Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 21 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 32 +31 3.28 80.93 6.95 94.67 6.06 81.33 84.53 96.13 99.06 99.81 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 12 30 +18 6.09 92.42 5.20 83.27 7.02 46.19 8.97 51.02 76.76 90.86 99.69 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 12 28 +19 3.28 75.55 5.95 78.50 7.13 43.09 3.32 23.53 50.72 76.46 98.73 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 27 +10 3.59 78.30 -1.21 78.46 7.13 34.94 2.71 21.86 48.70 74.05 98.39 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 24 +11 1.82 64.64 1.64 71.95 7.32 31.12 0.39 5.58 17.50 38.25 92.04 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 12 20 +5 3.31 75.39 5.00 51.52 7.25 -4.22 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.22 5.49 0.33R 0.02 Watford 12 20 +3 4.67 83.80 5.02 49.10 7.13 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 2.83 0.75R 0.03 Man_Utd 12 20 -1 -0.52 44.97 -6.83 68.24 7.23 18.61 0.09 1.84 7.08 19.43 82.96 0.00 0.00 Everton 12 19 +4 1.25 60.66 2.39 54.16 7.47 1.86 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.53 10.51 0.14R 0.00 Leicester 12 17 +1 -0.02 50.38 0.58 51.44 7.47 -2.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.22 5.67 0.42R 0.01 Wolverhampton 12 16 -1 2.66 72.44 4.12 47.59 7.44 -8.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 2.10 1.67R 0.13 Brighton 12 14 -5 1.39 63.45 1.46 43.06 7.03 -15.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.41 5.04R 0.45 West_Ham 12 12 -4 -1.34 39.59 1.68 44.61 7.36 -11.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.74 4.14R 0.37 Newcastle 12 9 -6 -4.74 14.54 -1.58 41.33 7.18 -11.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 8.19R 0.93 Burnley 12 9 -13 -4.39 16.73 -7.75 36.47 7.00 -26.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 24.60R 3.87 Crystal_Palace 12 8 -9 -5.39 11.64 -4.08 37.22 7.07 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 20.98R 3.05 Southampton 12 8 -13 -4.70 14.12 -6.44 36.77 7.06 -24.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 23.75R 4.12 Cardiff 12 8 -14 -2.56 28.51 -2.73 31.74 7.03 -34.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 52.45R 13.67 Huddersfield 12 7 -16 -2.25 30.11 -3.53 26.96 6.25 -41.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.59R 35.00 Fulham 12 5 -20 -5.07 11.21 -5.83 26.88 6.92 -46.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.95R 38.36Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 17 33 +8 8.32 91.39 6.03 76.31 8.18 13.30 12.71 25.67 67.19 33.98P 0.03R 0.00 Middlesbrough 17 31 +11 2.20 64.69 3.16 79.96 7.93 24.26 25.12 43.59 82.96 55.62P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 17 30 +12 4.74 79.02 9.06 75.22 8.24 20.22 11.17 23.23 63.77 32.47P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 17 30 +8 4.62 78.03 4.86 73.09 8.22 12.91 7.09 15.74 52.77 23.59P 0.08R 0.00 West_Brom 17 28 +12 -2.35 34.31 0.91 