Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.59    76.26     6.43    93.44     6.29    79.93    77.27    93.09    98.00    99.48    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.17    83.30     6.55    80.48     7.28    46.42     6.85    30.27    57.90    79.91    98.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.57    90.95     5.35    83.67     7.17    48.75    12.06    49.63    74.63    89.22    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.61    72.25    -1.40    77.62     7.31    35.44     2.68    16.92    39.34    65.45    97.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.70    72.39     2.25    73.76     7.48    33.91     0.92     7.77    21.92    44.17    93.40     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.39    82.75     5.58    53.05     7.47    -2.95     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.36     6.81     0.16R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1      -0.05    48.95    -6.39    69.26     7.40    20.00     0.22     2.30     7.99    20.51    83.47     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       4.97    86.19     4.97    49.37     7.42   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     2.70     0.76R    0.03  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.00    58.74     1.38    53.62     7.66    -0.06     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.44     8.27     0.17R    0.00  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.69    56.41     1.15    52.48     7.64    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.30     6.05     0.34R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.53    72.28     3.28    46.52     7.62   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     1.43     2.46R    0.22  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.55    73.51     2.20    44.93     7.39   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.76     3.36R    0.28  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.67    45.54     2.23    45.52     7.57   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.94     3.36R    0.33  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.66    14.70    -3.89    38.04     7.27   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    16.76R    2.20  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.36    15.65    -8.08    35.99     7.16   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.37R    4.07  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.31    15.13    -6.36    37.36     7.32   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    20.12R    3.39  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.05     7.10    -2.04    39.43     7.42   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    12.24R    1.73  
Huddersfield     11    6  -16      -2.19    29.72    -3.75    26.85     6.46   -42.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.54R   32.70  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.08    14.95    -3.30    29.54     7.22   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.81R   20.34  
Fulham           11    5  -18      -4.79    12.29    -6.18    26.98     7.05   -48.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.56R   34.69  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.15    81.61    10.56    77.08     8.39    23.92    17.05    31.16    71.14    40.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.26    89.35     5.85    74.87     8.29    12.60     9.90    20.69    60.08    28.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.27    81.94     5.31    74.26     8.42    14.14     9.85    19.79    57.49    27.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.51    60.49     2.40    78.14     8.15    21.98    18.81    34.71    75.56    47.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.34    59.15     0.98    76.26     8.29    18.82    13.69    26.98    67.49    38.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.41    78.59     7.46    66.24     8.30     5.56     1.38     3.71    22.30     7.14P    0.92R    0.06  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.93    30.36    -0.34    76.59     8.71    25.14    16.89    30.96    69.22    42.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.63    73.89    -0.17    65.61     8.59    -1.62     1.43     3.54    19.86     6.80P    1.44R    0.12  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.83    30.93    -0.78    70.54     8.49    14.43     4.49    10.61    41.27    19.58P    0.23R    0.02  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.40    79.57     7.75    57.88     8.05    -5.66     0.07     0.29     3.94     0.93P    7.51R    1.00  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.73    75.04    -0.92    58.50     8.10   -13.63     0.10     0.42     4.53     1.08P    7.47R    1.00  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.45    47.34     1.31    64.14     8.35     3.42     0.87     2.35    16.02     5.31P    1.67R    0.17  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.44    27.53     1.24    65.76     8.51    10.38     1.45     3.99    22.30     8.39P    1.24R    0.12  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.35    22.29    -4.16    65.70     8.35     6.30     1.38     3.69    21.03     8.17P    1.01R    0.07  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.91    31.07    -3.87    66.94     8.60     6.37     1.93     4.91    25.43    10.35P    0.99R    0.09  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.76    38.74    -4.81    62.37     8.51    -3.07     0.50     1.41    11.60     3.64P    3.39R    0.42  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.18    42.69    -6.22    57.89     8.27   -12.86     0.10     0.37     4.13     1.09P    8.83R    1.46  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       1.01    58.83     0.24    46.91     8.10   -26.62     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P   50.10R   17.33  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.84    25.29    -2.93    54.98     8.26    -9.17     0.06     0.15     2.09     0.56P   14.77R    2.77  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.57    56.12    -1.38    43.93     7.42   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.92R   27.72  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.55    12.10    -4.20    55.60     8.38    -6.03     0.04     0.19     2.56     0.69P   12.88R    2.26  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.67    25.94     0.60    49.58     8.19   -15.70     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.07P   34.99R    9.92  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.30    17.81    -5.46    53.53     8.23   -12.24     0.01     0.06     1.34     0.33P   19.18R    3.79  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.15     6.08    -8.45    43.15     8.01   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.25R   31.67  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.93    96.65     8.52    81.88     8.31    20.00    10.70    29.93    86.27    42.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.19    75.99     5.37    92.14     8.59    43.43    57.38    78.57    98.43    85.74P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.35    84.78     6.10    80.97     8.40    23.43     8.71    26.92    84.31    41.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.72    60.82     3.98    84.36     8.70    33.24    19.02    45.27    91.19    61.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.67    72.42     5.12    73.87     8.69    15.49     2.17     8.44    56.30    20.23P    0.19R    0.00  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.16    64.21     2.34    72.41     8.31    12.81     1.04     5.34    49.15    16.28P    0.24R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.16    84.54     4.01    64.57     8.41    -2.72     0.15     0.83    16.23     3.60P    3.01R    0.10  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.24    85.25     4.01    64.12     8.26    -2.90     0.11     0.65    14.95     3.25P    2.95R    0.09  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.89    62.89     1.21    65.42     8.38     2.16     0.20     1.05    19.15     4.98P    2.14R    0.08  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.10    64.11     1.63    64.48     8.27     0.41     0.14     0.73    16.24     3.77P    2.77R    0.10  
Walsall              17   25   -5       3.69    73.75    -2.04    59.73     8.09   -12.61     0.02     0.17     5.68     1.07P    9.15R    0.58  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.14    42.96     3.86    65.20     8.32     8.52     0.15     0.88    19.55     5.26P    2.31R    0.06  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.27    52.35    -0.07    62.93     8.32    -0.85     0.08     0.48    12.29     3.00P    4.41R    0.19  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.77    38.48    -1.17    61.70     8.66    -0.67     0.07     0.43    10.97     2.83P    6.39R    0.37  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.81    56.16     3.81    54.34     8.31   -11.30     0.00     0.03     1.85     0.38P   25.04R    2.92  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.52    47.35    -4.47    56.77     8.29   -13.89     0.01     0.05     3.11     0.60P   17.56R    1.67  
Gillingham           17   18   -3      -3.64    27.68    -0.14    54.97     8.41    -7.76     0.01     0.04     2.29     0.46P   22.42R    2.24  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -4.97    19.98    -3.75    58.31     8.10    -2.86     0.00     0.07     4.35     1.08P   11.29R    0.72  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.16    20.08   -10.33    58.12     8.50   -11.10     0.02     0.11     4.64     1.14P   13.81R    1.19  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.70    16.94     0.81    54.33     8.14    -3.38     0.01     0.02     1.80     0.43P   23.25R    2.25  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.39    13.99    -3.81    52.33     8.27   -11.01     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.27P   32.53R    4.45  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.69    12.09    -5.38    47.17     8.06   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   57.91R   13.18  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.80    10.64    -7.27    41.31     7.74   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   82.95R   36.79  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.78     5.52   -12.30    42.25     7.98   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.67R   33.01  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.56    89.87     9.31    83.65     8.16    28.83    25.27    65.04    92.86    72.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.93    74.50     4.18    87.11     8.15    33.60    44.02    79.18    96.88    84.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.99    68.79     8.03    78.37     8.12    26.52    10.40    40.20    80.80    51.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       6.04    84.53     7.81    70.87     8.43    10.82     1.96    12.10    46.45    18.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.60    60.39     2.91    75.45     8.28    19.07     5.26    26.48    68.66    37.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.18    89.03    -1.65    64.14     8.06   -11.06     0.25     2.34    17.01     4.46P    0.26R    0.01  
