Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 November 2018, Burnley 1 2 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         13   35  +35       3.56    82.03     8.37    95.81     5.75    84.69    85.08    96.89    99.33    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        13   33  +21       6.52    93.04     6.26    85.19     6.76    49.82    10.32    58.37    82.62    94.01    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        13   30  +12       4.63    83.78    -0.13    80.60     6.85    37.89     2.89    25.43    58.75    82.35    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          13   28  +17       2.45    68.48     4.84    77.02     6.89    40.79     1.34    13.02    36.66    68.34    98.54     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          13   27  +12       2.96    72.08     1.84    73.31     7.10    31.56     0.34     5.53    19.01    42.91    95.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton          13   22   +5       2.17    67.03     2.30    55.11     7.25     1.77     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.57    13.61     0.07R    0.00  
Man_Utd          13   21   -1      -1.52    37.43    -7.69    66.45     7.10    16.11     0.03     0.73     3.49    11.66    79.24     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      13   20   +4       2.47    68.88     4.90    50.23     7.01    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     4.05     0.50R    0.02  
Watford          13   20   +0       4.37    81.63     3.80    47.85     6.93   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.08     1.13R    0.08  
Leicester        13   18   +1      -0.51    46.50     0.42    50.75     7.17    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     5.05     0.51R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    13   16   -3       1.41    62.54     2.41    44.25     7.15   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76     4.31R    0.49  
Brighton         13   15   -5       1.06    60.11     1.54    42.79     6.89   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     5.86R    0.62  
Newcastle        13   12   -5      -3.23    25.48    -0.75    43.30     7.04    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     5.18R    0.62  
West_Ham         13   12   -8      -1.40    39.78     0.38    43.37     7.22   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     6.07R    0.79  
Huddersfield     13   10  -14      -0.40    48.00    -1.33    29.84     6.15   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.37R   25.56  
Crystal_Palace   13    9   -9      -5.20    13.23    -3.33    38.02     6.91   -18.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    18.44R    3.46  
Burnley          13    9  -14      -5.68    11.34    -8.62    34.68     6.69   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.49R    8.18  
Southampton      13    8  -14      -6.06     9.44    -7.33    35.03     6.83   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    33.17R    8.10  
Cardiff          13    8  -15      -3.21    24.28    -2.72    31.33     6.90   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.66R   20.04  
Fulham           13    8  -19      -3.65    21.96    -5.16    29.38     6.83   -44.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.24R   32.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2018, Aston_Villa 4 2 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         18   36  +11       9.41    93.21     8.21    79.84     8.06    19.16    18.60    35.83    80.19    44.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   18   34  +12       3.51    72.08     3.67    81.96     7.70    25.77    27.24    47.60    88.25    60.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    18   33  +14       5.55    81.74     9.82    76.99     8.07    22.39    11.84    24.70    70.73    35.23P    0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom       18   31  +13      -1.21    41.86     1.25    80.20     8.24    29.86    22.64    40.86    82.12    54.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   31   +8       4.05    74.18     4.59    72.26     8.01    12.13     4.00    10.18    46.97    18.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby           18   31   +6       1.79    61.06    -0.73    75.28     8.02    14.89     7.70    17.73    61.65    29.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   18   30   +9       5.22    80.62     8.71    68.22     7.95     8.72     1.35     4.01    28.12     8.45P    0.23R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     18   27   +6      -2.87    31.92    -1.82    70.82     8.03    14.11     3.21     8.13    41.01    17.29P    0.11R    0.00  
