Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.34    81.25     7.07    94.57     6.08    81.20    83.84    95.94    99.00    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.04    92.14     5.15    83.40     7.06    46.41     9.77    51.46    76.53    90.92    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.25    75.79     5.93    78.61     7.06    43.27     3.32    23.61    51.12    76.53    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.60    78.35    -1.18    78.43     7.12    34.86     2.55    21.65    48.44    74.04    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.84    64.50     1.64    71.97     7.34    31.19     0.44     5.46    17.66    38.34    92.17     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.27    74.93     4.93    51.44     7.24    -4.38     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.20     5.42     0.34R    0.01  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.73    84.27     5.10    49.01     7.12    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.60     0.73R    0.05  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.55    44.85    -6.89    68.34     7.25    18.72     0.08     1.86     7.02    19.26    83.36     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.29    61.15     2.46    54.12     7.43     1.78     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.54    10.14     0.15R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1      -0.06    49.98     0.55    51.47     7.44    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.23     5.69     0.45R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.72    72.71     4.20    47.42     7.48    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.03     1.86R    0.12  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.34    62.96     1.39    43.15     7.12   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     5.25R    0.47  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.29    40.09     1.74    44.39     7.32   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71     4.36R    0.37  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.71    14.85    -1.51    41.21     7.16   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     8.67R    0.98  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.40    16.52    -7.75    36.46     6.94   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    24.60R    3.87  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.33    11.79    -3.98    37.14     7.03   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    21.20R    3.13  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.72    14.11    -6.54    36.91     7.09   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    23.11R    4.10  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.60    28.17    -2.73    31.80     7.04   -34.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.34R   13.80  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.28    29.69    -3.61    27.04     6.25   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.12R   34.87  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.11    11.21    -5.97    26.98     6.95   -46.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.82R   38.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.31    91.53     6.03    76.29     8.15    13.25    12.43    25.12    67.04    33.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.18    64.75     3.11    80.00     7.97    24.33    25.02    43.43    82.99    55.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.77    78.88     9.10    75.11     8.27    20.02    10.98    22.73    63.38    32.14P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.51    77.64     4.72    73.25     8.19    13.12     7.04    15.68    53.62    23.77P    0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.38    34.20     0.86    78.83     8.47    29.24    23.37    40.15    78.39    52.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.41    52.40    -1.28    73.25     8.19    13.33     6.94    15.96    53.65    25.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.92    75.06     7.22    65.74     8.18     5.48     1.09     3.30    20.83     6.51P    0.86R    0.06  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.60    39.28    -0.37    72.06     8.28    15.24     5.83    13.45    48.43    23.78P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.85    68.73    -0.73    64.27     8.32    -3.05     0.89     2.35    15.65     5.07P    1.63R    0.14  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.12    80.80    -0.19    60.63     7.94   -11.95     0.19     0.66     7.11     1.66P    4.07R    0.40  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.36    28.56    -2.07    69.18     8.22    12.09     3.09     7.61    35.28    15.07P    0.30R    0.02  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.82    75.32     7.60    57.41     7.87    -6.15     0.05     0.25     3.38     0.75P    7.89R    0.94  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.68    39.41     0.53    62.06     8.12     1.39     0.36     1.20    10.59     3.12P    2.74R    0.26  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.09    30.72    -3.62    66.50     8.42     6.18     1.57     4.22    24.19     9.60P    0.96R    0.09  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.65    21.86     0.52    63.69     8.29     8.33     0.70     2.25    15.74     5.63P    1.82R    0.21  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.11    36.69    -5.32    60.71     8.39    -5.51     0.25     0.82     8.10     2.46P    4.77R    0.74  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.13    43.49    -5.63    57.91     8.06   -12.06     0.07     0.29     3.94     0.99P    8.11R    1.20  
