Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 17 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 12 32 +31 3.34 81.57 7.06 94.57 6.03 81.15 83.83 95.91 98.99 99.82 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 12 30 +18 5.99 92.19 4.99 83.50 7.05 46.61 9.48 51.76 76.88 91.09 99.72 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 12 28 +19 3.27 75.59 5.99 78.56 7.14 43.15 3.40 22.99 50.61 76.35 98.73 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 12 27 +10 3.52 77.73 -1.31 78.63 7.09 35.16 2.76 21.91 49.01 74.65 98.53 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 12 24 +11 1.80 64.22 1.56 71.97 7.32 31.19 0.44 5.53 17.14 37.87 92.21 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 12 20 +5 3.37 75.67 5.07 51.38 7.24 -4.52 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.26 5.19 0.34R 0.01 Watford 12 20 +3 4.71 83.83 5.06 49.05 7.14 -9.77 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.08 2.66 0.78R 0.03 Man_Utd 12 20 -1 -0.53 45.10 -6.84 68.31 7.24 18.64 0.09 1.88 7.10 18.96 83.21 0.00 0.00 Everton 12 19 +4 1.22 60.32 2.33 54.18 7.45 1.89 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.62 10.36 0.12R 0.01 Leicester 12 17 +1 -0.03 50.29 0.59 51.42 7.44 -2.85 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.23 5.70 0.45R 0.01 Wolverhampton 12 16 -1 2.68 72.59 4.14 47.50 7.42 -8.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 2.10 1.75R 0.11 Brighton 12 14 -5 1.42 63.93 1.53 42.93 7.05 -15.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.42 5.55R 0.36 West_Ham 12 12 -4 -1.30 40.06 1.75 44.52 7.34 -11.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.79 4.22R 0.36 Newcastle 12 9 -6 -4.72 14.66 -1.49 41.21 7.17 -11.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 8.58R 1.11 Burnley 12 9 -13 -4.45 16.19 -7.85 36.53 6.96 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 24.13R 3.73 Crystal_Palace 12 8 -9 -5.40 11.58 -4.07 37.31 7.05 -20.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 20.60R 2.86 Southampton 12 8 -13 -4.68 14.51 -6.46 36.80 7.10 -24.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 23.42R 4.25 Cardiff 12 8 -14 -2.51 28.89 -2.63 31.64 7.03 -34.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.11R 13.97 Huddersfield 12 7 -16 -2.21 30.31 -3.46 26.97 6.24 -41.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.52R 35.17 Fulham 12 5 -20 -5.13 11.05 -5.96 27.02 6.93 -46.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.42R 38.03Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Norwich 17 33 +8 8.35 91.51 6.02 76.36 8.17 13.33 12.80 25.74 67.48 34.11P 0.03R 0.00 Middlesbrough 17 31 +11 2.20 64.71 3.17 79.82 7.92 24.11 24.79 43.17 82.31 55.36P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 17 30 +12 4.85 79.39 9.24 74.99 8.20 19.87 10.53 22.18 62.97 31.16P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 17 30 +8 4.51 77.52 4.72 73.34 8.24 13.29 7.50 16.52 54.07 24.92P 0.07R 0.01 West_Brom 17 28 +12 -2.32 34.65 