QPR             18   27   -4       5.15    80.27     0.42    61.04     7.76   -10.84     0.15     0.46     6.57     1.42P    2.92R    0.29  
Swansea         18   26   +3      -2.34    35.30    -2.48    68.73     8.16     9.46     1.70     5.04    30.97    12.40P    0.28R    0.02  
Blackburn       18   26   -4       2.40    65.58    -2.23    62.07     8.12    -7.49     0.27     0.87     9.30     2.45P    2.53R    0.27  
Birmingham      18   24   +1       3.33    72.46     7.10    56.27     7.72    -8.06     0.02     0.10     2.06     0.39P    8.87R    1.18  
Stoke           18   23   -1      -3.83    27.11    -4.14    65.19     8.24     4.82     0.68     2.06    18.05     6.17P    1.06R    0.10  
Bristol_City    18   22   -1      -2.32    35.73    -0.40    60.36     7.94    -1.13     0.10     0.41     6.30     1.67P    3.51R    0.42  
Brentford       18   21   +3      -5.74    17.60    -0.02    62.40     8.13     7.36     0.29     1.00    11.28     3.55P    2.02R    0.21  
Preston         18   21   -1      -4.31    24.26    -1.75    60.60     8.02     0.64     0.11     0.47     7.02     1.93P    3.32R    0.39  
Wigan           18   21   -7      -2.75    33.31    -5.75    59.62     8.13    -6.50     0.07     0.39     5.39     1.54P    4.96R    0.70  
Sheff_Wed       18   20  -10      -2.34    36.08    -6.30    56.62     7.87   -13.01     0.03     0.11     2.34     0.54P    9.33R    1.48  
Rotherham       18   19   -9       0.61    55.55     0.80    47.42     7.75   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   45.08R   13.70  
Reading         18   17   -5      -4.45    23.23     0.54    49.37     7.84   -14.74     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   32.60R    8.67  
Millwall        18   17   -7      -5.38    18.66    -3.41    52.71     7.86   -11.05     0.01     0.02     0.74     0.18P   19.05R    3.85  
Bolton          18   17  -12      -0.24    50.16    -1.10    43.25     7.14   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   67.39R   28.62  
Hull            18   16  -10      -6.60    13.93    -6.70    50.94     7.79   -15.87     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.08P   26.26R    5.79  
Ipswich         18   11  -15      -9.19     5.26    -8.28    42.16     7.58   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.43R   34.30  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           18   41  +15      12.34    97.91     9.17    83.68     8.05    21.26    16.81    37.00    90.08    48.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           18   37  +19       2.84    66.68     4.49    88.91     8.16    39.55    42.87    66.10    97.11    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             18   35  +17       1.81    60.78     4.24    85.06     8.23    34.39    23.80    47.09    92.81    62.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                19   35  +14       4.61    75.66     7.58    78.97     8.18    24.32     6.86    19.08    77.47    33.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough         19   35  +11       5.15    78.30     5.38    78.86     7.98    21.31     6.14    17.77    77.17    31.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton             18   31   +8       2.94    68.08     3.12    74.68     8.10    15.73     2.40     8.10    58.12    20.48P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackpool            18   31   +7       4.05    74.50     3.66    70.15     8.00     8.24     0.76     2.76    34.63     9.54P    0.34R    0.01  
Doncaster            19   29   +2       3.08    69.08     2.30    66.41     7.89     2.43     0.20     0.83    18.92     4.24P    1.30R    0.04  
Coventry             19   29   +1       5.11    78.96     3.79    62.38     7.78    -3.83     0.02     0.21     8.29     1.64P    3.99R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   19   28   -1       4.78    77.86     2.96    61.14     7.83    -6.62     0.03     0.15     6.34     1.17P    5.79R    0.32  
Walsall              19   27   -5       3.43    71.38    -1.30    60.23     7.70   -10.64     0.01     0.10     4.90     0.96P    6.99R    0.41  
Wycombe              19   25   +0       2.20    64.17     5.20    57.60     7.93    -7.11     0.00     0.07     2.82     0.51P   12.88R    1.24  
Fleetwood_Town       19   24   +4      -2.89    32.84     2.85    62.53     7.84     6.19     0.05     0.29     9.54     2.44P    3.60R    0.18  
