Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.34    81.27     6.96    94.61     6.06    81.36    84.10    96.00    98.95    99.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.03    92.10     5.06    83.54     7.01    46.65     9.51    52.43    77.68    91.49    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.30    75.76     5.99    78.59     7.06    43.23     3.17    22.86    50.64    76.61    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.56    78.12    -1.20    78.49     7.11    34.90     2.76    21.34    48.30    74.17    98.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.83    64.32     1.65    71.91     7.39    31.06     0.37     5.55    17.31    37.87    92.08     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.32    75.29     5.03    51.36     7.27    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     5.23     0.35R    0.02  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.75    84.46     5.14    48.89     7.17   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.74     0.80R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.51    45.14    -6.78    68.17     7.29    18.42     0.09     1.78     6.90    18.81    82.75     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.27    60.81     2.41    54.21     7.42     1.89     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.60    10.43     0.15R    0.01  
Leicester        12   17   +1      -0.03    50.17     0.57    51.55     7.42    -2.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     5.94     0.35R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.69    72.82     4.15    47.60     7.41    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.14     1.60R    0.11  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.31    62.76     1.36    43.11     7.08   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     5.30R    0.38  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.42    39.14     1.59    44.72     7.37   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85     3.97R    0.36  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.72    15.03    -1.53    41.19     7.17   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     8.58R    1.00  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.43    16.54    -7.83    36.46     6.95   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.42R    3.59  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.35    11.73    -4.00    37.21     7.07   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.85R    3.04  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.70    14.33    -6.47    36.83     7.05   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    23.31R    3.99  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.56    28.56    -2.68    31.70     7.02   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    52.50R   13.87  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.25    29.93    -3.54    27.00     6.22   -41.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.47R   34.59  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.09    11.25    -5.88    26.81     6.91   -46.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.35R   39.01  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.25    91.23     5.91    76.41     8.24    13.40    13.01    26.09    67.45    34.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.26    65.09     3.24    79.89     7.89    24.15    24.22    43.18    82.66    55.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.68    78.66     8.99    75.27     8.29    20.28    11.43    23.22    64.15    32.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.60    77.78     4.82    73.15     8.24    13.03     7.30    15.73    53.06    23.70P    0.08R    0.00  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.32    34.78     0.99    78.70     8.45    29.01    22.79    39.48    77.88    51.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.38    52.18    -1.36    73.31     8.20    13.44     7.13    15.98    53.63    25.78P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.98    75.41     7.31    65.71     8.08     5.38     0.94     2.96    20.45     6.15P    0.86R    0.05  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.58    39.67    -0.32    71.98     8.36    15.14     5.89    13.48    48.32    23.74P    0.15R    0.01  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.87    68.66    -0.72    64.25     8.26    -3.13     0.79     2.26    15.43     4.84P    1.52R    0.14  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.18    81.33    -0.18    60.60     7.91   -12.00     0.19     0.65     6.90     1.57P    4.02R    0.39  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.35    28.66    -2.08    69.16     8.16    12.11     2.89     7.26    35.32    14.98P    0.28R    0.02  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.82    75.33     7.59    57.42     7.86    -6.13     0.08     0.23     3.31     0.70P    7.78R    0.99  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.73    39.01     0.45    62.00     8.16     1.30     0.39     1.25    10.56     3.34P    2.84R    0.28  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.15    29.96    -3.73    66.65     8.38     6.44     1.57     4.17    24.53     9.52P    0.91R    0.08  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.67    21.43     0.48    63.87     8.27     8.55     0.88     2.45    16.08     5.83P    1.62R    0.17  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.18    36.66    -5.43    60.80     8.37    -5.38     0.28     0.87     8.29     2.57P    4.58R    0.57  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.29    42.44    -5.84    58.23     8.12   -11.60     0.08     0.28     4.25     1.07P    7.84R    1.18  
