Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 November 2018 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 October 2018, Tottenham 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         10   26  +24       2.47    75.64     5.05    92.13     6.60    74.11    71.05    90.44    96.99    99.19    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   26  +16       5.98    94.38     5.45    84.22     7.45    49.07    17.24    55.16    77.93    90.89    99.54     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   24  +17       3.68    80.97     6.48    79.64     7.50    45.30     7.18    28.21    56.42    79.08    98.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   22  +11       3.04    75.82     2.15    73.82     7.83    33.23     1.62     9.63    25.19    48.30    93.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   21   +8       1.52    63.66    -1.47    76.32     7.56    34.40     2.63    14.49    35.97    62.17    96.26     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      10   20   +7       5.35    88.67     5.91    54.18     7.73    -2.12     0.00     0.03     0.17     0.83    11.29     0.15R    0.01  
Watford          10   19   +4       6.14    92.11     5.70    50.91     7.63    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.26     4.95     0.57R    0.01  
Man_Utd          10   17   +0      -1.20    38.60    -6.62    67.80     7.70    19.22     0.28     2.04     7.13    18.40    78.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton          10   15   +2       0.10    50.73     0.43    51.68     7.83    -2.28     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.36     6.50     0.55R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    10   15   +0       3.35    78.61     3.24    47.22     7.80   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.37     2.52R    0.16  
Brighton         10   14   -2       3.37    80.53     3.14    46.28     7.57   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.56     2.72R    0.13  
Leicester        10   13   +0      -0.58    45.14     0.72    50.99     8.05    -2.70     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.38     6.10     0.97R    0.05  
West_Ham         10    8   -6      -1.72    35.23     0.93    43.23     7.79   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.68     7.10R    0.69  
Crystal_Palace   10    8   -6      -4.22    16.21    -3.62    38.60     7.41   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    16.68R    1.90  
Burnley          10    8  -11      -3.46    20.14    -7.13    37.74     7.42   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    20.32R    2.51  
Southampton      10    7   -8      -4.44    14.20    -4.56    38.73     7.44   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    16.57R    2.20  
Cardiff          10    5  -14      -3.14    20.36    -3.08    30.79     7.47   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.19R   15.62  
Fulham           10    5  -17      -3.50    19.50    -5.54    28.68     7.35   -47.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.12R   25.99  
Newcastle        10    3   -8      -7.38     2.18    -2.69    37.67     7.72   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    20.06R    3.21  
Huddersfield     10    3  -17      -3.64    14.07    -4.48    24.75     6.63   -44.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.46R   47.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, Birmingham 3 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Sheff_Utd       15   29   +9       6.28    86.94     5.75    76.15     8.73    15.92    13.75    26.66    65.20    34.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   27  +14       3.68    74.89     9.78    74.82     8.68    21.96    11.18    22.70    60.99    31.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   15   27   +9       1.69    62.13     2.15    78.64     8.31    22.25    19.97    36.34    76.71    48.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         15   27   +3       6.38    87.15     2.94    71.26     8.55     5.56     4.71    11.03    42.44    17.05P    0.18R    0.00  
West_Brom       15   25  +10      -1.47    39.32     0.69    78.65     8.92    27.36    23.15    38.94    75.87    50.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby           15   25   +6       0.50    53.49     0.18    74.57     8.54    16.67     9.71    20.64    59.36    31.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   23   +6       3.09    71.98     6.98    64.37     8.60     4.12     0.90     2.77    17.31     5.57P    1.63R    0.18  
