Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 10 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 11 29 +29 2.58 76.31 6.37 93.53 6.32 80.18 77.55 92.99 97.93 99.47 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 11 27 +19 4.16 83.30 6.52 80.45 7.26 46.27 6.47 29.90 57.64 79.79 98.86 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 11 27 +16 5.53 90.71 5.29 83.76 7.14 48.96 12.05 49.64 74.82 89.58 99.62 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 11 24 +9 2.45 70.79 -1.62 77.81 7.30 35.76 2.79 17.56 40.11 66.34 97.64 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 11 23 +11 2.74 72.73 2.32 73.66 7.54 33.71 0.92 7.71 21.40 43.32 93.23 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 11 20 +6 4.42 82.74 5.63 52.99 7.53 -3.20 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.34 6.93 0.20R 0.01 Man_Utd 11 20 +1 0.03 49.48 -6.32 69.15 7.44 19.89 0.22 2.16 7.79 20.19 82.84 0.00 0.00 Watford 11 19 +3 4.98 86.46 4.99 49.33 7.34 -10.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 2.56 0.73R 0.03 Everton 11 18 +4 1.04 59.06 1.39 53.45 7.72 -0.29 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.51 8.12 0.20R 0.00 Leicester 11 16 +1 0.67 56.02 1.12 52.56 7.66 -1.88 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.31 6.62 0.33R 0.01 Wolverhampton 11 15 -1 2.52 72.06 3.25 46.72 7.60 -10.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 1.53 2.23R 0.18 Brighton 11 14 -4 2.61 73.97 2.28 44.83 7.37 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.76 3.37R 0.23 West_Ham 11 11 -4 -0.65 45.73 2.27 45.53 7.61 -10.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.98 3.40R 0.32 Crystal_Palace 11 8 -8 -4.66 14.30 -3.90 38.03 7.21 -20.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 16.60R 2.26 Burnley 11 8 -13 -4.43 15.31 -8.17 36.14 7.14 -27.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 24.57R 3.90 Southampton 11 7 -13 -4.27 15.29 -6.28 37.40 7.37 -24.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 19.86R 3.43 Newcastle 11 6 -7 -6.09 7.01 -2.09 39.50 7.40 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 12.08R 1.59 Huddersfield 11 6 -16 -2.17 29.76 -3.71 26.79 6.43 -42.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.81R 32.59 Cardiff 11 5 -15 -4.08 15.15 -3.26 29.51 7.16 -36.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 62.17R 19.92 Fulham 11 5 -18 -4.76 12.56 -6.08 26.80 7.02 -49.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.45R 35.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 16 30 +15 5.17 81.71 10.58 77.11 8.47 23.98 17.49 31.87 70.93 40.98P 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 16 30 +7 7.25 89.35 5.82 74.83 8.34 12.49 9.82 20.62 59.51 28.48P 0.05R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 16 29 +8 5.23 81.62 5.24 74.37 8.46 14.28 9.90 19.85 57.66 27.82P 0.06R 0.00 Middlesbrough 16 28 +9 1.38 59.83 2.29 78.26 8.12 22.18 18.99 34.96 76.02 47.44P 0.02R 0.00 Derby 16 28 +8 1.25 58.35 