Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 December 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 November 2018, Burnley 1 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         13   35  +35       3.54    82.13     8.30    95.77     5.76    84.78    85.11    96.89    99.36    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        13   33  +21       6.56    93.24     6.35    85.04     6.82    49.54    10.09    57.55    81.90    93.96    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   30  +12       4.63    83.60    -0.14    80.65     6.84    37.96     3.13    26.44    59.01    82.36    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   28  +17       2.40    68.31     4.79    77.06     6.86    40.85     1.29    13.10    37.46    68.74    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   27  +12       3.00    72.35     1.95    73.19     7.11    31.37     0.37     5.30    18.54    42.19    95.41     0.00     0.00  
Everton          13   22   +5       2.23    67.11     2.39    55.07     7.24     1.74     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.56    13.58     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   21   -1      -1.47    37.92    -7.62    66.46     7.12    16.08     0.02     0.70     3.58    11.98    79.12     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      13   20   +4       2.34    67.94     4.69    50.41     7.06    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     4.44     0.47R    0.02  
Watford          13   20   +0       4.42    81.95     3.87    47.75     6.89   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.96     1.15R    0.06  
Leicester        13   18   +1      -0.49    46.32     0.44    50.84     7.18    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     5.17     0.47R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    13   16   -3       1.34    61.94     2.31    44.40     7.12   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.81     4.22R    0.44  
Brighton         13   15   -5       1.02    59.71     1.47    42.69     6.84   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     5.91R    0.65  
Newcastle        13   12   -5      -3.20    25.75    -0.67    43.27     7.05   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     5.23R    0.66  
West_Ham         13   12   -8      -1.29    40.50     0.55    43.25     7.17   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.54     6.15R    0.87  
Huddersfield     13   10  -14      -0.46    47.97    -1.53    30.02     6.16   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.25R   24.75  
Crystal_Palace   13    9   -9      -5.29    13.08    -3.45    38.14     6.96   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    18.16R    3.37  
Burnley          13    9  -14      -5.71    11.25    -8.63    34.73     6.71   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    34.59R    8.15  
Southampton      13    8  -14      -5.97     9.53    -7.23    34.95     6.80   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    33.15R    8.23  
Cardiff          13    8  -15      -3.24    24.00    -2.82    31.24     6.84   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.42R   20.37  
Fulham           13    8  -19      -3.61    22.10    -5.01    29.26     6.76   -44.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.77R   32.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2018, Aston_Villa 5 5 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         19   37  +11       9.08    92.05     8.24    79.34     7.81    18.94    15.35    31.49    78.55    41.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    19   36  +15       6.49    84.85     9.79    78.05     7.90    22.43    12.90    27.31    74.53    38.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   35  +12       2.94    68.12     3.41    81.67     7.56    25.79    24.02    44.53    87.43    58.29P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       19   34  +14       0.08    49.86     1.66    82.58     8.04    32.09    31.12    51.31    88.45    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   34   +9       5.50    80.53     5.40    74.73     7.82    14.48     6.23    15.01    58.42    24.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   19   31   +9       4.95    78.51     9.05    68.88     7.85    10.06     1.48     4.33    30.06     9.27P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby           19   31   +5       0.82    54.85    -1.11    73.51     7.80    13.25     4.39    11.46    52.48    22.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   28   +6      -3.64    28.40    -2.45    69.70     7.88    13.02     2.02     5.69    34.69    13.79P    0.11R    0.01  