Preston         17   18   -4      -4.97    19.74    -3.33    58.10     8.20    -3.63     0.10     0.32     4.65     1.29P    7.40R    1.05  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       0.95    58.34     0.68    47.41     7.92   -25.15     0.01     0.01     0.20     0.05P   47.26R   14.66  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.30    23.34     0.31    48.82     8.01   -16.27     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   37.93R   10.50  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.72    21.06    -3.02    53.95     8.01    -9.82     0.02     0.05     1.30     0.33P   16.64R    3.23  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.57    17.49    -5.21    53.23     8.09   -12.36     0.01     0.07     1.18     0.34P   19.47R    3.71  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.21    50.01    -1.58    42.75     7.32   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   71.45R   32.81  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.22     6.89    -7.95    43.16     7.82   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   67.24R   30.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Accrington_Stanley 0 2 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.87    96.69     8.43    81.91     8.28    20.02    11.55    29.66    85.71    42.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           17   36  +19       3.41    71.07     4.84    90.34     8.30    41.06    48.37    72.25    98.02    81.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             17   34  +17       2.43    64.72     4.62    86.26     8.47    35.63    27.06    53.65    94.29    67.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         18   34  +11       5.72    81.67     5.67    79.61     8.16    21.86     6.89    20.75    80.01    35.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                18   32  +12       3.89    72.67     6.98    76.59     8.47    21.12     3.95    13.03    68.21    26.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.14    64.07     2.28    72.53     8.35    13.02     1.32     5.60    48.74    16.62P    0.21R    0.00  
Blackpool            17   28   +4       3.36    71.68     1.96    67.30     8.19     3.51     0.30     1.50    24.10     6.10P    1.11R    0.02  
Doncaster            18   28   +2       3.13    69.66     1.80    66.00     8.09     1.21     0.15     0.95    19.17     4.48P    1.59R    0.04  
Coventry             18   28   +1       5.43    81.31     3.70    62.37     8.01    -4.41     0.04     0.28     9.61     1.91P    4.22R    0.14  
Accrington_Stanley   18   28   +0       5.72    82.25     3.40    62.89     8.15    -5.11     0.08     0.38    10.68     2.19P    4.26R    0.13  
Walsall              18   26   -5       3.60    72.73    -1.73    59.74     7.83   -11.84     0.02     0.12     4.97     0.94P    7.80R    0.35  
Fleetwood_Town       18   24   +5      -1.53    40.91     3.82    64.24     8.12     7.73     0.10     0.62    15.13     3.83P    2.58R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        17   24   +1      -0.50    47.03    -0.73    63.24     8.57     0.25     0.10     0.63    13.48     3.71P    4.13R    0.16  
Southend             18   23   -2      -0.98    44.03    -0.86    61.33     8.06    -2.20     0.02     0.20     8.02     1.88P    5.49R    0.27  
Wycombe              18   22   -1       0.70    55.69     4.29    55.47     8.11    -8.73     0.01     0.03     2.04     0.39P   19.49R    1.60  
Shrewsbury           18   21   -3      -3.64    27.88    -3.14    60.08     7.99    -1.75     0.01     0.11     5.95     1.50P    7.26R    0.38  
Scunthorpe           18   21  -10      -3.82    27.65    -9.78    60.17     8.35    -9.42     0.03     0.18     6.54     1.62P    8.62R    0.51  
Rochdale             18   20  -10      -1.47    41.51    -4.75    55.45     8.04   -15.03     0.01     0.01     1.77     0.35P   20.47R    1.92  
Gillingham           18   18   -4      -4.80    22.14    -0.89    53.28     8.08    -9.22     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.24P   27.19R    2.68  
Oxford_Utd           18   18   -6      -5.04    20.79    -3.34    54.24     8.06    -9.44     0.00     0.02     1.37     0.31P   23.71R    2.32  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17   -1      -6.76    13.20     0.25    52.57     7.94    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.20P   28.82R    2.90  
Plymouth             18   13  -15      -6.95    11.69    -7.51    45.22     7.85   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.59R   17.39  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   11  -16      -7.67     8.47    -7.52    40.03     7.50   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   86.83R   40.82  
Bradford             18   11  -19      -8.84     6.23   -11.79    42.58     7.80   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   78.59R   28.28  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2018, Bury 4 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

MK_Dons          18   37  +16       4.33    76.05     4.23    87.80     7.98    33.95    46.77    82.11    97.55    87.09P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.45    89.72     9.15    83.69     8.14    28.88    24.93    65.05    93.20    72.38P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   18   32   -2       8.51    91.92    -0.10    66.92     7.91    -7.29     0.49     4.40    26.30     7.76P    0.11R    0.00  
Colchester       18   31  +13       1.80    61.26     6.31    75.96     7.98    22.93     5.68    28.47    72.30    40.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield        18   31  +13       1.55    59.74     6.06    77.19     7.87    24.60     7.15    33.42    77.56    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           18   30   +9       0.85    55.26     2.31    74.73     7.95    18.57     3.96    22.72    66.42    34.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere         18   30   +8       5.00    79.07     7.34    69.09     8.18     9.12     1.01     7.98    38.63    13.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury             18   29  +14      -2.21    35.81     4.10    77.04     8.26    28.59     7.87    34.95    76.53    47.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        18   28   +1       2.50    66.23    -0.21    65.02     7.89    -0.75     0.30     2.81    20.04     6.08P    0.20R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   27   +8       2.96    68.77     9.08    63.04     7.97     4.58     0.14     1.82    15.30     4.18P    0.42R    0.01  
