Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Chelsea 3 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         11   29  +29       2.53    75.70     6.21    93.56     6.32    80.29    77.87    93.25    97.93    99.47    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   27  +19       4.18    83.25     6.55    80.42     7.29    46.32     6.39    29.74    57.75    79.85    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   27  +16       5.59    90.82     5.38    83.69     7.14    48.86    11.75    49.43    74.51    89.40    99.60     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        11   24   +9       2.50    71.36    -1.56    77.67     7.31    35.58     2.77    17.34    39.65    65.50    97.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   23  +11       2.71    72.48     2.23    73.85     7.49    34.04     1.00     7.96    22.14    44.35    93.60     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      11   20   +6       4.43    82.97     5.66    53.14     7.49    -2.85     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.41     6.99     0.20R    0.01  
Man_Utd          11   20   +1       0.04    49.86    -6.26    69.16     7.42    19.90     0.22     2.24     7.77    20.14    82.95     0.00     0.00  
Watford          11   19   +3       4.97    86.42     4.98    49.26     7.36   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.65     0.83R    0.02  
Everton          11   18   +4       1.05    58.94     1.41    53.39     7.69    -0.40     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.44     7.74     0.24R    0.00  
Leicester        11   16   +1       0.59    55.70     1.02    52.56     7.64    -1.87     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.27     6.43     0.32R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    11   15   -1       2.55    72.24     3.29    46.58     7.63   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.51     2.39R    0.13  
Brighton         11   14   -4       2.57    73.95     2.22    44.86     7.37   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78     3.38R    0.21  
West_Ham         11   11   -4      -0.68    45.38     2.23    45.54     7.62   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.01     3.46R    0.28  
Crystal_Palace   11    8   -8      -4.69    14.29    -3.92    38.02     7.32   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    17.58R    2.14  
Burnley          11    8  -13      -4.42    15.43    -8.16    36.11     7.14   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.23R    3.43  
Southampton      11    7  -13      -4.24    15.61    -6.22    37.33     7.30   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    20.44R    3.09  
Newcastle        11    6   -7      -6.09     6.89    -2.13    39.42     7.43   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    12.69R    1.52  
Cardiff          11    5  -15      -4.12    14.88    -3.45    29.73     7.27   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.20R   18.16  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.55    18.77    -5.28    28.66     7.40   -47.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.72R   25.67  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.62    14.02    -4.21    24.86     6.66   -44.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.32R   45.30  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 November 2018, Wigan 1 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    16   30  +15       5.29    82.22    10.74    76.97     8.45    23.70    16.82    30.53    70.46    39.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         16   30   +7       7.21    89.19     5.74    74.91     8.32    12.72    10.16    20.97    59.97    29.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   29   +8       5.14    81.47     5.13    74.56     8.43    14.63    10.31    20.66    58.74    28.84P    0.07R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   16   28   +9       1.37    59.29     2.22    78.31     8.10    22.22    19.10    35.27    76.51    48.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           16   28   +8       1.43    59.41     1.12    76.09     8.33    18.52    13.22    26.03    66.26    37.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   26   +7       4.26    77.73     7.24    66.36     8.35     5.75     1.45     3.88    22.74     7.48P    0.94R    0.08  
