Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.56    76.01     6.38    93.50     6.29    79.95    77.85    93.13    97.98    99.51    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.19    83.10     6.60    80.40     7.25    46.19     6.28    29.92    57.53    79.56    98.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.57    90.80     5.41    83.65     7.13    48.70    11.82    49.51    74.80    89.31    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.56    71.85    -1.45    77.74     7.33    35.63     2.81    17.45    40.12    66.13    97.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.74    72.52     2.26    73.70     7.52    33.79     1.00     7.67    21.38    43.76    93.25     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.36    82.67     5.56    53.07     7.51    -2.94     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.42     6.97     0.15R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1      -0.06    48.61    -6.38    69.24     7.43    19.98     0.24     2.29     7.94    20.37    83.56     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       4.98    86.36     5.01    49.27     7.37   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     2.53     0.70R    0.04  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.03    58.94     1.42    53.46     7.66    -0.27     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.44     7.76     0.22R    0.01  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.66    56.16     1.13    52.55     7.64    -1.86     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.34     6.40     0.32R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.56    72.57     3.30    46.57     7.63   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.49     2.25R    0.18  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.59    73.58     2.21    44.87     7.38   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.78     3.26R    0.28  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.67    45.37     2.21    45.60     7.62   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.03     3.21R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.67    14.33    -3.89    38.00     7.27   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    17.05R    2.40  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.39    15.47    -8.13    36.01     7.14   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    25.23R    3.91  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.31    15.30    -6.37    37.45     7.28   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    19.64R    3.16  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.07     7.04    -2.07    39.44     7.39   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    12.24R    1.69  
Huddersfield     11    6  -16      -2.21    29.27    -3.82    26.93     6.47   -42.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.20R   32.02  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.07    15.08    -3.34    29.59     7.21   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.85R   19.87  
Fulham           11    5  -18      -4.76    12.55    -6.05    26.84     7.05   -49.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.68R   36.11  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.18    81.80    10.59    77.19     8.43    24.06    17.24    31.46    71.53    40.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.26    89.39     5.87    74.79     8.34    12.52     9.88    20.49    59.30    28.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.23    81.79     5.24    74.38     8.44    14.31     9.82    19.91    58.09    28.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.40    59.60     2.27    78.31     8.08    22.23    18.85    35.31    76.46    47.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.26    58.56     0.86    76.44     8.34    19.08    14.07    27.44    67.46    38.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.32    78.08     7.36    66.36     8.40     5.79     1.51     4.00    22.81     7.45P    0.92R    0.08  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.85    30.84    -0.26    76.44     8.71    24.96    16.35    29.85    68.37    42.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.60    73.64    -0.20    65.79     8.58    -1.41     1.37     3.56    20.58     7.09P    1.28R    0.10  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.77    31.40    -0.75    70.58     8.52    14.50     4.55    10.59    41.59    19.66P    0.24R    0.02  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.29    78.89     7.67    57.86     8.00    -5.71     0.09     0.30     3.85     0.79P    7.45R    0.84  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.85    75.62    -0.81    58.25     8.07   -14.01     0.09     0.34     4.12     0.84P    7.72R    1.09  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.48    47.13     1.28    64.12     8.35     3.39     0.82     2.36    15.89     5.32P    1.75R    0.13  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.50    27.05     1.13    65.81     8.46    10.47     1.51     3.88    22.27     8.57P    1.11R    0.10  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.42    22.00    -4.23    65.63     8.41     6.25     1.35     3.61    20.86     8.16P    1.10R    0.06  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.88    31.12    -3.81    66.98     8.63     6.42     1.89     4.85    25.79    10.30P    1.04R    0.10  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.50    40.40    -4.41    61.86     8.48    -3.78     0.40     1.26    10.14     3.20P    3.70R    0.47  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.16    42.70    -6.18    57.84     8.33   -12.94     0.09     0.39     4.05     1.13P    9.06R    1.53  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       0.99    58.45     0.28    46.92     8.09   -26.65     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   