Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2018, Huddersfield 1 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.57    76.16     6.39    93.57     6.30    80.20    77.78    92.95    97.92    99.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.19    83.36     6.58    80.43     7.31    46.27     6.58    30.14    57.65    79.75    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.58    90.84     5.38    83.65     7.17    48.77    11.79    49.31    74.38    89.36    99.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.54    71.84    -1.50    77.67     7.31    35.52     2.72    17.27    39.72    65.78    97.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.71    72.39     2.23    73.77     7.55    33.85     0.93     8.01    22.09    44.11    93.41     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.42    82.76     5.61    53.04     7.49    -3.03     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.31     6.96     0.18R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1       0.02    49.50    -6.29    69.15     7.44    19.78     0.20     2.28     7.98    20.23    83.04     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       5.00    86.62     5.04    49.26     7.32   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.54     0.68R    0.02  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.08    59.55     1.46    53.45     7.65    -0.35     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.44     7.94     0.20R    0.00  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.71    56.75     1.22    52.50     7.67    -2.06     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.36     6.46     0.35R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.55    72.48     3.30    46.47     7.62   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     1.40     2.32R    0.18  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.56    73.74     2.20    44.82     7.36   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.86     3.43R    0.25  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.74    44.54     2.16    45.60     7.62   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.11     3.29R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.63    14.64    -3.84    38.02     7.27   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    17.13R    2.38  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.37    15.47    -8.08    36.04     7.13   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.32R    3.92  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.34    14.81    -6.38    37.34     7.25   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.19R    3.31  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.08     6.95    -2.10    39.54     7.39   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    12.17R    1.62  
Huddersfield     11    6  -16      -2.14    29.97    -3.68    26.82     6.43   -42.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.17R   33.10  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.19    14.39    -3.50    29.82     7.30   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    60.54R   19.55  
Fulham           11    5  -18      -4.84    12.19    -6.22    26.94     7.05   -48.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.04R   35.39  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.12    81.54    10.53    77.16     8.44    24.01    17.43    31.58    71.33    41.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.28    89.15     5.84    74.83     8.38    12.48     9.97    20.66    59.86    28.52P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.21    81.50     5.24    74.43     8.48    14.40     9.95    20.42    58.05    28.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.42    60.03     2.27    78.23     8.08    22.12    18.87    35.03    75.95    47.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.39    59.51     1.05    76.19     8.34    18.72    13.52    26.60    66.75    37.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.36    78.19     7.39    66.34     8.40     5.76     1.60     4.12    22.88     7.64P    0.85R    0.05  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.95    30.44    -0.39    76.44     8.65    24.96    16.35    29.77    68.67    41.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.57    73.22    -0.23    65.75     8.56    -1.45     1.37     3.54    20.18     6.77P    1.35R    0.13  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.69    31.96    -0.63    70.42     8.50    14.26     4.45    10.36    40.73    19.40P    0.21R    0.03  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.40    79.36     7.81    57.80     8.03    -5.87     0.09     0.31     3.79     0.86P    7.70R    1.02  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.75    75.25    -0.90    58.47     8.04   -13.69     0.14     0.43     4.37     1.05P    7.15R    0.94  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.45    47.34     1.34    64.09     8.33     3.41     0.82     2.34    15.85     5.32P    1.66R    0.15  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.45    27.58     1.24    65.78     8.48    10.43     1.39     3.86    22.44     8.35P    1.12R    0.11  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.51    21.39    -4.40    65.87     8.31     6.57     1.43     3.74    21.59     8.46P    0.99R    0.09  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.88    31.41    -3.81    66.96     8.66     6.39     1.94     5.07    25.73    10.46P    0.99R    0.07  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.67    39.37    -4.68    62.14     8.53    -3.35     0.47     1.43    11.11     3.59P    3.56R    0.49  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.08    43.46    -6.06    57.78     8.30   -13.03     0.12     0.39     4.09     1.17P    9.01R    1.56  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       1.04    59.33     0.28    