Swansea         15   23   +6      -1.35    40.26     0.33    73.08     8.71    17.01     7.74    16.74    52.91    27.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Birmingham      15   23   +5       4.92    82.61     8.49    59.03     8.20    -3.93     0.13     0.50     5.55     1.31P    5.27R    0.63  
QPR             15   23   -4       4.74    80.83    -0.46    59.70     8.41   -13.03     0.24     0.77     6.56     1.70P    5.51R    0.66  
Bristol_City    15   22   +3       0.76    55.81     2.05    65.95     8.64     5.12     1.45     3.78    21.85     7.75P    1.09R    0.09  
Blackburn       15   22   -2       2.45    67.39    -0.42    64.23     8.78    -2.39     1.02     2.74    16.48     5.44P    1.99R    0.19  
Stoke           15   20   -1      -2.49    33.15    -3.76    67.44     9.01     6.55     2.46     6.12    28.68    12.25P    0.95R    0.09  
Wigan           15   20   -4      -0.63    46.05    -4.12    64.47     8.88    -0.94     1.06     3.04    17.59     6.62P    2.07R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed       15   19   -5      -0.63    46.11    -3.52    61.18     8.59    -5.85     0.39     1.18     9.59     2.93P    3.96R    0.50  
Brentford       15   18   +3      -4.33    21.76     0.35    63.92     8.65     8.04     0.95     2.66    16.84     6.22P    1.80R    0.19  
Aston_Villa     15   18   -1      -5.13    18.12    -4.87    64.59     8.61     5.09     1.07     2.86    18.14     6.91P    1.59R    0.16  
Millwall        15   16   -4      -3.18    28.66    -1.97    56.53     8.40    -6.93     0.06     0.24     3.31     0.84P   10.34R    1.57  
Bolton          15   16   -9       1.09    59.89    -0.64    44.86     7.64   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.37R   20.66  
Preston         15   14   -5      -6.29    12.28    -4.38    55.91     8.67    -6.17     0.06     0.25     3.29     0.91P   12.03R    2.14  
Rotherham       15   14  -10      -0.65    46.68    -0.74    44.16     8.16   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   60.92R   25.12  
Reading         15   12   -6      -5.16    16.51    -0.28    47.79     8.42   -16.82     0.01     0.01     0.31     0.04P   41.12R   12.96  
Hull            15   12   -9      -6.83    10.25    -6.20    51.12     8.51   -14.59     0.01     0.05     0.84     0.22P   26.62R    6.30  
Ipswich         15    9  -14      -7.72     6.41    -8.33    43.20     8.21   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   64.32R   28.27  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 October 2018, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Portsmouth           16   35  +13       9.69    95.49     8.05    80.57     8.55    19.41     9.71    25.51    80.50    38.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough         16   33  +12       7.65    90.12     6.90    83.55     8.63    26.45    16.35    39.08    88.68    51.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   32  +17       3.58    73.12     4.94    90.37     8.82    41.36    49.61    71.90    97.12    80.79P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             15   28  +14       0.58    53.25     3.67    83.30     9.01    33.27    18.30    40.05    87.48    56.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton                16   28   +8       4.04    75.03     5.16    74.93     8.97    16.55     3.35    10.77    59.05    22.34P    0.18R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   16   27   +2       6.42    86.66     3.92    65.11     8.64    -2.50     0.27     1.18    17.33     4.06P    2.53R    0.11  
Coventry             16   27   +2       6.54    87.23     3.93    64.53     8.52    -2.90     0.17     0.95    15.47     3.55P    2.81R    0.12  
Doncaster            16   25   +3       2.79    68.91     2.65    66.45     8.49     3.25     0.30     1.48    21.43     5.63P    1.65R    0.08  
Walsall              15   25   -1       5.36    83.11     0.35    63.64     8.56    -6.78     0.16     0.74    13.00     2.91P    3.70R    0.23  
Fleetwood_Town       16   23   +8      -0.37    47.88     5.98    68.07     8.63    13.79     0.54     2.49    29.18     9.20P    1.03R    0.04  
Southend             16   23   +0       0.92    56.64    -0.09    64.21     8.59    -0.10     0.17     0.86    15.25     3.86P    3.13R    0.17  
Blackpool            14   22   +5       1.37    60.30     2.87    66.46     8.81     6.07     0.42     1.75    22.74     6.48P    1.93R    0.10  
Charlton             15   22   +2      -0.06    49.84    -0.14    68.48     8.75     7.81     0.58     2.68    30.29     9.57P    1.11R    0.06  