50.45R   17.03  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.99    24.24    -3.10    55.13     8.22    -8.96     0.03     0.14     2.10     0.52P   14.00R    2.58  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.65    56.58    -1.26    43.92     7.45   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   65.59R   27.20  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.62    12.06    -4.36    55.74     8.44    -5.82     0.05     0.19     2.70     0.77P   12.84R    2.40  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.70    25.77     0.50    49.66     8.14   -15.54     0.01     0.02     0.43     0.09P   34.40R    9.72  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.27    17.82    -5.40    53.46     8.23   -12.40     0.01     0.07     1.34     0.34P   19.20R    3.98  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.02     6.46    -8.26    42.98     7.95   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   67.98R   32.58  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Gillingham 0 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.81    96.56     8.36    81.98     8.23    20.14    10.68    30.11    86.62    43.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.28    76.78     5.56    91.97     8.53    43.16    56.43    78.03    98.52    85.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.45    85.19     6.21    80.79     8.44    23.10     8.62    26.14    83.52    40.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.61    60.18     3.82    84.58     8.76    33.60    19.95    46.32    91.17    61.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.69    72.50     5.12    73.85     8.70    15.52     2.16     8.16    56.11    19.97P    0.22R    0.01  
Charlton             17   28   +6       2.13    63.93     2.29    72.44     8.35    12.86     1.26     5.58    49.54    16.96P    0.23R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.12    84.29     3.98    64.59     8.50    -2.76     0.14     0.85    16.54     3.68P    3.27R    0.10  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.32    85.39     4.11    64.14     8.26    -2.87     0.10     0.62    14.77     3.16P    3.12R    0.10  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.97    63.52     1.31    65.30     8.38     2.06     0.17     1.01    18.69     4.82P    2.25R    0.07  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.01    63.71     1.51    64.59     8.33     0.56     0.11     0.78    16.41     3.94P    2.92R    0.13  
Walsall              17   25   -5       3.75    74.00    -1.95    59.62     8.13   -12.77     0.02     0.16     5.61     1.07P    9.32R    0.54  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.17    42.87     3.83    65.31     8.32     8.72     0.16     1.02    19.58     5.39P    2.26R    0.08  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.13    51.59    -0.24    63.09     8.31    -0.60     0.09     0.46    12.65     3.13P    4.16R    0.19  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.62    39.90    -0.95    61.40     8.77    -1.17     0.08     0.40    10.86     2.86P    7.09R    0.46  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.73    55.66     3.70    54.51     8.31   -11.05     0.00     0.05     1.94     0.37P   24.31R    2.65  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.53    47.53    -4.44    56.73     8.34   -13.97     0.01     0.06     3.07     0.60P   17.47R    1.77  
Gillingham           17   18   -3      -3.64    27.48    -0.15    54.93     8.37    -7.86     0.01     0.04     2.24     0.51P   22.42R    2.25  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -4.96    19.83    -3.75    58.34     8.11    -2.81     0.00     0.09     4.31     1.07P   11.09R    0.77  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.29    19.53   -10.53    58.24     8.50   -10.89     0.01     0.10     4.68     1.10P   13.42R    1.12  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.61    17.11     0.90    54.31     8.20    -3.43     0.00     0.02     1.81     0.40P   23.05R    2.44  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.36    14.21    -3.74    52.32     8.38   -11.05     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.22P   32.56R    4.66  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.64    12.28    -5.32    47.12     8.05   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   58.19R   13.41  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.82    10.58    -7.30    41.35     7.70   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    83.15R   36.21  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.80     5.60   -12.34    42.24     7.95   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   79.49R   33.03  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2018, Mansfield 2 1 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.52    89.69     9.26    83.74     8.16    28.95    25.13    65.39    92.98    72.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.89    74.19     4.07    87.27     8.17    33.75    44.59    79.66    96.88    85.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.97    68.76     8.04    78.42     8.15    26.56    10.36    40.45    80.85    51.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       5.95    84.00     7.71    70.98     8.44    10.99     1.85    12.17    46.93    19.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.55    60.03     2.79    75.47     8.19    19.11     5.18    25.91    68.95    37.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.25    89.16    -1.52    64.13     8.12   -11.05     0.24     2.40    17.16     4.62P    0.25R    0.00  
