Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 November 2018, Burnley 1 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         13   35  +35       3.53    82.19     8.29    95.79     5.74    84.79    85.43    96.93    99.35    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        13   33  +21       6.53    93.22     6.27    85.11     6.78    49.75     9.91    58.19    82.30    94.02    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   30  +12       4.64    83.62    -0.15    80.64     6.86    37.97     3.01    26.08    58.85    82.09    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   28  +17       2.39    68.37     4.77    77.04     6.88    40.87     1.34    12.78    36.94    68.74    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   27  +12       2.99    72.28     1.91    73.31     7.09    31.52     0.30     5.35    19.03    42.87    95.66     0.00     0.00  
Everton          13   22   +5       2.24    67.39     2.38    55.04     7.21     1.66     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.51    13.30     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   21   -1      -1.51    37.69    -7.65    66.40     7.08    16.00     0.01     0.65     3.36    11.59    78.96     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      13   20   +4       2.38    68.06     4.73    50.35     6.99    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     4.24     0.44R    0.03  
Watford          13   20   +0       4.37    81.77     3.79    47.85     6.95   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.13     1.19R    0.07  
Leicester        13   18   +1      -0.49    46.70     0.47    50.71     7.25    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     5.34     0.49R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    13   16   -3       1.40    62.64     2.38    44.29     7.13   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.76     4.37R    0.47  
Brighton         13   15   -5       1.07    60.21     1.54    42.79     6.86   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     5.83R    0.58  
Newcastle        13   12   -5      -3.23    25.51    -0.72    43.29     7.02    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     5.01R    0.61  
West_Ham         13   12   -8      -1.38    39.70     0.44    43.45     7.25   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61     5.99R    0.82  
Huddersfield     13   10  -14      -0.46    47.68    -1.50    30.04     6.13   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.20R   24.37  
Crystal_Palace   13    9   -9      -5.23    13.20    -3.38    38.01     6.92   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    18.45R    3.45  
Burnley          13    9  -14      -5.64    11.43    -8.54    34.63     6.72   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    35.12R    8.47  
Southampton      13    8  -14      -5.99     9.70    -7.20    34.94     6.86   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    33.44R    8.59  
Cardiff          13    8  -15      -3.20    24.18    -2.74    31.26     6.86   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.20R   20.26  
Fulham           13    8  -19      -3.64    22.11    -5.09    29.32     6.79   -44.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.20R   32.25  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2018, Aston_Villa 5 5 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         19   37  +11       9.06    91.89     8.21    79.39     7.85    19.00    15.97    32.24    78.68    42.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    19   36  +15       6.52    85.05     9.84    77.85     7.80    22.18    12.11    26.21    73.83    37.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   19   35  +12       2.94    68.28     3.41    81.62     7.49    25.75    23.61    44.21    87.55    57.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       19   34  +14       0.12    50.27     1.70    82.47     8.04    31.97    30.75    51.01    88.28    62.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   34   +9       5.48    80.32     5.36    74.86     7.91    14.63     6.89    15.68    58.66    25.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   19   31   +9       4.91    78.28     9.02    68.80     7.89     9.93     1.36     4.26    29.99     9.16P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby           19   31   +5       0.71    54.54    -1.30    73.71     7.78    13.52     4.58    11.83    53.25    22.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     19   28   +6      -3.70    28.06    -2.52    69.85     7.93    13.24     2.21     6.04    35.24    14.08P    0.12R    0.00  