0.90 76.35 8.32 18.96 13.81 27.04 67.65 38.15P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 16 26 +7 4.39 78.35 7.45 66.23 8.36 5.54 1.42 3.85 22.20 7.23P 0.88R 0.08 West_Brom 16 25 +9 -2.81 31.28 -0.19 76.33 8.77 24.73 16.07 29.47 67.51 41.28P 0.05R 0.01 Blackburn 16 25 -1 3.60 73.69 -0.19 65.64 8.55 -1.60 1.33 3.54 19.94 6.78P 1.27R 0.12 Swansea 16 23 +5 -2.77 31.48 -0.74 70.55 8.51 14.45 4.53 10.49 41.35 19.64P 0.23R 0.01 Birmingham 16 23 +3 4.36 79.45 7.73 57.87 8.02 -5.72 0.08 0.32 3.95 0.87P 7.64R 0.97 QPR 16 23 -5 3.83 75.43 -0.80 58.29 8.03 -13.97 0.09 0.37 4.18 0.94P 7.56R 0.98 Bristol_City 16 22 +2 -0.53 46.74 1.20 64.24 8.37 3.63 0.88 2.44 16.30 5.57P 1.80R 0.20 Brentford 16 21 +5 -3.52 26.95 1.15 65.89 8.51 10.62 1.50 4.02 22.67 8.82P 1.12R 0.12 Aston_Villa 16 21 +1 -4.45 22.00 -4.30 65.79 8.41 6.49 1.43 3.72 21.54 8.47P 1.05R 0.08 Stoke 16 21 -1 -2.87 31.32 -3.80 67.07 8.70 6.53 1.87 5.01 26.64 10.84P 1.05R 0.10 Wigan 16 20 -5 -1.76 39.02 -4.78 62.35 8.55 -3.07 0.58 1.62 11.50 3.88P 3.34R 0.48 Sheff_Wed 16 19 -9 -1.09 43.26 -6.06 57.68 8.26 -13.20 0.08 0.34 3.87 1.05P 9.21R 1.50 Rotherham 16 17 -9 1.02 59.09 0.23 47.01 8.13 -26.43 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.03P 49.70R 16.98 Millwall 16 16 -6 -3.79 25.46 -2.88 54.90 8.20 -9.30 0.04 0.13 1.87 0.53P 14.71R 2.72 Bolton 16 16 -11 0.64 56.51 -1.28 43.83 7.48 -30.52 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 66.26R 27.87 Preston 16 15 -5 -6.59 11.90 -4.29 55.69 8.42 -5.91 0.06 0.22 2.73 0.77P 12.77R 2.22 Reading 16 15 -5 -3.70 25.92 0.54 49.62 8.16 -15.50 0.01 0.02 0.44 0.10P 34.50R 9.88 Hull 16 15 -8 -5.27 17.88 -5.37 53.44 8.18 -12.40 0.02 0.08 1.25 0.31P 19.15R 3.92 Ipswich 16 10 -14 -8.15 6.16 -8.46 43.06 7.97 -26.27 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 67.55R 31.75League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Portsmouth 17 38 +14 10.89 96.64 8.47 81.79 8.27 19.90 10.52 29.35 86.01 42.24P 0.01R 0.00 Sunderland 16 35 +19 4.24 76.20 5.47 92.00 8.53 43.23 56.26 77.97 98.54 85.28P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 17 33 +11 6.31 84.54 5.97 81.03 8.49 23.53 9.20 27.32 84.03 41.85P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 16 31 +15 1.55 59.67 3.68 84.72 8.73 33.87 19.99 46.81 91.79 62.46P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 17 29 +8 3.71 72.72 5.18 73.91 8.63 15.53 2.07 8.04 56.81 20.01P 0.21R 0.01 Charlton 17 28 +6 2.15 63.85 2.29 72.44 8.28 12.89 1.09 5.22 49.39 16.30P 0.23R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 17 28 +2 6.06 84.22 3.92 64.69 8.43 -2.58 0.16 0.86 16.54 3.78P 3.05R 0.12 Coventry 17 28 +2 6.27 85.22 4.03 64.17 8.23 -2.80 0.10 0.62 14.74 3.13P 3.04R 0.09 Blackpool 16 25 +3 1.92 63.29 1.27 65.22 8.35 1.91 0.17 0.90 18.64 4.75P 2.33R 0.07 Doncaster 17 25 +1 2.01 63.49 1.50 64.59 8.30 0.57 0.12 0.73 16.38 3.85P 2.84R 0.11 Walsall 17 25 -5 3.74 73.91 -1.98 59.63 8.05 -12.73 0.02 0.15 5.55 1.06P 8.96R 0.47 Fleetwood_Town 