Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   26  +24       2.46    75.44     5.11    92.18     6.62    74.09    71.75    90.53    96.99    99.23    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   26  +16       6.00    94.40     5.48    84.18     7.45    48.99    16.80    55.22    78.17    91.00    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.70    81.20     6.50    79.60     7.48    45.15     6.88    28.01    56.39    78.96    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       3.07    76.21     2.17    73.80     7.78    33.12     1.62     9.66    25.01    48.59    93.23     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   21   +8       1.54    63.97    -1.43    76.28     7.57    34.34     2.68    14.54    36.08    61.97    96.41     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.40    88.79     5.93    54.19     7.76    -2.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.83    11.40     0.20R    0.00  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.10    92.11     5.64    50.88     7.63    -8.46     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.24     4.90     0.69R    0.03  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.17    38.55    -6.57    67.77     7.63    19.13     0.26     1.96     7.01    18.41    78.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.09    51.16     0.39    51.68     7.84    -2.31     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.31     6.39     0.55R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.39    79.11     3.31    47.12     7.83   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     2.25     2.32R    0.16  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.37    80.67     3.12    46.31     7.57   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.58     2.73R    0.15  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.59    45.23     0.73    50.94     7.95    -2.78     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.29     5.82     0.95R    0.05  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.76    34.97     0.89    43.39     7.80   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.72     7.06R    0.75  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.23    16.30    -3.60    38.62     7.47   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    16.98R    2.01  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.57    19.31    -7.28    37.90     7.39   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    19.77R    2.40  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.35    14.77    -4.47    38.50     7.43   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    17.40R    2.31  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.17    20.34    -3.14    30.90     7.53   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    56.56R   15.60  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.50    19.33    -5.57    28.78     7.44   -46.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.75R   25.92  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.38     2.23    -2.70    37.59     7.69   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    20.24R    3.11  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.64    14.05    -4.53    24.74     6.60   -44.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.80R   47.49  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.25    86.71     5.74    76.25     8.72    16.15    14.07    26.78    65.61    35.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.78    75.45     9.91    74.65     8.60    21.68    10.63    21.81    60.67    31.20P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.78    62.77     2.28    78.55     8.32    22.12    19.57    36.13    76.38    48.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.43    87.22     2.98    71.19     8.55     5.41     4.52    10.69    42.07    16.78P    0.19R    0.02  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.58    38.22     0.51    78.80     8.98    27.56    23.98    40.10    76.21    51.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.59    54.06     0.31    74.39     8.54    16.38     9.22    19.96    58.56    30.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       3.06    71.78     6.93    64.49     8.62     4.30     1.06     2.94    17.78     5.83P    1.58R    0.12  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.50    39.12     0.15    73.40     8.71    17.45     8.31    17.68    54.23    28.78P    0.12R    0.01  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.87    82.56     8.37    59.26     8.21    -3.57     0.14     0.55     5.81     1.39P    5.11R    0.54  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.74    80.82    -0.47    59.78     8.25   -12.83     0.20     0.65     6.37     1.52P    5.04R    0.57  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.87    56.71     2.15    65.98     8.61     5.15     1.42     3.87    22.22     7.85P    1.07R    0.07  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.44    67.44    -0.43    64.17     8.82    -2.45     0.96     2.67    16.44     5.55P    2.14R    0.20  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.57    32.42    -3.88    67.61     8.86     6.83     2.36     5.99    28.53    11.91P    0.82R    0.09  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.49    47.26    -3.97    64.22     8.78    -1.26     0.90     2.67    16.86     5.98P    2.06R    0.19  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.56    46.80    -3.41    61.07     8.61    -5.96     0.38     1.11     9.33     2.76P    4.20R    0.53  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.37    21.59     0.33    63.84     8.75     7.89     1.10     2.85    16.84     6.32P    2.01R    0.23  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.16    17.75    -4.94    64.67     8.54     5.24     1.01     2.91    18.14     6.99P    1.44R    0.15  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.23    28.12    -2.02    56.67     8.45    -6.74     0.10     