Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2018, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         12   32  +31       3.33    81.14     7.06    94.60     6.00    81.26    84.02    96.06    99.06    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   30  +18       6.07    92.28     5.19    83.35     7.12    46.30     9.32    50.88    76.11    90.51    99.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   28  +19       3.30    75.82     6.01    78.62     7.11    43.27     3.33    23.45    50.74    76.26    98.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        12   27  +10       3.54    78.23    -1.25    78.58     7.13    35.03     2.77    22.01    48.84    74.18    98.53     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          12   24  +11       1.71    63.56     1.38    72.20     7.32    31.56     0.43     5.72    18.03    39.19    92.67     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      12   20   +5       3.37    75.65     5.09    51.32     7.26    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.22     5.14     0.36R    0.02  
Watford          12   20   +3       4.70    83.83     5.05    49.07     7.15    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.65     0.74R    0.03  
Man_Utd          12   20   -1      -0.55    44.94    -6.88    68.31     7.27    18.67     0.12     1.85     7.03    18.87    83.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   19   +4       1.27    60.94     2.42    54.10     7.45     1.72     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.55    10.05     0.14R    0.00  
Leicester        12   17   +1       0.02    50.69     0.68    51.32     7.47    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     5.54     0.48R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    12   16   -1       2.71    72.99     4.18    47.45     7.41    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.04     1.63R    0.09  
Brighton         12   14   -5       1.40    63.39     1.51    43.01     7.08   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     5.43R    0.39  
West_Ham         12   12   -4      -1.32    40.11     1.75    44.48     7.35   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     4.34R    0.40  
Newcastle        12    9   -6      -4.74    14.71    -1.56    41.29     7.18   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     8.39R    0.95  
Burnley          12    9  -13      -4.42    16.52    -7.79    36.51     6.91   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.21R    3.56  
Crystal_Palace   12    8   -9      -5.33    11.82    -3.98    37.18     7.10   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    21.38R    3.20  
Southampton      12    8  -13      -4.72    14.44    -6.50    36.80     7.05   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    23.60R    4.21  
Cardiff          12    8  -14      -2.65    27.85    -2.85    31.90     7.09   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.62R   13.52  
Huddersfield     12    7  -16      -2.28    29.73    -3.61    27.02     6.23   -41.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   34.81  
Fulham           12    5  -20      -5.07    11.26    -5.89    26.85     6.91   -46.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.19R   38.76  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2018, Birmingham 3 3 Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         17   33   +8       8.30    91.36     5.97    76.41     8.17    13.41    13.12    26.06    67.44    34.28P    0.03R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   17   31  +11       2.22    64.91     3.16    79.87     7.93    24.14    24.51    43.12    82.59    55.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    17   30  +12       4.68    78.53     9.00    75.16     8.19    20.11    11.05    22.64    63.43    31.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   30   +8       4.59    77.79     4.86    73.10     8.23    12.90     7.03    15.73    52.67    23.55P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom       17   28  +12      -2.41    34.02     0.84    78.79     8.49    29.25    23.15    40.08    78.11    52.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           17   28   +5       0.46    53.12    -1.23    73.14     8.13    13.19     6.78    15.41    53.09    25.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +7       3.93    75.25     7.25    65.79     8.14     5.52     1.13     3.20    20.87     6.49P    0.83R    0.05  
Swansea         17   26   +6      -1.69    38.33    -0.45    72.15     8.30    15.37     6.11    13.71    49.13    24.15P    0.11R    0.01  
Blackburn       17   26   -1       2.91    69.27    -0.68    64.22     8.35    -3.13     0.86     2.35    15.67     5.10P    1.68R    0.13  
QPR             17   26   -4       5.07    80.49    -0.31    60.73     7.94   -11.78     0.18     0.70     6.97     1.70P    3.95R    0.41  
Aston_Villa     17   24   +4      -3.36    28.52    -2.11    69.15     8.14    12.05     2.90     7.38    35.05    15.08P    0.28R    0.02  
Birmingham      17   24   +3       3.96    76.05     7.80    57.28     7.80    -6.41     0.07     0.20     3.23     0.62P    7.65R    0.94  
Bristol_City    17   22   +1      -1.67    39.41     0.52    61.99     8.11     1.29     0.36     1.14    10.54     3.16P    2.77R    0.32  
Stoke           17   22   -1      -3.22    29.83    -3.85    66.75     8.38     6.61     1.49     4.28    25.07    10.06P    0.86R    0.05  
Brentford       17   21   +4      -4.65    21.90     0.53    63.82     8.31     8.49     0.80     2.31    16.24     5.85P    1.72R    0.16  
Wigan           17   20   -7      -2.11    36.92    -5.35    60.79     8.34    -5.40     0.25     0.85     8.14     2.51P    4.60R    0.57  
Sheff_Wed       17   20   -9      -1.16    43.04    -5.63    57.95     8.14   -12.02     0.10     0.34     4.04     1.10P    8.23R    1.27  
