Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.34    81.38     7.08    94.56     6.02    81.06    83.91    95.99    98.92    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.03    92.39     5.09    83.48     7.04    46.57     9.54    51.78    76.99    90.97    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.30    75.85     6.01    78.57     7.09    43.17     3.18    22.99    50.65    76.40    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.54    78.22    -1.30    78.55     7.11    35.08     2.83    21.84    48.88    74.54    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.77    63.98     1.52    72.04     7.33    31.27     0.45     5.59    17.48    38.58    92.35     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.34    75.37     5.06    51.36     7.25    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     5.30     0.33R    0.01  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.71    84.05     5.08    49.03     7.18    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.67     0.77R    0.02  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.52    45.08    -6.85    68.23     7.22    18.54     0.09     1.77     6.89    18.70    83.14     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.22    60.49     2.32    54.21     7.43     1.86     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.48    10.16     0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1      -0.02    50.06     0.57    51.48     7.38    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     5.65     0.42R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.71    72.69     4.19    47.48     7.49    -8.35     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     2.09     1.74R    0.11  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.38    63.21     1.51    43.10     7.06   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     5.34R    0.43  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.35    39.75     1.68    44.57     7.40   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79     4.18R    0.39  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.71    14.93    -1.53    41.22     7.18   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     8.60R    1.01  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.45    16.43    -7.79    36.48     6.97   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    24.51R    3.65  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.36    11.80    -4.03    37.22     7.09   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.84R    3.13  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.73    14.07    -6.51    36.80     7.06   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    23.33R    4.07  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.55    28.42    -2.70    31.79     7.08   -34.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.18R   13.58  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.25    29.93    -3.53    26.92     6.23   -41.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.71R   35.20  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.09    11.22    -5.90    26.91     6.92   -46.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.95R   38.38  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.43    91.86     6.19    76.12     8.17    12.99    12.15    24.68    66.21    32.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.19    64.60     3.12    79.99     7.94    24.28    25.07    43.61    83.00    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.68    78.65     8.98    75.29     8.27    20.33    11.43    23.48    64.25    32.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.60    78.00     4.84    73.25     8.21    13.11     7.13    15.77    53.47    23.91P    0.10R    0.01  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.44    33.75     0.78    78.83     8.41    29.27    23.33    40.21    78.67    52.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.44    52.95    -1.26    73.15     8.13    13.20     6.65    15.46    53.23    25.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.99    75.48     7.35    65.74     8.09     5.46     1.03     3.07    20.53     6.26P    0.88R    0.06  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.68    38.70    -0.44    72.17     8.27    15.40     5.89    13.77    48.97    24.18P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.89    68.99    -0.73    64.23     8.27    -3.11     0.77     2.24    15.31     4.77P    1.56R    0.14  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.22    81.68    -0.09    60.48     7.95   -12.15     0.20     0.66     6.57     1.54P    4.28R    0.46  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.44    27.97    -2.22    69.24     8.17    12.23     3.06     7.52    35.44    15.28P    0.26R    0.01  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.92    75.86     7.72    57.34     7.87    -6.28     0.07     0.24     3.26     0.66P    7.80R    0.92  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.67    39.28     0.53    61.94     8.15     1.21     0.34     1.10    10.58     3.15P    2.84R    0.32  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.16    30.49    -3.71    66.59     8.34     6.33     1.52     4.05    23.98     9.34P    0.89R    0.08  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.69    21.56     0.47    63.85     8.34     8.53     0.86     2.42    16.08     5.79P    1.84R    0.21  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.19    36.35    -5.45    60.89     8.36    -5.27     0.25     0.87     8.27     2.54P    4.35R    0.56  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.24    42.42    -5.75    58.11     8.16   -11.76     0.11     0.33     4.27     1.10P    7.98R    1.24  