0.31     3.63     0.99P    9.91R    1.53  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.08    59.54    -0.65    44.76     7.65   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.80R   20.97  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.25    12.26    -4.29    55.82     8.58    -6.34     0.06     0.25     3.04     0.85P   12.12R    2.10  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.70    46.34    -0.82    44.17     8.25   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   60.86R   25.23  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.14    16.92    -0.27    47.65     8.38   -16.99     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   41.54R   13.07  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.69    10.81    -6.02    50.83     8.43   -15.04     0.01     0.05     0.77     0.18P   27.42R    6.53  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.84     6.31    -8.50    43.38     8.25   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   63.38R   27.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.70    95.45     8.04    80.43     8.53    19.20     9.22    25.03    80.24    37.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.64    90.26     6.92    83.57     8.67    26.49    16.29    39.06    88.65    51.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.47    72.61     4.73    90.73     8.86    41.92    50.82    72.99    97.35    81.79P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.68    53.93     3.76    83.14     9.02    33.10    17.66    39.70    87.13    56.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.00    74.79     5.08    74.98     8.95    16.60     3.29    10.90    59.30    22.66P    0.14R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.44    86.53     3.96    65.02     8.65    -2.70     0.26     1.13    17.02     3.98P    2.64R    0.11  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.62    87.15     4.03    64.41     8.50    -3.08     0.19     0.88    15.25     3.47P    2.84R    0.08  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.85    69.00     2.74    66.45     8.51     3.28     0.30     1.48    21.75     5.47P    1.64R    0.06  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.26    83.03     0.27    63.78     8.58    -6.60     0.15     0.75    13.69     3.11P    3.53R    0.20  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.37    47.89     5.97    68.08     8.62    13.78     0.52     2.39    29.29     8.91P    1.04R    0.05  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.82    55.84    -0.23    64.27     8.57    -0.02     0.19     0.87    15.15     3.89P    3.09R    0.18  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.36    60.48     2.85    66.67     8.79     6.33     0.42     1.74    23.36     6.80P    1.81R    0.08  
Charlton             15   22   +2       0.09    51.15     0.12    68.20     8.78     7.38     0.58     2.46    29.15     8.92P    1.16R    0.05  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.32    48.75    -4.62    56.83     8.55   -14.60     0.01     0.06     3.13     0.60P   16.59R    1.86  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.58    47.34     3.27    51.38     8.49   -14.84     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.13P   35.53R    6.34  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.82    31.50    -2.28    58.87     9.02    -4.43     0.04     0.24     6.50     1.69P   11.61R    1.15  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.65    21.54   -10.18    58.77     8.70   -10.57     0.03     0.17     5.15     1.37P   11.95R    1.31  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.57    26.62    -1.57    53.79     8.76   -11.30     0.00     0.05     1.83     0.41P   26.08R    4.02  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.27    13.51    -4.28    56.78     8.35    -3.77     0.01     0.05     3.10     0.75P   14.60R    1.51  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.62    11.96    -1.11    51.06     8.25    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.15P   34.93R    5.70  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.02    14.55    -3.91    52.22     8.50   -11.71     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.22P   31.33R    5.21  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.25    13.36    -4.82    48.39     8.28   -18.02     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   49.49R   11.49  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.83    13.88    -6.81    42.75     7.91   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   75.93R   30.46  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -7.91     7.16   -11.93    43.20     8.24   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   74.04R   30.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, Crewe 0 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.40    86.91     9.08    82.33     8.41    28.25    25.51    60.74    89.74    68.54P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.69    73.72     2.15    84.07     8.48    27.26    32.73    67.58    92.38    75.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.49    66.54     4.15    77.94     8.44    22.70    12.00    39.74    78.02    50.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.23    92.65    -1.15    65.54     8.35    -9.81     0.65     4.33    22.15     7.03P    0.20R    0.01  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.75    61.64     7.61    76.94     8.44    25.81    10.50    36.14    75.20    46.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.29    82.23    10.38    66.36     8.33     7.44     0.79     5.46    26.78     9.18P    0.12R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       4.92    80.21     6.57    68.08     8.69     7.17     1.46     8.29    34.25    13.39P    0.12R    0.01  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.33    59.42     1.38    65.23     8.27     3.13     0.53     3.95    22.33     7.76P    0.20R    0.01  