Preston         17   18   -4      -5.00    20.03    -3.44    58.20     8.23    -3.47     0.08     0.35     4.59     1.33P    7.27R    1.17  
Rotherham       17   18   -9       0.84    57.46     0.50    47.48     7.91   -25.08     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   47.05R   14.39  
Reading         17   16   -5      -4.36    22.67     0.20    48.94     8.01   -16.17     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   37.32R   10.15  
Millwall        17   16   -7      -4.68    21.35    -2.99    54.01     8.07    -9.68     0.02     0.07     1.41     0.36P   16.74R    3.23  
Hull            17   16   -8      -5.53    17.67    -5.18    53.24     8.09   -12.39     0.01     0.07     1.13     0.27P   19.20R    3.84  
Bolton          17   16  -12      -0.13    50.73    -1.49    42.70     7.29   -31.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   71.89R   33.08  
Ipswich         17   11  -14      -8.21     6.79    -7.93    43.16     7.75   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   67.66R   30.20  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.89    96.55     8.44    81.96     8.36    20.07    11.10    30.60    86.21    43.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.32    76.81     5.60    91.85     8.59    42.97    56.17    77.81    98.35    85.05P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.40    85.02     6.17    80.81     8.41    23.18     8.90    26.66    83.52    41.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.66    60.20     3.82    84.39     8.74    33.41    19.48    45.53    91.06    61.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.66    72.36     5.12    73.83     8.69    15.40     2.02     8.05    56.39    20.04P    0.24R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.16    64.05     2.33    72.51     8.32    12.95     1.28     5.54    49.87    16.29P    0.25R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.10    84.49     3.94    64.69     8.44    -2.58     0.21     0.95    16.42     3.76P    3.09R    0.10  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.21    84.78     3.98    64.22     8.29    -2.76     0.08     0.63    15.06     3.24P    3.01R    0.06  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.97    63.70     1.31    65.26     8.39     2.00     0.24     1.14    18.53     4.92P    2.28R    0.07  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.04    63.58     1.57    64.54     8.33     0.48     0.11     0.73    16.31     3.98P    3.05R    0.11  
Walsall              17   25   -5       3.76    74.15    -1.98    59.75     8.07   -12.57     0.04     0.16     5.59     1.06P    8.89R    0.55  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.14    42.86     3.86    65.25     8.35     8.64     0.19     0.93    19.64     5.33P    2.29R    0.07  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.10    51.31    -0.29    63.15     8.28    -0.48     0.07     0.50    12.86     3.15P    4.10R    0.14  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.72    39.19    -1.11    61.55     8.70    -0.92     0.07     0.44    10.78     2.84P    6.68R    0.42  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.71    55.75     3.68    54.50     8.29   -11.07     0.01     0.02     1.87     0.34P   24.52R    2.68  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.48    47.88    -4.42    56.63     8.21   -14.09     0.00     0.03     2.83     0.52P   17.76R    1.57  
Gillingham           17   18   -3      -3.59    27.99    -0.07    54.89     8.33    -7.86     0.01     0.04     2.29     0.49P   22.42R    2.21  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -5.00    20.10    -3.77    58.43     8.15    -2.74     0.01     0.10     4.63     1.18P   11.43R    0.66  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.24    19.75   -10.47    58.22     8.52   -10.89     0.02     0.12     4.83     1.22P   13.66R    1.25  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.65    17.02     0.86    54.32     8.15    -3.45     0.00     0.02     1.77     0.41P   23.07R    2.21  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.30    14.23    -3.66    52.34     8.30   -11.00     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.21P   32.69R    4.54  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.75    12.02    -5.45    47.31     8.13   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   57.09R   12.82  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.74    11.07    -7.16    41.10     7.67   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.73R   37.47  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.79     5.35   -12.28    42.21     7.95   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.72R   33.05  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.50    89.97     9.22    83.67     8.15    28.91    25.59    65.00    92.91    72.16P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.97    74.62     4.17    87.13     8.18    33.61    43.86    79.20    96.78    84.97P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.94    68.72     7.97    78.45     8.10    26.65    10.32    40.39    80.86    51.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       5.99    84.03     7.76    70.98     8.43    10.97     1.97    12.26    46.97    19.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.60    60.26     2.88    75.42     8.21    19.03     4.99    26.10    68.74    37.25P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.20    88.97    -1.63    64.14     8.15   -11.11     0.31     2.42    17.01     4.67P    0.29R    0.01  