QPR             19   28   -4       4.74    77.67     0.44    60.60     7.64   -11.12     0.09     0.35     5.45     1.13P    2.62R    0.22  
Birmingham      19   27   +3       4.70    78.35     8.67    59.05     7.63    -4.29     0.06     0.21     4.03     0.83P    3.49R    0.25  
Swansea         19   26   +2      -3.36    30.20    -2.95    66.89     7.92     7.74     0.77     2.51    22.20     7.90P    0.36R    0.02  
Stoke           19   26   +0      -2.60    34.57    -3.74    67.27     8.03     6.42     0.87     2.77    23.42     8.44P    0.44R    0.02  
Blackburn       19   26   -6       1.82    61.75    -3.05    60.17     7.92   -10.40     0.09     0.36     5.49     1.30P    3.20R    0.24  
Bristol_City    19   25   +0      -1.19    43.05    -0.09    62.60     7.80     0.72     0.20     0.80     9.51     2.62P    1.33R    0.12  
Wigan           19   24   -5      -2.02    38.04    -4.99    61.93     7.96    -3.62     0.20     0.66     8.31     2.34P    2.06R    0.21  
Sheff_Wed       19   23   -9      -1.23    42.88    -6.04    57.87     7.73   -12.50     0.03     0.13     2.78     0.72P    5.73R    0.60  
Preston         19   22   -1      -4.54    23.67    -1.59    60.32     7.89     0.73     0.11     0.37     6.06     1.71P    2.76R    0.28  
Brentford       19   21   +2      -7.02    13.55    -0.80    60.28     7.97     5.16     0.11     0.36     6.41     1.82P    3.07R    0.36  
Rotherham       19   20   -9       0.40    54.19     1.24    46.94     7.50   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   43.99R   11.56  
Reading         19   17   -6      -5.10    20.46     0.67    48.31     7.63   -15.05     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   34.44R    8.02  
Millwall        19   17   -9      -6.53    14.75    -4.99    50.15     7.63   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   25.82R    5.15  
Hull            19   17  -10      -6.83    13.94    -6.54    50.73     7.65   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   24.00R    4.71  
Bolton          19   17  -13      -0.95    44.83    -1.18    42.11     6.98   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.36R   28.98  
Ipswich         19   11  -16     -10.29     3.90    -8.77    40.30     7.38   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   76.04R   39.26  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 1 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           19   44  +17      13.08    98.21     9.89    85.60     7.86    23.63    18.98    41.54    92.94    53.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           19   40  +21       3.74    71.08     5.14    91.30     7.85    43.04    50.84    73.23    98.54    81.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                20   38  +18       4.73    75.52     9.19    81.43     7.90    29.67     8.60    24.09    84.90    40.23P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         20   38  +12       6.02    81.63     5.29    80.05     7.73    21.67     5.87    17.44    80.11    32.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             19   35  +15       1.20    56.59     3.28    83.08     8.04    31.70    12.71    31.96    88.58    50.18P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             19   34   +9       4.24    74.64     3.66    76.36     7.89    16.85     2.51     8.78    63.94    21.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster            20   32   +4       4.08    73.52     3.36    68.90     7.68     5.69     0.21     1.18    25.42     5.81P    0.44R    0.01  
Blackpool            19   31   +5       3.30    69.98     2.52    67.87     7.71     4.86     0.17     1.05    21.33     5.20P    0.55R    0.01  
Coventry             20   29   -2       4.84    77.47     2.35    60.13     7.47    -8.28     0.01     0.06     3.70     0.60P    5.89R    0.23  
Wycombe              20   28   +1       3.50    70.55     5.78    59.95     7.72    -5.19     0.01     0.06     4.04     0.76P    6.88R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley   20   28   -2       3.48    70.73     2.18    59.33     7.57    -8.45     0.00     0.04     3.13     0.57P    7.46R    0.37  
Fleetwood_Town       20   27   +7      -2.18    37.15     4.51    64.84     7.67    10.20     0.05     0.29    13.00     3.13P    1.61R    0.04  
Walsall              20   27   -7       2.86    67.62    -2.06    58.84     7.46   -12.73     0.00     0.03     2.64     0.46P    8.55R    0.46  