Burton_Albion        18   24   -2      -0.85    45.28    -2.25    60.51     8.25    -4.89     0.02     0.22     6.76     1.59P    7.55R    0.52  
Southend             19   23   -3      -2.23    36.77    -1.59    59.30     7.84    -4.17     0.01     0.08     4.24     0.99P    8.51R    0.61  
Rochdale             19   23   -9      -0.08    50.31    -4.19    57.26     7.87   -13.67     0.00     0.02     2.32     0.43P   14.57R    1.54  
Shrewsbury           19   21   -4      -4.94    21.76    -4.00    58.42     7.75    -3.28     0.01     0.05     3.30     0.82P   10.07R    0.86  
Scunthorpe           19   21  -11      -4.92    22.46   -10.34    58.53     8.04   -10.81     0.01     0.07     3.59     0.86P   11.49R    1.08  
Gillingham           19   18   -6      -5.44    19.72    -1.67    51.38     7.85   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P   35.84R    6.08  
Oxford_Utd           19   18   -8      -6.07    16.86    -4.70    51.96     7.89   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.15P   33.51R    5.34  
Bristol_Rovers       19   17   -3      -7.39    11.86    -0.61    51.05     7.68    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P   36.22R    5.87  
Plymouth             19   16  -14      -5.50    18.88    -6.79    47.50     7.70   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   57.17R   14.89  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   14  -15      -6.21    15.04    -6.75    42.40     7.32   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   80.67R   36.67  
Bradford             19   14  -17      -7.68    10.35   -10.54    44.96     7.63   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.40R   24.18  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2018, Cambridge_Utd 2 2 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     18   37  +17       7.08    87.53     9.18    83.03     7.99    28.43    27.47    65.89    92.91    72.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          19   37  +15       3.14    68.58     3.43    85.61     7.83    31.85    41.11    77.12    96.44    83.22P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       19   32  +13       1.28    57.91     6.13    75.33     7.68    22.48     5.96    27.85    71.81    39.49P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        19   32  +13       1.04    56.31     5.89    77.10     7.66    24.89     8.57    36.32    79.20    48.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   19   32   -3       7.51    88.56    -0.49    65.27     7.73    -8.80     0.41     3.24    21.02     6.02P    0.23R    0.02  
Exeter           19   31   +9       0.77    54.60     2.76    74.45     7.84    18.65     4.79    24.15    66.85    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         19   31   +8       4.50    75.80     7.18    68.96     7.96     9.49     1.25     8.75    38.60    14.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage        19   31   +2       4.04    74.06     0.64    67.56     7.78     1.48     0.76     5.63    31.13    10.53P    0.09R    0.00  
Bury             19   30  +14      -2.72    33.23     3.82    76.00     8.04    27.67     7.75    33.22    74.46    46.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     19   30   +9       4.60    77.07    10.20    65.55     7.73     6.86     0.44     3.68    23.69     7.19P    0.13R    0.01  
Carlisle         19   26   +0      -1.70    39.67    -2.35    64.04     7.79     1.65     0.30     2.41    18.06     5.97P    0.38R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     19   26   -3       2.25    64.36     0.63    59.91     7.69    -8.02     0.05     0.66     7.36     1.79P    1.40R    0.09  
Oldham           19   25   +5      -5.85    18.21    -2.21    67.54     7.90    13.13     0.77     6.51    33.77    14.51P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon          19   24   -6      -1.80    39.25    -5.74    62.50     7.81    -3.82     0.11     1.41    13.20     4.06P    0.66R    0.04  
Northampton      19   23   -1      -4.48    24.70    -3.15    62.31     8.16     2.43     0.15     1.78    14.62     4.93P    0.82R    0.06  
Crewe            19   22   -5      -1.70    40.06    -1.42    55.57     7.65   -10.18     0.00     0.14     2.56     0.59P    4.58R    0.39  
Port_Vale        19   22   -6      -1.15    43.58    -2.20    56.98     7.58    -8.64     0.00     0.17     3.59     0.82P    3.07R    0.26  
Yeovil           17   21   +4      -1.15    42.98     5.66    59.72     8.08     2.51     0.09     0.95     8.59     2.45P    1.65R    0.16  