Preston         17   18   -4      -5.00    19.73    -3.39    58.20     8.23    -3.46     0.10     0.37     4.76     1.39P    7.19R    1.00  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       1.01    58.64     0.77    47.38     7.89   -25.30     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   47.19R   14.94  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.37    22.86     0.21    48.93     8.01   -16.14     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   37.72R   10.25  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.75    21.00    -3.06    53.96     8.06    -9.83     0.03     0.07     1.43     0.35P   16.80R    3.22  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.57    17.51    -5.22    53.23     8.07   -12.32     0.01     0.06     1.20     0.30P   19.51R    3.78  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.16    50.39    -1.50    42.69     7.27   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.71R   33.21  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.33     6.49    -8.14    43.26     7.77   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.89R   29.58  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      11.10    96.86     8.76    81.52     8.25    19.47    10.83    28.44    84.78    41.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.44    70.77     4.85    90.22     8.40    40.95    48.76    72.48    97.71    81.36P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.53    65.27     4.74    86.15     8.47    35.47    27.00    53.87    94.01    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.63    81.35     5.51    79.59     8.17    21.80     7.00    21.05    80.08    35.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.76    72.04     6.78    76.85     8.43    21.54     4.25    13.83    69.58    28.11P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.27    64.83     2.49    72.35     8.32    12.71     1.22     5.31    47.95    15.73P    0.24R    0.01  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.33    71.46     1.92    67.43     8.18     3.72     0.34     1.60    24.64     6.61P    0.93R    0.01  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.15    69.64     1.80    65.95     8.01     1.19     0.16     0.89    18.90     4.48P    1.58R    0.04  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.37    81.13     3.62    62.44     8.05    -4.29     0.07     0.33     9.97     2.14P    4.14R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.62    81.93     3.24    63.15     8.17    -4.74     0.08     0.41    11.40     2.37P    3.87R    0.13  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.60    72.61    -1.71    59.77     7.91   -11.84     0.01     0.12     5.06     0.99P    8.15R    0.35  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.59    40.22     3.73    64.22     8.09     7.72     0.10     0.56    14.90     3.95P    2.40R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.54    47.07    -0.78    63.31     8.42     0.34     0.09     0.55    13.30     3.39P    3.79R    0.12  
Southend             18   23   -2      -0.98    44.29    -0.87    61.37     8.11    -2.10     0.04     0.23     8.27     1.99P    5.56R    0.27  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.85    56.57     4.55    55.25     8.14    -9.08     0.00     0.02     1.97     0.33P   20.43R    1.70  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.72    27.38    -3.25    60.15     7.98    -1.65     0.01     0.11     5.84     1.46P    7.06R    0.35  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.88    27.34    -9.89    60.20     8.26    -9.38     0.01     0.14     6.26     1.44P    8.49R    0.48  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.43    41.66    -4.69    55.42     8.07   -15.03     0.00     0.02     1.84     0.31P   20.62R    1.82  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.79    22.21    -0.89    53.30     8.11    -9.10     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.27P   27.09R    2.74  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -5.12    20.36    -3.40    54.35     8.05    -9.33     0.00     0.01     1.43     0.25P   23.02R    2.16  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.75    13.19     0.28    52.54     7.84    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.14P   28.77R    2.94  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.94    11.96    -7.48    45.09     7.84   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   68.31R   17.77  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.70     8.53    -7.56    40.14     7.52   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.81R   40.56  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.80     6.07   -11.75    42.57     7.74   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   78.69R   28.38  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.24    75.43     4.05    88.01     7.95    34.30    48.29    82.68    97.78    87.56P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.53    89.96     9.27    83.47     8.19    28.57    23.92    64.42    92.60    71.83P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.54    91.92    -0.03    66.89     7.93    -7.37     0.48     4.32    26.41     7.70P    0.11R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.93    62.24     6.52    75.76     7.96    22.65     5.22    27.46    71.65    39.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.37    58.70     5.82    77.43     7.88    24.93     7.51    34.54    78.54    47.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       1.02    56.49     2.55    74.61     8.04    18.37     4.09    22.62    65.94    34.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       4.89    78.45     7.21    69.16     8.15     9.22     0.92     7.91    38.93    14.12P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.21    36.03     4.08    76.99     8.28    28.55     7.57    34.87    76.07    47.