Southend             20   26   -1      -1.27    42.85    -0.56    61.64     7.62    -1.10     0.01     0.12     6.00     1.18P    3.95R    0.16  
Shrewsbury           20   24   -2      -3.95    27.21    -2.89    60.22     7.57    -1.06     0.01     0.06     4.05     0.93P    5.53R    0.28  
Burton_Albion        19   24   -3      -1.95    38.95    -2.85    58.89     7.96    -6.37     0.01     0.05     3.70     0.81P    9.08R    0.55  
Rochdale             20   23  -11      -0.83    45.88    -5.02    55.33     7.58   -16.74     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.16P   18.95R    1.73  
Gillingham           20   21   -5      -4.10    26.96    -1.03    53.67     7.60   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.12P   23.82R    2.48  
Oxford_Utd           20   21   -6      -5.06    22.11    -3.49    54.04     7.61   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.14P   22.16R    2.20  
Scunthorpe           20   21  -13      -5.68    19.84   -11.34    56.52     7.77   -13.89     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.31P   15.30R    1.46  
Bristol_Rovers       20   17   -4      -8.72     8.48    -1.49    48.98     7.46    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   45.31R    7.51  
Plymouth             20   16  -16      -6.01    17.07    -7.39    45.93     7.42   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   64.01R   17.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   14  -16      -6.92    12.52    -6.74    41.47     7.14   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.27R   36.68  
Bradford             20   14  -21      -7.68    10.69   -12.29    43.23     7.32   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.22R   28.37  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2018, Bury 4 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          20   40  +17       3.62    70.95     3.78    86.79     7.59    33.14    45.92    81.78    97.99    87.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     19   38  +17       6.75    85.87     9.20    82.99     7.75    28.90    24.37    65.97    93.98    73.45P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   35  +14       2.59    65.18     6.64    77.04     7.50    23.59     7.57    34.97    80.70    47.44P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   20   35   -1       8.37    90.22     0.41    67.86     7.52    -5.39     0.65     5.44    32.78     9.78P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury             20   33  +17      -2.42    35.40     4.74    78.03     7.78    31.30    10.33    42.40    83.34    55.09P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        19   32  +13       1.22    57.62     6.13    76.99     7.66    24.81     7.45    35.41    80.00    48.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           20   31   +8      -1.08    43.13     0.95    71.32     7.57    14.96     1.80    12.77    53.76    23.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         20   31   +5       4.00    72.83     5.62    66.09     7.85     4.00     0.39     4.05    27.40     8.63P    0.16R    0.01  
Stevenage        20   31   +1       2.98    67.92     0.18    66.22     7.55     0.40     0.31     3.70    26.54     8.07P    0.12R    0.01  
Forest_Green     20   30   +8       3.63    71.63     9.68    63.96     7.49     5.54     0.15     2.06    18.95     5.13P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle         20   27   +0      -2.06    37.65    -2.32    63.43     7.60     1.30     0.16     1.77    16.94     5.20P    0.39R    0.05  
Swindon          20   27   -5      -0.62    46.69    -5.34    64.17     7.54    -2.78     0.16     1.98    18.68     5.56P    0.33R    0.02  
Oldham           20   26   +5      -6.28    17.19    -2.23    66.92     7.76    12.84     0.59     5.24    32.66    13.38P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     19   26   -3       2.22    64.21     0.63    59.90     7.73    -8.07     0.05     0.63     8.19     1.96P    1.48R    0.22  
Crewe            20   25   -3      -0.67    46.63    -0.35    57.82     7.52    -7.20     0.01     0.26     4.92     1.14P    2.33R    0.29  
Port_Vale        20   25   -3      -0.13    49.92    -0.04    59.91     7.43    -3.88     0.03     0.52     7.26     1.90P    1.32R    0.17  
Northampton      20   23   -3      -5.30    21.36    -4.29    60.24     7.79    -0.66     0.03     0.69     9.47     2.83P    1.39R    0.18  
Grimsby          20   22   -8      -0.23    49.67    -0.66    51.70     7.20   -16.32     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.10P   11.38R    2.14  