46.91     8.04   -26.62     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   50.33R   16.95  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.92    24.99    -3.04    55.06     8.17    -9.01     0.04     0.13     2.08     0.51P   14.38R    2.66  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.68    56.69    -1.24    43.84     7.42   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   66.68R   27.88  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.58    11.79    -4.27    55.60     8.37    -6.01     0.03     0.14     2.55     0.72P   12.97R    2.31  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.71    26.06     0.57    49.62     8.17   -15.61     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.11P   34.61R    9.77  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.31    17.78    -5.43    53.49     8.18   -12.31     0.01     0.06     1.28     0.28P   19.00R    3.93  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.16     6.10    -8.45    43.14     7.96   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.27R   31.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      11.03    97.00     8.63    81.74     8.31    19.76    10.42    29.94    86.34    42.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.18    76.04     5.35    92.20     8.50    43.61    57.97    79.47    98.73    86.33P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.26    84.58     5.93    81.03     8.48    23.55     8.84    27.65    84.81    42.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.69    60.75     3.93    84.41     8.71    33.37    19.20    45.50    91.64    61.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.69    72.49     5.15    73.73     8.66    15.29     1.89     8.05    56.65    19.93P    0.19R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.17    84.56     4.02    64.49     8.37    -2.87     0.15     0.85    16.51     3.56P    3.18R    0.08  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.22    85.17     4.00    64.14     8.27    -2.92     0.09     0.71    15.52     3.43P    3.17R    0.11  
Charlton             16   25   +4       1.12    57.97     1.23    70.42     8.48    10.27     0.81     3.77    40.85    12.90P    0.59R    0.02  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.05    63.90     1.62    64.57     8.28     0.53     0.12     0.70    16.95     3.98P    2.96R    0.09  
Walsall              16   25   -3       4.52    78.65    -0.84    61.50     8.34   -10.00     0.03     0.27     9.69     2.00P    6.76R    0.34  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.13    42.87     3.89    65.26     8.31     8.68     0.15     0.95    20.50     5.63P    2.36R    0.10  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.07    50.98    -0.30    63.22     8.33    -0.45     0.07     0.51    13.50     3.37P    4.33R    0.17  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.54    54.38     0.61    63.27     8.58     0.38     0.14     0.75    14.43     3.85P    4.58R    0.19  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.69    39.30    -1.05    61.59     8.76    -0.87     0.06     0.48    11.59     3.09P    6.92R    0.43  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.68    55.50     3.62    54.57     8.25   -11.03     0.00     0.04     2.09     0.45P   24.30R    2.56  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.46    48.03    -4.35    56.64     8.18   -14.09     0.00     0.04     2.90     0.57P   17.77R    1.45  
Gillingham           16   18   -2      -2.51    34.09     0.54    56.77     8.59    -6.20     0.01     0.08     4.04     0.84P   17.46R    1.50  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -5.01    19.99    -3.81    58.44     8.19    -2.75     0.01     0.12     4.96     1.29P   11.45R    0.77  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.22    19.83   -10.45    58.16     8.58   -11.04     0.02     0.11     5.00     1.18P   14.59R    1.22  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.68    17.08     0.86    54.32     8.19    -3.47     0.01     0.02     1.95     0.43P   23.65R    2.28  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.42    13.92    -3.84    52.49     8.34   -10.77     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.23P   32.41R    4.56  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.70    12.29    -5.38    47.18     8.03   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   58.66R   13.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.78    10.77    -7.19    41.21     7.69   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.91R   36.86  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.72     5.67   -12.16    42.04     7.99   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    80.74R   34.18  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.45    89.81     9.16    83.87     8.20    29.18    25.95    65.86    93.05    72.63P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.87    73.87     4.05    87.29     8.14    33.82    44.23    79.79    96.97    85.43P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.93    68.64     8.00    78.49     8.19    26.72    10.48    40.59    80.89    51.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       6.08    84.43     7.87    70.87     8.42    10.78     1.81    11.84    46.43    18.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.57    60.22     2.80    75.53     8.22    19.19     5.13    26.62    68.98    37.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.24    89.08    -1.52    64.09     8.07   -11.24     0.26     2.37    16.65     4.48P    0.33R    0.01  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.60    66.98     1.87    67.23     8.14     4.55     0.64     5.46    29.30    10.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.41    77.38    10.20    65.36     8.19     6.99     0.38     3.62    23.08     7.02P    0.21R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.39    34.64     2.25    74.16     8.57    22.65     4.46    23.15    63.72    35.