78.69 8.42 29.03 22.95 39.62 77.95 51.90P 0.01R 0.00 Derby 17 28 +5 0.50 53.25 -1.17 72.96 8.14 12.94 6.53 15.04 52.48 24.66P 0.06R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 17 27 +7 3.92 75.25 7.23 65.81 8.10 5.61 1.12 3.11 20.75 6.39P 0.77R 0.04 Swansea 17 26 +6 -1.72 38.36 -0.51 72.18 8.24 15.38 6.06 13.79 48.91 24.18P 0.09R 0.00 Blackburn 17 26 -1 2.90 69.12 -0.68 64.23 8.28 -3.14 0.80 2.18 15.46 4.94P 1.68R 0.15 QPR 17 26 -4 5.19 81.35 -0.15 60.64 7.95 -11.98 0.17 0.72 6.83 1.67P 4.06R 0.41 Aston_Villa 17 24 +4 -3.35 28.83 -2.09 69.19 8.21 12.13 3.02 7.65 35.44 15.39P 0.30R 0.02 Birmingham 17 24 +3 3.87 75.91 7.66 57.32 7.83 -6.31 0.05 0.21 3.24 0.64P 7.74R 0.95 Bristol_City 17 22 +1 -1.75 38.73 0.40 62.12 8.11 1.53 0.37 1.24 10.49 3.21P 2.69R 0.27 Stoke 17 22 -1 -3.20 30.09 -3.80 66.67 8.39 6.47 1.55 4.22 24.88 9.75P 0.86R 0.08 Brentford 17 21 +4 -4.72 21.40 0.40 63.90 8.27 8.64 0.83 2.38 16.46 5.98P 1.67R 0.13 Wigan 17 20 -7 -2.14 36.38 -5.40 60.85 8.36 -5.26 0.23 0.80 8.35 2.55P 4.56R 0.61 Sheff_Wed 17 20 -9 -1.33 41.83 -5.88 58.27 8.10 -11.56 0.10 0.31 4.34 1.12P 7.57R 1.17 Preston 17 18 -4 -4.95 19.74 -3.32 58.04 8.22 -3.71 0.10 0.35 4.48 1.22P 7.65R 1.03 Rotherham 17 18 -9 0.92 57.92 0.62 47.50 7.88 -25.09 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.03P 46.71R 14.18 Reading 17 16 -5 -4.29 23.15 0.35 48.80 7.98 -16.30 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.08P 38.01R 10.27 Millwall 17 16 -7 -4.67 21.51 -2.95 53.92 8.09 -9.87 0.03 0.09 1.42 0.34P 17.40R 3.36 Hull 17 16 -8 -5.52 17.68 -5.16 53.24 8.04 -12.37 0.01 0.05 1.21 0.29P 19.22R 3.76 Bolton 17 16 -12 -0.20 49.88 -1.53 42.68 7.29 -31.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 71.73R 33.58 Ipswich 17 11 -14 -8.27 6.62 -8.02 43.18 7.80 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 67.08R 29.97League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 17 38 +14 10.96 96.67 8.56 81.72 8.26 19.81 11.27 28.79 85.42 41.84P 0.00R 0.00 Sunderland 17 36 +19 3.50 71.14 4.96 90.14 8.31 40.75 47.72 72.00 97.87 81.02P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 17 34 +17 2.44 65.06 4.61 86.29 8.43 35.72 27.49 54.17 94.43 67.99P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 18 34 +11 5.57 80.81 5.47 79.68 8.23 21.93 7.28 21.39 80.13 36.13P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 18 32 +12 3.83 72.69 6.86 76.74 8.39 21.37 4.07 13.31 69.00 27.46P 0.07R 0.00 Charlton 17 28 +6 2.21 64.28 2.36 72.45 8.30 12.84 1.24 5.34 48.69 16.05P 0.24R 0.01 Blackpool 17 28 +4 3.37 71.42 1.98 67.39 8.14 3.67 0.32 1.46 24.33 6.19P 1.04R 0.03 Doncaster 18 28 +2 3.09 69.34 1.75 65.94 8.01 1.19 0.17 0.88 18.50 4.33P 1.70R 0.03 Coventry 18 28 +1 5.28 80.71 3.52 62.54 8.02 -4.15 0.06 0.36 9.81 2.07P 4.07R 0.12 Accrington_Stanley 18 28 +0 5.67 82.14 3.31 63.01 8.12 -4.93 0.08 0.41 10.78 2.29P 3.96R 0.16 Walsall 18 26 -5 3.64 72.83 -1.67 59.68 7.84 -11.91 0.02 0.12 4.82 0.94P 8.08R 0.34 Fleetwood_Town 18 24 +5 -1.55 