Rochdale             16   19   -9      -0.12    50.29    -4.29    56.53     8.43   -15.10     0.01     0.07     2.84     0.56P   17.20R    1.85  
Wycombe              16   18   -2      -0.68    46.49     3.13    51.43     8.49   -14.67     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.17P   35.51R    6.14  
Burton_Albion        15   18   -2      -2.86    31.37    -2.39    58.93     8.92    -4.34     0.03     0.24     6.41     1.66P   11.05R    1.07  
Scunthorpe           16   17  -11      -4.65    21.51   -10.18    58.85     8.73   -10.52     0.01     0.13     5.41     1.32P   11.68R    1.29  
Gillingham           15   15   -5      -3.49    26.84    -1.47    53.72     8.79   -11.47     0.00     0.03     1.90     0.40P   26.57R    4.02  
Shrewsbury           16   15   -5      -6.21    13.49    -4.20    56.78     8.32    -3.76     0.00     0.05     2.95     0.72P   14.56R    1.48  
Bristol_Rovers       16   14   -3      -6.66    11.65    -1.21    51.15     8.27    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.15P   34.86R    5.55  
Oxford_Utd           16   14   -7      -6.15    13.96    -4.11    52.48     8.47   -11.33     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.23P   30.31R    4.95  
Plymouth             16   13   -9      -6.21    13.55    -4.76    48.30     8.28   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   49.81R   11.66  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   11  -14      -5.80    13.80    -6.76    42.60     7.92   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   76.45R   31.44  
Bradford             16   10  -18      -7.95     7.04   -11.97    43.25     8.22   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   73.90R   29.64  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, Crewe 0 3 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     16   33  +16       6.34    86.75     8.99    82.40     8.39    28.37    25.89    61.13    89.97    68.63P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          16   31  +10       3.67    73.87     2.17    84.11     8.39    27.37    32.99    68.16    92.80    75.73P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           16   29  +11       2.48    66.43     4.12    77.94     8.42    22.68    11.79    39.65    77.97    50.01P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   16   29   -3       8.18    92.53    -1.26    65.65     8.33    -9.69     0.64     4.30    22.36     7.14P    0.17R    0.01  
Colchester       16   28  +14       1.75    61.85     7.60    76.98     8.32    25.85    10.05    36.06    75.36    46.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     16   27  +10       5.33    82.44    10.44    66.36     8.32     7.43     0.86     5.44    26.79     9.36P    0.12R    0.01  
Tranmere         16   27   +7       5.02    80.82     6.71    68.03     8.64     7.06     1.38     8.18    33.74    13.24P    0.10R    0.00  
Stevenage        16   25   +4       1.26    58.85     1.30    65.30     8.31     3.19     0.58     3.99    22.44     7.77P    0.15R    0.01  
Mansfield        15   24  +11      -0.08    49.25     5.86    75.60     8.41    24.35     7.79    29.91    69.99    41.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             16   23   +7      -2.74    32.05     1.29    72.26     8.77    19.17     4.19    18.72    54.64    29.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     16   23   -1       2.70    68.40     1.65    61.72     8.39    -4.73     0.23     1.65    12.06     3.54P    0.75R    0.07  
Yeovil           15   21   +6       1.60    62.02     7.65    64.23     8.61     7.13     0.56     3.64    20.42     7.03P    0.42R    0.04  
Swindon          16   21   -2      -1.89    37.62    -3.50    65.18     8.49     2.64     0.58     3.95    22.65     8.36P    0.29R    0.03  
Port_Vale        16   21   -4       1.41    60.72    -0.93    60.33     8.20    -6.24     0.09     0.91     8.63     2.37P    1.07R    0.11  
Oldham           15   20   +4      -4.63    20.37    -2.03    69.02     8.88    13.65     2.00    10.83    39.95    19.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Carlisle         16   20   -4      -2.36    34.26    -4.66    60.88     8.35    -4.05     0.12     1.25    10.19     3.29P    0.91R    0.09  
Crewe            16   19   -1      -1.72    38.67     0.70    57.31     8.32    -5.04     0.04     0.44     5.01     1.30P    2.33R    0.26  
Northampton      16   18   -3      -4.63    21.47    -4.14    61.08     8.74    -0.00     0.22     1.65    12.11     4.38P    1.10R    0.12  