17 23 +5 -1.04 43.39 4.02 65.16 8.29 8.50 0.14 0.83 19.08 5.14P 2.25R 0.09 Southend 17 23 -1 0.10 51.25 -0.28 63.21 8.32 -0.44 0.06 0.47 12.90 3.02P 4.16R 0.16 Burton_Albion 16 21 +0 -1.69 39.18 -1.03 61.38 8.73 -1.11 0.06 0.42 10.53 2.76P 7.00R 0.43 Wycombe 17 21 -1 0.77 56.05 3.81 54.46 8.29 -11.13 0.01 0.05 1.87 0.41P 24.21R 2.78 Rochdale 17 20 -9 -0.39 48.56 -4.26 56.67 8.24 -14.07 0.00 0.04 2.88 0.53P 17.29R 1.55 Gillingham 17 18 -3 -3.64 27.59 -0.14 54.96 8.30 -7.76 0.00 0.03 2.18 0.45P 21.89R 2.16 Shrewsbury 17 18 -4 -4.94 20.30 -3.72 58.31 8.16 -2.90 0.01 0.07 4.50 1.17P 11.41R 0.73 Scunthorpe 17 18 -11 -5.26 19.68 -10.50 58.19 8.49 -10.98 0.01 0.11 4.71 1.20P 13.66R 1.20 Bristol_Rovers 17 17 +0 -5.65 16.94 0.87 54.21 8.11 -3.58 0.00 0.02 1.66 0.37P 23.57R 2.30 Oxford_Utd 17 15 -7 -6.34 14.15 -3.79 52.33 8.25 -11.01 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.20P 32.34R 4.32 Plymouth 17 13 -11 -6.64 12.65 -5.30 47.14 8.06 -19.59 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 58.16R 13.20 AFC_Wimbledon 17 11 -15 -6.70 10.86 -7.14 41.15 7.66 -28.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 83.82R 37.26 Bradford 17 10 -19 -8.79 5.37 -12.33 42.26 7.97 -30.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 79.54R 32.92League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Lincoln_City 17 36 +17 7.56 90.07 9.30 83.55 8.16 28.70 24.59 64.55 92.57 71.86P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 17 34 +14 3.91 74.00 4.10 87.17 8.17 33.67 44.30 79.09 96.89 84.86P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 17 31 +15 2.86 68.30 7.87 78.57 8.16 26.85 10.82 40.89 81.10 51.94P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 17 30 +9 6.02 84.13 7.76 70.92 8.41 10.90 1.85 12.00 46.30 18.91P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 17 29 +9 1.52 59.97 2.74 75.51 8.18 19.18 5.25 26.52 69.03 37.78P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 17 29 -4 7.20 88.92 -1.54 64.18 8.18 -11.04 0.26 2.53 17.38 4.90P 0.29R 0.02 Mansfield 17 28 +12 0.21 51.18 5.45 75.94 8.10 24.17 6.05 28.50 71.92 41.05P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 17 28 +5 2.69 67.74 2.01 67.15 8.10 4.38 0.69 5.15 28.61 9.89P 0.08R 0.00 Forest_Green 17 27 +9 4.48 77.82 10.29 65.32 8.20 6.91 0.32 3.47 22.89 6.93P 0.16R 0.01 Bury 17 26 +10 -2.47 33.90 2.19 74.22 8.48 22.76 4.50 23.01 63.89 35.41P 0.01R 0.00 Carlisle 17 23 -3 -1.11 42.76 -4.20 62.47 8.22 -3.16 0.15 1.65 13.30 4.10P 0.51R 0.04 Crawley_Town 17 23 -5 2.53 67.37 -0.55 59.50 8.13 -10.24 0.03 0.60 7.10 1.67P 1.41R 0.12 Port_Vale 17 22 -4 0.79 56.23 -1.22 59.90 7.92 -6.44 0.04 0.64 7.21 1.85P 1.02R 0.08 Yeovil 16 21 +5 0.28 52.56 6.79 62.20 8.32 5.20 0.16 1.73 13.65 4.01P 0.64R 0.03 Oldham 17 21 +3 -6.23 14.98 -2.93 66.19 8.44 11.03 0.58 4.90 27.36 11.71P 0.16R 0.01 Northampton 17 21 -1 -3.71 27.43 -3.13 63.46 8.48 3.13 0.22 2.30 17.48 6.05P 0.47R 0.04 Swindon 17 21 -3 -2.64 33.09 -3.60 63.82 8.21 1.57 0.17 2.16 