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.55    66.21    -0.13    64.95     7.92    -0.88     0.26     2.68    19.83     6.12P    0.23R    0.01  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       3.11    69.83     9.33    62.81     7.95     4.23     0.13     1.71    14.75     3.92P    0.47R    0.01  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.27    48.42    -1.31    66.17     8.07     3.85     0.43     3.95    25.26     8.74P    0.18R    0.00  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.64    18.31    -2.42    68.17     8.20    13.58     0.80     7.17    35.68    15.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.43    60.11    -1.14    57.40     7.88   -12.43     0.02     0.26     4.16     0.92P    2.69R    0.19  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.98    26.43    -3.00    63.66     8.28     3.90     0.16     2.25    17.61     6.04P    0.50R    0.03  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -0.95    44.58     0.55    57.80     7.90    -5.85     0.02     0.35     4.70     1.19P    2.24R    0.10  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5      -0.04    50.71    -1.54    58.99     7.74    -6.78     0.02     0.36     5.70     1.34P    1.61R    0.08  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.32    52.66     6.79    62.17     8.40     5.14     0.13     1.75    14.04     4.03P    0.89R    0.07  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.10    31.11    -6.21    60.32     7.95    -5.65     0.02     0.63     8.14     2.20P    1.30R    0.06  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.12    51.98    -4.10    50.58     7.57   -22.44     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.09P   14.33R    1.23  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.21    42.72    -3.53    48.43     7.51   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   21.03R    2.11  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.63    27.71    -8.61    51.78     7.76   -19.69     0.00     0.03     0.81     0.16P   11.02R    0.95  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.73    16.07    -4.55    48.49     7.94   -18.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   20.94R    2.32  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.51    10.49   -13.69    47.83     7.92   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   25.47R    2.94  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -7.05     8.56    -5.92    28.69     7.00   -50.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.83R   89.88  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.73    85.59    13.80    89.52     7.40    43.31    47.06    94.70    62.10P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.61    89.92    14.94    84.55     7.97    34.62    20.96    82.01    36.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.10    94.55     9.48    82.42     7.29    23.19    11.71    75.22    27.55P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      11.04    95.71    10.05    74.23     7.50    10.82     1.61    31.96     6.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.33    89.39    12.00    79.37     8.34    24.23     8.25    60.13    19.53P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.75    54.23     8.70    79.57     7.49    32.31     6.89    63.78    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.54    84.71     2.83    75.08     7.79    11.26     2.13    36.66     9.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.75    66.41     3.65    71.80     7.48    12.90     0.68    22.84     5.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.25    79.44     1.20    65.48     7.39    -2.39     0.07     5.37     1.01P    0.66R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.71    45.84    -2.24    64.28     7.38     1.47     0.03     4.12     0.91P    0.82R    0.00  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.43    35.27    -8.60    70.30     7.90     5.84     0.55    17.54     5.37P    0.16R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.69    60.92    -2.64    61.49     7.38    -6.73     0.02     1.82     0.35P    2.37R    0.05  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.76    55.68     2.94    55.85     7.18    -7.06     0.00     0.27     0.03P    9.32R    0.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.43    35.68    -0.97    60.56     7.50    -0.33     0.01     1.51     0.36P    3.13R    0.08  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -1.89    39.06   -10.10    57.82     7.49   -14.33     0.00     0.59     0.11P    7.43R    0.23  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.48    24.81    -3.95    58.10     7.65    -5.14     0.01     0.80     0.18P    6.62R    0.22  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.74    28.27    -3.13    52.04     7.34   -13.45     0.00     0.07     0.01P   22.81R    1.32  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.59    34.47    -1.91    48.27     7.19   -18.92     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.78R    4.18  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.59     3.37    -9.49    56.62     7.71    -1.47     0.00     0.50     0.15P    8.90R    0.38  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.28    31.60     2.00    46.49     7.64   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00P   51.42R    7.35  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -9.07     7.65    -8.78    53.00     7.52    -9.92     0.00     0.10     0.02P   19.31R    1.26  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.43    35.76   -10.29    44.73     7.46   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.22R   11.76  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.93    21.22    -3.20    35.63     7.11   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.26R   58.06  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.29     1.24   -16.30    43.19     7.47   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.69R   14.84