Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.34    81.35     7.09    94.52     6.09    81.04    83.63    95.82    98.88    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.03    92.22     5.09    83.46     7.11    46.56     9.76    52.02    76.74    90.70    99.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.27    75.57     5.99    78.57     7.09    43.16     3.36    23.05    51.17    76.54    98.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.58    78.37    -1.20    78.46     7.07    34.90     2.71    21.44    48.28    74.21    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.81    64.34     1.57    72.01     7.36    31.28     0.45     5.75    17.64    38.48    92.08     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.34    75.27     5.02    51.41     7.29    -4.49     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     5.46     0.36R    0.01  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.71    84.27     5.08    49.00     7.19    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.78     0.75R    0.04  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.55    44.88    -6.87    68.31     7.26    18.67     0.10     1.90     7.11    19.07    82.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.19    60.04     2.31    54.27     7.45     1.99     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.61    10.46     0.11R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1       0.01    50.46     0.64    51.43     7.41    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     5.67     0.43R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.77    73.27     4.25    47.34     7.47    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     2.02     1.88R    0.14  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.38    63.44     1.47    43.06     7.11   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     5.50R    0.49  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.35    39.59     1.73    44.50     7.33   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.76     4.16R    0.34  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.75    14.58    -1.62    41.34     7.25   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     8.61R    1.05  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.38    16.66    -7.72    36.50     6.96   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.68R    3.74  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.35    11.68    -4.02    37.22     7.04   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.93R    3.32  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.67    14.42    -6.40    36.68     7.05   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.04R    4.41  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.56    28.42    -2.71    31.76     7.05   -34.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.26R   13.99  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.29    29.76    -3.58    26.97     6.23   -41.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.37R   35.47  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.19    10.69    -6.12    27.18     6.94   -46.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.92R   36.96  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.34    91.57     6.02    76.25     8.20    13.19    12.56    25.28    66.67    33.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.14    64.28     3.04    80.06     7.93    24.39    25.33    43.96    83.28    56.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.77    78.86     9.11    75.10     8.26    20.05    10.82    22.79    63.52    32.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.63    77.79     4.91    73.15     8.23    13.00     7.30    15.65    52.99    23.68P    0.08R    0.01  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.36    34.14     0.89    78.79     8.45    29.18    23.06    40.20    78.34    52.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.45    52.97    -1.29    73.21     8.19    13.28     6.77    15.60    53.42    25.75P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.93    75.31     7.24    65.77     8.08     5.51     1.04     3.05    20.50     6.28P    0.81R    0.06  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.66    38.67    -0.45    72.07     8.33    15.25     6.06    13.60    48.87    23.83P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.81    68.39    -0.79    64.25     8.34    -3.08     0.76     2.27    15.83     4.94P    1.73R    0.16  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.14    81.17    -0.18    60.67     7.95   -11.96     0.20     0.69     6.97     1.67P    3.91R    0.38  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.40    28.18    -2.17    69.27     8.14    12.29     2.98     7.59    35.42    15.29P    0.28R    0.02  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.89    75.72     7.66    57.37     7.84    -6.24     0.05     0.19     3.29     0.62P    7.86R    1.05  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.69    39.17     0.50    61.94     8.08     1.21     0.35     1.10    10.27     2.99P    2.69R    0.26  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.09    30.51    -3.64    66.54     8.42     6.23     1.45     4.11    24.16     9.55P    0.94R    0.09  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.67    21.69     0.50    63.82     8.25     8.44     0.79     2.20    15.98     5.55P    1.70R    0.18  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.24    36.12    -5.54    61.01     8.41    -5.13     0.26     0.95     8.74     2.70P    4.44R    0.63  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.29    42.28    -5.83    58.26     8.06   -11.56     0.09     0.32     4.21     1.14P    7.37R    1.16  