Mansfield        17   28  +12       0.27    51.60     5.53    75.94     8.14    24.12     6.02    28.69    72.17    41.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.67    67.39     1.98    67.24     8.12     4.51     0.66     5.23    29.29    10.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.54    77.98    10.36    65.19     8.13     6.70     0.38     3.42    22.37     6.82P    0.13R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.36    34.54     2.34    74.11     8.50    22.59     4.63    23.08    63.19    34.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.18    42.70    -4.28    62.55     8.15    -3.06     0.15     1.62    13.38     4.18P    0.50R    0.03  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.57    67.47    -0.41    59.31     8.14   -10.52     0.04     0.61     6.84     1.65P    1.53R    0.11  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.80    56.17    -1.21    59.91     8.01    -6.39     0.05     0.69     7.54     1.96P    1.09R    0.08  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.28    52.88     6.75    62.24     8.32     5.22     0.13     1.72    13.96     4.16P    0.60R    0.04  
Oldham           17   21   +3      -6.25    14.82    -2.95    66.21     8.38    11.08     0.51     4.67    27.19    11.46P    0.16R    0.01  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.56    28.01    -2.95    63.31     8.47     2.90     0.19     2.29    16.80     5.92P    0.51R    0.03  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.86    32.12    -3.90    64.00     8.21     1.87     0.20     2.32    17.87     6.13P    0.34R    0.02  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.50    34.07    -0.38    55.85     8.08    -7.21     0.01     0.17     3.14     0.80P    3.33R    0.29  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.09    30.11    -7.85    53.42     8.01   -17.15     0.00     0.08     1.62     0.34P    6.31R    0.61  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.50    40.98    -5.05    47.77     7.71   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   20.04R    2.59  
Grimsby          17   15  -12      -2.73    32.10    -4.30    46.43     7.65   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   25.16R    3.53  
Notts_County     17   14  -16      -6.56    13.23   -11.48    50.90     8.27   -20.69     0.00     0.03     0.90     0.22P   12.53R    1.52  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.80    10.35    -6.73    45.25     8.20   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   31.92R    5.58  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.79     9.00    -5.86    29.11     7.07   -49.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.48R   85.57  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.51    95.87     9.53    83.48     7.50    24.15    16.64    80.15    32.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       5.98    83.21    13.15    88.11     7.64    41.66    41.36    92.63    57.77P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.49    90.09    13.32    81.83     8.39    28.91    15.16    72.01    28.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.35    89.30    12.02    79.34     8.35    24.18     9.02    61.04    20.20P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.31    95.01     8.30    72.12     7.67     7.17     1.11    24.11     4.98P    0.04R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       2.11    62.57     9.70    81.42     7.68    33.99    12.25    73.36    30.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.88    86.99     2.85    74.94     8.03    10.54     2.66    37.75     9.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.17    69.34     3.72    72.65     7.70    13.59     1.24    27.78     7.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.31    64.78    -1.76    63.51     7.62    -3.71     0.06     4.00     0.79P    1.51R    0.04  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.40    76.42    -0.63    62.73     7.63    -7.11     0.03     3.16     0.56P    2.13R    0.06  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.21    49.13    -2.09    64.95     7.59     1.89     0.09     5.75     1.42P    0.84R    0.01  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.17    30.39    -9.29    67.54     8.09     2.29     0.32    11.44     3.40P    0.62R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.92    38.69    -8.14    60.14     7.71    -8.92     0.03     1.65     0.36P    4.37R    0.16  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -4.09    26.34    -3.53    59.49     7.89    -3.17     0.02     1.75     0.40P    5.32R    0.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.39    35.80    -1.35    60.71     7.74    -0.64     0.01     1.85     0.44P    3.67R    0.16  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.64    46.69     2.33    54.20     7.43    -8.19     0.00     0.21     0.04P   15.25R    0.99  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.04    31.56    -1.16    54.44     7.61    -8.92     0.00     0.29     0.06P   15.07R    0.95  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.51    34.37    -2.21    48.22     7.38   -19.44     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.39R    5.95  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.81     4.26    -8.87    57.93     7.94    -0.07     0.01     0.97     0.29P    7.60R    0.40  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.07    32.43     2.00    45.99     7.92   -21.17     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.90R   11.13  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.44    35.36   -10.29    44.59     7.36   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.19R   14.83  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.37     4.36    -9.30    50.43     7.68   -12.28     0.00     0.05     0.03P   30.99R    3.43  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.74    21.80    -2.20    37.87     7.43   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   48.04  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.50     1.77   -16.11    44.88     7.71   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.92R   13.61