Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.57    76.15     6.33    93.55     6.30    80.33    77.71    92.96    97.90    99.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.16    83.15     6.52    80.50     7.22    46.37     6.46    29.93    57.93    79.96    99.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.53    90.55     5.32    83.80     7.20    48.97    11.99    50.06    74.85    89.56    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.53    71.56    -1.53    77.76     7.28    35.66     2.66    17.20    39.78    66.39    97.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.70    72.40     2.23    73.73     7.52    33.84     0.95     7.70    21.63    43.67    93.43     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.43    82.88     5.65    52.94     7.50    -3.26     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.32     6.86     0.21R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1      -0.07    48.70    -6.40    69.19     7.37    19.91     0.23     2.10     7.68    19.71    83.51     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       4.97    86.34     5.00    49.35     7.35   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.66     0.73R    0.03  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.05    59.11     1.44    53.45     7.61    -0.42     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.41     7.54     0.22R    0.00  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.63    55.81     1.11    52.51     7.70    -1.97     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.32     6.47     0.39R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.57    72.62     3.32    46.55     7.61   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.37     2.34R    0.17  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.60    74.03     2.26    44.78     7.33   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70     3.24R    0.24  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.64    45.69     2.30    45.48     7.63   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.99     3.40R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.66    14.42    -3.87    37.93     7.22   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    17.27R    2.27  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.43    15.23    -8.18    36.19     7.18   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.70R    3.72  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.26    15.30    -6.28    37.37     7.30   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    20.06R    3.39  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.09     6.99    -2.09    39.53     7.38   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    12.11R    1.64  
Huddersfield     11    6  -16      -2.17    29.81    -3.72    26.82     6.41   -42.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.91R   32.71  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.09    14.95    -3.36    29.65     7.22   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.24R   19.80  
Fulham           11    5  -18      -4.74    12.53    -6.07    26.86     7.06   -48.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.19R   35.67  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.21    82.05    10.64    77.06     8.46    23.87    17.06    31.22    71.04    40.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.26    89.49     5.84    74.78     8.35    12.45     9.70    20.13    59.30    28.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.21    81.60     5.25    74.43     8.54    14.41    10.12    20.40    58.01    28.49P    0.10R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.34    59.42     2.19    78.38     8.09    22.32    19.29    35.63    76.42    48.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.27    58.59     0.88    76.37     8.36    18.98    14.11    27.25    67.47    38.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.38    78.37     7.41    66.30     8.34     5.64     1.44     3.91    22.68     7.43P    0.89R    0.09  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.88    30.89    -0.25    76.47     8.69    24.97    16.22    29.75    68.38    41.77P    0.03R    0.01  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.56    73.08    -0.23    65.64     8.58    -1.62     1.31     3.57    20.04     6.86P    1.36R    0.11  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.76    31.34    -0.72    70.55     8.50    14.44     4.52    10.60    41.48    19.71P    0.28R    0.03  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.31    78.93     7.64    58.10     8.03    -5.45     0.09     0.34     4.10     0.92P    7.25R    0.85  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.77    75.09    -0.93    58.52     8.04   -13.60     0.09     0.38     4.28     0.99P    7.00R    0.91  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.52    46.78     1.19    64.35     8.27     3.75     0.85     2.37    16.23     5.27P    1.62R    0.16  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.52    27.07     1.12    65.85     8.53    10.53     1.57     4.16    22.82     8.93P    1.11R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.48    21.66    -4.33    65.79     8.34     6.45     1.29     3.54    21.24     8.20P    1.03R    0.07  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.79    31.91    -3.67    66.78     8.67     6.10     1.76     4.78    25.36    10.22P    1.05R    0.07  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.60    39.86    -4.54    61.94     8.46    -3.64     0.44     1.27    10.37     3.29P    3.60R    0.49  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.18    42.60    -6.25    57.89     8.32   -12.81     0.07     0.36     4.18     1.12P    8.87R    1.45  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       0.97    58.70     0.21    47.04     8.07   -26.43     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   49.49R   16.52  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.75    25.68    -2.83    54.90     8.16    -9.30     0.02     0.08     1.90     0.47P   14.42R    2.69  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.62    56.25    -1.31    43.83     7.45   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   66.30R   27.99  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.52    12.26    -4.19    55.52     8.46    -6.12     0.04     0.17     2.70     0.70P   13.34R    2.41  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.74    25.48     0.44    49.77     8.19   -15.31     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.12P   33.86R    9.35  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.18    18.19    -5.25    53.23     8.20   -12.69     0.02     0.08     1.22     0.31P   20.12R    4.03  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.08     6.42    -8.31    42.90     8.01   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   68.21R   32.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.92    96.71     8.49    81.85     8.28    19.92    10.48    29.77    86.24    42.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.21    75.89     5.45    92.10     8.53    43.44    57.45    78.75    98.52    85.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.26    84.61     5.94    81.08     8.46    23.56     9.05    27.70    84.30    42.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.64    60.24     3.88    84.37     8.70    33.29    19.01    44.96    91.24    60.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.84    73.07     5.36    73.58     8.65    15.03     1.80     7.66    54.89    19.34P    0.23R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.08    63.55     2.24    72.64     8.27    13.06     1.28     5.57    50.33    16.69P    0.20R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.25    84.54     4.14    64.54     8.43    -2.84     0.16     0.84    15.94     3.57P    3.09R    0.11  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.29    85.30     4.08    64.15     8.26    -2.85     0.10     0.70    14.70     3.22P    3.03R    0.11  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.90    63.15     1.21    65.38     8.36     2.11     0.21     0.97    19.00     4.80P    2.14R    0.08  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       1.92    63.03     1.41    64.68     8.33     0.72     0.10     0.77    16.69     4.00P    2.89R    0.09  
Walsall              17   25   -5       3.68    73.58    -2.10    59.75     8.07   -12.58     0.01     0.11     5.63     1.03P    8.86R    0.51  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.09    43.19     3.94    65.25     8.33     8.60     0.18     0.90    19.58     5.18P    2.23R    0.08  
Southend             17   23   -1      -0.00    50.64    -0.42    63.30     8.31    -0.26     0.08     0.51    13.06     3.25P    3.94R    0.17  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.77    38.78    -1.15    61.58     8.75    -0.82     0.05     0.48    11.06     3.07P    6.61R    0.39  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.80    56.25     3.84    54.41     8.34   -11.22     0.01     0.03     1.81     0.34P   24.76R    2.75  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.38    48.56    -4.22    56.55     8.26   -14.23     0.01     0.05     2.77     0.54P   17.98R    1.61  
Gillingham           17   18   -3      -3.60    27.97    -0.10    55.04     8.31    -7.65     0.00     0.03     2.29     0.50P   21.73R    2.30  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -4.99    20.12    -3.76    58.35     8.18    -2.82     0.01     0.08     4.61     1.20P   11.47R    0.69  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.23    19.65   -10.45    58.06     8.48   -11.17     0.01     0.09     4.43     1.14P   13.99R    1.21  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.57    17.23     0.93    54.17     8.13    -3.68     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.39P   23.38R    2.46  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.37    14.18    -3.82    52.34     8.32   -10.96     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.28P   32.46R    4.42  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.68    12.29    -5.34    47.18     8.12   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   57.82R   13.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.73    11.07    -7.14    41.13     7.70   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.66R   37.55  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.86     5.34   -12.41    42.30     7.95   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   79.50R   32.43  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.52    90.02     9.26    83.67     8.19    28.87    25.25    65.00    92.70    72.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.85    73.79     4.02    87.24     8.21    33.75    44.74    79.18    96.87    84.94P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       3.01    68.99     8.06    78.45     8.18    26.63    10.36    40.70    80.63    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       6.03    84.30     7.80    70.94     8.40    10.92     1.76    11.95    46.92    19.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.58    60.27     2.84    75.49     8.19    19.09     5.24    26.30    69.08    37.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.17    88.84    -1.58    64.09     8.11   -11.11     0.26     2.49    16.93     4.79P    0.28R    0.01  
