Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 9 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.58    76.19     6.40    93.47     6.34    79.97    77.50    92.98    97.90    99.44    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.25    83.39     6.69    80.27     7.26    45.92     6.36    29.37    57.33    79.34    98.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.59    90.86     5.40    83.73     7.17    48.85    12.18    50.51    75.11    89.70    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.55    71.73    -1.46    77.60     7.33    35.47     2.71    17.12    39.85    65.71    97.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.76    72.68     2.35    73.55     7.50    33.50     0.97     7.48    20.96    42.89    93.28     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.39    82.68     5.60    53.10     7.54    -2.90     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.39     7.02     0.17R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1      -0.10    48.24    -6.43    69.44     7.43    20.30     0.28     2.49     8.58    21.63    83.63     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       4.91    85.98     4.92    49.41     7.41   -10.02     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.11     2.63     0.67R    0.03  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.12    60.01     1.52    53.31     7.63    -0.50     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.40     7.47     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.60    55.79     0.97    52.75     7.65    -1.55     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.33     6.57     0.29R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.56    72.68     3.30    46.60     7.60   -10.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.44     2.26R    0.17  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.62    74.12     2.29    44.77     7.34   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79     3.39R    0.24  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.72    45.02     2.15    45.68     7.59   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.03     3.19R    0.27  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.72    14.34    -3.97    38.10     7.24   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    16.76R    2.33  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.43    15.15    -8.20    36.17     7.19   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.50R    3.79  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.23    15.82    -6.26    37.26     7.27   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    20.24R    3.37  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.07     7.14    -2.04    39.32     7.41   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    12.64R    1.72  
Huddersfield     11    6  -16      -2.17    29.52    -3.73    26.86     6.43   -42.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.61R   32.58  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.12    14.43    -3.41    29.65     7.20   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.36R   19.58  
Fulham           11    5  -18      -4.73    12.69    -6.09    26.83     7.03   -48.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.71R   35.90  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.25    82.27    10.67    77.09     8.40    23.86    17.19    31.37    71.24    40.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.21    88.90     5.76    74.84     8.34    12.53    10.04    20.61    59.81    28.74P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.22    81.56     5.25    74.41     8.52    14.36    10.14    20.43    57.99    28.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.42    59.85     2.27    78.27     8.13    22.16    19.10    34.98    76.05    47.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.29    58.59     0.95    76.23     8.28    18.79    13.40    26.69    67.06    37.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.32    77.98     7.37    66.40     8.35     5.79     1.39     3.95    22.86     7.50P    0.85R    0.08  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.86    30.86    -0.26    76.38     8.66    24.81    16.19    29.74    68.31    41.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.59    73.62    -0.19    65.60     8.59    -1.60     1.37     3.48    19.75     6.72P    1.50R    0.10  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.86    30.81    -0.86    70.74     8.48    14.66     4.82    11.10    41.82    20.37P    0.22R    0.03  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.26    78.66     7.59    57.99     8.05    -5.57     0.09     0.30     4.05     0.86P    7.36R    0.99  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.83    75.72    -0.85    58.42     8.04   -13.72     0.13     0.39     4.24     0.96P    7.25R    0.97  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.45    47.49     1.31    64.12     8.26     3.47     0.76     2.32    15.63     5.26P    1.62R    0.15  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.44    27.49     1.22    65.80     8.51    10.48     1.51     3.99    22.53     8.54P    1.16R    0.10  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.49    21.69    -4.37    65.80     8.32     6.48     1.38     3.62    21.29     8.36P    1.07R    0.09  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.73    32.23    -3.60    66.84     8.66     6.16     1.84     4.93    25.53    10.33P    1.07R    0.10  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.67    39.27    -4.64    62.13     8.56    -3.41     0.44     1.39    11.09     3.60P    3.50R    0.52  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.09    43.30    -6.05    57.68     8.25   -13.17     0.09     0.31     3.89     1.02P    9.16R    1.48  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       0.98    58.64     