -25.64 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 66.63R 17.11 AFC_Wimbledon 21 15 -16 -7.28 12.12 -6.75 41.22 6.91 -27.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.87R 35.67 Bradford 21 15 -21 -7.89 10.81 -11.89 43.02 7.20 -30.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.37R 27.30League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Bury 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 MK_Dons 21 43 +19 4.43 74.58 4.58 88.33 7.32 34.99 47.52 84.72 98.81 89.50P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 41 +18 8.13 89.58 9.86 84.73 7.49 30.00 26.03 70.31 96.40 77.29P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 21 38 +15 3.57 70.19 6.65 77.60 7.27 22.90 5.95 32.05 82.58 45.20P 0.00 0.00 Bury 21 36 +19 -1.52 40.63 5.57 79.72 7.52 33.40 10.57 45.84 88.35 59.49P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 20 35 +15 1.76 60.55 6.57 78.60 7.45 26.71 7.68 38.33 85.32 52.23P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 21 35 -2 7.60 87.45 0.38 66.27 7.32 -6.67 0.22 2.68 23.86 5.84P 0.07R 0.00 Tranmere 21 34 +6 5.25 78.18 5.97 67.50 7.51 4.81 0.35 4.16 31.03 9.16P 0.04R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 33 +9 5.07 77.80 10.41 66.12 7.32 7.37 0.18 2.64 25.44 6.73P 0.07R 0.01 Exeter 21 31 +6 -1.57 40.83 0.31 69.68 7.43 12.53 0.62 6.82 43.49 16.03P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 21 31 +0 1.96 62.11 -0.37 64.66 7.28 -0.80 0.10 1.51 18.68 4.66P 0.14R 0.01 Swindon 21 30 -4 0.50 53.71 -5.10 65.80 7.37 -1.84 0.11 2.10 22.77 6.40P 0.12R 0.00 Oldham 21 29 +7 -5.48 21.10 -1.46 69.27 7.46 15.87 0.55 6.56 42.45 17.34P 0.03R 0.01 Carlisle 21 27 -2 -2.59 35.12 -3.10 62.20 7.40 -0.46 0.05 0.80 11.88 3.18P 0.47R 0.06 Northampton 21 26 -2 -4.06 27.87 -3.88 62.31 7.57 1.02 0.05 0.86 12.86 3.63P 0.47R 0.04 Port_Vale 21 26 -3 -0.62 46.98 -0.19 59.53 7.19 -3.96 0.01 0.25 5.86 1.24P 0.93R 0.11 Crawley_Town 20 26 -4 1.14 57.69 0.05 58.09 7.44 -9.64 0.01 0.20 4.38 0.93P 1.88R 0.27 Crewe 21 25 -5 -1.23 43.51 -1.20 55.86 7.24 -10.13 0.00 0.07 2.26 0.45P 3.24R 0.43 Grimsby 21 22 -9 -1.26 43.22 -1.12 50.25 7.02 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.06P 13.31R 2.43 Morecambe 21 22 -13 -0.93 45.39 -4.43 48.86 6.92 -23.83 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.01P 18.90R 3.88 Yeovil 19 21 +0 -3.03 31.94 3.03 54.97 7.66 -4.60 0.01 0.07 2.35 0.48P 4.76R 0.75 Cheltenham 20 20 -11 -3.33 30.51 -4.53 50.60 7.39 -18.72 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.09P 13.76R 2.73 Cambridge_Utd 21 19 -16 -5.39 20.18 -9.59 49.27 7.21 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 18.14R 3.89 Notts_County 21 16 -21 -8.66 8.84 -14.17 46.10 7.34 -27.66 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 33.34R 8.94 Macclesfield 21 13 -22 -4.33 24.07 -4.21 34.33 6.59 -41.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.32R 76.44National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2018, Barrow 1 0 Maidstone_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 24 50 +30 6.87 83.58 14.84 89.94 6.60 44.67 52.18 97.07 67.01P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 24 49 +26 8.68 87.90 14.65 85.33 6.98 35.33 22.49 87.69 39.60P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 24 46 +19 8.76 87.27 12.26 80.43 7.16 25.57 7.75 67.38 20.28P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 23 46 +16 9.68 92.14 8.94 81.53 6.73 22.13 8.55 72.77 24.39P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 23 44 +13 11.51 95.08 11.42 76.07 6.81 14.30 1.94 40.71 8.68P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Fylde 24 42 +20 1.20 56.22 8.02 79.47 6.70 30.98 5.48 64.87 23.20P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 23 39 +9 4.43 73.80 4.24 74.48 6.87 14.91 1.07 33.01 8.36P 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 23 37 +4 3.92 71.63 1.60 70.98 6.92 7.88 0.38 16.62 3.78P 0.05R 0.00 Eastleigh 24 36 -1 4.90 75.65 1.38 65.44 6.66 -1.99 0.01 3.91 0.66P 0.34R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 24 34 +5 -0.22 49.20 2.69 66.35 6.66 8.46 0.03 5.51 1.28P 0.19R 0.00 Boreham_Wood 23 31 -1 -1.30 42.86 -2.65 63.38 6.78 0.75 0.01 2.24 0.50P 0.89R 0.01 Barrow 24 31 -2 -0.65 46.97 -0.46 57.84 6.56 -6.48 0.00 0.33 0.08P 5.13R 0.02 Hartlepool 24 31 -6 -0.14 49.69 -3.67 58.69 6.52 -9.24 0.00 0.36 0.07P 4.04R 0.02 Dag_&_Red 24 28 -4 -6.14 19.93 -6.15 57.96 6.72 -4.19 0.00 0.32 0.07P 5.13R 0.06 Barnet 21 28 -4 -4.26 26.46 -9.40 66.27 7.49 2.01 0.10 6.65 1.90P 0.67R 0.00 Halifax 22 26 -5 0.38 53.33 0.84 54.02 6.80 -11.37 0.00 0.05 0.01P 15.37R 0.28 Aldershot 24 25 -19 -3.98 28.59 -13.57 52.57 6.62 -22.27 0.00 0.02 0.00P 22.51R 0.59 Bromley 23 24 -8 -6.29 18.64 -5.99 54.58 7.03 -9.73 0.00 0.10 0.01P 14.35R 0.32 Havant_&_Wville 24 24 -9 -2.45 38.02 2.11 47.62 6.83 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.65R 2.23 Chesterfield 23 23 -4 -11.43 5.01 -8.61 57.62 6.95 0.69 0.00 0.37 0.10P 6.24R 0.09 Dover_Athletic 24 21 -18 -9.12 9.67 -13.93 49.76 6.71 -19.93 0.00 0.01 0.00 36.19R 1.61 Maidenhead 23 21 -22 -2.88 34.41 -9.83 44.79 6.57 -34.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.15R 6.71 Maidstone_United 23 19 -16 -4.90 23.47 -5.02 43.37 6.52 -26.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.38R 8.56 Braintree_Town 24 14 -23 -6.82 15.05 -3.71 32.16 6.12 -41.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.73R 79.49