Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.58    76.31     6.37    93.53     6.32    80.18    77.55    92.99    97.93    99.47    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.16    83.30     6.52    80.45     7.26    46.27     6.47    29.90    57.64    79.79    98.86     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.53    90.71     5.29    83.76     7.14    48.96    12.05    49.64    74.82    89.58    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.45    70.79    -1.62    77.81     7.30    35.76     2.79    17.56    40.11    66.34    97.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.74    72.73     2.32    73.66     7.54    33.71     0.92     7.71    21.40    43.32    93.23     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.42    82.74     5.63    52.99     7.53    -3.20     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.34     6.93     0.20R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1       0.03    49.48    -6.32    69.15     7.44    19.89     0.22     2.16     7.79    20.19    82.84     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       4.98    86.46     4.99    49.33     7.34   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     2.56     0.73R    0.03  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.04    59.06     1.39    53.45     7.72    -0.29     0.00     0.02     0.14     0.51     8.12     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.67    56.02     1.12    52.56     7.66    -1.88     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.31     6.62     0.33R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.52    72.06     3.25    46.72     7.60   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     1.53     2.23R    0.18  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.61    73.97     2.28    44.83     7.37   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.76     3.37R    0.23  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.65    45.73     2.27    45.53     7.61   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.98     3.40R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.66    14.30    -3.90    38.03     7.21   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    16.60R    2.26  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.43    15.31    -8.17    36.14     7.14   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    24.57R    3.90  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.27    15.29    -6.28    37.40     7.37   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    19.86R    3.43  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.09     7.01    -2.09    39.50     7.40   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    12.08R    1.59  
Huddersfield     11    6  -16      -2.17    29.76    -3.71    26.79     6.43   -42.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.81R   32.59  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.08    15.15    -3.26    29.51     7.16   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    62.17R   19.92  
Fulham           11    5  -18      -4.76    12.56    -6.08    26.80     7.02   -49.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.45R   35.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.17    81.71    10.58    77.11     8.47    23.98    17.49    31.87    70.93    40.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.25    89.35     5.82    74.83     8.34    12.49     9.82    20.62    59.51    28.48P    0.05R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.23    81.62     5.24    74.37     8.46    14.28     9.90    19.85    57.66    27.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.38    59.83     2.29    78.26     8.12    22.18    18.99    34.96    76.02    47.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.25    58.35     0.90    76.35     8.32    18.96    13.81    27.04    67.65    38.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.39    78.35     7.45    66.23     8.36     5.54     1.42     3.85    22.20     7.23P    0.88R    0.08  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.81    31.28    -0.19    76.33     8.77    24.73    16.07    29.47    67.51    41.28P    0.05R    0.01  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.60    73.69    -0.19    65.64     8.55    -1.60     1.33     3.54    19.94     6.78P    1.27R    0.12  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.77    31.48    -0.74    70.55     8.51    14.45     4.53    10.49    41.35    19.64P    0.23R    0.01  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.36    79.45     7.73    57.87     8.02    -5.72     0.08     0.32     3.95     0.87P    7.64R    0.97  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.83    75.43    -0.80    58.29     8.03   -13.97     0.09     0.37     4.18     0.94P    7.56R    0.98  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.53    46.74     1.20    64.24     8.37     3.63     0.88     2.44    16.30     5.57P    1.80R    0.20  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.52    26.95     1.15    65.89     8.51    10.62     1.50     4.02    22.67     8.82P    1.12R    0.12  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.45    22.00    -4.30    65.79     8.41     6.49     1.43     3.72    21.54     8.47P    1.05R    0.08  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.87    31.32    -3.80    67.07     8.70     6.53     1.87     5.01    26.64    10.84P    1.05R    0.10  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.76    39.02    -4.78    62.35     8.55    -3.07     0.58     1.62    11.50     3.88P    3.34R    0.48  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.09    43.26    -6.06    57.68     8.26   -13.20     0.08     0.34     3.87     1.05P    9.21R    1.50  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       1.02    59.09     0.23    47.01     8.13   -26.43     