40.30 3.78 64.26 8.06 7.75 0.10 0.59 15.01 3.83P 2.41R 0.05 Burton_Albion 17 24 +1 -0.52 46.96 -0.76 63.21 8.44 0.21 0.09 0.60 13.00 3.34P 4.02R 0.15 Southend 18 23 -2 -1.02 44.14 -0.87 61.39 8.14 -2.11 0.05 0.24 8.27 1.88P 5.57R 0.25 Wycombe 18 22 -1 0.95 57.01 4.65 55.09 8.13 -9.35 0.00 0.02 1.86 0.34P 21.09R 1.80 Shrewsbury 18 21 -3 -3.81 27.00 -3.36 60.34 7.93 -1.43 0.02 0.12 6.12 1.54P 6.60R 0.25 Scunthorpe 18 21 -10 -3.89 27.20 -9.91 60.27 8.33 -9.23 0.01 0.15 6.56 1.59P 8.42R 0.52 Rochdale 18 20 -10 -1.25 42.96 -4.47 55.26 8.06 -15.27 0.00 0.03 1.75 0.37P 20.93R 1.98 Gillingham 18 18 -4 -4.82 21.93 -0.89 53.28 8.11 -9.19 0.00 0.01 1.19 0.25P 27.22R 2.71 Oxford_Utd 18 18 -6 -5.05 20.71 -3.32 54.23 8.07 -9.49 0.00 0.02 1.48 0.33P 23.55R 2.22 Bristol_Rovers 18 17 -1 -6.83 13.04 0.18 52.63 7.90 -4.82 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.19P 28.33R 2.83 Plymouth 18 13 -15 -6.97 11.96 -7.51 45.23 7.94 -24.57 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 67.25R 17.73 AFC_Wimbledon 18 11 -16 -7.68 8.47 -7.53 40.11 7.48 -29.29 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 86.74R 40.27 Bradford 18 11 -19 -8.78 6.03 -11.71 42.51 7.77 -29.47 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 78.71R 28.55League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 MK_Dons 18 37 +16 4.38 76.36 4.27 87.87 7.94 34.03 47.39 82.33 97.63 87.27P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 17 36 +17 7.46 89.61 9.18 83.61 8.19 28.78 24.79 65.09 92.77 72.11P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 18 32 -2 8.55 92.10 0.01 66.83 7.98 -7.46 0.49 4.53 26.33 7.78P 0.14R 0.01 Colchester 18 31 +13 1.94 62.25 6.53 75.79 7.93 22.66 5.36 27.33 72.06 39.15P 0.00R 0.00 Mansfield 18 31 +13 1.37 58.78 5.79 77.44 7.83 24.92 7.29 34.83 78.54 47.62P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 18 30 +9 0.98 56.01 2.51 74.59 7.99 18.39 3.76 22.35 65.98 33.83P 0.00R 0.00 Tranmere 18 30 +8 4.94 78.56 7.28 69.13 8.22 9.20 1.01 8.03 38.68 14.21P 0.06R 0.00 Bury 18 29 +14 -2.23 35.70 4.04 77.04 8.30 28.66 8.02 34.96 76.61 47.95P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 18 28 +1 2.62 66.69 -0.06 64.91 7.88 -0.93 0.28 2.67 19.59 5.88P 0.24R 0.01 Forest_Green 18 27 +8 3.02 69.44 9.20 62.97 7.91 4.50 0.13 1.81 15.02 4.28P 0.36R 0.01 Carlisle 18 26 +1 -0.28 48.63 -1.31 66.14 7.96 3.82 0.35 3.70 25.09 8.44P 0.15R 0.00 Oldham 18 24 +5 -5.47 19.18 -2.19 67.86 8.23 13.13 0.73 6.63 34.38 14.86P 0.10R 0.00 Crawley_Town 18 23 -6 1.41 59.85 -1.15 57.43 7.87 -12.40 0.02 0.30 4.21 0.94P 2.70R 0.18 Northampton 18 22 -1 -3.82 27.28 -2.76 63.47 8.35 3.65 0.16 2.22 17.52 6.06P 0.51R 0.04 Crewe 18 22 -2 -1.04 44.04 0.43 57.88 7.91 -5.72 0.02 0.30 4.96 1.16P 2.35R 0.15 Port_Vale 18 22 -5 0.05 51.02 -1.39 58.70 7.82 -7.16 0.01 0.36 5.54 1.37P 1.89R 0.10 Yeovil 16 21 +5 0.33 52.98 6.82 62.15 8.32 5.07 0.16 1.77 14.03 4.17P 0.84R 0.04 Swindon 18 21 -7 -3.33 29.65 -6.52 60.63 7.99 -5.17 0.03 0.68 8.99 