QPR             19   28   -4       4.81    77.85     0.54    60.47     7.66   -11.30     0.10     0.34     5.21     1.13P    2.70R    0.23  
Birmingham      19   27   +3       4.67    78.04     8.67    59.11     7.59    -4.20     0.04     0.17     4.03     0.74P    3.43R    0.28  
Swansea         19   26   +2      -3.45    29.61    -3.08    67.06     7.92     7.97     0.83     2.71    22.88     8.33P    0.38R    0.02  
Stoke           19   26   +0      -2.65    34.44    -3.82    67.36     8.08     6.57     0.90     3.06    24.17     8.72P    0.40R    0.03  
Blackburn       19   26   -6       1.75    61.60    -3.15    60.28     7.91   -10.23     0.09     0.35     5.46     1.37P    3.26R    0.26  
Bristol_City    19   25   +0      -1.10    43.67     0.08    62.56     7.83     0.59     0.17     0.73     9.68     2.76P    1.42R    0.14  
Wigan           19   24   -5      -1.85    39.18    -4.77    61.78     8.02    -3.82     0.14     0.64     8.08     2.40P    2.21R    0.18  
Sheff_Wed       19   23   -9      -1.22    42.84    -6.02    57.79     7.76   -12.68     0.02     0.13     2.71     0.57P    5.82R    0.65  
Preston         19   22   -1      -4.67    23.19    -1.75    60.38     7.91     0.81     0.07     0.35     6.08     1.66P    2.80R    0.27  
Brentford       19   21   +2      -6.99    13.71    -0.81    60.25     7.94     5.10     0.11     0.37     6.23     1.86P    3.02R    0.25  
Rotherham       19   20   -9       0.30    53.55     1.08    46.97     7.47   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   43.78R   11.68  
Reading         19   17   -6      -5.13    20.56     0.64    48.37     7.67   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   33.88R    8.00  
Millwall        19   17   -9      -6.58    14.33    -5.10    50.11     7.63   -14.93     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   26.21R    5.27  
Hull            19   17  -10      -6.82    13.98    -6.54    50.68     7.64   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P   24.10R    4.67  
Bolton          19   17  -13      -0.98    44.74    -1.24    42.20     7.00   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.90R   28.53  
Ipswich         19   11  -16     -10.29     3.72    -8.72    40.27     7.34   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.37R   39.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           19   44  +17      13.12    98.13     9.96    85.60     7.86    23.62    18.82    41.18    93.18    52.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           19   40  +21       3.75    71.50     5.10    91.31     7.90    43.10    50.89    73.14    98.47    81.72P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                20   38  +18       4.55    74.71     8.92    81.62     7.91    30.03     8.91    25.27    85.51    41.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         20   38  +12       6.17    82.23     5.54    79.93     7.74    21.42     5.64    16.96    79.65    31.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             19   35  +15       1.09    56.07     3.14    83.22     8.04    31.86    13.01    32.50    89.07    51.12P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             19   34   +9       4.38    75.40     3.86    76.07     7.82    16.43     2.22     8.05    62.47    20.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster            20   32   +4       4.14    73.67     3.47    68.79     7.69     5.55     0.19     1.14    24.80     5.50P    0.41R    0.01  
Blackpool            19   31   +5       3.21    69.46     2.39    67.95     7.76     5.00     0.20     1.04    22.30     5.39P    0.55R    0.01  
Coventry             20   29   -2       4.95    78.18     2.50    59.89     7.46    -8.62     0.01     0.05     3.43     0.59P    6.19R    0.25  
Wycombe              20   28   +1       3.48    70.47     5.70    59.93     7.71    -5.20     0.01     0.06     4.21     0.74P    6.71R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley   20   28   -2       3.38    70.33     2.02    59.45     7.60    -8.25     0.00     0.06     3.22     0.65P    7.47R    0.39  
Fleetwood_Town       20   27   +7      -2.13    37.55     4.59    64.69     7.66    10.00     0.05     0.32    12.91     3.19P    1.64R    0.05  
Walsall              20   27   -7       2.85    67.67    -2.07    58.92     7.41   -12.57     0.00     0.03     2.59     0.46P    8.17R    0.44  