0.98 78.62 8.48 28.90 22.98 39.38 77.60 51.50P 0.02R 0.00 Derby 17 28 +5 0.50 53.30 -1.19 73.14 8.12 13.15 6.69 15.30 52.91 25.02P 0.08R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 17 27 +7 3.97 75.36 7.28 65.77 8.15 5.50 1.13 3.14 20.61 6.39P 0.88R 0.07 Swansea 17 26 +6 -1.60 39.11 -0.34 72.02 8.34 15.19 6.13 13.82 48.59 24.05P 0.09R 0.01 Blackburn 17 26 -1 2.88 68.95 -0.75 64.22 8.30 -3.14 0.83 2.30 15.51 5.02P 1.69R 0.15 QPR 17 26 -4 5.18 81.31 -0.12 60.59 7.97 -11.99 0.24 0.74 6.73 1.70P 4.21R 0.45 Aston_Villa 17 24 +4 -3.47 27.89 -2.24 69.34 8.15 12.32 3.10 7.83 36.12 15.45P 0.27R 0.01 Birmingham 17 24 +3 3.87 75.60 7.62 57.37 7.80 -6.19 0.06 0.22 3.26 0.66P 7.65R 0.89 Bristol_City 17 22 +1 -1.69 39.09 0.57 62.01 8.11 1.34 0.41 1.20 10.60 3.26P 2.68R 0.29 Stoke 17 22 -1 -3.20 29.79 -3.78 66.69 8.37 6.46 1.52 4.37 24.71 9.82P 0.91R 0.07 Brentford 17 21 +4 -4.71 21.58 0.41 63.91 8.27 8.65 0.81 2.37 16.29 5.91P 1.59R 0.14 Wigan 17 20 -7 -2.19 36.20 -5.43 60.87 8.43 -5.28 0.28 0.93 8.43 2.65P 4.62R 0.66 Sheff_Wed 17 20 -9 -1.25 42.49 -5.78 58.11 8.05 -11.77 0.07 0.31 3.99 1.05P 7.81R 1.14 Preston 17 18 -4 -5.07 19.46 -3.52 58.23 8.22 -3.45 0.10 0.36 4.70 1.25P 7.02R 1.07 Rotherham 17 18 -9 0.89 57.76 0.58 47.50 7.93 -25.01 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.02P 46.75R 14.44 Reading 17 16 -5 -4.27 23.42 0.32 48.81 7.94 -16.29 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.06P 38.12R 10.34 Millwall 17 16 -7 -4.73 21.33 -3.03 53.96 8.04 -9.85 0.01 0.06 1.36 0.32P 16.73R 3.30 Hull 17 16 -8 -5.58 17.15 -5.24 53.27 8.07 -12.32 0.01 0.06 1.20 0.28P 19.48R 3.75 Bolton 17 16 -12 -0.17 50.26 -1.55 42.74 7.27 -31.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 71.55R 32.82 Ipswich 17 11 -14 -8.24 6.77 -7.95 43.08 7.73 -25.71 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 67.73R 30.41League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 17 38 +14 10.97 96.77 8.53 81.88 8.32 20.01 10.68 30.02 86.22 43.09P 0.01R 0.00 Sunderland 16 35 +19 4.30 76.56 5.59 91.97 8.52 43.17 56.60 78.30 98.53 85.41P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 17 33 +11 6.31 84.77 6.01 81.03 8.44 23.52 8.89 27.04 84.13 41.53P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 16 31 +15 1.62 60.08 3.81 84.54 8.78 33.57 19.83 45.90 91.27 61.42P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 17 29 +8 3.67 72.19 5.10 73.85 8.71 15.47 1.96 7.87 56.09 19.89P 0.20R 0.00 Charlton 17 28 +6 2.16 63.99 2.33 72.54 8.27 12.98 1.16 5.37 49.65 16.44P 0.18R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 17 28 +2 6.02 84.01 3.86 64.75 8.42 -2.49 0.16 0.89 16.40 3.72P 2.90R 0.14 Coventry 17 28 +2 6.29 85.35 4.07 64.16 8.33 -2.85 0.09 0.66 14.84 3.27P 3.02R 0.08 Blackpool 16 25 +3 2.01 63.66 1.34 65.31 8.36 2.00 0.17 0.93 19.02 4.79P 2.24R 0.08 Doncaster 17 25 +1 1.92 62.90 1.43 64.66 8.30 0.65 0.14 0.72 16.42 3.98P 2.83R 0.12 Walsall 17 25 -5 3.80 74.42 -1.86 59.54 8.05 -12.85 0.02 0.15 5.44 0.97P 9.31R 0.52 