2.49P 1.27R 0.07 Morecambe 18 20 -11 0.16 52.17 -4.08 50.50 7.50 -22.49 0.00 0.02 0.40 0.07P 14.25R 1.28 Grimsby 18 18 -11 -1.24 42.60 -3.60 48.45 7.46 -21.70 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 21.00R 2.09 Cambridge_Utd 18 18 -13 -3.74 26.98 -8.80 51.96 7.77 -19.41 0.00 0.03 0.81 0.15P 10.52R 0.86 Cheltenham 17 14 -10 -5.76 15.89 -4.60 48.49 8.02 -17.96 0.00 0.02 0.40 0.10P 21.38R 2.35 Notts_County 18 14 -19 -7.49 10.31 -13.62 47.78 7.87 -26.47 0.00 0.02 0.25 0.07P 25.41R 3.11 Macclesfield 18 7 -23 -7.09 8.40 -5.99 28.80 6.97 -49.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.80R 89.70National League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 20 43 +27 6.74 85.34 13.80 89.55 7.43 43.40 47.14 94.88 62.32P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 20 42 +24 8.52 89.60 14.81 84.69 8.01 34.83 21.42 82.37 37.00P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 20 42 +16 10.04 94.57 9.39 82.45 7.29 23.24 11.79 75.35 27.76P 0.00 0.00 Solihull_Moors 20 39 +11 10.96 95.42 9.89 74.36 7.45 11.03 1.56 32.59 6.95P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 19 37 +16 8.37 89.31 12.09 79.20 8.35 23.96 7.75 59.38 18.78P 0.00R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 20 35 +19 0.71 54.29 8.62 79.65 7.49 32.43 6.86 64.30 24.16P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 19 34 +5 6.73 85.57 3.09 74.85 7.78 10.90 2.09 35.56 9.16P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 20 33 +8 2.79 66.76 3.71 71.75 7.47 12.82 0.68 22.51 5.48P 0.05R 0.00 Eastleigh 20 31 -1 5.38 79.73 1.37 65.42 7.42 -2.51 0.08 5.42 0.96P 0.65R 0.01 Boreham_Wood 20 28 +0 -0.65 46.13 -2.18 64.26 7.40 1.41 0.04 4.16 0.93P 0.92R 0.01 Barnet 19 28 -2 -2.29 36.01 -8.39 70.17 7.94 5.62 0.55 17.35 5.19P 0.18R 0.00 Hartlepool 20 28 -4 1.61 60.43 -2.74 61.59 7.43 -6.64 0.01 2.10 0.41P 2.37R 0.04 Halifax 20 25 -1 0.67 55.28 2.82 56.02 7.19 -6.90 0.00 0.31 0.05P 9.21R 0.34 Ebbsfleet_United 20 24 -2 -2.60 34.71 -1.19 60.68 7.48 -0.18 0.01 1.56 0.36P 3.03R 0.09 Aldershot 20 24 -12 -1.95 38.73 -10.14 57.88 7.43 -14.22 0.00 0.54 0.09P 7.03R 0.19 Bromley 20 23 -4 -4.48 24.90 -3.90 58.17 7.65 -5.01 0.01 0.82 0.18P 6.46R 0.20 Barrow 20 21 -7 -3.70 28.60 -3.09 51.97 7.35 -13.55 0.00 0.07 0.01P 22.86R 1.48 Maidstone_United 20 19 -10 -2.54 34.92 -1.81 48.17 7.22 -19.07 0.00 0.01 0.00 41.90R 4.40 Chesterfield 20 18 -6 -11.63 3.42 -9.58 56.61 7.72 -1.42 0.00 0.60 0.17P 8.83R 0.36 Havant_&_Wville 20 18 -8 -3.20 32.01 2.10 46.39 7.68 -19.62 0.00 0.01 0.00 51.96R 7.45 Dag_&_Red 20 18 -9 -9.03 7.77 -8.71 52.94 7.53 -9.97 0.00 0.09 0.02P 19.46R 1.23 Maidenhead 19 17 -21 -2.45 35.41 -10.31 44.70 7.36 -36.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.47R 11.61 Braintree_Town 20 13 -18 -4.95 21.22 -3.24 35.67 7.09 -38.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.18R 57.90 Dover_Athletic 20 11 -21 -13.36 1.31 -16.40 43.18 7.45 -25.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.42R 14.70