Southend             20   26   -1      -1.31    42.51    -0.59    61.60     7.66    -1.14     0.02     0.11     6.04     1.29P    4.13R    0.21  
Shrewsbury           20   24   -2      -4.00    27.36    -2.95    60.40     7.59    -0.81     0.01     0.03     4.40     0.95P    5.38R    0.20  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -3      -1.96    38.64    -2.84    58.79     7.96    -6.52     0.01     0.05     3.47     0.80P    9.31R    0.63  
Rochdale             20   23  -11      -0.89    45.32    -5.12    55.41     7.54   -16.58     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.20P   18.39R    1.75  
Gillingham           20   21   -5      -4.11    27.04    -1.08    53.76     7.72   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.16P   23.91R    2.53  
Oxford_Utd           20   21   -6      -4.94    22.69    -3.33    53.99     7.63   -10.38     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.17P   22.51R    2.26  
Scunthorpe           20   21  -13      -5.70    19.78   -11.38    56.57     7.79   -13.81     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.35P   15.29R    1.32  
Bristol_Rovers       20   17   -4      -8.55     8.90    -1.26    48.96     7.48    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   45.39R    7.58  
Plymouth             20   16  -16      -6.10    16.68    -7.52    45.98     7.40   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   64.08R   16.47  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   14  -16      -6.86    12.66    -6.65    41.43     7.08   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.74R   37.06  
Bradford             20   14  -21      -7.80    10.23   -12.42    43.29     7.37   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.74R   28.47  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2018, Bury 4 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          20   40  +17       3.71    71.49     3.86    86.70     7.58    33.08    45.15    81.29    97.81    86.72P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     19   38  +17       6.67    85.36     9.07    83.14     7.81    29.09    25.34    66.52    94.22    73.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   35  +14       2.73    66.10     6.87    76.90     7.50    23.32     7.18    34.06    80.38    46.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   20   35   -1       8.45    90.36     0.53    67.74     7.58    -5.54     0.63     5.28    32.30     9.33P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury             20   33  +17      -2.54    34.60     4.57    78.14     7.78    31.49    10.49    42.89    83.67    56.23P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        19   32  +13       1.09    56.76     5.97    77.12     7.65    24.98     7.67    35.86    80.64    49.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           20   31   +8      -1.00    44.07     1.10    71.17     7.63    14.70     1.72    12.43    52.86    23.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   31   +5       4.15    73.55     5.78    65.93     7.82     3.79     0.39     4.02    26.24     8.27P    0.20R    0.02  
Stevenage        20   31   +1       2.97    68.24     0.17    66.23     7.58     0.42     0.36     3.77    26.54     8.19P    0.11R    0.01  
Forest_Green     20   30   +8       3.53    71.05     9.56    64.08     7.52     5.74     0.17     2.12    19.37     5.19P    0.23R    0.02  
Carlisle         20   27   +0      -2.07    37.87    -2.35    63.45     7.64     1.39     0.15     1.81    16.98     5.10P    0.38R    0.03  
Swindon          20   27   -5      -0.66    46.47    -5.39    64.33     7.59    -2.60     0.12     2.07    19.29     5.72P    0.34R    0.04  
Oldham           20   26   +5      -6.29    17.09    -2.29    67.04     7.75    13.00     0.51     5.31    32.90    13.68P    0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     19   26   -3       2.22    64.47     0.60    59.98     7.74    -8.01     0.04     0.70     8.52     2.02P    1.51R    0.22  
Crewe            20   25   -3      -0.56    47.45    -0.25    57.66     7.50    -7.42     0.01     0.22     4.56     0.98P    2.34R    0.28  
Port_Vale        20   25   -3      -0.08    50.05     0.04    59.89     7.42    -3.93     0.02     0.50     7.51     1.89P    1.22R    0.14  
Northampton      20   23   -3      -5.32    21.32    -4.30    60.22     7.83    -0.73     0.03     0.76     9.66     2.75P    1.34R    0.20  
Grimsby          20   22   -8      -0.37    48.74    -0.84    51.73     7.26   -16.29     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.12P   11.40R    2.03  