Fleetwood_Town 17 23 +5 -1.14 42.96 3.85 65.34 8.29 8.76 0.14 0.94 19.69 5.45P 2.21R 0.08 Southend 17 23 -1 0.11 51.13 -0.26 63.05 8.31 -0.65 0.07 0.47 12.49 3.03P 4.17R 0.22 Burton_Albion 16 21 +0 -1.78 38.52 -1.20 61.64 8.76 -0.74 0.07 0.42 11.21 2.93P 6.62R 0.38 Wycombe 17 21 -1 0.89 56.98 3.94 54.23 8.26 -11.51 0.00 0.03 1.76 0.32P 25.34R 2.70 Rochdale 17 20 -9 -0.49 47.41 -4.40 56.75 8.30 -13.95 0.01 0.06 2.99 0.58P 17.16R 1.63 Gillingham 17 18 -3 -3.63 27.64 -0.14 55.03 8.36 -7.71 0.00 0.03 2.25 0.49P 21.90R 2.16 Shrewsbury 17 18 -4 -4.96 20.05 -3.74 58.27 8.13 -2.96 0.01 0.08 4.34 1.04P 11.41R 0.74 Scunthorpe 17 18 -11 -5.18 19.74 -10.37 58.11 8.44 -11.07 0.01 0.10 4.45 1.02P 13.47R 1.12 Bristol_Rovers 17 17 +0 -5.61 17.06 0.90 54.24 8.10 -3.54 0.00 0.01 1.59 0.33P 23.17R 2.17 Oxford_Utd 17 15 -7 -6.41 14.03 -3.88 52.38 8.39 -10.92 0.00 0.02 1.03 0.25P 32.26R 4.50 Plymouth 17 13 -11 -6.67 12.50 -5.32 47.06 8.06 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 58.27R 13.50 AFC_Wimbledon 17 11 -15 -6.77 10.78 -7.25 41.26 7.69 -28.51 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 83.36R 36.62 Bradford 17 10 -19 -8.81 5.48 -12.32 42.16 7.97 -30.68 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02P 79.95R 33.23League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 17 36 +17 7.50 89.91 9.24 83.67 8.11 28.90 25.14 65.29 92.83 72.56P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 17 34 +14 3.95 74.42 4.17 87.10 8.16 33.50 43.68 79.04 96.76 84.73P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 17 31 +15 2.90 68.27 7.92 78.57 8.14 26.77 10.80 40.66 81.41 51.74P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 17 30 +9 6.21 84.87 8.06 70.61 8.42 10.43 1.82 11.34 44.81 18.11P 0.05R 0.00 Exeter 17 29 +9 1.53 60.13 2.75 75.59 8.17 19.28 5.30 26.74 69.35 38.01P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 17 29 -4 7.17 88.92 -1.59 64.18 8.16 -11.07 0.30 2.56 17.25 4.78P 0.34R 0.02 Mansfield 17 28 +12 0.26 51.38 5.48 75.83 8.13 24.00 5.95 28.16 71.61 40.84P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 17 28 +5 2.69 67.66 1.97 67.22 8.11 4.52 0.67 5.14 29.13 10.11P 0.06R 0.00 Forest_Green 17 27 +9 4.41 77.03 10.19 65.41 8.21 7.05 0.39 3.62 23.17 7.10P 0.15R 0.01 Bury 17 26 +10 -2.45 34.08 2.22 74.22 8.48 22.84 4.62 23.31 64.09 35.57P 0.01R 0.00 Carlisle 17 23 -3 -1.11 42.95 -4.16 62.40 8.22 -3.33 0.12 1.48 13.37 4.03P 0.50R 0.03 Crawley_Town 17 23 -5 2.58 67.74 -0.40 59.40 8.11 -10.46 0.06 0.64 6.89 1.68P 1.36R 0.08 Port_Vale 17 22 -4 0.74 55.71 -1.32 59.98 8.01 -6.30 0.04 0.67 7.57 1.98P 1.04R 0.09 Yeovil 16 21 +5 0.26 52.51 6.74 62.22 8.35 5.20 0.18 1.67 14.01 4.11P 0.58R 0.04 Oldham 17 21 +3 -6.15 15.38 -2.79 66.11 8.38 10.96 0.51 4.79 26.97 11.51P 0.16R 0.01 Northampton 17 21 -1 -3.70 27.30 -3.13 63.43 8.48 3.10 0.19 2.41 17.23 5.99P 0.51R 0.03 Swindon 17 21 -3 -2.72 32.67 -3.71 63.92 8.22 1.74 0.22 2.18 17.77 5.75P 0.39R 0.03 Crewe 17 19 -3 -2.53 33.75 -0.45 55.91 8.09 -7.10 0.00 0.20 