Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.35    81.36     7.08    94.56     6.08    81.11    83.74    95.82    98.93    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.00    92.17     5.03    83.51     7.03    46.64     9.70    51.75    77.28    91.14    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.21    75.30     5.83    78.73     7.10    43.52     3.41    23.93    51.84    77.24    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.58    78.30    -1.20    78.47     7.12    34.86     2.69    21.41    47.88    74.00    98.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.85    64.78     1.65    71.88     7.37    31.08     0.37     5.34    16.87    37.90    92.13     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.37    75.62     5.07    51.33     7.29    -4.62     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.24     5.43     0.33R    0.01  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.68    84.08     5.05    49.12     7.15    -9.66     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.09     2.79     0.70R    0.02  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.48    45.53    -6.77    68.16     7.26    18.42     0.09     1.72     6.95    18.71    82.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.26    60.72     2.39    54.21     7.43     1.91     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.59    10.57     0.13R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1       0.03    50.56     0.69    51.27     7.43    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     5.37     0.50R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.65    72.04     4.05    47.62     7.49    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.20     1.78R    0.13  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.40    63.52     1.51    43.17     7.12   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50     5.29R    0.42  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.33    39.97     1.70    44.52     7.39   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.86     4.39R    0.44  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.74    14.55    -1.55    41.23     7.15   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     8.45R    1.01  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.43    16.26    -7.79    36.44     6.90   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    24.63R    3.69  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.35    11.61    -4.03    37.21     7.09   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.88R    3.10  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.74    14.21    -6.53    36.86     7.12   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    23.31R    4.07  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.59    28.38    -2.69    31.73     7.02   -34.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    52.56R   13.80  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.27    29.93    -3.56    26.95     6.23   -41.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.57R   35.26  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.11    11.13    -5.93    26.99     6.97   -46.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.47R   38.03  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.22    91.34     5.88    76.50     8.16    13.55    13.08    26.26    68.07    34.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.23    64.94     3.17    79.93     7.93    24.21    24.65    43.18    82.69    55.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.71    78.52     9.00    75.26     8.33    20.23    11.48    23.50    64.12    32.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.48    77.40     4.70    73.28     8.21    13.21     7.31    16.06    53.83    24.34P    0.07R    0.01  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.22    35.44     1.12    78.55     8.47    28.80    22.31    38.62    77.30    50.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.44    52.68    -1.26    73.21     8.14    13.29     6.95    15.66    53.39    25.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.95    75.16     7.29    65.78     8.12     5.48     1.10     3.16    20.53     6.46P    0.84R    0.07  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.49    40.17    -0.20    71.79     8.30    14.90     5.60    12.87    47.48    22.95P    0.13R    0.01  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.92    69.03    -0.67    64.18     8.42    -3.25     0.96     2.51    15.60     5.28P    1.79R    0.13  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.16    80.87    -0.17    60.63     7.95   -11.95     0.19     0.73     6.83     1.76P    4.16R    0.47  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.33    28.89    -2.08    69.18     8.21    12.11     3.06     7.77    35.25    15.40P    0.28R    0.02  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.81    75.48     7.56    57.47     7.85    -6.05     0.07     0.28     3.37     0.76P    7.63R    0.97  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.69    39.29     0.47    61.97     8.12     1.24     0.32     1.21    10.45     3.14P    2.73R    0.33  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.14    30.42    -3.70    66.63     8.45     6.40     1.64     4.23    24.54     9.65P    0.98R    0.09  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.75    21.07     0.34    63.95     8.29     8.68     0.78     2.30    16.35     5.81P    1.73R    0.19  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.15    36.62    -5.41    60.82     8.39    -5.34     0.29     0.85     8.37     2.62P    4.66R    0.63  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.19    42.79    -5.68    58.11     8.04   -11.79     0.06     0.29     4.02     0.98P    7.71R    1.16  