Yeovil           18   21   +1      -1.79    39.17     3.80    56.92     7.84    -2.74     0.02     0.31     4.63     1.11P    3.61R    0.56  
Morecambe        20   21  -13      -0.65    46.98    -4.64    49.26     7.16   -23.75     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.04P   19.63R    4.17  
Cambridge_Utd    20   19  -15      -4.46    24.13    -9.18    50.54     7.36   -21.12     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   15.54R    3.22  
Cheltenham       19   17  -12      -4.63    22.78    -5.07    48.97     7.54   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   21.26R    4.86  
Notts_County     20   16  -19      -8.05    10.08   -13.42    47.09     7.46   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   30.50R    7.89  
Macclesfield     20   13  -21      -3.72    26.97    -4.23    34.69     6.74   -42.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.17R   76.21  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2018, Barrow 0 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      22   47  +29       7.11    85.42    14.54    90.43     7.03    44.71    51.25    96.97    66.14P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       22   46  +25       9.29    90.29    15.09    85.57     7.53    35.23    22.55    87.23    38.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            22   43  +14       8.83    90.75     8.03    79.81     6.91    19.97     5.04    64.87    19.39P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          22   41  +21       3.07    66.92     9.31    82.54     7.14    33.88    11.59    79.05    32.50P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     21   40  +17       7.97    87.05    12.03    79.13     7.88    24.45     6.42    60.81    17.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   40  +11      10.66    94.58    10.05    74.04     7.27    11.20     1.19    31.61     6.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          21   36   +9       4.20    73.62     4.34    74.20     7.31    14.87     1.25    33.74     8.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      21   35   +4       4.66    75.61     1.57    71.18     7.33     7.08     0.43    19.80     4.47P    0.07R    0.00  
Eastleigh          22   35   +1       5.92    80.81     2.36    67.43     7.08     0.51     0.09     8.15     1.51P    0.23R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   28   +2      -2.71    34.80     0.80    62.45     7.12     4.59     0.01     2.36     0.51P    1.62R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       22   28   -2      -2.74    34.58    -3.32    61.05     6.98    -1.17     0.00     1.33     0.31P    2.32R    0.03  
Barnet             20   28   -3      -3.43    30.19    -9.10    68.34     7.71     3.96     0.18    12.12     3.43P    0.35R    0.01  
Hartlepool         22   28   -6      -0.36    48.63    -3.62    58.63     7.00    -8.95     0.00     0.62     0.12P    5.38R    0.10  
Barrow             22   25   -5      -2.64    35.44    -1.57    54.44     6.98    -9.76     0.00     0.15     0.04P   14.80R    0.57  
Halifax            21   25   -5       0.60    54.55     0.64    53.68     6.94   -12.40     0.00     0.10     0.01P   17.65R    0.71  
Aldershot          22   25  -14      -2.97    33.15   -11.17    56.06     7.09   -16.20     0.00     0.23     0.04P   11.76R    0.38  
Dag_&_Red          22   24   -5      -7.03    15.31    -6.56    56.93     7.14    -4.87     0.00     0.38     0.08P    8.23R    0.23  
Bromley            22   24   -6      -5.58    21.22    -4.96    55.97     7.22    -7.72     0.00     0.29     0.06P   10.97R    0.40  
Havant_&_Wville    22   21   -7      -3.36    32.50     2.88    47.63     7.33   -17.44     0.00     0.02     0.00P   48.32R    5.61  
Maidenhead         21   21  -20      -0.84    46.06    -8.99    47.31     7.04   -33.11     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.06R    6.41  
Chesterfield       22   20   -6     -12.31     3.48    -9.54    55.27     7.22    -2.30     0.00     0.16     0.05P   12.36R    0.51  
Maidstone_United   22   19  -15      -4.00    27.54    -4.57    44.35     6.79   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.05R   11.33  
Dover_Athletic     22   17  -19     -10.49     5.51   -15.15    47.61     7.08   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.21R    5.50  
Braintree_Town     22   14  -20      -5.53    19.58    -3.10    35.05     6.74   -38.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.59R   68.19