0.25    46.98     8.03   -26.55     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   49.67R   16.59  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.85    25.41    -2.90    54.85     8.19    -9.34     0.03     0.11     1.95     0.50P   15.01R    2.85  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.63    56.33    -1.28    43.86     7.51   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   66.13R   27.95  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.61    12.01    -4.31    55.72     8.46    -5.83     0.07     0.19     2.90     0.81P   13.11R    2.31  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.76    25.51     0.42    49.80     8.25   -15.30     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   34.38R    9.38  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.32    17.91    -5.49    53.51     8.20   -12.24     0.02     0.09     1.32     0.36P   18.73R    3.92  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.02     6.47    -8.27    42.97     7.99   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   68.02R   32.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      11.02    96.88     8.62    81.69     8.26    19.67    10.16    28.82    85.80    41.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.20    75.98     5.39    92.10     8.52    43.44    56.61    78.73    98.52    85.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.26    84.40     5.95    81.17     8.49    23.71     9.27    27.58    84.37    42.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.62    60.06     3.80    84.58     8.76    33.56    19.79    45.80    91.35    61.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.62    71.98     5.06    73.91     8.72    15.56     2.03     8.09    56.55    20.00P    0.23R    0.01  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.11    63.78     2.26    72.60     8.28    13.08     1.29     5.48    50.03    16.62P    0.23R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.12    84.60     3.92    64.59     8.36    -2.72     0.13     0.92    15.77     3.67P    2.91R    0.10  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.33    85.56     4.09    64.04     8.25    -2.99     0.11     0.64    14.69     3.22P    3.04R    0.09  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.97    63.66     1.35    65.22     8.32     1.91     0.17     0.93    18.44     4.56P    2.40R    0.08  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.04    63.77     1.55    64.56     8.31     0.53     0.11     0.69    16.28     3.85P    2.99R    0.10  
Walsall              17   25   -5       3.73    74.01    -2.00    59.58     8.07   -12.79     0.01     0.12     5.40     1.02P    9.05R    0.55  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.23    42.43     3.73    65.45     8.37     8.91     0.17     1.01    20.24     5.51P    2.13R    0.10  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.12    51.29    -0.23    63.20     8.30    -0.45     0.05     0.42    12.95     3.03P    4.04R    0.19  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.78    38.66    -1.16    61.59     8.72    -0.81     0.07     0.45    10.90     2.78P    6.55R    0.34  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.80    56.22     3.84    54.37     8.33   -11.28     0.01     0.04     1.77     0.35P   25.02R    2.75  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.44    48.03    -4.32    56.66     8.26   -14.07     0.00     0.05     2.92     0.56P   17.66R    1.62  
Gillingham           17   18   -3      -3.61    27.87    -0.14    54.96     8.32    -7.79     0.00     0.05     2.32     0.47P   22.14R    2.21  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -4.92    20.28    -3.67    58.21     8.16    -3.03     0.01     0.08     4.40     1.05P   11.61R    0.75  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.20    19.67   -10.37    58.20     8.43   -10.96     0.01     0.10     4.43     1.07P   13.41R    1.13  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.60    17.36     0.94    54.15     8.15    -3.66     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.36P   23.46R    2.26  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.41    14.05    -3.82    52.44     8.29   -10.90     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.20P   31.47R    4.42  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.69    12.37    -5.36    47.21     8.11   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   57.57R   13.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.76    10.74    -7.20    41.22     7.66   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.54R   36.72  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.72     5.71   -12.21    42.07     7.91   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   80.54R   33.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.45    89.65     9.17    83.80     8.15    29.05    25.92    65.09    92.93    72.39P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.96    74.33     4.21    87.12     8.15    33.52    43.41    79.05    96.75    84.60P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.84    68.23     7.87    78.64     8.09    26.89    10.62    40.96    81.62    51.99P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       6.02    84.15     7.77    70.91     8.44    10.85     1.86    12.05    46.15    19.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.52    59.79     2.79    75.51     8.19    19.20     5.22    26.01    68.96    37.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.17    89.05    -1.64    64.16     8.11   -11.07     0.27     2.41    17.15     4.60P    0.30R    0.01  