Preston         17   18   -4      -5.01    19.84    -3.42    58.23     8.21    -3.43     0.11     0.38     4.69     1.38P    6.87R    1.01  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       0.99    58.49     0.77    47.33     7.90   -25.39     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   47.61R   15.12  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.36    23.05     0.24    48.99     8.01   -16.02     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.06P   37.42R   10.00  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.86    20.70    -3.19    53.96     8.06    -9.77     0.01     0.06     1.41     0.34P   16.81R    3.23  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.51    17.68    -5.13    53.15     8.06   -12.47     0.00     0.05     1.13     0.26P   19.70R    3.88  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.19    50.26    -1.58    42.65     7.30   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.96R   33.30  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.29     6.71    -8.06    43.33     7.80   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.79R   29.39  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.96    96.83     8.52    81.84     8.31    19.93    11.59    29.62    85.32    42.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.51    71.45     4.97    90.25     8.30    40.90    48.08    72.18    97.83    81.19P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.36    64.66     4.53    86.26     8.46    35.74    26.98    53.80    94.20    67.68P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.58    81.07     5.46    79.69     8.19    21.96     7.04    21.11    80.20    35.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.92    72.85     7.01    76.58     8.48    21.14     3.98    12.89    67.84    26.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.07    63.19     2.17    72.69     8.28    13.24     1.41     5.52    49.58    16.26P    0.19R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.42    71.57     2.04    67.24     8.10     3.42     0.28     1.43    23.63     6.05P    0.98R    0.02  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.06    69.20     1.70    66.08     8.11     1.35     0.20     0.94    19.50     4.59P    1.58R    0.04  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.33    80.59     3.53    62.45     8.01    -4.26     0.07     0.36     9.76     2.02P    3.88R    0.14  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.66    82.17     3.33    63.08     8.15    -4.88     0.08     0.41    11.09     2.19P    3.88R    0.13  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.52    72.29    -1.80    59.88     7.79   -11.65     0.01     0.10     4.90     0.89P    7.47R    0.31  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.61    40.29     3.70    64.39     8.12     7.95     0.09     0.57    15.56     4.09P    2.36R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.52    47.03    -0.73    63.17     8.46     0.14     0.11     0.54    12.90     3.47P    3.94R    0.13  
Southend             18   23   -2      -1.01    44.11    -0.91    61.35     8.08    -2.16     0.02     0.17     7.87     1.78P    5.58R    0.23  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.79    56.05     4.43    55.31     8.19    -9.01     0.00     0.04     2.13     0.43P   19.90R    1.64  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.74    27.35    -3.30    60.24     8.04    -1.52     0.02     0.13     6.12     1.61P    6.83R    0.32  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.80    27.70    -9.77    60.17     8.30    -9.43     0.02     0.16     6.26     1.52P    8.43R    0.48  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.38    42.04    -4.58    55.36     8.09   -15.11     0.00     0.02     1.70     0.35P   20.69R    1.87  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.72    22.29    -0.76    53.17     8.07    -9.34     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.20P   27.38R    2.67  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -5.10    20.38    -3.38    54.31     8.14    -9.35     0.00     0.01     1.54     0.34P   23.12R    2.17  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.70    13.60     0.36    52.42     7.93    -5.17     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.17P   29.49R    2.83  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.83    12.40    -7.26    44.91     7.83   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   68.74R   18.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.57     8.70    -7.39    39.89     7.46   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.28R   41.33  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.86     5.95   -11.87    42.64     7.79   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.23R   27.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.33    76.00     4.22    87.84     7.99    34.00    47.38    81.94    97.59    87.07P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.49    89.83     9.21    83.64     8.24    28.78    24.70    64.84    92.65    71.98P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.51    91.97    -0.07    66.89     7.96    -7.34     0.53     4.44    26.43     7.70P    0.11R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.92    62.01     6.49    75.84     7.94    22.76     5.42    27.76    72.12    39.08P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.42    59.08     5.91    77.27     7.85    24.69     7.17    34.07    78.20    46.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       0.95    56.15     2.48    74.56     8.02    18.35     3.96    22.65    65.78    33.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       5.00    79.10     7.34    69.07     8.20     9.09     1.01     8.23    38.24    14.17P    0.08R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.21    35.60     4.09    76.99     8.27    28.58     7.79    34.44    76.34    47.