Grimsby          15   15  -10      -0.99    43.80    -3.80    48.48     8.02   -22.33     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   17.80R    3.20  
Cambridge_Utd    16   15  -12      -4.30    22.31    -8.23    51.88     8.20   -18.04     0.00     0.05     1.16     0.23P    9.14R    1.40  
Morecambe        16   14  -13      -2.98    29.88    -5.89    45.65     7.84   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   28.51R    5.80  
Notts_County     15   12  -16      -6.08    13.32   -11.84    51.01     8.65   -21.67     0.00     0.07     1.11     0.29P   12.93R    2.26  
Cheltenham       15   10  -13      -6.68     9.86    -7.16    44.95     8.25   -24.22     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   31.91R    7.25  
Macclesfield     16    7  -18      -6.60     9.26    -5.05    30.60     7.39   -45.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.15R   79.33  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 October 2018, AFC_Fylde 1 0 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Salford_City       18   38  +20       9.00    92.11    13.45    82.47     8.58    29.33    18.37    72.39    31.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            18   38  +14       9.62    94.65     8.53    81.32     7.71    21.48    12.03    68.44    25.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient      18   37  +23       4.88    78.97    11.99    85.46     7.88    38.15    29.14    85.14    45.91P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     18   36  +16       8.74    91.02    12.01    80.00     8.65    24.68    11.75    62.19    22.65P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Fylde          18   35  +22       3.06    68.93    11.01    83.54     7.91    37.15    20.82    79.42    39.07P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   35   +8      10.63    95.91     8.30    72.55     7.88     7.18     1.62    25.04     5.59P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   32  +10       3.83    73.44     4.75    74.26     7.87    15.97     2.40    34.12     9.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Sutton_United      17   30   +4       5.60    82.66     2.32    73.42     8.20     9.69     2.11    29.87     7.93P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool         18   28   +2       2.66    67.25     0.75    65.96     7.84     1.89     0.22     7.37     1.63P    0.58R    0.00  
Eastleigh          18   27   -4       4.65    78.32    -0.82    62.94     7.86    -7.28     0.07     3.38     0.62P    1.90R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       18   26   +0       0.15    51.29    -2.07    65.04     7.86     1.49     0.14     5.84     1.42P    0.89R    0.02  
Barnet             17   25   -2      -2.19    35.98    -7.93    70.92     8.44     7.12     1.27    21.19     6.91P    0.21R    0.01  
Halifax            18   22   -1       0.49    54.31     2.97    55.80     7.70    -6.79     0.01     0.42     0.07P   10.56R    0.58  
Barrow             18   21   -3      -2.11    37.04    -0.80    55.87     7.82    -7.91     0.00     0.47     0.10P   10.42R    0.62  
Aldershot          18   21   -9      -3.02    31.42    -8.33    59.13     7.94    -9.03     0.02     1.29     0.26P    5.72R    0.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   20   -3      -3.60    27.89    -1.76    59.15     7.93    -1.56     0.02     1.25     0.32P    5.29R    0.23  
Bromley            18   20   -6      -4.50    23.58    -5.64    56.41     8.08    -9.37     0.01     0.63     0.13P   10.34R    0.61  
Maidenhead         18   17  -19      -1.68    40.15    -9.22    45.99     7.64   -34.74     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.75R   10.66  
Chesterfield       18   16   -6     -10.66     4.13    -9.16    58.38     8.31     0.10     0.01     1.35     0.39P    6.81R    0.40  
Dag_&_Red          18   15   -9      -9.54     5.40    -9.04    52.05     8.04   -10.91     0.00     0.18     0.02P   22.91R    2.32  
Maidstone_United   18   15  -12      -4.02    24.91    -3.96    45.13     7.49   -23.59     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.29R   11.16  
Havant_&_Wville    18   14   -9      -4.41    24.26     1.44    43.96     8.15   -22.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.90R   16.01  
Braintree_Town     18   13  -14      -4.03    25.24    -2.09    38.96     7.79   -33.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.18R   38.22  
Dover_Athletic     18    8  -22     -13.24     0.83   -16.70    42.90     7.94   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.11R   18.85