Mansfield        17   28  +12       0.20    51.16     5.42    76.02     8.11    24.26     5.98    28.80    72.18    41.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.70    67.68     2.01    67.19     8.04     4.47     0.61     5.00    28.74     9.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.47    77.62    10.28    65.31     8.18     6.92     0.32     3.52    22.69     6.83P    0.17R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.42    34.30     2.26    74.23     8.54    22.79     4.52    23.24    63.94    35.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.13    42.76    -4.23    62.43     8.19    -3.23     0.11     1.50    13.31     4.14P    0.50R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.52    67.24    -0.46    59.42     8.11   -10.42     0.06     0.59     6.94     1.68P    1.35R    0.13  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.92    57.14    -1.07    59.75     7.98    -6.62     0.04     0.66     7.16     1.82P    1.16R    0.11  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.32    52.95     6.83    62.18     8.35     5.13     0.15     1.63    13.99     4.00P    0.64R    0.04  
Oldham           17   21   +3      -6.15    15.55    -2.82    66.06     8.46    10.87     0.48     4.63    26.97    11.23P    0.15R    0.00  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.73    27.25    -3.18    63.53     8.45     3.24     0.21     2.39    17.63     6.18P    0.47R    0.02  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.69    32.72    -3.67    63.78     8.22     1.55     0.21     2.15    17.13     5.72P    0.38R    0.02  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.51    33.83    -0.42    55.87     8.10    -7.12     0.01     0.18     3.15     0.75P    3.24R    0.27  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.06    30.44    -7.86    53.33     8.02   -17.24     0.00     0.08     1.45     0.33P    6.57R    0.63  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.51    40.64    -5.10    47.83     7.67   -25.24     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   20.01R    2.66  
Grimsby          17   15  -12      -2.68    32.49    -4.26    46.32     7.65   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   25.79R    3.62  
Notts_County     17   14  -16      -6.63    12.76   -11.55    50.92     8.14   -20.70     0.00     0.03     0.71     0.16P   12.24R    1.43  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.76    10.76    -6.65    45.23     8.17   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   31.57R    5.42  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.72     9.33    -5.72    29.08     7.12   -50.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.36R   85.62  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.67    96.04     9.75    83.22     7.51    23.79    16.10    78.93    32.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       5.89    82.99    13.04    88.13     7.61    41.67    41.94    92.61    58.27P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.63    90.75    13.52    81.66     8.19    28.67    14.11    71.66    27.23P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.40    89.51    12.10    79.27     8.35    24.07     9.23    60.76    20.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.22    95.04     8.21    72.24     7.61     7.33     1.21    24.48     5.23P    0.04R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       2.01    62.26     9.54    81.56     7.68    34.20    12.77    73.65    31.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.83    86.84     2.75    75.04     7.96    10.73     2.73    38.33    10.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.15    69.05     3.69    72.65     7.67    13.56     1.26    27.59     7.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.34    64.63    -1.69    63.48     7.63    -3.75     0.04     3.98     0.71P    1.62R    0.03  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.37    76.20    -0.72    62.78     7.64    -6.99     0.04     3.17     0.57P    2.17R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.24    48.86    -2.10    65.02     7.60     1.94     0.10     5.67     1.33P    0.89R    0.02  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.29    29.84    -9.49    67.82     8.19     2.61     0.39    12.42     3.77P    0.50R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.93    38.29    -8.16    60.07     7.67    -8.98     0.02     1.53     0.33P    4.53R    0.16  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -3.97    27.09    -3.36    59.33     7.90    -3.41     0.04     1.60     0.37P    5.65R    0.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.43    35.29    -1.41    60.82     7.71    -0.49     0.01     2.09     0.46P    3.42R    0.10  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.62    46.73     2.35    54.18     7.43    -8.20     0.00     0.15     0.02P   15.31R    0.98  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.09    31.44    -1.23    54.37     7.57    -9.03     0.00     0.27     0.03P   15.30R    1.07  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.46    35.06    -2.13    48.18     7.32   -19.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.24R    5.82  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.71     4.30    -8.70    57.84     7.97    -0.14     0.00     1.01     0.28P    7.79R    0.41  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.16    31.78     1.81    46.07     7.91   -21.06     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.54R   11.10  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.46    35.47   -10.27    44.64     7.40   -36.68     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.65R   14.75  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.44     4.38    -9.39    50.44     7.69   -12.23     0.00     0.05     0.01P   30.72R    3.53  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.74    21.50    -2.21    37.93     7.41   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.19R   47.77  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.33     1.75   -15.88    44.74     7.69   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.37R   13.95