Preston         17   18   -4      -5.02    19.85    -3.41    58.08     8.20    -3.61     0.09     0.33     4.44     1.22P    7.39R    1.03  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       1.04    58.98     0.82    47.28     7.92   -25.39     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   47.98R   15.11  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.27    23.27     0.38    48.87     7.99   -16.21     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.06P   37.58R   10.22  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.76    20.85    -3.06    53.94     8.00    -9.80     0.02     0.06     1.38     0.32P   16.88R    3.07  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.61    17.30    -5.25    53.33     8.09   -12.23     0.01     0.05     1.17     0.28P   18.94R    3.62  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.16    50.43    -1.53    42.73     7.28   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.49R   32.58  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.22     6.77    -7.94    43.11     7.76   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   67.65R   30.34  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.94    96.68     8.53    81.75     8.35    19.83    11.70    29.28    85.10    41.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.54    71.76     5.03    90.01     8.32    40.61    46.75    71.02    97.70    80.26P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.33    64.42     4.49    86.51     8.39    36.02    28.26    55.48    94.46    69.05P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.63    81.21     5.55    79.60     8.19    21.84     6.95    20.72    80.12    35.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.85    72.65     6.90    76.68     8.39    21.34     4.08    13.00    68.97    27.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.09    63.74     2.22    72.64     8.28    13.17     1.33     5.53    49.18    16.29P    0.17R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.37    71.52     1.95    67.38     8.12     3.66     0.31     1.41    24.11     6.26P    1.01R    0.03  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.12    69.29     1.79    65.91     8.10     1.13     0.19     0.97    18.92     4.44P    1.56R    0.03  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.25    80.54     3.46    62.54     7.95    -4.13     0.05     0.32     9.71     2.04P    3.81R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.64    81.96     3.29    63.08     8.13    -4.86     0.08     0.42    10.91     2.21P    3.82R    0.13  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.58    72.53    -1.73    59.75     7.82   -11.85     0.01     0.09     4.85     0.85P    7.93R    0.32  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.61    40.15     3.68    64.37     8.13     7.91     0.10     0.60    15.63     4.22P    2.37R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.54    46.69    -0.79    63.28     8.49     0.30     0.08     0.59    13.25     3.52P    3.85R    0.15  
Southend             18   23   -2      -0.98    44.46    -0.83    61.34     8.11    -2.23     0.04     0.22     7.97     1.89P    5.58R    0.20  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.96    57.11     4.67    55.07     8.11    -9.41     0.01     0.03     1.89     0.31P   20.73R    1.78  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.80    27.08    -3.37    60.30     7.95    -1.46     0.02     0.13     6.02     1.51P    6.61R    0.28  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.81    27.65    -9.80    60.18     8.27    -9.38     0.03     0.16     6.20     1.51P    8.40R    0.52  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.34    42.32    -4.57    55.30     8.03   -15.23     0.00     0.02     1.65     0.31P   20.76R    1.89  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.66    22.63    -0.64    53.06     8.05    -9.53     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.20P   28.00R    2.84  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -4.99    20.89    -3.22    54.12     8.08    -9.65     0.01     0.01     1.39     0.28P   24.06R    2.21  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.80    13.14     0.19    52.71     7.89    -4.73     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.18P   28.10R    2.63  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.92    11.99    -7.45    45.07     7.87   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   67.93R   18.17  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.59     8.79    -7.45    40.02     7.45   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   87.11R   41.11  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.85     5.97   -11.90    42.68     7.80   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   78.12R   27.52  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.44    76.71     4.40    87.72     7.98    33.78    46.76    81.37    97.52    86.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.48    89.85     9.21    83.68     8.12    28.90    24.93    65.32    93.06    72.41P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.41    91.74    -0.18    67.05     7.98    -7.11     0.55     4.47    27.05     7.95P    0.09R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.88    62.02     6.46    75.89     7.98    22.84     5.65    28.23    72.33    39.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.47    59.28     5.93    77.29     7.86    24.67     7.15    33.86    78.07    46.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       0.88    55.59     2.35    74.75     7.99    18.59     4.12    23.31    66.60    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       4.92    78.58     7.22    69.10     8.18     9.14     0.94     7.99    38.47    14.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.12    36.15     4.21    76.95     8.34    28.54     7.97    34.61    75.66    47.