Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.33    81.29     7.00    94.58     6.09    81.27    83.58    95.81    98.92    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.02    92.04     5.04    83.51     7.07    46.66     9.92    52.03    76.96    90.95    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.23    75.38     5.86    78.69     7.06    43.40     3.38    23.36    51.14    76.78    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.55    78.13    -1.26    78.55     7.07    35.05     2.67    21.59    48.56    74.16    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.83    64.28     1.62    71.99     7.36    31.22     0.38     5.44    17.23    37.71    92.24     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.35    75.42     5.08    51.32     7.27    -4.61     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.19     5.25     0.33R    0.01  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.74    84.29     5.11    49.03     7.13    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.57     0.71R    0.03  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.56    44.85    -6.90    68.35     7.24    18.69     0.07     1.75     7.00    19.46    83.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.23    60.39     2.36    54.22     7.46     1.96     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.56    10.35     0.14R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1       0.04    50.74     0.72    51.40     7.43    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     5.64     0.39R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.63    72.17     4.08    47.58     7.43    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     2.00     1.59R    0.10  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.40    63.48     1.53    42.97     7.08   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48     5.44R    0.48  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.34    39.72     1.72    44.45     7.37   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     4.34R    0.36  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.71    14.96    -1.50    41.27     7.20   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     8.38R    1.04  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.40    16.43    -7.74    36.46     6.94   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    24.70R    3.69  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.36    11.75    -4.01    37.18     7.03   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.96R    3.13  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.67    14.49    -6.44    36.71     7.05   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    23.88R    4.20  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.53    28.69    -2.65    31.73     7.04   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.27R   13.78  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.25    30.12    -3.57    27.00     6.18   -41.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.44R   35.05  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.16    10.72    -6.04    27.03     6.92   -46.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.41R   38.10  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.34    91.40     6.03    76.32     8.13    13.26    12.25    25.48    67.06    33.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.18    64.44     3.11    80.00     7.94    24.35    24.74    43.24    83.06    55.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.61    78.35     8.87    75.44     8.20    20.50    11.51    23.54    65.13    32.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.48    77.31     4.70    73.24     8.23    13.17     7.14    15.95    53.43    23.97P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.48    33.61     0.68    79.02     8.47    29.52    23.93    41.06    78.97    53.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.48    53.01    -1.20    73.18     8.17    13.27     6.68    15.16    53.14    25.13P    0.08R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.93    75.17     7.24    65.77     8.12     5.49     1.05     3.16    20.50     6.50P    0.82R    0.05  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.53    39.65    -0.26    71.90     8.31    15.00     5.75    13.04    47.95    23.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.88    68.81    -0.66    64.14     8.31    -3.27     0.78     2.24    15.43     4.86P    1.68R    0.11  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.16    81.10    -0.16    60.52     7.90   -12.14     0.21     0.70     6.56     1.58P    4.02R    0.45  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.39    28.50    -2.15    69.04     8.21    11.95     2.93     7.13    34.71    14.69P    0.28R    0.02  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.79    75.24     7.55    57.59     7.85    -5.90     0.06     0.24     3.38     0.72P    7.38R    0.89  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.60    39.84     0.68    61.78     8.21     0.97     0.36     1.17    10.18     3.08P    2.91R    0.30  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.13    30.28    -3.70    66.56     8.44     6.32     1.48     4.14    24.31     9.54P    0.88R    0.07  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.71    21.45     0.44    63.88     8.24     8.54     0.72     2.19    16.04     5.57P    1.68R    0.14  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.19    36.33    -5.45    60.92     8.33    -5.24     0.22     0.78     8.32     2.52P    4.44R    0.68  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.11    43.24    -5.57    58.05     8.06   -11.89     0.07     0.27     4.07     1.03P    8.00R    1.21  
