Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.29    81.11     6.89    94.68     6.04    81.49    84.04    96.07    99.07    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.01    92.08     5.05    83.52     7.06    46.67     9.63    52.39    77.25    91.15    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.34    76.20     6.06    78.51     7.12    43.01     3.28    22.83    50.38    76.15    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.58    78.44    -1.23    78.55     7.06    35.03     2.61    21.46    48.55    74.29    98.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.80    64.20     1.57    71.97     7.33    31.25     0.37     5.45    17.53    38.19    92.21     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.28    75.15     4.94    51.43     7.21    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.20     5.25     0.34R    0.01  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.69    83.97     5.06    49.08     7.18    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.91     0.74R    0.04  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.55    44.69    -6.88    68.31     7.27    18.66     0.07     1.78     6.99    19.28    83.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.24    60.56     2.36    54.16     7.43     1.83     0.00     0.02     0.12     0.56    10.29     0.16R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1      -0.03    50.01     0.60    51.49     7.44    -2.82     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.23     5.65     0.41R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.72    72.87     4.20    47.47     7.46    -8.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.00     1.74R    0.14  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.39    63.55     1.51    43.08     7.09   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     5.34R    0.43  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.32    40.09     1.76    44.47     7.43   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.83     4.43R    0.38  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.77    14.54    -1.59    41.29     7.17   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     8.58R    1.03  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.41    16.60    -7.76    36.47     6.97   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.66R    3.69  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.32    11.90    -3.98    37.18     7.09   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    21.18R    3.17  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.64    14.55    -6.38    36.77     7.03   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    23.31R    4.14  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.54    28.56    -2.61    31.73     7.00   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.33R   13.79  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.20    30.35    -3.39    26.82     6.23   -41.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.07R   36.40  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.23    10.55    -6.17    27.17     6.97   -46.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.69R   36.76  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.36    91.54     6.06    76.22     8.22    13.16    12.52    25.27    66.79    33.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.25    64.91     3.20    79.95     7.94    24.26    24.97    43.50    82.85    55.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.72    78.73     9.04    75.17     8.23    20.13    10.98    23.09    63.71    32.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.52    77.44     4.70    73.28     8.21    13.19     7.17    16.10    53.51    24.23P    0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.34    34.46     0.93    78.69     8.51    29.02    23.07    39.69    77.76    51.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.51    53.19    -1.14    73.08     8.15    13.12     6.64    15.26    52.89    25.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       4.06    75.73     7.44    65.63     8.14     5.30     1.09     3.01    20.27     6.13P    0.93R    0.06  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.73    38.40    -0.50    72.13     8.34    15.37     6.15    13.66    49.07    24.29P    0.12R    0.01  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.87    68.54    -0.75    64.29     8.32    -3.03     0.85     2.34    15.83     5.06P    1.64R    0.13  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.23    81.47    -0.07    60.52     7.93   -12.09     0.17     0.66     6.76     1.70P    4.12R    0.40  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.43    28.00    -2.20    69.30     8.13    12.27     3.12     7.72    35.43    15.26P    0.23R    0.01  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.83    75.43     7.59    57.43     7.87    -6.12     0.07     0.23     3.41     0.73P    7.65R    0.91  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.77    38.69     0.39    62.08     8.19     1.39     0.42     1.28    10.87     3.39P    2.85R    0.29  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.17    29.96    -3.79    66.73     8.41     6.59     1.52     4.25    24.99     9.86P    0.90R    0.07  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.63    21.75     0.56    63.79     8.24     8.45     0.73     2.16    15.93     5.62P    1.72R    0.12  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.20    36.23    -5.50    60.94     8.32    -5.18     0.30     0.93     8.22     2.58P    4.37R    0.60  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.26    42.17    -5.79    58.10     8.04   -11.80     0.09     0.34     4.04     1.01P    7.83R    1.11  