Preston         17   18   -4      -4.97    20.03    -3.37    58.15     8.21    -3.55     0.11     0.38     4.51     1.32P    7.34R    0.99  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       0.87    57.64     0.53    47.55     7.96   -25.02     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   46.90R   14.61  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.32    23.04     0.25    48.93     8.03   -16.11     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.08P   37.68R   10.28  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.71    21.54    -3.01    53.88     8.09    -9.92     0.01     0.04     1.39     0.32P   17.48R    3.45  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.63    17.21    -5.29    53.36     8.08   -12.18     0.02     0.08     1.21     0.35P   18.95R    3.71  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.21    49.95    -1.63    42.81     7.28   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   71.18R   32.86  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.25     6.73    -7.96    43.23     7.82   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.00R   30.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.98    96.80     8.57    81.74     8.25    19.78    10.99    28.44    85.30    41.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.40    70.63     4.79    90.33     8.36    41.04    48.35    72.25    97.77    81.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.38    64.40     4.52    86.36     8.41    35.81    27.23    54.33    94.29    68.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.52    80.95     5.35    79.77     8.19    22.08     6.91    21.19    80.33    36.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.87    72.57     6.93    76.73     8.44    21.37     4.07    13.23    68.82    27.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.09    63.75     2.23    72.66     8.35    13.17     1.52     5.59    49.10    16.32P    0.20R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.31    71.12     1.92    67.44     8.19     3.71     0.33     1.57    24.62     6.45P    1.02R    0.01  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.07    68.95     1.73    66.02     8.03     1.29     0.20     0.93    19.11     4.49P    1.46R    0.04  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.33    80.88     3.52    62.54     8.03    -4.14     0.05     0.31    10.08     2.08P    3.99R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.69    82.02     3.37    62.99     8.21    -5.00     0.09     0.44    10.85     2.20P    4.12R    0.13  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.61    72.64    -1.65    59.70     7.83   -11.93     0.02     0.10     4.75     0.92P    8.06R    0.40  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.57    40.50     3.76    64.25     8.10     7.74     0.08     0.52    15.11     3.82P    2.47R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.39    47.89    -0.57    63.09     8.50     0.00     0.09     0.58    12.90     3.38P    4.10R    0.16  
Southend             18   23   -2      -0.95    44.48    -0.80    61.22     8.07    -2.32     0.02     0.19     7.61     1.80P    5.67R    0.22  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.78    56.20     4.41    55.33     8.11    -8.97     0.01     0.02     1.91     0.35P   19.86R    1.60  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.65    27.64    -3.13    60.02     7.94    -1.83     0.01     0.09     5.84     1.37P    7.07R    0.29  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.86    27.29    -9.82    60.21     8.28    -9.35     0.02     0.16     6.25     1.50P    8.36R    0.47  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.40    41.87    -4.64    55.39     8.09   -15.12     0.00     0.02     1.88     0.38P   20.63R    1.84  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.69    22.77    -0.73    53.09     8.09    -9.48     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.20P   27.95R    2.91  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -5.01    20.90    -3.27    54.24     8.11    -9.49     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.28P   23.47R    2.26  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.78    13.20     0.24    52.62     7.95    -4.86     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.21P   28.71R    2.88  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.91    12.01    -7.44    45.05     7.87   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.92R   17.90  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.72     8.45    -7.57    40.18     7.59   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.03R   40.14  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.77     6.18   -11.69    42.49     7.81   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   78.85R   28.54  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.37    76.53     4.29    87.83     7.98    33.97    46.84    82.07    97.65    86.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.50    89.84     9.24    83.68     8.17    28.84    25.06    65.05    92.96    72.12P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.54    92.20    -0.00    66.82     7.94    -7.42     0.51     4.26    25.91     7.51P    0.09R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.87    61.65     6.45    75.92     7.94    22.85     5.45    28.06    72.36    39.77P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.44    58.91     5.92    77.29     7.90    24.77     7.23    34.17    77.95    46.90P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       0.92    55.96     2.41    74.64     8.01    18.43     4.03    22.37    66.19    34.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       4.94    78.72     7.27    69.06     8.33     9.13     1.11     8.41    38.39    14.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.18    36.01     4.13    77.02     8.27    28.54     7.86    35.10    76.06    47.