Mansfield        17   28  +12       0.21    51.19     5.45    75.90     8.09    24.18     5.71    28.41    72.17    41.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.69    67.61     2.01    67.23     8.13     4.48     0.65     5.45    29.28    10.35P    0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.46    77.74    10.24    65.40     8.18     7.07     0.37     3.75    22.90     7.17P    0.17R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.36    34.45     2.36    74.02     8.49    22.49     4.33    22.51    62.93    34.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.09    43.02    -4.13    62.41     8.18    -3.28     0.12     1.51    13.20     4.14P    0.52R    0.03  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.69    68.25    -0.21    59.11     8.10   -10.83     0.04     0.52     6.46     1.52P    1.62R    0.15  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.83    56.54    -1.20    59.97     8.01    -6.35     0.03     0.63     7.51     1.92P    1.11R    0.07  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.27    52.51     6.76    62.17     8.36     5.14     0.16     1.71    13.85     4.14P    0.62R    0.05  
Oldham           17   21   +3      -6.25    15.03    -2.96    66.20     8.39    11.08     0.60     4.93    27.22    11.52P    0.14R    0.01  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.70    27.18    -3.13    63.41     8.46     3.04     0.22     2.34    17.28     6.06P    0.49R    0.02  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.77    32.55    -3.82    63.96     8.24     1.79     0.16     2.30    18.04     5.97P    0.37R    0.03  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.41    34.55    -0.25    55.81     8.10    -7.25     0.01     0.19     3.12     0.78P    3.34R    0.26  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.04    30.67    -7.81    53.35     7.97   -17.24     0.00     0.07     1.49     0.35P    6.35R    0.60  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.48    40.85    -5.07    47.74     7.65   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   20.47R    2.62  
Grimsby          17   15  -12      -2.69    32.26    -4.27    46.32     7.66   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   25.84R    3.72  
Notts_County     17   14  -16      -6.77    12.36   -11.74    51.09     8.25   -20.37     0.00     0.04     0.94     0.23P   12.02R    1.43  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.91    10.10    -6.86    45.39     8.18   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   31.10R    5.16  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.75     9.17    -5.79    29.10     7.06   -49.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.46R   85.84  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.67    96.07     9.75    83.20     7.55    23.74    16.46    79.07    31.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       5.99    83.08    13.17    88.09     7.62    41.57    41.68    92.81    58.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.47    90.05    13.27    81.92     8.29    29.07    14.96    72.72    28.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.60    90.15    12.43    78.98     8.29    23.58     8.30    59.94    19.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.24    94.88     8.21    72.14     7.68     7.23     1.17    24.58     5.18P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       1.98    61.97     9.47    81.59     7.69    34.22    12.90    73.99    31.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.97    87.12     2.96    74.90     8.03    10.46     2.74    37.82    10.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.17    69.15     3.77    72.50     7.70    13.38     1.19    27.41     7.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.31    64.84    -1.72    63.56     7.59    -3.63     0.08     3.91     0.78P    1.48R    0.04  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.31    75.93    -0.80    62.76     7.61    -7.00     0.04     3.19     0.62P    2.01R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.21    49.02    -2.07    64.81     7.61     1.71     0.10     5.65     1.41P    0.92R    0.01  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.26    29.73    -9.46    67.77     8.11     2.60     0.33    12.14     3.50P    0.61R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.99    37.94    -8.24    60.24     7.68    -8.81     0.02     1.61     0.34P    4.34R    0.17  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -4.07    26.28    -3.54    59.48     7.87    -3.15     0.01     1.61     0.36P    5.51R    0.22  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.33    36.01    -1.29    60.75     7.71    -0.58     0.02     1.90     0.38P    3.62R    0.14  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.58    46.99     2.43    54.11     7.41    -8.29     0.00     0.20     0.03P   15.75R    0.94  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.06    31.52    -1.26    54.46     7.61    -8.86     0.00     0.28     0.04P   15.13R    0.99  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.56    34.47    -2.29    48.31     7.36   -19.29     0.00     0.03     0.00P   42.86R    5.67  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.82     4.30    -8.87    57.98     7.98    -0.01     0.01     1.05     0.31P    7.58R    0.38  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.24    31.39     1.65    46.19     7.89   -20.84     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.94R   10.89  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.44    35.66   -10.28    44.60     7.40   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.20R   14.75  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.32     4.44    -9.24    50.42     7.70   -12.27     0.00     0.08     0.02P   31.25R    3.52  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.68    21.79    -2.10    37.86     7.47   -33.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.26R   48.17  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.43     1.74   -15.94    44.80     7.73   -24.57     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.43R   14.05