Preston         17   18   -4      -4.94    20.26    -3.28    57.98     8.27    -3.83     0.09     0.36     4.41     1.25P    7.72R    1.10  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       0.93    58.10     0.67    47.48     7.92   -25.15     0.01     0.01     0.21     0.05P   46.81R   14.45  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.29    23.25     0.27    48.90     8.03   -16.18     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   37.47R   10.27  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.78    21.09    -3.08    53.90     8.07    -9.83     0.01     0.06     1.42     0.29P   17.22R    3.20  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.60    17.16    -5.26    53.37     8.11   -12.18     0.02     0.07     1.25     0.36P   18.95R    3.78  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.14    50.72    -1.44    42.66     7.30   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.05R   33.56  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.27     6.67    -8.04    43.20     7.82   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   67.19R   29.94  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      11.01    96.70     8.58    81.74     8.35    19.80    11.32    28.83    85.12    41.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.38    70.87     4.75    90.42     8.29    41.22    48.84    73.08    98.04    81.73P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.50    65.11     4.70    86.22     8.44    35.56    26.72    53.79    94.23    67.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.61    81.16     5.47    79.65     8.24    21.87     6.93    20.93    80.06    35.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.86    72.65     6.91    76.68     8.46    21.28     4.01    13.21    68.82    27.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.25    64.85     2.45    72.39     8.29    12.79     1.26     5.17    47.86    16.05P    0.24R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.43    71.88     2.10    67.20     8.13     3.40     0.31     1.39    23.90     6.17P    1.08R    0.02  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.08    69.17     1.73    66.01     8.12     1.26     0.19     0.98    19.41     4.66P    1.56R    0.02  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.41    81.40     3.65    62.33     8.02    -4.43     0.04     0.32     9.54     1.94P    4.18R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.65    82.07     3.32    63.09     8.23    -4.86     0.08     0.44    11.25     2.34P    3.94R    0.17  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.56    72.54    -1.78    59.79     7.85   -11.75     0.03     0.15     4.98     0.96P    8.05R    0.37  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.59    40.45     3.72    64.38     8.06     7.92     0.09     0.53    15.48     3.95P    2.31R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.55    46.77    -0.80    63.32     8.54     0.36     0.12     0.64    13.80     3.65P    3.79R    0.14  
Southend             18   23   -2      -0.96    44.48    -0.78    61.28     8.08    -2.29     0.03     0.22     7.98     1.77P    5.57R    0.26  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.70    55.46     4.30    55.44     8.12    -8.78     0.01     0.04     2.05     0.40P   19.55R    1.70  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.65    27.90    -3.18    60.04     7.95    -1.82     0.01     0.12     5.87     1.52P    7.14R    0.30  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.87    27.19    -9.86    60.26     8.23    -9.31     0.01     0.12     6.34     1.48P    8.26R    0.52  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.39    41.96    -4.64    55.30     8.07   -15.20     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.34P   21.07R    1.89  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.81    22.12    -0.86    53.19     8.03    -9.31     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.22P   27.53R    2.73  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -5.07    20.76    -3.33    54.26     8.09    -9.44     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.31P   23.45R    2.19  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.71    13.47     0.33    52.52     7.92    -5.01     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.22P   29.14R    2.91  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.93    12.03    -7.45    45.11     7.87   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   67.78R   17.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.71     8.39    -7.60    40.18     7.54   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.35R   40.32  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.79     6.22   -11.74    42.55     7.76   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    78.94R   28.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.31    75.64     4.24    87.90     7.95    34.04    47.28    82.10    97.72    87.09P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.52    89.86     9.25    83.67     8.20    28.83    24.78    64.84    93.00    72.01P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.65    92.28     0.14    66.74     8.03    -7.52     0.56     4.39    26.15     7.73P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.86    61.54     6.39    75.86     7.93    22.79     5.41    27.84    72.30    39.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.33    58.36     5.79    77.47     7.87    24.98     7.36    34.95    78.97    47.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       1.00    56.21     2.53    74.56     7.97    18.29     3.76    22.31    65.90    33.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       4.85    78.14     7.14    69.22     8.22     9.29     1.07     8.23    39.10    14.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.19    36.02     4.13    76.97     8.27    28.52     7.78    34.62    76.22    47.