West_Brom       16   25   +9      -2.87    30.73    -0.24    76.41     8.74    24.86    16.29    30.11    68.15    41.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn       16   25   -1       3.63    73.97    -0.12    65.63     8.60    -1.64     1.42     3.75    20.07     7.03P    1.29R    0.12  
Swansea         16   23   +5      -2.73    31.83    -0.67    70.47     8.49    14.31     4.49    10.44    41.11    19.51P    0.28R    0.02  
Birmingham      16   23   +3       4.35    79.10     7.71    57.90     8.06    -5.64     0.09     0.32     4.02     0.91P    7.52R    0.94  
QPR             16   23   -5       3.79    75.28    -0.87    58.27     8.10   -13.94     0.09     0.38     4.13     0.94P    7.57R    1.04  
Bristol_City    16   22   +2      -0.51    46.67     1.24    64.26     8.37     3.64     0.96     2.57    16.25     5.46P    1.70R    0.16  
Brentford       16   21   +5      -3.45    27.51     1.23    65.72     8.52    10.35     1.53     4.03    22.23     8.53P    1.19R    0.11  
Aston_Villa     16   21   +1      -4.51    21.40    -4.35    65.79     8.35     6.52     1.38     3.68    21.44     8.35P    0.97R    0.07  
Stoke           16   21   -1      -2.86    31.45    -3.79    67.09     8.69     6.50     2.03     5.25    26.28    10.83P    0.92R    0.08  
Wigan           16   20   -5      -1.65    39.29    -4.66    62.17     8.48    -3.34     0.44     1.39    10.74     3.61P    3.40R    0.49  
Sheff_Wed       16   19   -9      -1.18    42.50    -6.18    57.92     8.25   -12.83     0.11     0.35     4.07     1.08P    8.62R    1.40  
Rotherham       16   17   -9       1.00    59.07     0.22    46.94     8.04   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   49.89R   16.65  
Millwall        16   16   -6      -3.84    25.25    -2.91    55.03     8.14    -9.12     0.03     0.11     1.91     0.47P   14.38R    2.60  
Bolton          16   16  -11       0.73    56.95    -1.10    43.73     7.51   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   66.94R   28.52  
Preston         16   15   -5      -6.58    11.96    -4.26    55.58     8.43    -6.06     0.06     0.19     2.62     0.72P   13.20R    2.38  
Reading         16   15   -5      -3.72    25.64     0.48    49.64     8.18   -15.52     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.12P   34.43R    9.61  
Hull            16   15   -8      -5.38    17.61    -5.54    53.71     8.32   -12.00     0.02     0.07     1.55     0.38P   18.56R    3.69  
Ipswich         16   10  -14      -8.12     6.18    -8.37    43.00     7.97   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   67.99R   32.02  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 1 2 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           17   38  +14      10.93    96.83     8.52    81.85     8.34    19.96    10.52    30.23    86.60    43.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland           16   35  +19       4.21    76.09     5.38    92.12     8.56    43.47    57.52    78.95    98.61    85.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         17   33  +11       6.35    84.86     6.05    81.03     8.43    23.49     8.86    27.64    84.87    42.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnsley             16   31  +15       1.72    60.71     3.99    84.39     8.71    33.33    19.41    45.60    91.62    61.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                17   29   +8       3.70    72.54     5.16    73.83     8.62    15.44     2.08     8.11    57.41    20.20P    0.23R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   17   28   +2       6.08    83.99     3.90    64.69     8.42    -2.58     0.17     0.92    16.91     3.82P    3.05R    0.11  
Coventry             17   28   +2       6.27    85.55     4.03    64.05     8.25    -3.02     0.10     0.69    15.23     3.19P    3.26R    0.08  
Charlton             16   25   +4       1.15    58.02     1.27    70.25     8.53    10.03     0.70     3.72    39.90    12.62P    0.63R    0.02  
Doncaster            17   25   +1       2.01    63.50     1.53    64.61     8.35     0.61     0.12     0.80    17.25     4.22P    2.99R    0.11  
Walsall              16   25   -3       4.52    78.78    -0.81    61.46     8.29   -10.08     0.06     0.35     9.15     1.81P    6.70R    0.32  
Fleetwood_Town       17   23   +5      -1.14    42.98     3.89    65.22     8.31     8.59     0.12     0.87    20.11     5.36P    2.34R    0.08  
Southend             17   23   -1       0.19    51.93    -0.15    63.07     8.33    -0.69     0.06     0.47    13.22     3.14P    4.38R    0.19  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.48    53.70     0.48    63.56     8.63     0.75     0.13     0.72    15.37     3.92P    4.30R    0.18  