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.57    66.42    -0.11    64.96     7.93    -0.83     0.25     2.81    20.13     6.23P    0.22R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       2.97    69.19     9.12    63.02     7.93     4.55     0.17     1.89    15.09     4.19P    0.40R    0.01  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.31    48.51    -1.36    66.21     8.10     3.89     0.44     4.15    25.27     9.05P    0.19R    0.01  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.54    18.51    -2.29    67.95     8.20    13.29     0.75     6.96    34.73    15.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.53    60.96    -0.99    57.32     7.87   -12.51     0.02     0.29     4.11     0.85P    2.77R    0.21  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.83    27.31    -2.78    63.50     8.31     3.70     0.18     2.25    17.41     6.03P    0.55R    0.01  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -1.11    43.32     0.33    58.00     7.96    -5.53     0.02     0.38     5.19     1.31P    2.24R    0.13  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5       0.02    50.89    -1.46    58.86     7.78    -6.94     0.02     0.37     5.43     1.37P    1.78R    0.12  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.21    52.25     6.68    62.29     8.36     5.30     0.15     1.78    14.54     4.39P    0.86R    0.03  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.23    30.11    -6.40    60.56     7.99    -5.28     0.04     0.70     8.82     2.53P    1.27R    0.04  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.24    52.70    -3.95    50.42     7.49   -22.64     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   14.41R    1.11  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.24    42.52    -3.55    48.42     7.49   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   21.20R    2.04  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.66    27.48    -8.64    51.85     7.74   -19.60     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.18P   10.69R    0.96  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.81    15.59    -4.66    48.53     7.94   -17.94     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P   20.81R    2.22  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.49    10.31   -13.64    47.80     7.86   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   25.39R    2.97  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -7.08     8.33    -5.95    28.67     6.98   -50.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.97R   90.10  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.70    85.56    13.73    89.57     7.42    43.39    47.30    94.96    62.66P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.54    89.72    14.82    84.63     7.95    34.76    21.27    82.43    36.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.07    94.39     9.45    82.46     7.32    23.24    12.08    75.42    27.75P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      11.01    95.53     9.98    74.27     7.47    10.91     1.58    32.33     6.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.41    89.61    12.14    79.20     8.33    24.03     7.79    59.49    18.70P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.85    54.50     8.83    79.42     7.48    32.06     6.49    63.18    23.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.66    85.36     3.01    74.82     7.72    10.89     1.89    35.40     9.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.73    66.56     3.65    71.87     7.50    12.92     0.76    22.99     5.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.19    79.13     1.10    65.68     7.49    -2.15     0.12     5.81     1.10P    0.73R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.70    46.00    -2.29    64.40     7.40     1.66     0.07     4.36     0.99P    0.84R    0.00  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.40    35.18    -8.52    70.21     7.97     5.72     0.62    17.62     5.32P    0.20R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.57    60.24    -2.82    61.71     7.43    -6.47     0.02     2.07     0.40P    2.22R    0.04  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.71    55.26     2.86    55.92     7.18    -6.99     0.00     0.26     0.04P    9.35R    0.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.46    35.55    -1.00    60.52     7.47    -0.34     0.01     1.46     0.34P    3.09R    0.09  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -2.02    38.17   -10.27    58.00     7.46   -14.04     0.00     0.60     0.12P    6.79R    0.19  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.48    24.71    -3.95    58.07     7.71    -5.17     0.00     0.89     0.22P    6.76R    0.27  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.70    28.34    -3.11    52.08     7.33   -13.42     0.00     0.08     0.01P   22.38R    1.39  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.66    34.24    -1.97    48.31     7.19   -18.84     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.58R    4.07  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.43     3.62    -9.27    56.48     7.67    -1.66     0.00     0.52     0.15P    9.06R    0.38  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.26    31.88     2.06    46.39     7.73   -19.67     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.68R    7.70  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -8.88     8.23    -8.51    52.85     7.59   -10.11     0.00     0.11     0.03P   19.68R    1.29  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.38    35.99   -10.21    44.61     7.39   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.91R   11.91  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.92    21.23    -3.22    35.60     7.04   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.50R   57.91  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.40     1.20   -16.49    43.26     7.46   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.15R   14.46