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield        16   25  +11      -0.80    44.36     5.33    75.00     8.30    24.06     5.08    25.43    68.06    38.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.12    42.92    -4.18    62.45     8.21    -3.24     0.13     1.56    13.22     4.02P    0.56R    0.02  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.73    68.59    -0.19    59.21     8.12   -10.73     0.04     0.53     6.73     1.59P    1.56R    0.11  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.77    55.98    -1.26    59.92     8.04    -6.39     0.05     0.58     7.55     1.90P    1.13R    0.08  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.19    51.99     6.65    62.31     8.34     5.37     0.17     1.80    14.35     4.33P    0.56R    0.03  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.69    27.40    -3.12    63.42     8.55     3.00     0.24     2.39    17.52     6.21P    0.49R    0.03  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.81    32.08    -3.82    64.00     8.23     1.87     0.17     2.24    18.06     6.12P    0.42R    0.01  
Oldham           16   20   +3      -5.55    16.91    -2.48    66.51     8.71    11.02     0.78     5.87    29.23    12.60P    0.22R    0.01  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.47    34.13    -0.32    55.86     8.09    -7.15     0.00     0.18     3.20     0.75P    3.38R    0.28  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.08    30.24    -7.87    53.48     8.04   -17.09     0.00     0.07     1.53     0.33P    6.54R    0.65  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.42    41.40    -4.97    47.62     7.68   -25.53     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.03P   21.16R    2.67  
Grimsby          16   15  -11      -1.99    36.69    -4.20    47.06     7.77   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   23.50R    3.15  
Notts_County     16   13  -16      -6.44    12.78   -11.72    51.15     8.39   -20.97     0.00     0.04     0.97     0.23P   12.58R    1.46  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.88    10.24    -6.83    45.35     8.14   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   31.78R    5.42  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.72     9.30    -5.70    29.02     7.15   -50.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.48R   86.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.62    95.96     9.71    83.23     7.51    23.84    16.20    79.00    31.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       5.98    82.91    13.15    88.03     7.64    41.51    41.33    92.52    57.66P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.57    90.46    13.43    81.70     8.23    28.70    14.44    71.69    27.81P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.33    89.37    12.03    79.33     8.41    24.21     9.44    61.09    20.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.31    95.04     8.29    72.14     7.63     7.21     1.17    23.97     5.13P    0.04R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       1.99    62.22     9.51    81.57     7.65    34.20    12.67    73.87    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.85    86.69     2.79    75.02     8.00    10.67     2.76    38.10    10.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.01    68.44     3.50    72.84     7.71    13.84     1.47    28.47     7.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.39    65.08    -1.61    63.40     7.60    -3.87     0.05     3.79     0.76P    1.57R    0.03  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.34    75.88    -0.75    62.76     7.67    -7.01     0.04     3.19     0.62P    2.14R    0.04  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.19    48.99    -2.06    64.93     7.56     1.90     0.08     5.56     1.23P    0.90R    0.01  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.27    29.98    -9.47    67.67     8.17     2.51     0.32    11.89     3.53P    0.58R    0.01  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.91    38.28    -8.09    60.14     7.68    -8.91     0.01     1.57     0.36P    4.55R    0.14  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -3.94    27.45    -3.34    59.37     7.98    -3.33     0.01     1.72     0.41P    5.67R    0.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.40    35.23    -1.41    60.73     7.69    -0.58     0.01     1.98     0.45P    3.52R    0.14  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.59    47.23     2.42    54.11     7.47    -8.28     0.00     0.23     0.05P   15.48R    1.01  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.13    31.39    -1.31    54.53     7.60    -8.75     0.00     0.27     0.06P   14.75R    0.97  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.50    34.68    -2.21    48.21     7.38   -19.49     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.36R    5.79  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.82     4.24    -8.87    57.99     7.96     0.01     0.00     1.00     0.30P    7.57R    0.42  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.23    31.52     1.74    46.18     7.94   -20.88     0.00     0.02     0.01P   54.03R   10.91  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.35    36.19   -10.14    44.59     7.44   -36.88     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.82R   14.86  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.41     4.44    -9.35    50.38     7.71   -12.33     0.00     0.05     0.00P   31.27R    3.45  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.69    21.98    -2.09    37.82     7.40   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.38R   48.43  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.35     1.77   -15.87    44.78     7.62   -24.67     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.30R   13.56