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   49.70R   16.98  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.79    25.46    -2.88    54.90     8.20    -9.30     0.04     0.13     1.87     0.53P   14.71R    2.72  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.64    56.51    -1.28    43.83     7.48   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   66.26R   27.87  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.59    11.90    -4.29    55.69     8.42    -5.91     0.06     0.22     2.73     0.77P   12.77R    2.22  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.70    25.92     0.54    49.62     8.16   -15.50     0.01     0.02     0.44     0.10P   34.50R    9.88  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.27    17.88    -5.37    53.44     8.18   -12.40     0.02     0.08     1.25     0.31P   19.15R    3.92  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.15     6.16    -8.46    43.06     7.97   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.55R   31.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.89    96.64     8.47    81.79     8.27    19.90    10.52    29.35    86.01    42.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.24    76.20     5.47    92.00     8.53    43.23    56.26    77.97    98.54    85.28P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.31    84.54     5.97    81.03     8.49    23.53     9.20    27.32    84.03    41.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.55    59.67     3.68    84.72     8.73    33.87    19.99    46.81    91.79    62.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.71    72.72     5.18    73.91     8.63    15.53     2.07     8.04    56.81    20.01P    0.21R    0.01  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.15    63.85     2.29    72.44     8.28    12.89     1.09     5.22    49.39    16.30P    0.23R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.06    84.22     3.92    64.69     8.43    -2.58     0.16     0.86    16.54     3.78P    3.05R    0.12  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.27    85.22     4.03    64.17     8.23    -2.80     0.10     0.62    14.74     3.13P    3.04R    0.09  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.92    63.29     1.27    65.22     8.35     1.91     0.17     0.90    18.64     4.75P    2.33R    0.07  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.01    63.49     1.50    64.59     8.30     0.57     0.12     0.73    16.38     3.85P    2.84R    0.11  
Walsall              17   25   -5       3.74    73.91    -1.98    59.63     8.05   -12.73     0.02     0.15     5.55     1.06P    8.96R    0.47  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.04    43.39     4.02    65.16     8.29     8.50     0.14     0.83    19.08     5.14P    2.25R    0.09  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.10    51.25    -0.28    63.21     8.32    -0.44     0.06     0.47    12.90     3.02P    4.16R    0.16  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.69    39.18    -1.03    61.38     8.73    -1.11     0.06     0.42    10.53     2.76P    7.00R    0.43  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.77    56.05     3.81    54.46     8.29   -11.13     0.01     0.05     1.87     0.41P   24.21R    2.78  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.39    48.56    -4.26    56.67     8.24   -14.07     0.00     0.04     2.88     0.53P   17.29R    1.55  
Gillingham           17   18   -3      -3.64    27.59    -0.14    54.96     8.30    -7.76     0.00     0.03     2.18     0.45P   21.89R    2.16  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -4.94    20.30    -3.72    58.31     8.16    -2.90     0.01     0.07     4.50     1.17P   11.41R    0.73  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.26    19.68   -10.50    58.19     8.49   -10.98     0.01     0.11     4.71     1.20P   13.66R    1.20  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.65    16.94     0.87    54.21     8.11    -3.58     0.00     0.02     1.66     0.37P   23.57R    2.30  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.34    14.15    -3.79    52.33     8.25   -11.01     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.20P   32.34R    4.32  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.64    12.65    -5.30    47.14     8.06   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   58.16R   13.20  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.70    10.86    -7.14    41.15     7.66   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.82R   37.26  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.79     5.37   -12.33    42.26     7.97   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   79.54R   32.92  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.56    90.07     9.30    83.55     8.16    28.70    24.59    64.55    92.57    71.86P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.91    74.00     4.10    87.17     8.17    33.67    44.30    79.09    96.89    84.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.86    68.30     7.87    78.57     8.16    26.85    10.82    40.89    81.10    51.94P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       6.02    84.13     7.76    70.92     8.41    10.90     1.85    12.00    46.30    18.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.52    59.97     2.74    75.51     8.18    19.18     5.25    26.52    69.03    37.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.20    88.92    -1.54    64.18     8.18   -11.04     0.26     2.53    17.38     4.90P    0.29R    0.02  