Yeovil           18   21   +1      -1.84    38.84     3.73    56.94     7.87    -2.66     0.01     0.34     4.60     1.16P    3.45R    0.46  
Morecambe        20   21  -13      -0.53    47.96    -4.41    49.01     7.14   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   20.74R    4.28  
Cambridge_Utd    20   19  -15      -4.50    24.08    -9.23    50.60     7.45   -20.99     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.09P   15.48R    3.42  
Cheltenham       19   17  -12      -4.69    22.83    -5.11    48.96     7.61   -19.76     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   21.47R    5.01  
Notts_County     20   16  -19      -8.22     9.59   -13.64    47.33     7.48   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   29.61R    7.60  
Macclesfield     20   13  -21      -3.63    27.84    -4.03    34.64     6.74   -43.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.99R   76.23  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2018, Barrow 0 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      22   47  +29       7.17    85.69    14.61    90.37     6.98    44.59    51.06    96.90    65.87P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       22   46  +25       9.23    90.21    14.97    85.67     7.50    35.34    22.47    87.65    39.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            22   43  +14       8.75    90.49     7.92    79.88     6.92    20.07     5.29    64.76    19.50P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          22   41  +21       3.10    67.20     9.33    82.54     7.14    33.91    11.56    78.96    32.20P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     21   40  +17       7.98    86.72    12.05    79.08     7.91    24.36     6.28    60.65    17.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   40  +11      10.78    95.00    10.18    74.05     7.23    11.18     1.23    31.75     6.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          21   36   +9       4.22    73.67     4.38    74.20     7.31    14.90     1.34    33.72     8.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      21   35   +4       4.46    75.01     1.28    71.35     7.35     7.37     0.48    20.06     4.49P    0.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh          22   35   +1       5.88    80.50     2.27    67.48     7.05     0.60     0.07     8.06     1.48P    0.24R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   28   +2      -2.68    34.77     0.91    62.35     7.12     4.43     0.01     2.31     0.51P    1.65R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood       22   28   -2      -2.62    35.07    -3.19    60.92     7.01    -1.34     0.01     1.28     0.28P    2.41R    0.03  
Barnet             20   28   -3      -3.46    30.21    -9.16    68.33     7.72     3.98     0.20    11.96     3.42P    0.39R    0.00  
Hartlepool         22   28   -6      -0.44    48.05    -3.72    58.77     6.98    -8.74     0.00     0.67     0.11P    5.10R    0.10  
Barrow             22   25   -5      -2.68    35.14    -1.64    54.48     7.00    -9.68     0.00     0.13     0.03P   14.55R    0.55  
Halifax            21   25   -5       0.65    54.95     0.71    53.65     7.02   -12.46     0.00     0.10     0.03P   18.08R    0.75  
Aldershot          22   25  -14      -2.91    33.61   -11.12    55.93     7.09   -16.38     0.00     0.20     0.04P   11.98R    0.40  
Dag_&_Red          22   24   -5      -6.97    15.38    -6.49    56.86     7.10    -4.97     0.00     0.36     0.06P    8.25R    0.27  
Bromley            22   24   -6      -5.62    20.98    -5.02    55.93     7.22    -7.77     0.00     0.27     0.04P   11.27R    0.40  
Havant_&_Wville    22   21   -7      -3.46    31.83     2.68    47.71     7.34   -17.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.50R    5.63  
Maidenhead         21   21  -20      -0.81    46.34    -8.88    47.26     7.07   -33.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.70R    6.65  
Chesterfield       22   20   -6     -12.33     3.48    -9.54    55.27     7.23    -2.28     0.00     0.20     0.05P   12.12R    0.51  
Maidstone_United   22   19  -15      -3.97    27.58    -4.54    44.42     6.75   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.55R   11.40  
Dover_Athletic     22   17  -19     -10.35     5.87   -14.90    47.52     7.14   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00P   49.67R    5.64  
Braintree_Town     22   14  -20      -5.52    19.89    -3.08    35.11     6.74   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.44R   67.64