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.50    66.09    -0.19    65.02     7.87    -0.77     0.26     2.68    20.24     6.05P    0.21R    0.01  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       3.06    69.50     9.25    62.92     7.91     4.38     0.12     1.63    14.96     3.98P    0.44R    0.01  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.35    47.91    -1.41    66.26     8.01     3.98     0.38     3.75    25.63     8.69P    0.16R    0.01  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.62    18.19    -2.41    68.11     8.09    13.48     0.73     6.80    35.09    15.25P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.49    60.30    -0.97    57.24     7.80   -12.65     0.02     0.24     3.91     0.82P    2.79R    0.19  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.94    26.64    -2.92    63.56     8.27     3.76     0.18     2.17    17.27     5.94P    0.57R    0.03  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -1.05    43.88     0.41    57.96     7.96    -5.59     0.02     0.32     4.93     1.25P    2.28R    0.12  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5       0.00    50.77    -1.49    58.89     7.78    -6.89     0.02     0.39     5.51     1.42P    1.66R    0.09  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.27    52.62     6.77    62.21     8.33     5.19     0.15     1.73    14.13     4.17P    0.74R    0.04  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.26    30.03    -6.44    60.60     7.96    -5.26     0.04     0.73     8.86     2.45P    1.23R    0.04  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.24    52.88    -3.99    50.35     7.47   -22.74     0.00     0.02     0.39     0.07P   14.45R    1.12  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.22    43.04    -3.52    48.40     7.50   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   21.02R    1.97  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.65    27.44    -8.66    51.77     7.80   -19.67     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.18P   11.11R    0.98  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.73    16.14    -4.58    48.52     8.01   -17.90     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.08P   21.04R    2.36  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.50    10.25   -13.70    47.85     7.87   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   25.19R    2.92  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -7.01     8.38    -5.85    28.62     6.95   -50.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.89R   90.11  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.84    85.77    13.93    89.47     7.46    43.23    46.52    94.81    61.67P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.44    89.61    14.69    84.70     8.00    34.82    21.57    82.44    36.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.09    94.41     9.45    82.47     7.31    23.24    11.75    75.56    27.69P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      10.98    95.65     9.97    74.22     7.45    10.82     1.58    31.80     6.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.32    89.31    11.99    79.29     8.39    24.11     8.10    59.29    19.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.77    54.27     8.70    79.57     7.54    32.30     6.89    63.72    24.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.59    85.31     2.92    75.01     7.73    11.16     2.06    36.43     9.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.64    65.84     3.49    72.00     7.48    13.13     0.77    23.33     5.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.36    79.73     1.37    65.45     7.43    -2.51     0.07     5.36     1.02P    0.72R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.58    46.85    -2.08    64.24     7.35     1.45     0.06     3.91     0.87P    0.84R    0.00  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.27    35.93    -8.39    70.21     7.92     5.68     0.59    17.32     5.24P    0.15R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.60    60.55    -2.75    61.51     7.47    -6.68     0.02     1.98     0.38P    2.45R    0.06  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.73    55.38     2.93    55.89     7.17    -7.03     0.00     0.33     0.05P    9.41R    0.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.56    35.00    -1.16    60.70     7.51    -0.10     0.01     1.55     0.35P    3.05R    0.10  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -1.97    38.45   -10.21    57.92     7.46   -14.12     0.00     0.59     0.10P    7.16R    0.19  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.58    24.48    -4.10    58.15     7.68    -5.02     0.01     0.87     0.17P    6.43R    0.21  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.64    28.85    -3.00    51.99     7.32   -13.52     0.00     0.07     0.01P   22.67R    1.42  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.76    33.69    -2.16    48.40     7.21   -18.66     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.72R    3.96  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.47     3.66    -9.35    56.52     7.71    -1.57     0.00     0.50     0.13P    9.13R    0.42  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.34    31.31     1.97    46.54     7.71   -19.49     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.83R    7.48  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -8.96     7.86    -8.62    52.87     7.50   -10.06     0.00     0.12     0.03P   19.70R    1.17  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.28    36.51   -10.03    44.40     7.33   -37.09     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.05R   11.99  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.85    21.59    -3.13    35.55     7.07   -38.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.26R   58.49  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.39     1.25   -16.43    43.26     7.43   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.37R   14.21