Mansfield        17   28  +12       0.21    51.18     5.45    75.94     8.10    24.17     6.05    28.50    71.92    41.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.69    67.74     2.01    67.15     8.10     4.38     0.69     5.15    28.61     9.89P    0.08R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.48    77.82    10.29    65.32     8.20     6.91     0.32     3.47    22.89     6.93P    0.16R    0.01  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.47    33.90     2.19    74.22     8.48    22.76     4.50    23.01    63.89    35.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.11    42.76    -4.20    62.47     8.22    -3.16     0.15     1.65    13.30     4.10P    0.51R    0.04  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.53    67.37    -0.55    59.50     8.13   -10.24     0.03     0.60     7.10     1.67P    1.41R    0.12  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.79    56.23    -1.22    59.90     7.92    -6.44     0.04     0.64     7.21     1.85P    1.02R    0.08  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.28    52.56     6.79    62.20     8.32     5.20     0.16     1.73    13.65     4.01P    0.64R    0.03  
Oldham           17   21   +3      -6.23    14.98    -2.93    66.19     8.44    11.03     0.58     4.90    27.36    11.71P    0.16R    0.01  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.71    27.43    -3.13    63.46     8.48     3.13     0.22     2.30    17.48     6.05P    0.47R    0.04  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.64    33.09    -3.60    63.82     8.21     1.57     0.17     2.16    17.49     5.78P    0.34R    0.01  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.51    33.90    -0.36    55.76     8.09    -7.28     0.01     0.19     3.10     0.71P    3.28R    0.28  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.07    30.29    -7.85    53.43     8.01   -17.13     0.00     0.08     1.52     0.35P    6.36R    0.57  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.49    41.05    -5.06    47.82     7.70   -25.20     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   19.98R    2.73  
Grimsby          17   15  -12      -2.62    32.67    -4.13    46.19     7.67   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   26.25R    3.85  
Notts_County     17   14  -16      -6.56    13.38   -11.47    50.79     8.23   -20.86     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.18P   12.96R    1.49  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.82    10.18    -6.74    45.36     8.13   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   30.98R    5.23  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.75     9.42    -5.73    29.06     7.20   -50.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.08R   85.51  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.63    95.83     9.70    83.30     7.53    23.93    16.55    79.07    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       6.01    83.23    13.18    88.00     7.61    41.47    41.03    92.49    57.29P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.59    90.38    13.46    81.78     8.26    28.84    14.44    72.11    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.31    89.24    12.00    79.45     8.40    24.35     9.45    61.42    20.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.35    95.24     8.38    72.12     7.68     7.12     1.15    24.18     5.16P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       1.93    61.55     9.42    81.59     7.70    34.26    12.60    73.73    31.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.92    86.77     2.86    74.89     8.05    10.46     2.77    37.34     9.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.11    68.97     3.64    72.68     7.77    13.62     1.40    27.95     7.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.40    65.42    -1.58    63.43     7.63    -3.88     0.05     3.93     0.76P    1.55R    0.04  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.28    75.50    -0.86    62.77     7.66    -6.96     0.02     3.14     0.54P    2.18R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.25    48.83    -2.13    64.95     7.60     1.86     0.09     5.49     1.36P    0.88R    0.02  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.27    29.93    -9.49    67.86     8.17     2.68     0.37    12.46     3.78P    0.56R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.87    38.70    -8.08    60.07     7.73    -8.95     0.03     1.52     0.34P    4.60R    0.18  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -4.01    27.17    -3.42    59.33     7.84    -3.36     0.02     1.45     0.31P    5.43R    0.21  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.45    35.14    -1.41    60.82     7.70    -0.46     0.02     1.98     0.42P    3.54R    0.12  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.61    46.98     2.37    54.14     7.35    -8.24     0.00     0.19     0.02P   15.34R    0.92  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.14    31.05    -1.33    54.48     7.58    -8.82     0.00     0.32     0.05P   14.76R    0.91  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.44    35.56    -2.10    48.13     7.35   -19.55     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.56R    5.84  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.78     4.21    -8.82    57.95     8.05    -0.06     0.01     1.09     0.33P    7.80R    0.40  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.19    31.96     1.76    46.15     7.91   -20.95     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.04R   10.72  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.39    35.88   -10.20    44.49     7.36   -36.93     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.71R   14.77  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.57     4.01    -9.59    50.63     7.70   -11.95     0.00     0.08     0.02P   29.96R    3.28  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.59    22.24    -1.89    37.65     7.40   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.78R   48.98  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.35     1.70   -15.86    44.81     7.67   -24.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.18R   13.56