Mansfield        15   24  +11      -0.12    49.13     5.78    75.71     8.52    24.52     8.03    30.57    70.47    42.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.67    32.35     1.38    72.14     8.74    19.02     4.03    18.35    54.27    28.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.69    68.59     1.61    61.78     8.36    -4.70     0.19     1.67    12.19     3.57P    0.68R    0.07  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.50    61.45     7.54    64.29     8.56     7.28     0.47     3.57    20.57     7.09P    0.42R    0.04  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.82    38.07    -3.38    65.15     8.44     2.53     0.47     3.94    22.32     8.50P    0.28R    0.01  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.29    59.67    -1.13    60.49     8.26    -5.98     0.10     1.05     9.14     2.57P    1.05R    0.10  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.58    20.89    -1.98    68.97     8.96    13.55     2.19    10.94    39.82    19.64P    0.09R    0.01  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.28    34.89    -4.51    60.77     8.46    -4.22     0.15     1.38    10.48     3.35P    0.95R    0.11  
Crewe            16   19   -1      -1.82    37.93     0.57    57.47     8.28    -4.79     0.04     0.52     5.14     1.44P    2.22R    0.30  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.53    22.16    -3.96    60.91     8.75    -0.28     0.16     1.60    11.83     4.10P    1.12R    0.14  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -1.06    43.29    -3.83    48.53     8.06   -22.31     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.10P   17.75R    3.14  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.30    22.24    -8.26    51.84     8.21   -18.06     0.00     0.08     1.10     0.29P    9.54R    1.48  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -3.03    29.65    -5.97    45.65     7.82   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   28.44R    5.78  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.08    13.29   -11.86    51.04     8.62   -21.63     0.01     0.07     1.12     0.28P   12.83R    2.17  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.68     9.96    -7.19    45.13     8.32   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   31.62R    7.28  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.54     9.41    -4.99    30.53     7.38   -46.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.31R   79.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       18   38  +20       8.96    91.98    13.38    82.59     8.55    29.49    18.28    72.66    31.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            18   38  +14       9.71    94.84     8.65    81.17     7.73    21.28    11.52    67.68    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      18   37  +23       4.80    78.33    11.88    85.66     7.87    38.40    29.55    85.66    46.78P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     18   36  +16       8.69    90.89    11.94    80.07     8.59    24.75    11.39    62.61    22.13P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          18   35  +22       2.94    68.23    10.89    83.74     7.92    37.39    21.59    79.85    39.54P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   35   +8      10.71    96.13     8.43    72.50     7.92     7.16     1.59    24.81     5.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   32  +10       3.74    72.91     4.66    74.39     7.81    16.18     2.44    34.65    10.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      17   30   +4       5.61    82.77     2.34    73.32     8.20     9.59     2.06    29.31     7.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool         18   28   +2       2.55    66.50     0.62    66.03     7.81     1.95     0.18     7.27     1.62P    0.68R    0.01  
Eastleigh          18   27   -4       4.54    77.52    -1.00    63.05     7.83    -7.19     0.07     3.36     0.58P    1.87R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       18   26   +0       0.10    51.11    -2.13    65.06     7.84     1.55     0.15     5.97     1.42P    0.93R    0.02  
Barnet             17   25   -2      -2.25    35.23    -8.00    71.05     8.34     7.26     1.13    21.01     6.87P    0.18R    0.00  
Halifax            18   22   -1       0.55    54.74     3.06    55.73     7.64    -6.94     0.00     0.41     0.08P   10.35R    0.55  
Barrow             18   21   -3      -2.15    36.62    -0.85    55.86     7.80    -7.87     0.01     0.45     0.09P   10.58R    0.56  
Aldershot          18   21   -9      -2.99    31.73    -8.29    59.01     7.88    -9.21     0.02     1.12     0.28P    5.49R    0.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   20   -3      -3.67    27.61    -1.85    59.11     7.91    -1.54     0.01     1.20     0.23P    5.20R    0.24  
Bromley            18   20   -6      -4.46    24.02    -5.58    56.35     8.05    -9.43     0.01     0.63     0.13P   10.52R    0.67  
Maidenhead         18   17  -19      -1.74    39.62    -9.32    46.10     7.61   -34.58     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.09R    9.98  
Chesterfield       18   16   -6     -10.52     4.23    -8.99    58.27     8.21    -0.10     0.01     1.21     0.33P    6.66R    0.38  
Dag_&_Red          18   15   -9      -9.46     5.62    -8.91    51.90     7.96   -11.16     0.00     0.13     0.04P   23.07R    2.31  
Maidstone_United   18   15  -12      -3.97    25.31    -3.91    45.09     7.43   -23.64     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.53R   11.00  
Havant_&_Wville    18   14   -9      -4.36    24.58     1.45    43.98     8.15   -22.80     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.85R   15.66  
Braintree_Town     18   13  -14      -3.84    26.39    -1.77    38.65     7.71   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.25R   39.41  
Dover_Athletic     18    8  -22     -13.25     0.80   -16.72    42.99     8.00   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.63R   18.86