Preston         17   18   -4      -4.91    20.16    -3.20    57.91     8.25    -3.93     0.10     0.37     4.56     1.22P    7.92R    1.18  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       0.92    58.26     0.59    47.49     7.95   -25.05     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   46.98R   14.55  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.30    23.21     0.27    48.86     7.98   -16.21     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.08P   37.89R   10.47  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.69    21.42    -2.99    53.90     8.03    -9.95     0.01     0.05     1.39     0.37P   17.08R    3.28  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.59    17.28    -5.24    53.33     8.06   -12.20     0.01     0.07     1.24     0.28P   19.22R    3.79  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.21    50.01    -1.58    42.77     7.30   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   71.75R   33.05  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.28     6.79    -8.00    43.28     7.80   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   66.75R   29.71  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      11.01    96.78     8.57    81.81     8.25    19.87    11.47    29.15    85.66    41.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.45    71.38     4.84    90.28     8.37    40.99    48.42    72.28    97.74    81.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.53    65.70     4.76    86.14     8.40    35.50    26.66    53.47    94.08    67.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.66    81.49     5.56    79.66     8.24    21.92     6.98    21.18    79.93    35.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.69    71.50     6.67    76.89     8.46    21.63     4.23    13.78    69.44    27.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.13    63.86     2.29    72.51     8.35    12.95     1.35     5.35    48.70    16.10P    0.19R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.38    71.61     2.00    67.35     8.15     3.60     0.30     1.39    24.30     6.15P    1.07R    0.01  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.16    69.58     1.88    65.81     8.06     0.99     0.14     0.81    18.39     4.22P    1.68R    0.03  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.27    80.40     3.47    62.57     7.92    -4.13     0.06     0.31     9.70     1.96P    3.84R    0.09  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.56    81.47     3.15    63.27     8.20    -4.59     0.08     0.46    11.73     2.49P    3.83R    0.11  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.66    73.22    -1.65    59.70     7.75   -11.92     0.01     0.11     4.64     0.93P    7.74R    0.34  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.76    39.16     3.48    64.50     8.05     8.14     0.10     0.57    15.79     4.14P    2.26R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.54    46.72    -0.78    63.24     8.51     0.22     0.12     0.59    13.10     3.41P    4.10R    0.16  
Southend             18   23   -2      -0.92    44.62    -0.73    61.22     8.06    -2.34     0.02     0.21     7.74     1.72P    5.77R    0.25  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.85    56.46     4.55    55.19     8.10    -9.17     0.00     0.03     1.91     0.37P   20.26R    1.73  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.71    27.40    -3.23    60.14     7.94    -1.68     0.02     0.12     5.88     1.55P    7.05R    0.30  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.75    27.87    -9.72    60.12     8.27    -9.47     0.03     0.14     6.22     1.52P    8.47R    0.54  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.37    42.11    -4.62    55.35     8.03   -15.10     0.00     0.02     1.61     0.35P   20.55R    1.75  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.70    22.67    -0.72    53.09     8.08    -9.48     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.21P   27.83R    2.77  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -4.98    21.16    -3.21    54.14     8.05    -9.61     0.01     0.03     1.39     0.31P   23.83R    2.17  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.84    13.23     0.16    52.66     7.93    -4.84     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.19P   28.43R    2.80  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.90    12.05    -7.41    45.14     7.88   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   67.38R   17.79  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.64     8.44    -7.50    40.00     7.44   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.96R   41.00  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.85     6.19   -11.81    42.55     7.75   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   78.71R   28.10  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.35    76.18     4.24    87.83     7.99    33.95    47.09    81.99    97.50    87.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.59    90.11     9.32    83.51     8.22    28.65    24.49    64.29    92.50    71.50P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.41    91.56    -0.24    67.08     7.97    -7.04     0.51     4.60    27.10     8.12P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.92    62.21     6.47    75.93     7.95    22.88     5.73    28.13    72.37    39.67P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.42    58.91     5.92    77.28     7.82    24.73     7.14    33.96    78.18    46.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       0.96    56.03     2.44    74.59     7.98    18.33     3.91    22.49    65.90    34.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       4.95    78.74     7.31    69.13     8.25     9.16     1.02     8.27    38.56    14.31P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.28    35.29     3.98    77.09     8.31    28.71     8.08    35.43    76.54    48.