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.50    66.19    -0.22    65.04     7.90    -0.68     0.25     2.84    20.35     6.31P    0.20R    0.01  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       2.98    69.17     9.10    63.08     7.95     4.65     0.14     1.86    15.27     4.31P    0.43R    0.02  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.32    48.33    -1.36    66.15     8.02     3.81     0.37     3.79    25.09     8.56P    0.19R    0.01  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.36    19.62    -2.02    67.79     8.25    12.99     0.72     6.67    34.17    14.68P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.33    59.25    -1.26    57.50     7.87   -12.21     0.01     0.29     4.21     0.99P    2.65R    0.18  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.81    27.46    -2.75    63.43     8.33     3.57     0.18     2.17    17.27     6.02P    0.56R    0.03  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -1.17    43.05     0.21    58.04     7.85    -5.48     0.01     0.37     5.06     1.23P    2.14R    0.10  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5      -0.08    50.38    -1.57    58.97     7.79    -6.75     0.03     0.42     5.62     1.37P    1.70R    0.08  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.40    53.43     6.95    61.88     8.35     4.71     0.19     1.65    13.55     4.05P    0.98R    0.07  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.20    30.61    -6.34    60.47     7.98    -5.37     0.03     0.72     8.51     2.38P    1.24R    0.06  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.22    52.75    -3.96    50.41     7.56   -22.63     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.06P   14.62R    1.21  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.26    42.85    -3.61    48.51     7.52   -21.66     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   20.64R    2.07  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.63    27.53    -8.60    51.82     7.82   -19.64     0.01     0.04     0.87     0.21P   11.03R    0.95  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.76    15.88    -4.58    48.46     7.98   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P   21.02R    2.35  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.47    10.44   -13.67    47.76     7.92   -26.52     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P   25.35R    2.97  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -7.03     8.38    -5.91    28.67     7.00   -50.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.97R   89.88  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.72    85.39    13.77    89.61     7.45    43.40    46.73    94.94    62.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.44    89.24    14.67    84.78     8.01    34.95    22.01    82.80    37.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.07    94.51     9.43    82.46     7.35    23.22    11.82    75.38    27.71P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      10.95    95.49     9.94    74.28     7.49    10.91     1.66    32.36     6.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.46    89.68    12.24    79.09     8.38    23.76     7.69    58.87    18.49P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.94    55.43     8.95    79.37     7.56    31.93     6.51    62.70    23.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.66    85.31     2.98    74.92     7.83    11.05     2.10    36.19     9.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.65    65.97     3.51    71.96     7.45    13.09     0.78    23.34     5.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.36    79.94     1.34    65.40     7.48    -2.52     0.08     5.51     1.10P    0.69R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.57    46.81    -2.08    64.26     7.38     1.47     0.02     4.23     0.90P    0.83R    0.01  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.34    35.72    -8.50    70.25     7.97     5.75     0.54    17.74     5.44P    0.18R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.60    60.51    -2.74    61.57     7.43    -6.61     0.01     1.96     0.41P    2.44R    0.05  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.76    55.61     2.91    55.91     7.23    -7.03     0.00     0.30     0.04P    9.65R    0.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.54    35.09    -1.12    60.60     7.41    -0.26     0.02     1.50     0.32P    3.06R    0.08  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -1.98    38.31   -10.22    57.97     7.42   -14.08     0.01     0.62     0.11P    6.98R    0.23  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.50    25.11    -3.98    58.13     7.72    -5.06     0.01     0.89     0.21P    6.70R    0.18  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.74    28.23    -3.12    52.04     7.34   -13.44     0.00     0.09     0.02P   22.69R    1.41  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.73    33.92    -2.04    48.35     7.21   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.24R    4.21  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.49     3.75    -9.30    56.48     7.67    -1.57     0.00     0.45     0.13P    9.25R    0.37  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.30    31.61     1.93    46.56     7.68   -19.40     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.72R    7.39  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -8.93     8.12    -8.56    52.79     7.56   -10.19     0.00     0.12     0.02P   20.16R    1.27  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.50    34.99   -10.42    44.75     7.38   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00P   63.22R   11.35  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.90    21.35    -3.21    35.62     7.10   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.22R   58.17  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.36     1.25   -16.40    43.12     7.46   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.93R   15.01