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.57    66.43    -0.10    64.86     7.84    -0.94     0.26     2.66    19.51     6.04P    0.21R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       3.02    69.44     9.17    63.00     7.93     4.54     0.15     1.81    15.12     4.13P    0.38R    0.01  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.32    48.23    -1.39    66.13     8.03     3.81     0.43     3.92    24.98     8.81P    0.16R    0.00  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.48    18.85    -2.18    67.86     8.18    13.16     0.75     6.74    34.30    14.79P    0.09R    0.01  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.43    60.01    -1.13    57.43     7.85   -12.39     0.01     0.29     4.14     0.97P    2.68R    0.17  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.87    27.23    -2.83    63.52     8.27     3.75     0.20     2.18    17.39     5.93P    0.51R    0.03  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -1.06    43.70     0.40    57.96     7.95    -5.60     0.01     0.31     4.87     1.15P    2.48R    0.12  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5      -0.02    50.74    -1.48    58.91     7.80    -6.91     0.01     0.37     5.62     1.32P    1.80R    0.09  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.35    53.15     6.89    62.02     8.35     4.88     0.11     1.63    13.70     4.11P    0.92R    0.06  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.22    30.32    -6.37    60.64     8.01    -5.21     0.07     0.73     8.96     2.53P    1.23R    0.06  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.18    52.32    -4.04    50.50     7.52   -22.50     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.06P   14.25R    1.23  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.29    42.60    -3.67    48.50     7.51   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   20.82R    1.94  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.72    27.03    -8.75    51.92     7.76   -19.50     0.00     0.03     0.85     0.17P   10.68R    0.87  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.71    15.93    -4.54    48.48     8.02   -17.98     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.08P   21.41R    2.31  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.54    10.17   -13.75    47.79     7.84   -26.37     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   25.19R    2.83  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -6.96     8.58    -5.81    28.60     6.93   -50.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.00R   90.26  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.80    85.92    13.92    89.47     7.45    43.20    46.37    94.71    61.71P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.56    89.91    14.87    84.59     8.03    34.67    21.47    82.03    36.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.02    94.52     9.36    82.50     7.31    23.29    11.92    75.42    27.77P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      11.01    95.60     9.97    74.23     7.46    10.84     1.66    31.88     6.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.27    89.01    11.97    79.37     8.32    24.24     8.13    60.03    19.31P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.87    55.13     8.83    79.50     7.55    32.14     6.83    63.60    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.68    85.40     2.99    74.92     7.83    11.04     2.14    36.16     9.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.66    66.30     3.49    71.95     7.51    13.09     0.79    23.22     5.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.34    79.92     1.33    65.45     7.44    -2.47     0.07     5.46     1.05P    0.66R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.64    46.32    -2.22    64.29     7.35     1.51     0.04     4.11     0.91P    0.86R    0.01  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.33    35.81    -8.48    70.14     7.91     5.64     0.55    17.14     5.22P    0.17R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.61    60.43    -2.73    61.61     7.43    -6.60     0.01     2.07     0.43P    2.40R    0.05  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.78    55.72     3.01    55.81     7.20    -7.15     0.00     0.29     0.05P    9.51R    0.31  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.60    34.87    -1.17    60.67     7.51    -0.13     0.01     1.63     0.33P    3.09R    0.08  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -1.98    38.37   -10.23    57.95     7.46   -14.10     0.00     0.65     0.14P    6.88R    0.19  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.55    24.64    -4.05    58.22     7.69    -4.95     0.01     0.90     0.16P    6.40R    0.20  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.73    28.25    -3.08    52.02     7.36   -13.51     0.00     0.08     0.01P   22.83R    1.40  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.61    34.52    -1.87    48.19     7.19   -18.99     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.03R    4.16  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.53     3.54    -9.44    56.54     7.71    -1.51     0.00     0.50     0.16P    9.01R    0.35  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.33    31.32     1.93    46.52     7.68   -19.45     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.89R    7.30  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -8.88     8.17    -8.51    52.84     7.55   -10.13     0.00     0.10     0.02P   19.76R    1.20  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.38    35.91   -10.19    44.59     7.41   -36.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.19R   12.11  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.99    21.05    -3.31    35.70     7.15   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.01R   57.66  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.34     1.28   -16.40    43.24     7.44   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.26R   14.94