Mansfield        17   28  +12       0.23    51.28     5.49    75.90     8.11    24.09     5.83    28.18    71.87    41.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.70    67.61     2.04    67.06     8.11     4.30     0.63     5.06    28.56    10.01P    0.07R    0.01  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.47    77.58    10.27    65.36     8.17     6.94     0.42     3.66    23.15     7.10P    0.15R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.33    34.66     2.39    74.10     8.54    22.62     4.37    22.84    63.34    34.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.18    42.40    -4.25    62.51     8.22    -3.12     0.15     1.62    13.50     4.28P    0.48R    0.03  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.56    67.44    -0.40    59.33     8.12   -10.50     0.04     0.60     6.69     1.64P    1.46R    0.10  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.94    57.09    -1.04    59.66     7.97    -6.75     0.04     0.65     6.94     1.87P    1.16R    0.10  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.28    52.89     6.77    62.19     8.38     5.14     0.17     1.83    14.01     4.33P    0.62R    0.04  
Oldham           17   21   +3      -6.13    15.49    -2.79    66.01     8.46    10.80     0.56     4.71    26.82    11.34P    0.18R    0.01  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.72    27.16    -3.20    63.50     8.55     3.16     0.25     2.48    18.06     6.38P    0.45R    0.02  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.71    32.50    -3.69    63.74     8.20     1.46     0.18     2.12    17.21     5.60P    0.36R    0.02  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.55    33.51    -0.46    56.01     8.09    -6.93     0.01     0.17     3.34     0.78P    3.29R    0.24  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.05    30.61    -7.85    53.40     7.99   -17.19     0.00     0.08     1.51     0.34P    6.30R    0.61  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.54    40.73    -5.14    47.85     7.71   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   20.25R    2.57  
Grimsby          17   15  -12      -2.72    32.03    -4.30    46.37     7.63   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   25.72R    3.73  
Notts_County     17   14  -16      -6.61    12.94   -11.53    50.86     8.17   -20.72     0.00     0.04     0.79     0.22P   12.69R    1.52  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.86    10.35    -6.83    45.46     8.19   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   31.09R    5.23  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.76     9.18    -5.81    29.12     7.10   -49.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.43R   85.78  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.64    95.93     9.71    83.29     7.53    23.89    16.32    79.01    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       5.91    82.71    13.05    88.17     7.68    41.77    41.80    92.51    57.90P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.65    90.54    13.55    81.64     8.29    28.64    14.29    71.49    27.64P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.26    89.17    11.90    79.42     8.31    24.32     9.09    61.51    20.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.33    95.14     8.33    72.16     7.69     7.22     1.18    24.33     5.06P    0.07R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       1.99    62.04     9.50    81.63     7.65    34.28    12.64    74.09    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.90    86.88     2.84    74.94     8.03    10.52     2.77    37.58    10.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.18    69.45     3.78    72.58     7.75    13.45     1.34    27.67     7.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.40    65.22    -1.62    63.39     7.62    -3.89     0.05     3.92     0.73P    1.54R    0.03  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.35    76.17    -0.69    62.71     7.63    -7.14     0.04     3.12     0.54P    2.13R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.18    49.02    -2.02    64.85     7.64     1.74     0.07     5.77     1.36P    0.88R    0.01  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.23    30.03    -9.44    67.78     8.11     2.57     0.34    12.04     3.61P    0.54R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.84    39.13    -8.03    60.05     7.70    -9.02     0.02     1.57     0.36P    4.63R    0.18  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -4.07    26.37    -3.54    59.41     7.91    -3.26     0.01     1.64     0.37P    5.47R    0.19  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.39    35.79    -1.34    60.74     7.73    -0.61     0.01     2.07     0.47P    3.48R    0.12  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.60    47.02     2.45    54.08     7.44    -8.37     0.00     0.20     0.03P   15.72R    1.01  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.15    31.00    -1.32    54.55     7.61    -8.78     0.00     0.31     0.05P   14.78R    0.98  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.57    34.13    -2.33    48.41     7.37   -19.16     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.76R    5.55  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.93     4.07    -9.02    58.18     8.02     0.34     0.01     1.04     0.32P    7.35R    0.47  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.08    32.15     1.95    45.98     7.87   -21.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.07R   10.95  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.38    35.79   -10.18    44.52     7.45   -36.91     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.13R   14.82  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.41     4.29    -9.36    50.33     7.76   -12.38     0.00     0.06     0.03P   31.53R    3.65  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.80    21.56    -2.32    37.93     7.47   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.99R   47.68  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.33     1.84   -15.85    44.70     7.68   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.88R   14.30