Burton_Albion        16   21   +0      -1.75    38.95    -1.11    61.71     8.71    -0.69     0.08     0.51    11.68     3.24P    6.51R    0.36  
Wycombe              17   21   -1       0.75    55.83     3.79    54.34     8.29   -11.38     0.01     0.05     2.01     0.39P   25.22R    2.66  
Rochdale             17   20   -9      -0.53    47.36    -4.44    56.75     8.26   -13.98     0.00     0.06     3.24     0.63P   17.84R    1.60  
Gillingham           16   18   -2      -2.60    33.31     0.42    56.88     8.61    -6.01     0.01     0.09     4.18     0.93P   17.19R    1.53  
Shrewsbury           17   18   -4      -4.92    20.23    -3.67    58.27     8.15    -2.97     0.02     0.08     4.60     1.08P   11.77R    0.73  
Scunthorpe           17   18  -11      -5.27    19.53   -10.53    58.28     8.44   -10.82     0.01     0.11     4.94     1.25P   13.39R    1.15  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17   +0      -5.56    17.53     0.99    54.16     8.12    -3.71     0.00     0.03     1.71     0.38P   23.94R    2.42  
Oxford_Utd           17   15   -7      -6.44    13.66    -3.91    52.51     8.33   -10.75     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.25P   32.52R    4.42  
Plymouth             17   13  -11      -6.71    12.18    -5.42    47.19     8.04   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   58.75R   13.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   11  -15      -6.75    10.91    -7.14    41.25     7.70   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    83.77R   36.81  
Bradford             17   10  -19      -8.72     5.75   -12.22    41.98     7.93   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.18R   34.14  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, Cambridge_Utd 1 0 Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     17   36  +17       7.45    90.00     9.16    83.82     8.15    29.11    25.86    65.85    93.13    72.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          17   34  +14       3.90    74.07     4.10    87.18     8.14    33.61    43.88    79.36    96.81    84.97P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       17   31  +15       2.94    68.70     7.93    78.54     8.13    26.77    10.57    40.94    81.19    51.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         17   30   +9       6.09    84.50     7.85    70.83     8.42    10.78     1.77    11.85    46.09    18.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter           17   29   +9       1.54    60.07     2.76    75.61     8.19    19.31     5.49    26.53    69.49    37.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   17   29   -4       7.25    89.23    -1.49    64.05     8.09   -11.28     0.29     2.31    16.79     4.66P    0.29R    0.01  
Stevenage        17   28   +5       2.72    67.91     2.06    66.99     8.09     4.20     0.59     4.98    28.08     9.82P    0.08R    0.00  
Forest_Green     17   27   +9       4.51    77.74    10.36    65.32     8.23     6.83     0.34     3.60    23.13     7.03P    0.16R    0.00  
Bury             17   26  +10      -2.45    34.10     2.18    74.23     8.50    22.78     4.48    23.36    63.90    35.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield        16   25  +11      -0.77    44.56     5.37    74.96     8.27    24.00     5.12    25.32    67.63    37.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         17   23   -3      -1.06    43.23    -4.08    62.33     8.24    -3.38     0.16     1.62    12.75     4.01P    0.59R    0.03  
Crawley_Town     17   23   -5       2.64    67.89    -0.28    59.33     8.14   -10.53     0.03     0.61     6.94     1.71P    1.55R    0.14  
Port_Vale        17   22   -4       0.82    56.40    -1.19    59.82     7.97    -6.51     0.03     0.63     7.19     1.86P    1.12R    0.09  
Yeovil           16   21   +5       0.17    51.91     6.61    62.39     8.34     5.47     0.13     1.78    14.41     4.37P    0.62R    0.05  
Northampton      17   21   -1      -3.76    27.12    -3.21    63.45     8.51     3.13     0.24     2.44    17.48     6.12P    0.52R    0.03  
Swindon          17   21   -3      -2.74    32.56    -3.77    63.98     8.19     1.86     0.20     2.24    17.90     6.06P    0.36R    0.02  
Oldham           16   20   +3      -5.77    16.13    -2.82    66.90     8.75    11.57     0.82     6.28    30.89    13.62P    0.23R    0.01  
Crewe            17   19   -3      -2.44    34.27    -0.28    55.78     8.07    -7.27     0.00     0.18     3.16     0.80P    3.48R    0.29  