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.49    66.19    -0.21    65.07     7.92    -0.70     0.28     2.81    20.43     6.24P    0.21R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       3.02    69.51     9.21    62.87     7.93     4.33     0.12     1.73    14.75     4.10P    0.41R    0.01  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.30    48.31    -1.32    66.10     8.04     3.74     0.43     3.93    24.91     8.63P    0.17R    0.00  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.49    19.10    -2.21    67.94     8.24    13.20     0.82     6.90    34.57    15.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.47    60.18    -1.06    57.32     7.84   -12.50     0.02     0.25     4.02     0.93P    2.75R    0.17  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.83    27.15    -2.82    63.52     8.19     3.72     0.17     2.05    17.20     5.82P    0.48R    0.02  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -1.13    43.16     0.31    58.04     7.93    -5.49     0.02     0.37     5.19     1.25P    2.11R    0.13  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5      -0.04    50.62    -1.54    58.90     7.79    -6.90     0.01     0.37     5.61     1.39P    1.80R    0.13  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.34    52.92     6.89    62.07     8.37     4.94     0.14     1.69    13.84     4.04P    0.91R    0.03  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.21    30.33    -6.36    60.47     8.00    -5.41     0.04     0.70     8.75     2.43P    1.21R    0.07  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.20    52.70    -4.02    50.42     7.53   -22.58     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   14.54R    1.12  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.13    43.53    -3.37    48.33     7.45   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   21.53R    2.15  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.68    27.24    -8.68    51.92     7.76   -19.50     0.00     0.04     0.86     0.20P   10.74R    0.90  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.75    15.86    -4.58    48.57     8.03   -17.92     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P   20.80R    2.23  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.50    10.28   -13.70    47.84     7.91   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   25.16R    3.04  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -7.07     8.32    -5.99    28.71     6.97   -50.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.86R   90.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.87    85.83    13.99    89.37     7.43    43.08    45.63    94.66    61.12P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.47    89.53    14.78    84.72     7.95    34.87    21.93    82.73    37.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.07    94.62     9.43    82.45     7.35    23.21    12.39    75.22    28.16P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      10.95    95.61     9.92    74.31     7.45    11.00     1.68    32.55     6.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.24    89.10    11.89    79.37     8.31    24.27     8.17    60.31    19.35P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.84    54.77     8.78    79.54     7.45    32.26     6.71    63.65    23.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.66    85.22     3.02    74.89     7.79    10.99     2.05    35.53     9.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.75    66.69     3.67    71.83     7.47    12.88     0.72    22.64     5.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.32    79.70     1.30    65.52     7.43    -2.40     0.11     5.52     1.10P    0.70R    0.00  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.58    46.78    -2.10    64.22     7.38     1.37     0.06     4.04     0.93P    0.87R    0.01  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.29    35.94    -8.39    70.15     7.89     5.61     0.52    17.18     5.15P    0.14R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.63    60.59    -2.74    61.58     7.36    -6.59     0.01     1.88     0.39P    2.34R    0.03  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.70    55.35     2.88    55.85     7.18    -7.06     0.00     0.26     0.04P    9.51R    0.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.60    34.73    -1.19    60.71     7.46    -0.09     0.01     1.59     0.33P    2.87R    0.06  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -2.01    38.19   -10.27    57.98     7.47   -14.04     0.00     0.65     0.11P    7.03R    0.20  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.56    24.61    -4.07    58.19     7.69    -4.99     0.01     0.88     0.18P    6.56R    0.23  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.78    27.99    -3.18    52.03     7.32   -13.51     0.00     0.09     0.01P   22.72R    1.38  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.81    33.26    -2.19    48.49     7.18   -18.59     0.00     0.02     0.00P   40.26R    3.94  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.46     3.77    -9.33    56.52     7.75    -1.58     0.00     0.51     0.14P    9.33R    0.39  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.30    31.79     1.99    46.48     7.68   -19.54     0.00     0.02     0.00    51.33R    7.47  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -8.91     8.23    -8.56    52.85     7.54   -10.10     0.00     0.08     0.02P   19.71R    1.25  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.32    36.29   -10.11    44.56     7.35   -36.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.51R   11.70  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.85    21.49    -3.14    35.55     7.13   -38.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.40R   58.50  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.36     1.23   -16.40    43.19     7.49   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.64R   14.54