17.49 5.78P 0.34R 0.01 Crewe 17 19 -3 -2.51 33.90 -0.36 55.76 8.09 -7.28 0.01 0.19 3.10 0.71P 3.28R 0.28 Cambridge_Utd 17 18 -11 -3.07 30.29 -7.85 53.43 8.01 -17.13 0.00 0.08 1.52 0.35P 6.36R 0.57 Morecambe 17 17 -12 -1.49 41.05 -5.06 47.82 7.70 -25.20 0.00 0.01 0.23 0.04P 19.98R 2.73 Grimsby 17 15 -12 -2.62 32.67 -4.13 46.19 7.67 -23.77 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 26.25R 3.85 Notts_County 17 14 -16 -6.56 13.38 -11.47 50.79 8.23 -20.86 0.00 0.02 0.77 0.18P 12.96R 1.49 Cheltenham 16 11 -13 -6.82 10.18 -6.74 45.36 8.13 -23.30 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 30.98R 5.23 Macclesfield 17 7 -21 -6.75 9.42 -5.73 29.06 7.20 -50.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.08R 85.51National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Wrexham 19 41 +16 10.63 95.83 9.70 83.30 7.53 23.93 16.55 79.07 32.03P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 19 40 +25 6.01 83.23 13.18 88.00 7.61 41.47 41.03 92.49 57.29P 0.00 0.00 Salford_City 19 39 +20 8.59 90.38 13.46 81.78 8.26 28.84 14.44 72.11 27.76P 0.00 0.00 Harrogate_Town 19 37 +16 8.31 89.24 12.00 79.45 8.40 24.35 9.45 61.42 20.77P 0.00R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 19 36 +8 10.35 95.24 8.38 72.12 7.68 7.12 1.15 24.18 5.16P 0.05R 0.00 AFC_Fylde 19 35 +20 1.93 61.55 9.42 81.59 7.70 34.26 12.60 73.73 31.66P 0.00R 0.00 Sutton_United 18 33 +5 6.92 86.77 2.86 74.89 8.05 10.46 2.77 37.34 9.96P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 19 32 +8 3.11 68.97 3.64 72.68 7.77 13.62 1.40 27.95 7.44P 0.04R 0.00 Hartlepool 19 28 -2 2.40 65.42 -1.58 63.43 7.63 -3.88 0.05 3.93 0.76P 1.55R 0.04 Eastleigh 19 28 -4 4.28 75.50 -0.86 62.77 7.66 -6.96 0.02 3.14 0.54P 2.18R 0.03 Boreham_Wood 19 27 +0 -0.25 48.83 -2.13 64.95 7.60 1.86 0.09 5.49 1.36P 0.88R 0.02 Barnet 18 25 -4 -3.27 29.93 -9.49 67.86 8.17 2.68 0.37 12.46 3.78P 0.56R 0.01 Aldershot 19 24 -8 -1.87 38.70 -8.08 60.07 7.73 -8.95 0.03 1.52 0.34P 4.60R 0.18 Bromley 19 23 -2 -4.01 27.17 -3.42 59.33 7.84 -3.36 0.02 1.45 0.31P 5.43R 0.21 Ebbsfleet_United 19 23 -2 -2.45 35.14 -1.41 60.82 7.70 -0.46 0.02 1.98 0.42P 3.54R 0.12 Halifax 19 22 -2 -0.61 46.98 2.37 54.14 7.35 -8.24 0.00 0.19 0.02P 15.34R 0.92 Barrow 19 21 -4 -3.14 31.05 -1.33 54.48 7.58 -8.82 0.00 0.32 0.05P 14.76R 0.91 Maidstone_United 19 18 -10 -2.44 35.56 -2.10 48.13 7.35 -19.55 0.00 0.02 0.00P 43.56R 5.84 Chesterfield 19 17 -6 -10.78 4.21 -8.82 57.95 8.05 -0.06 0.01 1.09 0.33P 7.80R 0.40 Havant_&_Wville 19 17 -8 -3.19 31.96 1.76 46.15 7.91 -20.95 0.00 0.02 0.00P 54.04R 10.72 Maidenhead 19 17 -21 -2.39 35.88 -10.20 44.49 7.36 -36.93 0.00 0.01 0.00P 65.71R 14.77 Dag_&_Red 19 15 -10 -10.57 4.01 -9.59 50.63 7.70 -11.95 0.00 0.08 0.02P 29.96R 3.28 Braintree_Town 19 13 -15 -4.59 22.24 -1.89 37.65 7.40 -33.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.78R 48.98 Dover_Athletic 19 11 -20 -12.35 1.70 -15.86 44.81 7.67 -24.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.18R 13.56