Cambridge_Utd    17   18  -11      -3.01    30.77    -7.77    53.31     7.99   -17.29     0.00     0.07     1.45     0.31P    6.74R    0.69  
Morecambe        17   17  -12      -1.42    41.33    -4.92    47.62     7.70   -25.56     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   21.25R    2.81  
Grimsby          16   15  -11      -1.96    36.82    -4.19    47.03     7.77   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   23.77R    3.41  
Notts_County     16   13  -16      -6.42    12.76   -11.67    51.02     8.45   -21.14     0.00     0.05     1.06     0.23P   13.14R    1.64  
Cheltenham       16   11  -13      -6.89    10.02    -6.88    45.43     8.13   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   30.98R    5.26  
Macclesfield     17    7  -21      -6.78     8.95    -5.83    29.16     7.18   -49.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.08R   85.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 November 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Wrexham            19   41  +16      10.69    95.93     9.78    83.15     7.57    23.70    15.95    78.51    31.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      19   40  +25       5.99    83.13    13.16    88.09     7.65    41.61    41.25    92.64    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       19   39  +20       8.54    90.15    13.36    81.81     8.31    28.87    15.08    72.25    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   37  +16       8.26    89.08    11.88    79.42     8.38    24.25     9.09    61.57    20.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     19   36   +8      10.22    94.75     8.21    72.23     7.67     7.31     1.14    24.68     5.19P    0.05R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          19   35  +20       2.05    62.27     9.60    81.51     7.73    34.16    12.79    73.52    31.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Sutton_United      18   33   +5       6.91    86.86     2.86    75.01     7.98    10.62     2.72    37.83     9.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   32   +8       3.10    69.09     3.64    72.64     7.71    13.57     1.39    27.70     7.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Hartlepool         19   28   -2       2.33    64.79    -1.68    63.48     7.63    -3.78     0.07     4.10     0.86P    1.52R    0.04  
Eastleigh          19   28   -4       4.37    76.50    -0.70    62.73     7.64    -7.05     0.04     3.08     0.56P    2.15R    0.06  
Boreham_Wood       19   27   +0      -0.17    49.38    -1.99    64.93     7.64     1.86     0.10     5.70     1.40P    0.90R    0.02  
Barnet             18   25   -4      -3.19    30.59    -9.36    67.68     8.11     2.45     0.31    11.68     3.31P    0.54R    0.00  
Aldershot          19   24   -8      -1.91    38.44    -8.13    60.20     7.67    -8.82     0.02     1.55     0.35P    4.33R    0.12  
Bromley            19   23   -2      -4.07    26.29    -3.51    59.33     7.87    -3.36     0.02     1.55     0.33P    5.50R    0.22  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   23   -2      -2.33    35.81    -1.28    60.72     7.71    -0.64     0.03     2.00     0.43P    3.61R    0.14  
Halifax            19   22   -2      -0.60    47.14     2.37    54.12     7.43    -8.28     0.00     0.21     0.05P   15.66R    0.94  
Barrow             19   21   -4      -3.05    31.61    -1.18    54.41     7.58    -8.97     0.00     0.26     0.07P   15.15R    0.94  
Maidstone_United   19   18  -10      -2.54    34.51    -2.28    48.28     7.39   -19.34     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.10R    5.68  
Chesterfield       19   17   -6     -10.85     4.26    -8.92    58.02     8.02     0.11     0.01     1.07     0.34P    7.61R    0.41  
Havant_&_Wville    19   17   -8      -3.18    31.95     1.80    46.10     7.94   -21.10     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.40R   11.18  
Maidenhead         19   17  -21      -2.41    35.68   -10.25    44.60     7.39   -36.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.89R   14.79  
Dag_&_Red          19   15  -10     -10.37     4.36    -9.30    50.39     7.69   -12.30     0.00     0.05     0.01P   31.08R    3.47  
Braintree_Town     19   13  -15      -4.70    21.90    -2.17    37.79     7.46   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.44R   48.24  
Dover_Athletic     19   11  -20     -12.44     1.74   -15.93    44.83     7.71   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.99R   13.73