Mansfield        17   28  +12       0.21    51.29     5.45    75.91     8.14    24.12     6.02    28.68    71.59    41.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.65    67.36     1.94    67.24     8.03     4.52     0.66     5.14    29.04    10.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.40    77.35    10.15    65.47     8.18     7.09     0.42     3.67    23.38     7.32P    0.14R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.37    34.55     2.37    74.07     8.45    22.57     4.37    22.66    63.40    34.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.18    42.66    -4.26    62.54     8.18    -3.09     0.17     1.64    13.29     4.13P    0.50R    0.03  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.61    67.64    -0.35    59.31     8.14   -10.59     0.04     0.67     6.85     1.73P    1.49R    0.11  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.77    55.93    -1.30    59.96     7.95    -6.29     0.02     0.61     7.71     1.91P    1.06R    0.08  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.23    52.19     6.71    62.24     8.35     5.26     0.18     1.79    14.03     4.18P    0.68R    0.04  
Oldham           17   21   +3      -6.24    14.76    -2.93    66.19     8.44    11.06     0.57     4.96    27.46    11.73P    0.16R    0.01  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.60    27.56    -3.01    63.28     8.55     2.83     0.22     2.37    17.36     6.00P    0.51R    0.02  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.74    32.83    -3.72    63.83     8.23     1.64     0.15     2.22    17.49     5.91P    0.37R    0.02  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.43    34.48    -0.29    55.79     8.04    -7.26     0.01     0.18     2.98     0.76P    3.28R    0.31  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.04    30.73    -7.81    53.44     8.00   -17.15     0.00     0.05     1.49     0.31P    6.35R    0.62  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.45    41.18    -5.00    47.66     7.63   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   20.72R    2.80  
Grimsby          17   15  -12      -2.68    32.44    -4.26    46.24     7.62   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   26.30R    3.78  
Notts_County     17   14  -16      -6.61    13.02   -11.57    51.04     8.19   -20.48     0.00     0.03     0.84     0.21P   12.08R    1.36  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.91     9.92    -6.88    45.49     8.11   -23.10     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   30.66R    5.22  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.80     9.21    -5.84    29.18     7.11   -49.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.35R   85.58  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.50    95.82     9.53    83.40     7.52    24.00    16.86    79.34    32.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       6.01    83.22    13.17    88.11     7.69    41.64    41.54    92.49    57.81P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.57    90.45    13.41    81.70     8.21    28.74    14.37    71.52    27.58P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.27    89.29    11.93    79.47     8.27    24.37     9.01    61.77    20.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.29    94.98     8.31    72.14     7.66     7.19     1.20    24.03     5.02P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       2.03    62.32     9.57    81.53     7.68    34.17    12.45    73.61    31.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.77    86.66     2.66    75.17     7.97    10.89     2.73    38.77    10.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.15    69.34     3.71    72.57     7.71    13.42     1.28    27.32     7.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.34    64.77    -1.71    63.42     7.61    -3.83     0.04     3.79     0.76P    1.57R    0.03  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.35    76.08    -0.71    62.70     7.58    -7.13     0.03     3.00     0.53P    2.04R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.12    49.43    -1.92    64.83     7.65     1.69     0.07     5.68     1.32P    0.96R    0.01  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.31    29.39    -9.48    67.80     8.13     2.60     0.34    12.04     3.56P    0.56R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.91    38.35    -8.14    60.18     7.69    -8.86     0.02     1.49     0.38P    4.31R    0.16  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -4.06    26.75    -3.56    59.42     7.94    -3.19     0.03     1.65     0.37P    5.51R    0.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.26    36.39    -1.19    60.74     7.71    -0.61     0.02     1.92     0.44P    3.53R    0.14  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.49    47.89     2.52    53.93     7.41    -8.54     0.00     0.20     0.04P   16.05R    1.03  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.13    31.65    -1.26    54.51     7.72    -8.83     0.00     0.29     0.06P   15.34R    0.96  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.56    34.41    -2.25    48.24     7.35   -19.39     0.00     0.02     0.00    43.11R    5.63  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.77     4.28    -8.84    57.91     7.98    -0.10     0.01     0.98     0.32P    7.79R    0.42  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.27    31.38     1.67    46.21     7.92   -20.81     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.57R   10.76  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.32    36.25   -10.08    44.45     7.38   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.48R   15.01  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.47     4.29    -9.42    50.51     7.76   -12.15     0.00     0.05     0.01P   30.95R    3.30  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.65    22.46    -2.03    37.75     7.49   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.27R   48.65  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.34     1.83   -15.90    44.85     7.66   -24.54     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.88R   13.57