Morecambe        19   21  -11      -0.08    50.66    -3.83    49.90     7.27   -22.81     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   16.63R    2.11  
Grimsby          19   19  -11      -1.21    42.88    -2.92    48.72     7.32   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   21.15R    2.92  
Cambridge_Utd    19   19  -13      -3.83    27.14    -8.31    52.17     7.60   -18.61     0.01     0.04     0.84     0.20P   11.01R    1.36  
Cheltenham       18   17   -9      -4.38    23.70    -3.98    50.47     7.81   -16.51     0.00     0.04     0.60     0.14P   15.29R    2.16  
Notts_County     19   15  -19      -7.89     9.84   -13.69    47.61     7.69   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   27.79R    4.68  
Macclesfield     19   10  -22      -5.47    16.43    -5.23    31.38     6.85   -47.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.98R   85.71  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 2 1 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      21   46  +29       7.91    88.78    15.06    91.67     7.23    46.13    58.09    97.58    71.08P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       21   43  +24       8.03    87.65    14.67    84.23     7.73    34.59    16.84    82.79    34.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   42  +14       9.21    92.09     8.03    80.50     7.17    20.41     6.13    67.44    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   40  +18       9.02    90.45    12.49    80.32     8.19    25.14     8.21    65.46    20.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     21   40  +11      10.62    94.64     9.99    74.08     7.25    11.26     1.09    31.99     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          21   38  +20       1.99    61.48     9.11    80.92     7.29    32.89     7.55    71.60    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          21   36   +9       4.25    73.79     4.41    74.09     7.30    14.79     1.07    33.15     8.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Sutton_United      20   34   +4       5.24    79.11     1.87    72.30     7.60     8.19     0.75    24.43     5.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh          21   32   -1       4.99    77.66     1.38    65.21     7.22    -2.35     0.04     4.84     0.88P    0.82R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       21   28   -1      -1.48    41.41    -2.46    63.14     7.20     0.76     0.02     2.93     0.63P    1.41R    0.01  
Barnet             20   28   -3      -3.41    30.30    -9.05    68.15     7.74     3.71     0.17    11.86     3.38P    0.42R    0.00  
Hartlepool         21   28   -5       0.54    53.98    -3.32    59.94     7.25    -8.02     0.01     1.16     0.23P    4.04R    0.06  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   27   +2      -2.28    36.73     0.98    63.22     7.29     5.15     0.02     3.27     0.71P    1.36R    0.03  
Halifax            21   25   -5       0.63    55.13     0.69    53.69     6.98   -12.37     0.00     0.10     0.02P   17.92R    0.74  
Barrow             21   24   -5      -2.41    36.12    -1.67    54.61     7.16   -10.08     0.00     0.16     0.03P   15.04R    0.54  
Aldershot          21   24  -14      -3.02    32.72   -11.75    55.61     7.24   -17.49     0.00     0.21     0.04P   13.66R    0.53  
Bromley            21   23   -6      -5.38    21.50    -5.19    55.80     7.40    -8.53     0.00     0.30     0.05P   12.35R    0.47  
Havant_&_Wville    21   21   -5      -2.98    34.10     3.18    49.40     7.61   -14.77     0.00     0.04     0.00P   38.94R    3.62  
Dag_&_Red          21   21   -7      -7.91    11.37    -7.46    55.31     7.33    -6.86     0.00     0.25     0.07P   13.13R    0.47  
Maidenhead         20   20  -20      -0.62    47.41    -9.07    47.37     7.27   -33.77     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.30R    6.37  
Chesterfield       21   19   -6     -11.93     3.49    -9.52    56.24     7.55    -1.45     0.00     0.43     0.12P   11.05R    0.39  
Maidstone_United   21   19  -13      -3.16    31.86    -3.38    46.15     6.93   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.15R    7.28  
Dover_Athletic     21   14  -20     -11.95     2.80   -15.76    45.13     7.23   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.64R    9.85  
Braintree_Town     21   13  -20      -5.22    19.88    -3.22    34.59     6.88   -39.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.72R   69.63