3.16 0.80P 3.19R 0.26 Cambridge_Utd 17 18 -11 -3.07 30.35 -7.86 53.39 7.95 -17.20 0.01 0.07 1.32 0.32P 6.39R 0.60 Morecambe 17 17 -12 -1.52 40.66 -5.10 47.77 7.69 -25.23 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.04P 20.03R 2.77 Grimsby 17 15 -12 -2.65 32.44 -4.18 46.29 7.67 -23.64 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 25.91R 3.70 Notts_County 17 14 -16 -6.62 12.88 -11.55 50.99 8.21 -20.50 0.00 0.04 0.84 0.20P 12.07R 1.51 Cheltenham 16 11 -13 -6.80 10.22 -6.72 45.22 8.11 -23.51 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 31.96R 5.32 Macclesfield 17 7 -21 -6.75 9.01 -5.77 29.09 7.11 -49.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.29R 85.51National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 19 41 +16 10.60 96.02 9.69 83.38 7.54 23.98 16.85 79.42 32.67P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 19 40 +25 6.00 83.23 13.20 88.00 7.63 41.47 40.75 92.45 57.24P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 19 39 +20 8.50 90.07 13.30 81.81 8.26 28.91 14.89 72.36 28.24P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 19 37 +16 8.35 89.23 12.06 79.33 8.37 24.17 9.02 60.92 20.25P 0.00R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 19 36 +8 10.29 95.11 8.32 72.08 7.67 7.11 1.12 24.09 4.90P 0.04R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 19 35 +20 2.05 62.47 9.56 81.54 7.72 34.14 12.74 73.65 31.52P 0.00 0.00 Sutton_United 18 33 +5 6.85 86.63 2.72 74.98 8.02 10.61 2.76 37.71 10.03P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 19 32 +8 3.14 69.14 3.67 72.66 7.71 13.56 1.29 27.80 7.37P 0.04R 0.00 Hartlepool 19 28 -2 2.45 65.74 -1.52 63.36 7.68 -3.92 0.08 3.98 0.82P 1.66R 0.03 Eastleigh 19 28 -4 4.39 76.27 -0.69 62.72 7.63 -7.09 0.02 3.05 0.50P 2.20R 0.05 Boreham_Wood 19 27 +0 -0.21 48.82 -2.04 64.85 7.60 1.74 0.08 5.50 1.28P 0.93R 0.01 Barnet 18 25 -4 -3.30 29.60 -9.53 67.82 8.20 2.64 0.36 12.44 3.70P 0.56R 0.02 Aldershot 19 24 -8 -1.87 38.78 -8.09 60.11 7.66 -8.92 0.01 1.47 0.27P 4.46R 0.20 Bromley 19 23 -2 -4.07 26.47 -3.56 59.49 7.84 -3.10 0.01 1.54 0.33P 5.31R 0.23 Ebbsfleet_United 19 23 -2 -2.33 36.01 -1.30 60.74 7.70 -0.59 0.01 1.92 0.42P 3.56R 0.12 Halifax 19 22 -2 -0.64 46.60 2.32 54.14 7.47 -8.24 0.00 0.22 0.04P 15.75R 0.95 Barrow 19 21 -4 -3.11 31.49 -1.27 54.48 7.67 -8.86 0.00 0.32 0.07P 15.08R 0.98 Maidstone_United 19 18 -10 -2.57 34.42 -2.29 48.32 7.38 -19.32 0.00 0.02 0.01P 42.72R 5.66 Chesterfield 19 17 -6 -10.81 4.15 -8.88 57.95 7.97 -0.00 0.01 1.07 0.33P 7.65R 0.43 Havant_&_Wville 19 17 -8 -3.16 31.69 1.85 46.10 7.97 -21.03 0.00 0.02 0.00P 54.37R 11.07 Maidenhead 19 17 -21 -2.35 36.03 -10.16 44.53 7.38 -36.88 0.00 0.01 0.00 65.33R 14.59 Dag_&_Red 19 15 -10 -10.47 4.22 -9.43 50.52 7.67 -12.13 0.00 0.04 0.01P 30.39R 3.35 Braintree_Town 19 13 -15 -4.68 22.05 -2.05 37.77 7.46 -33.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.46R 48.59 Dover_Athletic 19 11 -20 -12.37 1.74 -15.88 44.79 7.71 -24.62 0.00 0.00 0.00P 61.46R 13.72