Carlisle         18   26   +1      -0.31    48.23    -1.34    66.05     8.03     3.67     0.38     3.73    24.66     8.51P    0.19R    0.00  
Oldham           18   24   +5      -5.45    18.93    -2.13    67.84     8.20    13.10     0.81     6.53    34.04    14.75P    0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     18   23   -6       1.42    60.17    -1.12    57.42     7.91   -12.38     0.02     0.27     4.31     0.90P    2.77R    0.20  
Northampton      18   22   -1      -3.94    26.64    -2.93    63.63     8.32     3.88     0.23     2.35    17.88     6.20P    0.49R    0.02  
Crewe            18   22   -2      -1.06    43.65     0.39    58.04     7.95    -5.48     0.03     0.41     5.16     1.37P    2.23R    0.12  
Port_Vale        18   22   -5       0.13    51.65    -1.32    58.71     7.78    -7.15     0.01     0.38     5.38     1.37P    1.75R    0.09  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.28    52.72     6.79    62.09     8.35     4.97     0.18     1.72    13.75     4.06P    0.90R    0.05  
Swindon          18   21   -7      -3.27    29.93    -6.50    60.61     8.04    -5.23     0.04     0.80     9.04     2.48P    1.23R    0.07  
Morecambe        18   20  -11       0.25    52.82    -3.95    50.37     7.55   -22.72     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P   14.70R    1.22  
Grimsby          18   18  -11      -1.18    42.96    -3.49    48.43     7.49   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   20.84R    2.01  
Cambridge_Utd    18   18  -13      -3.63    27.52    -8.64    51.84     7.75   -19.62     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.16P   10.66R    0.91  
Cheltenham       17   14  -10      -5.68    16.16    -4.47    48.40     7.95   -18.08     0.00     0.02     0.33     0.07P   21.33R    2.34  
Notts_County     18   14  -19      -7.52    10.42   -13.70    47.88     7.90   -26.28     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   25.14R    2.88  
Macclesfield     18    7  -23      -7.01     8.24    -5.88    28.68     6.96   -50.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.84R   90.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2018, Hartlepool 1 3 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      20   43  +27       6.81    85.66    13.92    89.49     7.43    43.26    46.20    94.67    61.49P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       20   42  +24       8.38    89.34    14.61    84.77     7.97    34.96    22.01    82.65    37.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   42  +16      10.08    94.57     9.47    82.37     7.30    23.13    11.61    74.94    27.20P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     20   39  +11      10.99    95.68     9.97    74.26     7.48    10.90     1.66    32.01     6.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.29    88.96    11.97    79.35     8.35    24.17     7.94    59.94    19.01P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          20   35  +19       0.77    54.47     8.73    79.65     7.50    32.40     6.98    63.80    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      19   34   +5       6.67    85.31     3.01    74.86     7.80    10.96     2.05    35.49     9.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   33   +8       2.73    66.41     3.60    71.85     7.50    12.95     0.76    22.69     5.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Eastleigh          20   31   -1       5.23    78.95     1.18    65.58     7.43    -2.28     0.07     5.68     0.99P    0.59R    0.01  
Boreham_Wood       20   28   +0      -0.56    46.48    -2.04    64.13     7.44     1.25     0.04     4.16     0.96P    0.94R    0.01  
Barnet             19   28   -2      -2.40    35.58    -8.59    70.39     8.02     5.97     0.65    18.25     5.56P    0.20R    0.00  
Hartlepool         20   28   -4       1.73    61.24    -2.60    61.45     7.42    -6.81     0.02     1.90     0.40P    2.41R    0.06  
Halifax            20   25   -1       0.67    55.01     2.83    55.91     7.21    -6.99     0.00     0.33     0.06P    9.40R    0.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   24   -2      -2.57    34.95    -1.11    60.68     7.47    -0.13     0.01     1.53     0.32P    3.13R    0.08  
Aldershot          20   24  -12      -1.98    38.31   -10.20    57.92     7.41   -14.08     0.00     0.52     0.12P    6.94R    0.22  
Bromley            20   23   -4      -4.48    25.02    -3.97    58.17     7.65    -5.01     0.01     0.83     0.18P    6.54R    0.23  
Barrow             20   21   -7      -3.62    29.01    -2.96    51.88     7.34   -13.68     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.28R    1.36  
Maidstone_United   20   19  -10      -2.71    33.88    -2.06    48.34     7.17   -18.81     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.19R    4.18  
Chesterfield       20   18   -6     -11.30     3.84    -9.10    56.30     7.66    -1.88     0.00     0.42     0.12P    9.50R    0.41  
Havant_&_Wville    20   18   -8      -3.38    31.16     1.83    46.65     7.71   -19.26     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.28R    7.15  
Dag_&_Red          20   18   -9      -8.95     7.99    -8.64    52.80     7.49   -10.22     0.00     0.10     0.03P   19.66R    1.20  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.38    35.81   -10.20    44.58     7.39   -36.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.09R   12.17  
Braintree_Town     20   13  -18      -4.93    20.88    -3.23    35.63     7.09   -38.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.36R   58.10  
Dover_Athletic     20   11  -21     -13.35     1.22   -16.42    43.25     7.44   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.42R   14.55